{"id":84498,"date":"2025-07-29T00:12:09","date_gmt":"2025-07-28T22:12:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84498"},"modified":"2025-07-28T10:57:11","modified_gmt":"2025-07-28T08:57:11","slug":"sok-izrael-zabil-207-obyvatel-gazy-to-je-434-000-lidi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/29\/sok-izrael-zabil-207-obyvatel-gazy-to-je-434-000-lidi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0160OK: Izrael zabil 20,7 % obyvatel Gazy. To je 434 000 lid\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\" style=\"text-align: left;\">\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">Hlavn\u00ed m\u00e9dia ignoruj\u00ed rozsah hr\u016fzy. To odpov\u00edd\u00e1 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 70 milion\u016fm lid\u00ed ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fadaje po\u010det ob\u011bt\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b podhodnocuj\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Tato fotografie palestinsk\u00e9 fotografky Laoy Ayyoubov\u00e9 byla po\u0159\u00edzena v b\u0159eznu lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku v soukrom\u00e9m centru pro distribuci potravin v Raf\u00e1hu, uvedl den\u00edk Washington Post.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u011bt\u0161ina informovan\u00fdch pozorovatel\u016f v\u00ed, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det ob\u011bt\u00ed v Gaze v d\u016fsledku izraelsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na toto \u00fazem\u00ed je mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia. V \u00fanoru lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku provedl m\u016fj kolega Coll McCail \u2013 bystr\u00fd student z Glasgow \u2013 jednoduch\u00fd matematick\u00fd v\u00fdpo\u010det, kter\u00fd korpor\u00e1tn\u00ed m\u00e9dia odm\u00edtaj\u00ed prov\u00e9st. V\u00fdsledek tohoto v\u00fdpo\u010dtu byl tehdy d\u011bsiv\u00fd; dnes je je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Zde jsou nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed data aktualizovan\u00e1 k v\u010derej\u0161ku (21. \u010dervence): Na z\u00e1klad\u011b statistick\u00e9ho modelu vyvinut\u00e9ho presti\u017en\u00edm l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00fdm \u010dasopisem The Lancet Izrael od zah\u00e1jen\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na toto \u00fazem\u00ed 8. \u0159\u00edjna 2023 zabil v Gaze p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 434 800 lid\u00ed. To p\u0159edstavuje 20,7 % celkov\u00e9 populace Gazy p\u0159ed konfliktem. V\u00edce ne\u017e polovina z nich jsou \u017eeny a d\u011bti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Pokud by se ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech vyskytla stejn\u00e1 m\u00edra vra\u017ed a nep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch \u00famrt\u00ed, k jak\u00fdm do\u0161lo v Gaze b\u011bhem 594 dn\u016f konfliktu, bylo by v pom\u011bru k po\u010dtu obyvatel zabito p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 70 milion\u016f Ameri\u010dan\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Opakuji: Je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee po\u010det ob\u011bt\u00ed v Gaze je \u00fam\u011brn\u00fd sou\u010dasn\u00e9 populaci p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 70 milion\u016f Ameri\u010dan\u016f. To je sou\u010det obyvatel 28 nejm\u00e9n\u011b os\u00eddlen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Nebo zhruba sou\u010det obyvatel st\u00e1t\u016f Kalifornie a New York.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V \u00fanoru leto\u0161n\u00edho roku jsem napsal, \u017ee od 7. \u0159\u00edjna 2023 bylo Izraelem p\u0159\u00edmo \u010di nep\u0159\u00edmo zabito p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 306 000 Palestinc\u016f \u2013 v druh\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b hladem, nemocemi a nedostate\u010dn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstupem k l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00e9 p\u00e9\u010di. (OSN ned\u00e1vno prohl\u00e1sila Gazu za \u201enejhladov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed m\u00edsto na Zemi\u201c a jej\u00ed misi poskytovat pomoc Gaze za jednu z \u201enejv\u00edce omezovan\u00fdch\u201c v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 historii.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">M\u016fj kolega Coll extrapoloval model na \u00fatr\u017eek pap\u00edru. Data, kter\u00e1 pou\u017eil, jsou voln\u011b dostupn\u00e1 a ve\u0159ejn\u011b dostupn\u00e1. Je zjevn\u00fdm poru\u0161en\u00edm novin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 povinnosti, \u017ee se New York Times a dal\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia neobt\u011b\u017eovala takov\u00e9 odhady sestavit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Selh\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto instituc\u00ed umo\u017e\u0148uje Izraeli do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 chr\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00fd lid p\u0159ed t\u00edm, aby vid\u011bl pln\u00fd rozsah brutality Netanjahuova re\u017eimu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span dir=\"auto\">To vede k hrub\u00e9mu odhadu 434 800 \u00famrt\u00ed v Gaze:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Zaprv\u00e9, presti\u017en\u00ed britsk\u00fd l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00fd \u010dasopis The Lancet v recenzovan\u00e9 anal\u00fdze konzervativn\u011b odhadl, \u017ee do 19. \u010dervna 2024 zem\u0159e v Gaze p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 186 000 lid\u00ed v d\u016fsledku \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch\u201c a \u201enep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch\u201c \u00famrt\u00ed od 8. \u0159\u00edjna 2023. \u010cl\u00e1nek a vysv\u011btlen\u00ed pou\u017eit\u00e9ho statistick\u00e9ho modelu naleznete zde. Pro up\u0159esn\u011bn\u00ed, \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u00e1\u201c \u00famrt\u00ed v tomto modelu zp\u016fsobuje izraelsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da; \u201enep\u0159\u00edm\u00e1\u201c \u00famrt\u00ed jsou zp\u016fsobena nedostate\u010dn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstupem k potravin\u00e1m, vod\u011b a l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00e9 p\u00e9\u010di (kterou Izrael Gaze do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry up\u00edr\u00e1), jako\u017e i nemocemi.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">\u010casopis The Lancet zjistil, \u017ee od za\u010d\u00e1tku izraelsk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na Gazu zem\u0159elo ka\u017ed\u00fd den v pr\u016fm\u011bru 732 lid\u00ed z \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch\u201c a \u201enep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch\u201c p\u0159\u00ed\u010din.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Mezi 8. \u0159\u00edjnem 2023 a 18. lednem 2025 bylo v oblasti 469 dn\u00ed do\u010dasn\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a relativn\u00edho klidu. Mezi zhroucen\u00edm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed 18. b\u0159ezna a v\u010derej\u0161kem, 21. \u010dervencem 2025, to bylo 125 dn\u00ed. Celkem to znamen\u00e1 594 dn\u00ed, b\u011bhem kter\u00fdch byli zabiti lid\u00e9.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span dir=\"auto\">Na z\u00e1klad\u011b \u00fadaj\u016f z den\u00edku The Lancet by skute\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det ob\u011bt\u00ed v Gaze, za p\u0159edpokladu 732 \u00famrt\u00ed denn\u011b b\u011bhem 594 dn\u016f konfliktu, nyn\u00ed p\u0159ekro\u010dil 434 800. V\u00fdpo\u010det \u2013 kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee z n\u011bkolika d\u016fvod\u016f skute\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det ob\u011bt\u00ed podhodnocovat \u2013 je uveden n\u00ed\u017ee:<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!uwjU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda4ce38e-f165-41a5-a8bb-10c05732c7dc_2360x3796.heic\" alt=\"\" width=\"620\" height=\"998\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>M\u016fj kolega Coll McCail, student ze Skotska, provedl tento v\u00fdpo\u010det na ubrousku. Korpor\u00e1tn\u00ed m\u00e9dia ho ignoruj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Podle Sv\u011btov\u00e9 zdravotnick\u00e9 organizace \u017eila Gaza v \u0159\u00edjnu 2023 (p\u0159ed konfliktem) 2,1 milionu obyvatel. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee podle na\u0161ich v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f Izrael za posledn\u00edch 20 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f zabil p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 20,7 % obyvatel tohoto \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">A te\u010f p\u00e1r v\u00fdhrad.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b se jedn\u00e1 o hrub\u00fd odhad. Slou\u017e\u00ed v\u0161ak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9mu \u00fa\u010delu: Vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 chytr\u00fd statistick\u00fd model k v\u00fdpo\u010dtu p\u0159ibli\u017en\u00e9ho rozsahu masakru v Gaze zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed statistiky ministerstva zdravotnictv\u00ed dan\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed nezachycuj\u00ed. V\u00fdsledn\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo je sice ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed, ale m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt tak\u00e9 podhodnocen\u00e9, proto\u017ee v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 nouzov\u00e1 situace na tomto \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 vedla k \u201enep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm\u201c \u00famrt\u00edm, se od p\u016fvodn\u00ed anal\u00fdzy v \u010dasopise The Lancet zna\u010dn\u011b zhor\u0161ila.