{"id":84577,"date":"2025-07-30T00:17:05","date_gmt":"2025-07-29T22:17:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84577"},"modified":"2025-07-29T10:25:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T08:25:00","slug":"pepe-escobar-proc-jsou-thajsko-a-kambodza-ve-valce-v-srdci-aseanu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/30\/pepe-escobar-proc-jsou-thajsko-a-kambodza-ve-valce-v-srdci-aseanu\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar: Pro\u010d jsou Thajsko a Kambod\u017ea ve v\u00e1lce v srdci ASEANu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Vl\u00e1dne mlha v\u00e1lky. Jeden thajsk\u00fd analytik se ob\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee p\u0159ekr\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed tolika vektor\u016f ned\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl: \u201eNa t\u00e9to v\u00e1lce je n\u011bco velmi zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edho. Zd\u00e1 se, jako by n\u011bkdo tla\u010dil ob\u011b strany k eskalaci.\u201c<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Eskalace, zat\u00edm, a tak\u00e9 pravidla. I s ohledem na tzv. \u201eceln\u00ed hn\u011bv\u201c (T4), kter\u00fd se nyn\u00ed prezentuje jako m\u00edrotvorce a vychvaluje svou vlastn\u00ed \u201edohodu o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c. Ale toto pond\u011bl\u00ed je to Malajsie, kter\u00e1 v sou\u010dasnosti p\u0159edsed\u00e1 ASEANu, kdo de facto zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1v\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Premi\u00e9r Anwar Ibrahim host\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v Putrajayi. Jak ji\u017e potvrdil ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Mohamed Hasan: \u201eToto je z\u00e1le\u017eitost ASEANu a jako p\u0159edseda bychom se m\u011bli ujmout veden\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Malajsie se nakonec ujala veden\u00ed. Premi\u00e9r Anwar Ibrahim osobn\u011b p\u0159eru\u0161il p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi v\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00edmi stranami.<\/span><\/p>\n

A to n\u00e1s p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u00ed k nevyhnuteln\u00e9 ot\u00e1zce: Jak\u00e1 toxick\u00e1 souhra faktor\u016f vykrystalizovala v horkou v\u00e1lku v srdci jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie?<\/span><\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 to rodinn\u00fdm sporem \u2013 jak uvedl vysoce postaven\u00fd zdroj thajsk\u00e9 tajn\u00e9 slu\u017eby \u2013 mezi thajsk\u00fdm klanem \u0160inavatra a kambod\u017esk\u00fdm klanem Hun Sen. Thaksin \u0160inavatra, miliard\u00e1\u0159 ze severn\u00edho Chiang Mai, b\u00fdval\u00fd premi\u00e9r, kter\u00e9ho ned\u00e1vno omilostnil kr\u00e1l Mah\u00e1 Vajiralongkorn, je trvalou silnou osobnost\u00ed thajsk\u00e9 politiky. Jedna z jeho dcer, Paetongtarn, je sou\u010dasnou thajskou premi\u00e9rkou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hun Sen, b\u00fdval\u00fd voj\u00e1k Rud\u00fdch Khmer\u016f, kter\u00fd v roce 1977 p\u0159eb\u011bhl, dv\u011b funk\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed zast\u00e1val funkci premi\u00e9ra (1985\u20131983 a 1998\u20132023) a v sou\u010dasnosti je p\u0159edsedou Sen\u00e1tu, je v\u011b\u010dn\u00fdm sil\u00e1kem Kambod\u017ee.<\/span><\/p>\n

Klany \u0160inavatrov\u00e9 a Hun Senov\u00e9 si kdysi byly velmi bl\u00edzk\u00e9, ale ned\u00e1vno do\u0161lo k \u201eneslu\u010diteln\u00e9mu\u201c rozkolu, \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b kv\u016fli tomu, \u017ee nov\u00fd man\u017eel Thaksinovy dcery Jinglak \u2013 rovn\u011b\u017e b\u00fdval\u00e1 premi\u00e9rka \u2013 pl\u00e1nuje otev\u0159\u00edt velk\u00e9 kasino v turistick\u00e9m r\u00e1ji Phuketu, co\u017e p\u0159\u00edmo souvis\u00ed s uvoln\u011bn\u00edm thajsk\u00fdch z\u00e1kon\u016f o hazardn\u00edch hr\u00e1ch. Nov\u00fd podnik bude m\u00edt v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd dopad na obrovsk\u00e9 zisky Hun Senov\u00fdch kasin v Poi Pet na thajsk\u00e9 hranici.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u011bc se st\u00e1v\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, kdy\u017e vezmeme v \u00favahu, co se skr\u00fdv\u00e1 za dlouhodob\u00fdm nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00fdm hrani\u010dn\u00edm konfliktem, kter\u00fd se nyn\u00ed znovu rozho\u0159el kv\u016fli \u2013 jak by to mohlo b\u00fdt jinak \u2013 Pipelinestanu: Jde o pr\u016fzkum ropy a plynu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 thajsko-kambod\u017esk\u00e1 hranice vede p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b pod\u00e9l povod\u00ed poho\u0159\u00ed Dangrek. Hun Sen se sna\u017e\u00ed z\u00edskat i ty nejmen\u0161\u00ed kousky zem\u011b na thajsk\u00e9 stran\u011b povod\u00ed a jako z\u00e1minku pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 starov\u011bk\u00e9 khmersk\u00e9 chr\u00e1my. Cel\u00e1 oblast byla kdysi sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed mocn\u00e9 Khmersk\u00e9 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hun Sen chce vytvo\u0159it pr\u00e1vn\u00ed precedent, aby bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 upravit pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed hranici. To by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u011blo d\u016fsledky pro n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed hranice v Thajsk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu a pro to, kdo kontroluje jakou \u010d\u00e1st ropn\u00fdch a plynov\u00fdch pol\u00ed. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b dr\u017e\u00ed n\u011bkolik z\u00e1padn\u00edch spole\u010dnost\u00ed \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b Chevronu \u2013 pr\u00e1va na t\u011b\u017ebu na thajsk\u00e9 stran\u011b n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed hranice, a proto Z\u00e1pad Thajsko \u201epodporuje\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Poj\u010fme se pod\u00edvat na \u010c\u00ednu. Peking udr\u017euje s Thajskem velmi v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed vztahy: obrat 135 miliard dolar\u016f. Pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed, vztahy mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Kambod\u017eou dosahuj\u00ed pouh\u00fdch 12 miliard dolar\u016f. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 a thajsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da jsou si velmi bl\u00edzk\u00e9. Co se t\u00fd\u010de strategick\u00e9ho z\u00e1jmu, \u010c\u00edna m\u016f\u017ee zna\u010dn\u011b investovat do modernizace Kambod\u017ee, v\u010detn\u011b nov\u00e9ho megaekonomick\u00e9ho centra mimo Phnom Penh, ale Peking Hun Sena v jeho nyn\u00ed nevyda\u0159en\u00e9m hazardu nepodpo\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A te\u010f se dost\u00e1v\u00e1me k nejchoulostiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti rovnice. Thaksin byl v podstat\u011b kr\u00e1lov\u00fdmi bl\u00edzk\u00fdmi poradci znovu p\u0159iveden na thajskou politickou \u0161achovnici, aby omezil liber\u00e1ln\u00ed \u201ehrozbu\u201c. Nyn\u00ed se ale zd\u00e1, \u017ee Thaksin to zpackal. A z monarchistick\u00fdch kruh\u016f se \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy, \u017ee kr\u00e1l je extr\u00e9mn\u011b rozzloben\u00fd a konflikt s Kambod\u017eou si vzal osobn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

V thajsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b existuje n\u011bkolik frakc\u00ed \u2013 prost\u0159ed\u00ed je extr\u00e9mn\u011b slo\u017eit\u00e9. Velitel\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b ovl\u00e1daj\u00ed situaci na hranic\u00edch, jsou zn\u00e1m\u00ed jako \u201ekr\u00e1lov\u0161t\u00ed mu\u017ei\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

A co bude d\u00e1l? Lid\u00e9 zasv\u011bcen\u00ed do vysoce nestabiln\u00edho politick\u00e9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ed Thajska ji\u017e n\u011bjakou dobu zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed op\u011bt prov\u00e1d\u00ed slo\u017eit\u00fd balancovac\u00ed akt, kter\u00fd v mnoha ohledech z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 na svou stranu Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty i \u010c\u00ednu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je proto docela mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee thajsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da pronikne hloub\u011bji do Kambod\u017ee, a t\u00edm uspokoj\u00ed iredentistick\u00e9 po\u017eadavky hluboce nacionalistick\u00fdch kruh\u016f. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 by se to mohlo uk\u00e1zat jako neoceniteln\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k n\u00e1prav\u011b koloni\u00e1ln\u00edch hranic stanoven\u00fdch smlouvou mezi Franci\u00ed a Siamem z roku 1907.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aby to bylo je\u0161t\u011b slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, tato opat\u0159en\u00ed se p\u0159ekr\u00fdvaj\u00ed s opat\u0159en\u00edmi mocn\u00fdch kompradorsk\u00fdch elit v Bangkoku, kter\u00e9 odm\u00edtaj\u00ed prohloubenou spolupr\u00e1ci s glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihem \u2013 a blokuj\u00ed ji \u00faplatky. Ano, i to je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti BRICS.<\/span><\/p>\n

