{"id":84415,"date":"2025-07-27T06:03:26","date_gmt":"2025-07-27T04:03:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84415"},"modified":"2025-07-27T06:48:27","modified_gmt":"2025-07-27T04:48:27","slug":"michael-svatos-elvira-nabiullina-vitezka-valky-na-ukrajine-proc-se-ji-boji-i-trump-analyza-iii-dil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/27\/michael-svatos-elvira-nabiullina-vitezka-valky-na-ukrajine-proc-se-ji-boji-i-trump-analyza-iii-dil\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Elv\u00edra Nabiullina \u2013 v\u00edt\u011bzka v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b. Pro\u010d se j\u00ed boj\u00ed i Trump. Anal\u00fdza III. d\u00edl."},"content":{"rendered":"
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(1) Elv\u00edra Nabiullina \u2013 Kapitola prvn\u00ed \u2013 Zrod nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dnice rusk\u00fdch d\u011bjin.<\/h3>\n

Psal se 7. duben 2022.\u00a0 V\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b se teprve pomalu rozeb\u00edhala do sv\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 d\u011bsiv\u00e9 podoby. A Washington, aby Rusko p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eil tehdy pl\u00e1novan\u00e9mu rychl\u00e9mu kolapsu, naivn\u011b zablokoval jednu v\u00fdznamnou \u201cruskou st\u00e1tn\u00ed dolarovou platbu\u201d ur\u010denou k \u00fahrad\u011b splatn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti rusk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho dluhu.<\/p>\n

C\u00edl operace americk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed administrativy byl z\u0159ejm\u00fd, vmanipulovat Rusko do um\u011ble vyvolan\u00e9ho stavu st\u00e1tn\u00edho \u00fapadku, proto\u017ee v term\u00ednu nesplatilo sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky, a potom ho \u00fapln\u011b od\u0159\u00edznout od mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho platebn\u00edho styku. Eurokrat\u00e9 a kyjev\u0161t\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edci u\u017e nad\u0161en\u011b oslavovali velk\u00e9 bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se rychl\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, a parcelaci Ruska, proto\u017ee v\u0161ichni o\u010dek\u00e1vali, \u017ee Rusko se po od\u0159\u00edznut\u00ed od v\u0161ech mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch finan\u010dn\u00edch tok\u016f rychle, jako dome\u010dek z karet, zhrout\u00ed, proto\u017ee nebude moci m\u011bnit sv\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed bohatstv\u00ed za pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 a technologick\u00e9 v\u00fdrobky, kter\u00e9 k chodu sv\u00e9 ekonomiky, i k v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdm pot\u0159eb\u00e1m nezbytn\u011b nutn\u011b pot\u0159ebuje.<\/p>\n

Le\u010d, z nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch m\u00edst Pekingu tehdy okam\u017eit\u011b, hned po americk\u00e9 naivn\u00ed akci, hromov\u011b zah\u0159m\u011blo<\/a>: \u201cT\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161echny rozvojov\u00e9 zem\u011b v Asii, Africe a Latinsk\u00e9 Americe se nepostavily na \u017e\u00e1dnou stranu, pokud jde o sankce proti Rusku. Tyto zem\u011b po v\u010derej\u0161ku pochopily, jak\u00e1 rizika p\u0159edstavuje obchodovat v dolarech. Mnoho zem\u00ed<\/em>\u00a0jako \u010c\u00edna, Rusko, Indie a Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie ji\u017e za\u010dalo p\u0159ipravovat nov\u00e9 zp\u016fsoby, jak obchodovat bez dolaru. Dokonce i spojenci USA se u\u017e v minulosti sna\u017eili naj\u00edt zp\u016fsoby, jak obej\u00edt americk\u00e9 sankce na platby v dolarech. Nap\u0159\u00edklad EU u\u017e v roce 2019 vymyslela a z\u0159\u00eddila zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed mechanismus pro obchody s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, kter\u00fd se vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 sankc\u00edm USA\u00a0 \u2013 nyn\u00ed se ov\u0161em po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b rozjela snaha zbavit se dolarov\u00e9ho rizika.\u201d.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