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Na druhou stranu by se mohlo jednat o nadhodnocen\u00ed z r\u016fzn\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f. Realita je takov\u00e1, \u017ee syst\u00e9m hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed \u00famrt\u00ed v Gaze se zhroutil kv\u016fli ni\u010den\u00ed nemocnic, zdravotnick\u00e9 infrastruktury a m\u00e1rnic Izraelem. Neexistuj\u00ed ji\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 p\u0159esn\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla. Ale to nen\u00ed v\u0161e. Jist\u011b m\u016f\u017eeme \u010dinit informovan\u00e9 odhady. Toto je pokus zalo\u017een\u00fd na extrapolaci z modelu, kter\u00fd podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru funguje dob\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">V\u011bt\u0161\u00edm probl\u00e9mem je, \u017ee mus\u00edme zv\u00e1\u017eit, co rozsah \u00famrt\u00ed znamen\u00e1 z hlediska lidsk\u00e9 trag\u00e9die a do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry Netanjahu a jeho extremistick\u00e1 vl\u00e1da dosud z\u016fstali nepotrest\u00e1ni. Jedn\u00e1 se o velmi d\u016fle\u017eitou ot\u00e1zku odpov\u011bdnosti a bude tak\u00e9 hr\u00e1t hlavn\u00ed roli v procesu o genocid\u011b proti Izraeli u Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho soudn\u00edho dvora. Podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru je tak\u00e9 jednodu\u0161e nepopirateln\u00e9, \u017ee rozsah izraelsk\u00fdch vra\u017ed v Gaze je nyn\u00ed srovnateln\u00fd s t\u00edm, co Pol Pot p\u00e1chal v Kambod\u017ei v letech 1975 a\u017e 1979. (Pol Pot byl tak\u00e9 d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u011b obvin\u011bn z genocidy. Zem\u0159el d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e mohl b\u00fdt postaven p\u0159ed soud.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span dir=\"auto\">Odm\u00edtnut\u00ed mainstreamov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed v USA i jinde informovat o tom, jak Izrael prom\u011bnil cel\u00e9 p\u00e1smo Gazy v pole hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed, je mor\u00e1ln\u00edm a institucion\u00e1ln\u00edm selh\u00e1n\u00edm. Umo\u017e\u0148uje tak\u00e9 str\u016fjc\u016fm a pachatel\u016fm tohoto n\u00e1sil\u00ed v pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9m m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b Netanjahua a jeho ministr\u016f \u2013 v kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9m horizontu vyhnout se pln\u00e9 odpov\u011bdnosti. Mus\u00edme zajistit, aby tato \u00fanikov\u00e1 cesta byla zablokov\u00e1na.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/substackcdn.com\/image\/fetch\/$s_!ffFT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep\/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F52cf4da1-024b-4713-8484-0342f78e403a_1249x1574.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"655\" height=\"826\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em><span dir=\"auto\">Hrdinstv\u00ed a s\u00edla palestinsk\u00e9ho lidu jsou zachyceny na tomto sn\u00edmku mlad\u00e9ho chlapce zran\u011bn\u00e9ho p\u0159i izraelsk\u00e9m bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed v Gaze.<\/span><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/stevendonziger.substack.com\/p\/shock-israel-has-killed-207-of-gazas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span dir=\"auto\">Zdroj<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hlavn\u00ed m\u00e9dia ignoruj\u00ed rozsah hr\u016fzy. To odpov\u00edd\u00e1 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 70 milion\u016fm lid\u00ed ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84499,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[348,178,107,871],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84498"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84498"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84498\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":84500,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84498\/revisions\/84500"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84499"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84498"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84498"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84498"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}