A te\u010f k \u0161ir\u0161\u00edmu kontextu. Thajsko i Kambod\u017ea, kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 uzly deseti\u010dlenn\u00e9ho sdru\u017een\u00ed ASEAN, jsou \u00fazce spjaty s \u010c\u00ednou \u2013 od geografie a\u017e po geoekonomiku. Proto p\u0159evl\u00e1d\u00e1 imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed princip rozd\u011bl a panuj \u2013 v hojn\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e a pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00fd maxim\u00e1ln\u00edmu imperativu, jak je znovu pops\u00e1no u Mackindera a Mahana: vyp\u00e1len\u00ed Rimlandu kolem Heartlandu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto je sou\u010dasn\u00fd postup Imp\u00e9ria chaosu na steroidech. Zat\u00edm jsme nic nevid\u011bli. A nezapome\u0148te: Thajsko je tak\u00e9 partnerem BRICS. Chaos z\u00e1rove\u0148 destabilizuje ASEAN i BRICS.<\/span><\/p>\n

A te\u010f je na kolej\u00edch krev \u2013 doslova. Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm projektem Nov\u00e9 hedv\u00e1bn\u00e9 stezky je v\u00edce ne\u017e 6 000 km dlouh\u00e1 vysokorychlostn\u00ed \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed tra\u0165, kter\u00e1 propoj\u00ed Kunming, hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto provincie J\u00fcn-nan, s jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asi\u00ed a a\u017e do Singapuru. Tra\u0165 Kunming\u2013Vientiane v Laosu je ji\u017e v provozu a je naprost\u00fdm \u00fasp\u011bchem. Thajsk\u00e9 prodlou\u017een\u00ed do Nong Khai \u2013 su\u017eovan\u00e9 obrovsk\u00fdmi probl\u00e9my s korupc\u00ed \u2013 by kone\u010dn\u011b mohlo b\u00fdt v provozu do roku 2030. Vietnamsko-kambod\u017esk\u00e9 prodlou\u017een\u00ed propoj\u00ed Ho \u010ci Minovo M\u011bsto a Phnom Penh s Bangkokem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka vypukla pr\u00e1v\u011b na thajsko-kambod\u017esk\u00e9 hranici. Strategie Desperation Row je stejn\u011b p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e1 jako v\u017edy: naru\u0161it nov\u00e9 koridory propojen\u00ed ASEAN zevnit\u0159 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm celn\u00ed v\u00e1lky v kombinaci s potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lkou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Globalsouth.co poskytl neocenitelnou anal\u00fdzu a dokonce navrhl seznam \u201eD\u00e1lnic do pekel\u201c propagovan\u00fdch Imp\u00e9riem chaosu. Zde je tedy ne\u00fapln\u00fd seznam p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f, kdy jsou \u010c\u00edna, \u00cdr\u00e1n a Rusko rozd\u011bleny a ovl\u00e1dan\u00e9, co\u017e naz\u00fdv\u00e1m nov\u011b pojat\u00fdm Primakovov\u00fdm troj\u00faheln\u00edkem neboli \u201eRIC\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 to p\u00e1smem Gazy \u2013 a Palestinou, kter\u00e1 je v pop\u0159ed\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti Ose odporu. Pak je tu prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed rozpad S\u00fdrie rehabilitovan\u00fdm salafisty; pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 rozd\u011blen\u00ed Libanonu; neust\u00e1l\u00e1 dvojit\u00e1\/trojit\u00e1 hra sult\u00e1na Erdogana; a p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm obnoven\u00fd \u00fatok sionistick\u00e9 Osy na \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b hrout\u00edc\u00ed se z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b se Rusko bude muset neust\u00e1le pot\u00fdkat s n\u011bkolika nov\u00fdmi frontami: novou \u017eeleznou oponou v Pobalt\u00ed a snem o jeho prom\u011bn\u011b v \u201ejezero NATO\u201c; terorem v \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i \u2013 nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed posedlost\u00ed MI6; instrumentalizac\u00ed Moldavska a pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00edm \u00fatoku na Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed; pronik\u00e1n\u00edm MI6 do \u0159ad za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00edch d\u017eih\u00e1dist\u016f po cel\u00e9 St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii; a mafi\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi hrami \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu pod Alijevov\u00fdm veden\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ali