{"id":84342,"date":"2025-07-26T04:40:11","date_gmt":"2025-07-26T02:40:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84342"},"modified":"2025-07-26T04:40:11","modified_gmt":"2025-07-26T02:40:11","slug":"neznalost-a-vojenska-fantazie-bleskovy-utok-navrzeny-generalem-donahueem-proti-kaliningradu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/26\/neznalost-a-vojenska-fantazie-bleskovy-utok-navrzeny-generalem-donahueem-proti-kaliningradu\/","title":{"rendered":"Neznalost a vojensk\u00e1 fantazie: Bleskov\u00fd \u00fatok navr\u017een\u00fd gener\u00e1lem Donahueem proti Kaliningradu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Chybn\u00fd odhad by mohl v\u00e9st ke skute\u010dn\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 katastrof\u011b<\/h2>\n
Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee vyhro\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdm supervelmoc\u00edm se stalo obl\u00edbenou z\u00e1bavou ve washingtonsk\u00fdch kulo\u00e1rech.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n
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Jen n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed pot\u00e9, co Lindsey Graham \u201evaroval<\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee USA by mohly Moskvu bombardovat stejn\u011b jako \u00cdr\u00e1n, gener\u00e1l Christopher Donahue, velitel USAREUR-AF (United States Army Europe and Africa), p\u0159edstavil nov\u00fd pl\u00e1n \u201eOdstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed linie na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm k\u0159\u00eddle<\/a>\u201c, kter\u00fd po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s bleskov\u00fdm \u00fatokem na ruskou enkl\u00e1vu Kaliningrad v sam\u00e9m srdci v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy.<\/p>\n

Podle\u00a0gener\u00e1la Donahuese<\/a>\u00a0tato oblast rozkl\u00e1d\u00e1 \u201ena p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 47 mil [asi 76 km] a je ze v\u0161ech stran obklopena NATO. Americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da a jej\u00ed spojenci jsou nyn\u00ed schopni ji zni\u010dit ze zem\u011b v dosud nev\u00eddan\u00e9m \u010dase a rychleji, ne\u017e jsme kdy byli schopni.\u201c<\/p>\n

\u201eU\u017e jsme to napl\u00e1novali a vyvinuli. Probl\u00e9m s\u00edly a moci, kter\u00fd n\u00e1m Rusko p\u0159edstavuje… vyvinuli jsme schopnost zajistit, \u017ee tento probl\u00e9m s\u00edly a moci m\u016f\u017eeme zastavit,\u201c prohl\u00e1sil Donahue.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd gener\u00e1l tak\u00e9 dodal, \u017ee pl\u00e1n po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 s vyu\u017eit\u00edm pokro\u010dil\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f ISR (intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance \u2013 zpravodajstv\u00ed, sledov\u00e1n\u00ed, pr\u016fzkum), jako je \u201eMaven Smart System<\/a>\u201c od Palantir, platforma um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence, kter\u00e1 rychle analyzuje velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed p\u0159\u00edchoz\u00edch dat, aby urychlila rozhodovac\u00ed proces vojensk\u00fdch velitel\u016f.<\/p>\n

Slavn\u00fd \u201eMaven\u201c\u00a0byl pou\u017eit<\/a>\u00a0proti rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b okupovan\u00e9 NATO na za\u010d\u00e1tku speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace (SMO). Navzdory po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edmu \u00fasp\u011bchu v\u0161ak Moskva rychle\u00a0na\u0161la zp\u016fsoby<\/a>, jak tomuto syst\u00e9mu \u010delit d\u00edky sv\u00fdm bezkonkuren\u010dn\u00edm schopnostem elektronick\u00e9ho boje (GE), \u010d\u00edm\u017e jej zne\u0161kodnila. Elektronick\u00e9 v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed Kremlu v\u0161ak bude nejmen\u0161\u00edm probl\u00e9mem NATO, pokud se n\u011bkdy pokus\u00ed za\u00fato\u010dit na Kaliningradskou oblast.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da toti\u017e vybavila svou strategickou exkl\u00e1vu zbran\u011bmi, kter\u00fdm NATO prost\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee konkurovat \u2013 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm termonukle\u00e1rn\u00edmi hlavicemi a prost\u0159edky k jejich rychl\u00e9mu doprav\u011b na jak\u00e9koli m\u00edsto v okruhu n\u011bkolika tis\u00edc kilometr\u016f.\u00a0A\u010dkoli neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 definitivn\u00ed a ve\u0159ejn\u011b dostupn\u00e9 \u00fadaje o skute\u010dn\u00e9m po\u010dtu jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed v Kaliningradsk\u00e9 oblasti, proto\u017ee Rusko tyto informace nikdy nezve\u0159ejnilo (a nen\u00ed povinno tak u\u010dinit), odhady se pohybuj\u00ed od n\u011bkolika des\u00edtek a\u017e po n\u011bkolik stovek.<\/b><\/p>\n

V \u010dervnu 2024 polsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed Radoslaw Sikorski\u00a0prohl\u00e1sil<\/a>, \u017ee\u00a0Moskva m\u00e1 v t\u00e9to exkl\u00e1v\u011b a\u017e 100 taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch hlavic<\/b>. Relevantn\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed zdroje, jako je Federace americk\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f (FAS), o t\u00e9to situaci informovaly ji\u017e v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech.<\/p>\n

V roce 2018 FAS poznamenala, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u201emodernizovala \u00fadajn\u00e9 skladovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed v Kaliningradu, zejm\u00e9na bunkr pobl\u00ed\u017e Kulikova\u201c. A\u010dkoli neposkytla \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 d\u016fkazy, nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm tajemstv\u00edm, \u017ee Kreml pravideln\u011b\u00a0modernizuje<\/a>\u00a0sv\u016fj termonukle\u00e1rn\u00ed arzen\u00e1l, kter\u00fd je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm a nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm na planet\u011b.<\/p>\n

Jak ji\u017e bylo uvedeno,\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed obavy Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a NATO by v\u0161ak m\u011bly vzbuzovat odpalovac\u00ed syst\u00e9my<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Nejv\u00fdkonn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed raketovou platformou rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy rozm\u00edst\u011bnou v Kaliningradsk\u00e9 oblasti je \u201eIskander\u201c. Tento n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t modifikovan\u00fd raketov\u00fd syst\u00e9m je nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a nejvyzkou\u0161en\u011bj\u0161\u00edm ve sv\u00e9 t\u0159\u00edd\u011b (maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed dosah 500 km, i kdy\u017e nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vylep\u0161en\u00e9 verze jej zdvojn\u00e1sobily).<\/p>\n

Do jeho dost\u0159elu se tak dost\u00e1v\u00e1 nejen Var\u0161ava, ale i Berl\u00edn, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsta dvou velk\u00fdch \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f NATO jsou na dost\u0159el. (viz mapa v\u00fd\u0161e)<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed protiraketov\u00e1 obrana n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t selhala, a to i proti mnohem slab\u0161\u00edm protivn\u00edk\u016fm ne\u017e Rusko. Hypersonick\u00e1 raketa 9M723 \u201eIskander-M\u201c je nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zbran\u00ed sv\u00e9 t\u0159\u00eddy, proto\u017ee je nejroz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a\u00a0m\u00e1 bezprecedentn\u00ed bilanci<\/a>\u00a0na boji\u0161ti (je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b proti protiraketov\u00e9 obran\u011b NATO). D\u00edky sv\u00fdm letov\u00fdm vlastnostem je prakticky nezachytiteln\u00e1, zejm\u00e9na kv\u016fli velmi omezen\u00e9mu zorn\u00e9mu poli radar\u016f. Jejich schopnost detekovat, sledovat a zas\u00e1hnout c\u00edle (zejm\u00e9na hypersonick\u00e9) je omezena, hlavn\u011b kv\u016fli \u201emrtv\u00fdm z\u00f3n\u00e1m\u201c, kter\u00e9 pokr\u00fdvaj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Nap\u0159\u00edklad radar s zorn\u00fdm polem 120\u00b0 m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt pot\u00ed\u017ee s detekc\u00ed c\u00edl\u016f p\u0159ibli\u017euj\u00edc\u00edch se pod \u00fahlem bl\u00edzk\u00fdm nebo v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm ne\u017e 60\u00b0 od jeho osy. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b 9M723 je to je\u0161t\u011b slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee tato hypersonick\u00e1 raketa je navr\u017eena tak, aby vyu\u017e\u00edvala tak\u00e9 mrtvou z\u00f3nu, kter\u00e1 vznik\u00e1 v d\u016fsledku \u00fahl\u016f elevace.<\/p>\n

Radary maj\u00ed zejm\u00e9na pot\u00ed\u017ee se sledov\u00e1n\u00edm\u00a0raket s vzestupnou trajektori\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0(a\u017e 80\u00b0 elevace) nebo sestupnou trajektori\u00ed (a\u017e 10\u00b0 elevace), co\u017e omezuje jejich \u00fahlov\u00e9 pokryt\u00ed nebo ho zcela ru\u0161\u00ed. Radary mus\u00ed pokr\u00fdvat velk\u00fd prostor, v\u010detn\u011b extr\u00e9mn\u00edch \u00fahl\u016f, tak\u017ee doba, po kterou se raketa nach\u00e1z\u00ed v paprsku radaru, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt nedostate\u010dn\u00e1 pro p\u0159esn\u00e9 sledov\u00e1n\u00ed, co\u017e vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed mrtvou z\u00f3nu. Jedin\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm je nasazen\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch radar\u016f.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee p\u0159ekr\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed zorn\u00fdch pol\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee sn\u00ed\u017eit nebo eliminovat slep\u00e1 m\u00edsta, je t\u0159eba poznamenat, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 o v\u00fdznamnou investici, kter\u00e1 pouze zvy\u0161uje ji\u017e tak exorbitantn\u00ed n\u00e1klady na protiraketov\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 syst\u00e9my.<\/p>\n

A p\u0159esto to nevylu\u010duje riziko pro tyto radary, proto\u017ee raketa 9M723 z \u201eIskander-M\u201c zasahuje v kone\u010dn\u00e9 f\u00e1zi t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 pod kolm\u00fdm \u00fahlem a kles\u00e1 a\u017e o 90\u00b0 (to se li\u0161\u00ed v z\u00e1vislosti na trajektorii, dosahu a kone\u010dn\u00e9m man\u00e9vru rakety). