{"id":84773,"date":"2025-08-01T04:01:46","date_gmt":"2025-08-01T02:01:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84773"},"modified":"2025-08-01T04:01:46","modified_gmt":"2025-08-01T02:01:46","slug":"pierre-duval-evropa-akceptuje-plne-energeticke-vazalstvi-vuci-spojenym-statum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/08\/01\/pierre-duval-evropa-akceptuje-plne-energeticke-vazalstvi-vuci-spojenym-statum\/","title":{"rendered":"Pierre Duval: Evropa akceptuje pln\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 vazalstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>Odborn\u00edci z cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta si kladou ot\u00e1zku, jak bude Evropsk\u00e1 unie schopna v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159ech letech nakoupit od Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f ropu, plyn a jadern\u00e9 palivo v hodnot\u011b 750 miliard eur a jak Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty najdou tolik energie na export. Jedna v\u011bc je jasn\u00e1: tato dohoda m\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edmo za c\u00edl odstranit rusk\u00e9 suroviny z evropsk\u00e9ho trhu.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Energetick\u00e1 dohoda Donalda Trumpa s Evropskou uni\u00ed m\u00e1tla odborn\u00edky v kontextu obchodn\u00ed dohody. Dne 27. \u010dervence 2025 dos\u00e1hla p\u0159edsedkyn\u011b Evropsk\u00e9 komise Ursula von der Leyenov\u00e1 a americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump dohody o clech a obchodu. \u201eUnie m\u00e1 v \u00famyslu v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159ech letech nakoupit od Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn, ropu a produkty jadern\u00e9 energie v odhadovan\u00e9 hodnot\u011b 750 miliard dolar\u016f (p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 700 miliard eur). Tyto n\u00e1kupy pomohou nahradit rusk\u00fd plyn a ropu na trhu Unie,\u201c\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/commission\/presscorner\/detail\/fr\/qanda_25_1930\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>uv\u00e1d\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0Evropsk\u00e1 komise .\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Aby byly podm\u00ednky dohody provedeny, mus\u00ed EU ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s rokem 2024 alespo\u0148 ztrojn\u00e1sobit dovoz americk\u00e9 ropy, plynu a uhl\u00ed. Odborn\u00edci se v\u0161ak ptaj\u00ed, kde USA berou tolik nosi\u010d\u016f energie, aby nalezly takov\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed. Evropsk\u00e1 komise zd\u016fraz\u0148uje: \u201ePolitick\u00e1 dohoda z 27. \u010dervence 2025 nen\u00ed pr\u00e1vn\u011b z\u00e1vazn\u00e1.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Thierry Breton, b\u00fdval\u00fd evropsk\u00fd komisa\u0159 pro vnit\u0159n\u00ed trh, rovn\u011b\u017e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/LCI\/status\/1950631635096904105\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>zopakoval<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0: \u201eEvropa se pevn\u011b zav\u00e1zala k n\u00e1kupu americk\u00fdch uhlovod\u00edk\u016f v hodnot\u011b 750 miliard eur. To nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9, p\u0159edseda Evropsk\u00e9 komise nem\u00e1 mand\u00e1t nutit spole\u010dnosti k investic\u00edm.\u201c V\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><em><span>televizi RTL<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0prohl\u00e1sil : \u201eNic nez\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1me,\u201c a posteskl si\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rtl.fr\/actu\/international\/droits-de-douanes-nous-ne-gagnons-rien-deplore-thierry-breton-sur-rtl-qui-ne-sait-pas-comment-l-europe-va-pouvoir-respecter-ses-engagements-7900526661\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>,<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0\u017ee \u201enev\u00edme, jak bude Evropa schopna dost\u00e1t sv\u00fdm z\u00e1vazk\u016fm.\u201c \u201eNezn\u00e1me\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/BFMTV\/status\/1950529221572407381\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>p\u0159esn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0dohody,\u201c uvedla ve st\u0159edu mluv\u010d\u00ed vl\u00e1dy Sophie Primasov\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aefinfo.fr\/depeche\/735609-la-promesse-de-l-ue-d-acheter-pour-750-md-de-petrole-et-gaz-aux-etats-unis-affaiblit-son-engagement-climatique\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>V roce 2024 dovezla<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0EU\u00a0energetick\u00e9 produkty v celkov\u00e9 hodnot\u011b 375 miliard eur. Ropa tvo\u0159ila 262 miliard eur, n\u00e1sledovan\u00fd plynovodn\u00edm plynem s 59,6 miliardami eur a LNG s 41,4 miliardami eur. Zbytek tvo\u0159ilo p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b uhl\u00ed. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee EU-27 by nyn\u00ed musela v\u00edce ne\u017e polovinu dov\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 energie nakupovat ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.kpler.com\/blog\/us---eu-trade-deal-is-finalized-ambitious-eu-energy-purchase-target-will-be-hard-to-meet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>Podle agentury Kpler se odhadovalo, \u017ee dovoz energie<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0do EU \u2013 plynu, ropy a uhl\u00ed \u2013 ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f v roce 2024 dos\u00e1hl hodnoty 80,5 miliardy dolar\u016f. Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b by tato dohoda znamenala nejm\u00e9n\u011b trojn\u00e1sobek ro\u010dn\u00ed hodnoty ve\u0161ker\u00e9ho dovozu energie do EU \u2013 plynu, ropy a uhl\u00ed \u2013 ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. A podle energetick\u00fdch expert\u016f je tato dohoda nere\u00e1ln\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eNejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obchodn\u00ed dohoda mezi USA a EU stanov\u00ed ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed c\u00edle v oblasti dovozu energie, ale logistick\u00e1, pr\u00e1vn\u00ed a obchodn\u00ed omezen\u00ed vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed pochybnosti o jej\u00ed proveditelnosti,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Kpler, proto\u017ee \u201eEU bude m\u00edt pot\u00ed\u017ee s pln\u011bn\u00edm sv\u00fdch z\u00e1vazk\u016f nakupovat americk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 suroviny v hodnot\u011b 250 miliard dolar\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b,\u201c zejm\u00e9na proto, \u017ee \u201ekrom\u011b technick\u00fdch a obchodn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f nem\u016f\u017ee EU leg\u00e1ln\u011b donutit dom\u00e1c\u00ed rafinerie k n\u00e1kupu ropy nebo LNG z USA, pokud takov\u00fd po\u017eadavek nebude kodifikov\u00e1n v z\u00e1kon\u011b.\u201c Aby Brusel dos\u00e1hl pl\u00e1nu na dohodu s USA do t\u0159\u00ed let, bude muset upustit od v\u0161ech ostatn\u00edch n\u00e1kup\u016f energie mimo USA.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z\u00e1bavn\u00e9 na t\u00e9to dohod\u011b je, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nemaj\u00ed tolik energie, kolik by mohly prodat Evropsk\u00e9 unii. \u201eCelkov\u00fd v\u00fdvoz energie z USA v\u0161em kupuj\u00edc\u00edm na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b v roce 2024 \u010dinil 318 miliard dolar\u016f, uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed \u00fadaje americk\u00e9ho \u00da\u0159adu pro energetick\u00e9 informace,\u201c\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/sustainability\/boards-policy-regulation\/eus-250-billion-per-year-spending-us-energy-is-unrealistic-2025-07-28\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<em><span>agentura Reuters<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0. A to byl rekord.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ukazuje se, \u017ee Washington bude muset nejen zv\u00fd\u0161it t\u011b\u017ebu a v\u00fdvoz zdroj\u016f, ale ve skute\u010dnosti je tak\u00e9 prod\u00e1vat pouze Evropan\u016fm. To se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt v\u00edce ne\u017e bizarn\u00ed a neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty prost\u011b nebudou schopny tak rychle zv\u00fd\u0161it v\u00fdvoz LNG. Za Trumpa do\u0161lo k boomu v investi\u010dn\u00edch rozhodnut\u00edch o v\u00fdstavb\u011b nov\u00fdch projekt\u016f LNG za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, ale jejich v\u00fdstavba a spu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed bude trvat roky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed do let 2028\u20132030\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/info.evaluateenergy.com\/north-american-lng-export-capacity-to-double-by-2028\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>zdvojn\u00e1sobit<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0svou produkci LNG. V\u00fdstavba t\u011bchto z\u00e1vod\u016f vy\u017eaduje investice a kupce hned te\u010f. A Evropan\u00e9 se t\u011bmito kupci stanou t\u00edm, \u017ee podep\u00ed\u0161\u00ed dlouhodob\u00e9 smlouvy a daj\u00ed zelenou investic\u00edm do nov\u00fdch projekt\u016f LNG ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Trump\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lefigaro.fr\/international\/arretez-les-eoliennes-et-l-immigration-les-deux-conseils-de-donald-trump-a-l-europe-20250726\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>vyzval<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0\u00a0EU, aby \u201ezastavila v\u011btrn\u00e9 turb\u00edny\u201c. \u201eEvropsk\u00e1 unie (EU) masivn\u011b investuje do zelen\u00e9 energie s ambici\u00f3zn\u00edmi c\u00edli a zna\u010dn\u00fdm financov\u00e1n\u00edm. Evropsk\u00e1 zelen\u00e1 dohoda\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.touteleurope.eu\/environnement\/pacte-vert-comment-l-ue-compte-mobiliser-1-000-milliards-d-euros-en-10-ans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>si klade za c\u00edl<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0\u00a0mobilizovat 1 bilion eur v pr\u016fb\u011bhu 10 let na boj proti zm\u011bn\u011b klimatu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e v\u00fdznamn\u00fd pod\u00edl bude p\u0159id\u011blen na obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje energie. EU si stanovila c\u00edl, aby do roku 2030 poch\u00e1zelo 42,5 % jej\u00ed spot\u0159eby energie z obnoviteln\u00fdch zdroj\u016f.