Akbar Velayati, hlavn\u00ed poradce ajatoll\u00e1ha Chamene\u00edho, varuje, \u017ee pl\u00e1novan\u00e9 americk\u00e9 p\u0159evzet\u00ed strategick\u00e9ho koridoru Zangezur je geopolitickou hrou USA, Izraele, NATO a panturkick\u00fdch hnut\u00ed s c\u00edlem oslabit osu odporu, p\u0159eru\u0161it spojen\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu s Kavkazem a zav\u00e9st pozemn\u00ed blok\u00e1du \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Ruska na jihu regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V ji\u017en\u00ed, v\u00fdchodn\u00ed a jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii se vztahy mezi Indi\u00ed a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem (ob\u011bma \u010dleny \u0160OS) opakovan\u011b ocitaj\u00ed v chaosu; vynakl\u00e1d\u00e1 se ve\u0161ker\u00e9 mo\u017en\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed na destabilizaci Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b fin\u00e1ln\u00ed provokace Tchaj-wanu proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b; obnovuj\u00ed se pokusy o znep\u0159\u00e1tel\u011bn\u00ed \u010c\u00edny a Japonska kv\u016fli ostrov\u016fm Diaojuthaj\/Senkaku; a prob\u00edhaj\u00ed pokusy o rozpout\u00e1n\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky mezi Thajskem a Kambod\u017eou v kombinaci s mo\u017en\u00fdmi barevn\u00fdmi revolucemi \u2013 op\u011bt Myanmarem.<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161e nezahrnuje ani africkou frontu \u2013 od Som\u00e1lska p\u0159es Nig\u00e9rii, partnera BRIC, a\u017e po alianci Sahel a Demokratickou republiku Kongo (DRK). A v Ji\u017en\u00ed Americe je vybran\u00fdm c\u00edlem samoz\u0159ejm\u011b Braz\u00edlie, zejm\u00e9na po \u00fasp\u011bchu summitu BRICS v Riu. Bras\u00edlia, kdysi pova\u017eovan\u00e1 za slab\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek BRICS v DC, je nyn\u00ed pod ne\u00fanavn\u00fdm obchodn\u00edm a geoekonomick\u00fdm \u00fatokem Trumpa 2.0.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed, v\u017edy zdvo\u0159il\u00e9, alespo\u0148 zachytilo tep glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu: \u201eSpojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ztratily v o\u010d\u00edch n\u00e1rod\u016f legitimitu v\u00e9st sv\u011bt. U\u017e nejsou mor\u00e1ln\u011b zp\u016fsobil\u00e9 hovo\u0159it o hodnot\u00e1ch nebo m\u00edru, zat\u00edmco podporuj\u00ed genocidu v Gaze.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Asie prakticky neexistuje z\u00e1jem o to, aby se zem\u011b stala Ukrajinou 2.0, pod\u0159\u00edzenou pl\u00e1n\u016fm CIA\/MI6\/NATO v\u00e9st v\u00e1lku proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b. P\u0159esn\u011b tohle dnes Bangkoku i Phnompenhu p\u0159inese rotuj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159edsednictv\u00ed Malajsie v ASEAN. V\u00fdro\u010dn\u00ed summit ASEAN se bude konat v Malajsii p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok v \u0159\u00edjnu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co by tedy m\u011bly BRICS d\u011blat v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se situace vyost\u0159uje? M\u011bly by postupovat opatrn\u011b a lstiv\u011b a myslet dlouhodob\u011b, nap\u0159\u00edklad up\u0159ednost\u0148ovat \u201ecentr\u00e1ln\u00ed postaven\u00ed ASEANu\u201c. Nakonec by se USA mohly st\u00e1le jevit jako \u201enerozhodn\u00fd st\u00e1t\u201c, jeliko\u017e \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed mocensk\u00e1 centra Z\u00e1padu, Tel Aviv a Lond\u00fdn, nad\u00e1le praktikuj\u00ed princip \u201erozd\u011bl a panuj\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pepe Escobar<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vl\u00e1dne mlha v\u00e1lky. Jeden thajsk\u00fd analytik se ob\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee p\u0159ekr\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed tolika vektor\u016f ned\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl: \u201eNa…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84578,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1617,1525,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84577"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84577"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84577\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84578"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84577"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84577"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84577"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}