A Elv\u00edra Nabiullina, ne\u017e bys \u0159ekl \u0160vec, uhradila splatnou platbu rusk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho dluhu, m\u00edsto v sankcionovan\u00fdch dolarech, v rublech, a bylo vymalov\u00e1no, proto\u017ee Washington vyd\u011b\u0161en\u00fd potenci\u00e1ln\u00edm rychl\u00fdm kolapsem sv\u00e9 m\u011bny, zmlknul, a od t\u00e9 doby za\u010dal r\u00e1zn\u011b sabotovat ve\u0161ker\u00e9 snahy Eurokrat\u016f, nejen zabavit Rus\u016fm zmra\u017een\u00fdch 300 miliard jejich st\u00e1tn\u00edch USD, ale i ve\u0161ker\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed od\u0159\u00edznout je od mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho platebn\u00edho styku jinak ne\u017e absolutn\u011b ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u011b. A tento stav d\u011brav\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho platebn\u00edho ement\u00e1lsk\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho s\u00fdru, kter\u00fd Bruselu umo\u017e\u0148uje se medi\u00e1ln\u011b zviditel\u0148ovat, a chrlit na Rusy dal\u0161\u00ed a dal\u0161\u00ed sankce, slou\u017e\u00edc\u00ed vlastn\u011b v\u00fdhradn\u011b pouze k uspokojov\u00e1n\u00ed propagandistick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb anti-putinovsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed, a kter\u00fd Moskv\u011b i jej\u00edm spojenc\u016fm sou\u010dasn\u011b zachov\u00e1v\u00e1 schopnost americk\u00fdmi d\u011brami v bruselsk\u00e9m ement\u00e1lu pos\u00edlat biliony dolar\u016f, EUR, renmimbi, rupi\u00ed i rubl\u016f v\u0161emi pot\u0159ebn\u00fdmi sm\u011bry, trv\u00e1 dodnes. A Rusko, jak si d\u00e1le vysv\u011btl\u00edme, d\u00edky n\u011bmu vyhraje v\u00e1lku, a poko\u0159\u00ed i dolar. A to v\u0161e z\u00e1sluhou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dnice v\u0161ech dob Elv\u00edry Nabiulliny.<\/p>\n

(2) Elv\u00edra Nabiullina \u2013 Kapitola druh\u00e1 \u2013 V\u00e1lka dvou Tatar\u016f o Ukrajinu.<\/h3>\n

\u010cesk\u00fd mainstream zcela podle doktr\u00edny Eurokrat\u016f (bruselsk\u00fd ement\u00e1lsk\u00fd s\u00fdr pln\u00fd americk\u00fdch d\u011br pro uspokojov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00edch pot\u0159eb, av\u0161ak p\u0159ebit\u00fd mocn\u00fdm evropsk\u00fdm medi\u00e1ln\u00edm v\u0159\u00edskotem) neust\u00e1le pliv\u00e1 \u010cech\u016fm jedy o rusk\u00e9 ekonomice.\u00a0Naposledy v\u010dera plival proti Nabiullinov\u00e9<\/a>, \u017ee vysok\u00fdmi \u00farokov\u00fdmi sazbami,\u00a0nyn\u00ed 18%<\/a>, p\u0159ed m\u011bs\u00edcem 20%, a p\u0159ed t\u00edm 21%, dus\u00ed ruskou ekonomiku i pr\u016fmysl, a t\u0159eba v\u00fdrobce n\u00e1kladn\u00edch automobil\u016f Kamaz proto mus\u00ed omezit v\u00fdrobu z 5 na 4 dny. A kr\u00e1tce p\u0159edt\u00edm,\u00a0\u017ee v Rusku prudce zdra\u017euj\u00ed brambory, a lid\u00e9 si je u\u017e nemohou dovolit kupovat<\/a>. Z obecn\u00e9ho hlediska dotovan\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 ekonomiky jsou vysok\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby nevyhnuteln\u00e9. Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 na Ukrajin\u011b \u010din\u00ed 15.5%. Zat\u00edmco rusk\u00fd trend jde v\u0161ak sm\u011brem dol\u016f, z 21 na 18%,\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00fd jde sm\u011brem opa\u010dn\u00fdm ze 13 na 15.5%<\/a>. Jestli v Rusku kv\u016fli lo\u0148sk\u00e9 ne\u00farod\u011b zdra\u017eili brambory,\u00a0na Ukrajin\u011b pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f kv\u016fli lo\u0148sk\u00e9 a leto\u0161n\u00ed ne\u00farod\u011b zdra\u017euje chleba a pe\u010divo<\/a>,<\/a>\u00a0a\u017e o 25%.\u00a0\u00a0Pod\u00edv\u00e1me-li se v\u0161ak na sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav Ukrajiny bl\u00ed\u017ee, proto\u010d\u00ed se n\u00e1m panenky, jak je na tom na rozd\u00edl od Ruska \u0161patn\u011b.<\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd deficit st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu \u010din\u00ed 20% ro\u010dn\u011b, a\u010dkoli Ukrajina dost\u00e1v\u00e1 zbran\u011b a munici prakticky zcela zadarmo. I to v\u0161ak nesta\u010d\u00ed.\u00a0V p\u00e1tek 25. \u010dervence Zelenskyj nal\u00e9hav\u011b apeloval na von der Leyen, Rutte, Macrona, a Starmera, aby zem\u011b EU za\u010daly okam\u017eit\u011b vypl\u00e1cet i platy ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f<\/a>. D\u016fvod tohoto apelu je prost\u00fd. Zelenskyj v p\u00e1tek Eurokrat\u016fm p\u0159iznal, \u017ee mobilizace na Ukrajin\u011b se v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch dramaticky zhroutila, a i n\u00e1siln\u00fd odlov Ukrajinc\u016f do arm\u00e1dy u\u017e p\u0159estal p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161et pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky. A tak jedinou \u0161anc\u00ed, jak rychle obnovit dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy \u010derstvou krv\u00ed, je zv\u00fd\u0161it finan\u010dn\u00ed bonusy a p\u0159\u00edplatky ukrajinsk\u00fdm voj\u00e1k\u016fm.\u00a0A ti se potom podle Zelensk\u00e9ho pr\u00fd nechaj\u00ed snadn\u011bji zverbovat, a bude je mo\u017en\u00e9 v\u010das ob\u011btovat, aby zastavili brzk\u00fd rychl\u00fd postup Rus\u016f do nitra Ukrajiny, jinak nevyhnuteln\u00fd, vzhledem k bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00edmu se po\u010detn\u00edmu kolapsu ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Naopak rusk\u00e1 ekonomika nyn\u00ed \u0161lape s ohledem na v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky jako dob\u0159e se\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00e9 hodinky. Nabiullina ozn\u00e1mila 25. \u010dervence, kdy\u017e Zelenskyj \u017eebral v Bruselu o okam\u017eit\u00e9 p\u0159evzet\u00ed vypl\u00e1cen\u00ed \u017eold\u016f pro voj\u00e1ky sv\u00e9 brann\u00e9 moci, \u017ee inflaci se u\u017e da\u0159\u00ed v Rusku krotit, a\u00a0\u017ee v roce 2026 tak podle v\u0161eho bude moci rusk\u00e1 z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e1 sazba b\u00fdt sn\u00ed\u017eena na 12%<\/a>,\u00a0a \u017ee nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hrozbu pro ruskou ekonomiku nyn\u00ed u\u017e p\u0159edstavuje pouze nedostatek pracovn\u00edch sil. Proto\u017ee v Rusku je nyn\u00ed m\u00edra nezam\u011bstnanosti\u00a0rekordn\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e1 2.2%<\/a>, (v \u010cR d\u00edky deform\u00e1torovi Fialovi rekordn\u011b vysok\u00e1 4.5%,\u00a0vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v nejhor\u0161\u00edm obdob\u00ed pandemie COVID<\/a>, a\u00a0lid\u00e9 maj\u00ed rekordn\u00ed strach ze ztr\u00e1ty zam\u011bstn\u00e1n\u00ed<\/a>), na\u0159\u00eddila Elv\u00edra letos do rusk\u00e9 ekonomiky napumpovat dal\u0161\u00edch 235 000 cizinc\u016f z Afriky a Jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie. Tito pracovn\u00edci jsou do Ruska nav\u00e1\u017eeni syst\u00e9mem dovozn\u00edch kv\u00f3t pro jednotliv\u00e9 zem\u011b. T\u0159eba prezident Indie M\u00f3d\u00ed byl ur\u010dit\u011b \u0161\u0165asten, proto\u017ee se doma pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s vysokou m\u00edrou nezam\u011bstnanosti ml\u00e1de\u017ee, a\u00a0Elv\u00edra mu nad\u011blila kv\u00f3tu na ro\u010dn\u00ed export 72 000 pracovit\u00fdch Ind\u016f do Ruska<\/a>. Rusk\u00e1 imigra\u010dn\u00ed politika se po s\u00e9rii krimin\u00e1ln\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f s muslimsk\u00fdmi st\u0159edoasijsk\u00fdmi migranty, kter\u00e9 pobu\u0159ovaly ruskou spole\u010dnost,\u00a0 obr\u00e1tila k nov\u00e9mu trendu, a to dosavadn\u00ed tolerovanou imigraci st\u0159edoasijsk\u00fdch etnik administrativn\u011b a organiza\u010dn\u011b omezovat, a naopak import Afri\u010dan\u016f a Ind\u016f k pr\u00e1ci v Rusku organizovat na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed mezist\u00e1tn\u00ed \u00farovni. (Kompletn\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Nabiulliny ze 25. \u010dervence 2025 v ru\u0161tin\u011b zde<\/a>.)<\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka o Ukrajinu je pro\u0161pikovan\u00e1 r\u016fzn\u00fdmi pikantnostmi,\u00a0t\u0159eba gener\u00e1l Syrskyj hlavn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd komandant nyn\u00ed pr\u00fd pos\u00edl\u00e1 miliony rubl\u016f do Ruska<\/a>, aby se jeho otec rusk\u00fd d\u016fstojn\u00edk v d\u016fchodu mohl l\u00e9\u010dit v Moskv\u011b na speci\u00e1ln\u00ed klinice, a s ur\u010ditou m\u00edrou nads\u00e1zky je tak mo\u017en\u00e9 ji nazvat i v\u00e1lkou dvou Tatar\u016f o Ukrajinu.\u00a0Elv\u00edra Nabiullina je po rodi\u010d\u00edch \u010distokrevn\u00e1 Tatarka<\/a>, stejn\u011b jako\u00a0Rustem Umerov<\/a>,\u00a0do ned\u00e1vna ukrajinsk\u00fd ministr obrany, nyn\u00ed pov\u00fd\u0161eny na \u0160\u00e9fa rady bezpe\u010dnosti Ukrajiny.\u00a0 A jak to vypad\u00e1 o v\u00fdsledku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku rozhodne produkce dron\u016f v tatarsk\u00e9 rozvojov\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b Alabuga.\u00a0Podle odhad\u016f z\u00e1padn\u00edch analytik\u016f budou rusk\u00e9 zabij\u00e1ck\u00e9 drony Geranium z Alabugy v po\u010dtech 2000 za noc u\u017e na leto\u0161n\u00ed podzim drtit Ukrajinu<\/a>. A Elv\u00edra nejen nyn\u00ed do tov\u00e1rny na drony v Tatarsk\u00e9 republice Rusk\u00e9 federace v z\u00f3n\u011b Alabuga organizovan\u011b pumpuje\u00a0africk\u00e9 d\u011blnice z Burkiny Faso a Burundi<\/a>, ale hlavn\u011b, jako\u00a0rusk\u00e1 ministryn\u011b pro strategick\u00fd rozvoj v letech 2003 a\u017e 2013<\/a>\u00a0Alabugu vlastn\u011b v jej\u00ed dne\u0161n\u00ed podob\u011b stvo\u0159ila, a dokonce ji\u00a0i 20. listopadu 2007 slavnostn\u011b p\u0159i velk\u00e9m ceremoni\u00e1lu otev\u0159ela<\/a>.<\/p>\n

(3) Elv\u00edra Nabiullina \u2013 Kapitola t\u0159et\u00ed \u2013 Pro\u010d se j\u00ed i Trump boj\u00ed.<\/h3>\n

25. \u010dervence Nabiullina\u00a0potvrdila<\/a>\u00a0nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1vanou prodejn\u00ed cenu rusk\u00e9 ropy pro zbytek leto\u0161n\u00edho roku na 55 dolar\u016f za barel.\u00a0U\u010dinila tak 7 dn\u00ed po vystoupen\u00ed zavil\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00edtelkyn\u011b Ruska bruselsk\u00e9 komisa\u0159ky Kaji Kallas<\/a>, kter\u00e9 hrd\u011b vyhl\u00e1sila, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd barel rusk\u00e9 ropy se u\u017e neprod\u00e1 na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b za v\u00edce ne\u017e 47.6 dolaru, jinak si to Brusel se v\u0161emi naru\u0161iteli jeho na\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed vy\u0159\u00edd\u00ed. A\u00a021. \u010dervence p\u0159itom Trump vyhl\u00e1sil<\/a>, \u017ee kter\u00e1 zem\u011b\u00a0 bude od Ruska kupovat ropu, a\u017e uplyne 3. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2025, na tu uval\u00ed 100% cla. Pro\u010d si je tedy Nabiullina tak jist\u00e1?<\/p>\n