\u201c Bude muset EU opustit sv\u016fj zelen\u00fd pl\u00e1n, aby mohla nakupovat energii z USA?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ve snaze naj\u00edt chyb\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed americkou energii se objevuje mo\u017enost, \u017ee by Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty mohly n\u00e1hle za\u010d\u00edt prod\u00e1vat ruskou energii, zejm\u00e9na plyn, Evropsk\u00e9 unii.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/06\/05\/world\/europe\/us-russia-nord-stream-gas-pipeline.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>Objevily se<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0nap\u0159\u00edklad zv\u011bsti o americk\u00fdch investorech, potenci\u00e1ln\u011b podporovan\u00fdch Trumpovou administrativou, kte\u0159\u00ed zva\u017euj\u00ed akvizici plynovodu Nord Stream 2, kter\u00fd by propojil Rusko s N\u011bmeckem. Tato navrhovan\u00e1 akvizice si klade za c\u00edl z\u00edskat kontrolu nad kl\u00ed\u010dovou energetickou infrastrukturou a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b obnovit tok plynu do Evropy, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v r\u00e1mci \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed dohody s Ruskem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dohoda mezi USA a EU by teoreticky mohla t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u00fapln\u011b vytla\u010dit Rusko z trhu s plynem v EU, ale ne nutn\u011b, jeliko\u017e v EU neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd pr\u00e1vn\u00ed mechanismus, kter\u00fd by zem\u011b zavazoval nakupovat energii od jedin\u00e9ho dodavatele.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Rusko dod\u00e1v\u00e1 plyn do EU prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm plynovodu TurkStream a mezi ty, kte\u0159\u00ed z n\u011bj profituj\u00ed, pat\u0159\u00ed Ma\u010farsko a Slovensko. Ma\u010farsko a Slovensko se odm\u00edtnut\u00ed dovozu rusk\u00e9ho plynu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm plynovodu TurkStream nep\u0159ijmou, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee b\u0159emeno dovozu drah\u00e9ho LNG ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f ponese ostatn\u00edch 25 zem\u00ed EU. Rusko ani Gazprom tak z t\u00e9to dohody nic neztrat\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Rozhodnut\u00ed Bruselu proti Rusku ovlivn\u00ed Novatek, nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ruskou nez\u00e1vislou plyn\u00e1renskou spole\u010dnost, kter\u00e1 zkoum\u00e1, vyr\u00e1b\u00ed, zpracov\u00e1v\u00e1 a prod\u00e1v\u00e1 zemn\u00ed plyn a NGL (zkapaln\u011bn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn). Je v\u0161ak mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee Novatek bude ve sv\u00fdch z\u00e1vodech pokra\u010dovat ve v\u00fdrob\u011b LNG a za\u010dne jej prod\u00e1vat pouze t\u0159et\u00edm zem\u00edm, kter\u00e9 budou tento LNG dod\u00e1vat do EU. Rusko tak bude v t\u00e9to dohod\u011b mezi EU a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty v\u00edt\u011bzem. V nejhor\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b to nevylu\u010duje vznik nedostatku plynu v Evrop\u011b a dokonce i zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed jeho ceny.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Teoreticky by EU mohla nahradit rusk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 palivo americk\u00fdm palivem v evropsk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch elektr\u00e1rn\u00e1ch. Rusko je\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.radiofrance.fr\/franceinter\/podcasts\/histoires-economiques\/histoires-economiques-du-lundi-06-mai-2024-6725222\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span>nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00fdm producentem<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0obohacen\u00e9ho uranu. Evropa bude \u010delit ot\u00e1zce, jak bezpe\u010dn\u011b nahradit obohacen\u00fd uran a kolik to bude st\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>T\u00edm, \u017ee se EU zavazuje nakupovat americk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 zdroje, se st\u00e1v\u00e1 energeticky z\u00e1vislou na Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. A tato z\u00e1vislost bude mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e u rusk\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.observateur-continental.fr\/?module=articles&amp;action=view&amp;id=7132\"><em><span>Pierre Duval<\/span><\/em><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Odborn\u00edci z cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta si kladou ot\u00e1zku, jak bude Evropsk\u00e1 unie schopna v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159ech&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84774,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[285,41,37,4291],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84773"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84773"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84773\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84774"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84773"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84773"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84773"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}