Za prv\u00e9:\u00a0Z\u00e1padn\u00ed analytici se shoduj\u00ed, \u017ee Trump \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 100% cla proti zem\u00edm dov\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00edm ruskou ropu nikdy nezavede<\/a>.\u00a0A d\u016fvod\u016f p\u0159inesly hned n\u011bkolik. Trump stejn\u00fdmi cly vyhro\u017eoval u\u017e Venezuele, ale nikdy je nezavedl. Nav\u00edc by riskoval sta\u017een\u00ed 4.5 milionu barel\u016f rusk\u00e9 ropy z trhu denn\u011b, a tento v\u00fdpadek by nikdo nedok\u00e1zal nahradit, a dramatick\u00fd r\u016fst cen ropy by zp\u016fsobil v USA prudkou inflaci a rozzu\u0159il celou americkou ve\u0159ejnost.\u00a0A nav\u00edc by se stejn\u011b uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee zem\u011b p\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 Rusku budou sankce na n\u00e1kup rusk\u00e9 ropy ignorovat, proto\u017ee v\u0161ichni v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee by zaveden\u00edm 100% cel Trump zastavil ve\u0161ker\u00fd tok sou\u010d\u00e1stek, surovin a polotovar\u016f do USA, a zastavil celou tamn\u00ed ekonomiku. A t\u00edm by se za\u010dal prudce hroutit dolar.<\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9: 22. \u010dervence publikoval hlavn\u00ed ekonom MMF\u00a0Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas<\/a>\u00a0rozs\u00e1hlou zpr\u00e1vu, a v n\u00ed varoval p\u0159ed rostouc\u00edmi riziky p\u00e1du dolaru, a ztr\u00e1ty jeho pozice hlavn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny. A\u010dkoli p\u00e1d dolaru nen\u00ed podle hlavn\u00edho ekonoma MMF akutn\u00ed, pokud nedojde k z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9mu naru\u0161en\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu, (cla a sankce?<\/a>), je t\u0159eba b\u00fdt pr\u00fd na pozoru, zejm\u00e9na p\u0159ed vlivem nov\u00fdch geopolitick\u00fdch rizik a t\u0159enic, a p\u0159ed vlivem rostouc\u00edho deficitu americk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu. (Zpr\u00e1vu rozeberu podrobn\u011b n\u011bkdy p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b.\u00a0Zpr\u00e1vu v\u010detn\u011b v\u0161ech podkapitol najdou nedo\u010dkavci<\/a>\u00a0zde<\/a>.)<\/p>\n

Za t\u0159et\u00ed:\u00a0Podle ukrajinsk\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy ze 22. \u010dervence<\/a>\u00a0nelze o\u010dek\u00e1vat ani zabaven\u00ed zmra\u017een\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch aktiv v USA (6 miliard USD), a ani pokrok v zabaven\u00ed rusk\u00fdch st\u00e1tn\u00edch aktiv zmra\u017een\u00fdch v EU (p\u0159es 200 miliard USD) nen\u00ed hmatateln\u00fd, a jde zat\u00edm pouze o politick\u00e9 proklamace, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed daleko od \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. A\u010dkoli to ukrajinsk\u00e1 anal\u00fdza nezmi\u0148uje, je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee ob\u011b strany, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed rusk\u00e1 aktiva v moci, se boj\u00ed je zabavit, v d\u016fsledku geopolitick\u00fdch rizik pro USD a EURO, kter\u00e9 by podle n\u00e1znak\u016f zpr\u00e1vy hlavn\u00edho ekonoma MMF Pierra-Oliviera Gourinchas mohlo toto zabaven\u00ed vyvolat. Nav\u00edc rusk\u00e1 strana d\u016fsledn\u011b p\u0159i Istanbulsk\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch trv\u00e1 na kone\u010dn\u00e9 formulaci zavazuj\u00edc\u00ed ka\u017edou stranu budouc\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouvy se z\u0159eknout v\u016f\u010di protistran\u011b ve\u0161ker\u00fdch n\u00e1hrad za \u0161kody v\u00e1lkou zp\u016fsoben\u00e9. A zabavov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho majetku, nebo trestaj\u00edc\u00ed sankce na rusk\u00fd obchod by tak evidentn\u011b vedly k okam\u017eit\u00e9mu krachu rozhovor\u016f. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va v\u00fdslovn\u011b zmi\u0148uje, \u017ee nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kroky US prezidenta Trumpa zklamaly, proto\u017ee neobsahuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 kroky, kter\u00e9 by k zabaven\u00ed rusk\u00fdch aktiv, nebo k t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9mu sankcionov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska vedly.<\/p>\n

Za \u010dtvrt\u00e9:\u00a0Konstantin Kosa\u010dev<\/a>, \u0161\u00e9f zahrani\u010dn\u00edho v\u00fdboru Rusk\u00e9 federace, 24. \u010dervence\u00a0definoval syst\u00e9m plateb SWIFT, a syst\u00e9m poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dopravy Lloyds, za p\u0159edn\u00ed c\u00edle uskupen\u00ed zem\u00ed BRICS ur\u010den\u00e9 k nahrazen\u00ed vlastn\u00edmi multipol\u00e1rn\u00edmi syst\u00e9my<\/a>, aby tak Z\u00e1pad p\u0159i\u0161el o mo\u017enost, tyto organizace zneu\u017e\u00edvat proti zem\u00edm BRICS k omezov\u00e1n\u00ed a zabra\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed jejich obchod\u016f, a k jejich platebn\u00edmu vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed. Oba nov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my maj\u00ed b\u00fdt ov\u0161em multipol\u00e1rn\u011b otev\u0159en\u00e9 i z\u00e1padn\u00edm organizac\u00edm. Kosa\u010dev tak\u00e9 za\u00fato\u010dil na dominantn\u00ed postaven\u00ed dolaru ve sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomice, kdy\u017e dolar ozna\u010dil za dlouhodob\u011b neudr\u017eiteln\u00fd p\u0159i zachov\u00e1n\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00fdch rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdch deficit\u016f USA, (stejn\u00fd n\u00e1zor jako\u00a0Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, hlavn\u00ed ekonom MMF). Podle Kosa\u010deva roste US dluh denn\u011b o 4 miliardy USD.<\/p>\n

Za p\u00e1t\u00e9: Podle rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy CIA se u\u017e Rusku a \u010c\u00edn\u011b letos poda\u0159ilo vytvo\u0159it a vyzkou\u0161et p\u0159i obchodech za aktivn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dasti \u0159ady zem\u00ed osciluj\u00edc\u00edch kolem organizace BRICS nov\u00fd platebn\u00ed syst\u00e9m obch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed syst\u00e9m SWIFT. (Rozeberu podrobn\u011b ve 4. z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9m d\u00edlu anal\u00fdzy o Elv\u00ed\u0159e Nabiullin\u011b.) Rusk\u00fd ministr financ\u00ed Anton Siluanov\u00a0 v Braz\u00edlii na konferenci BRICS\u00a0 7. \u010dervence potvrdil<\/a>, \u017ee Rusko a \u010c\u00edna mezi sebou u\u017e prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed obchody za 245 miliard USD ro\u010dn\u011b, ani\u017e by p\u0159i nich pou\u017e\u00edvali americkou m\u011bnu, a ani\u017e by Z\u00e1pad mohl tyto obchody naru\u0161ovat, jako naru\u0161uje obchody vyrovn\u00e1van\u00e9 ve sv\u00fdch m\u011bn\u00e1ch.\u00a0Brazilsk\u00fd prezident Lula p\u0159i t\u00e9 sam\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti vyslal Trumpovi vzkaz<\/a>, \u017ee zavede-li cla ve v\u00fd\u0161i 100%, pak uvid\u00ed tvrdou reakci. A\u010dkoli nen\u00ed zat\u00edm v p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9m \u00famyslu dedolarizovat sv\u011btov\u00fd obchod, a toho se Trump boj\u00ed jako \u010dert k\u0159\u00ed\u017ee, je syst\u00e9m k proveden\u00ed dedolarizace u\u017e p\u0159ipraven a vyzkou\u0161en.<\/p>\n

(Z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00fd d\u00edl anal\u00fdzy vyjde z\u00edtra)<\/em><\/p>\n

23. \u010dervence v 19. hodin jsem byl hostem u Zde\u0148ka Chytry na Svobodn\u00e9m r\u00e1diu, z\u00e1znam rozhovoru pouze s moj\u00ed fotografi\u00ed\u00a0najdete zde<\/a>, a\u00a0klasick\u00fd videoz\u00e1znam najdete zde<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(1) Elv\u00edra Nabiullina \u2013 Kapitola prvn\u00ed \u2013 Zrod nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dnice rusk\u00fdch d\u011bjin. Psal se 7….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84416,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1161,4740,59,22,452,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84415"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84415"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84415\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84416"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84415"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84415"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84415"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}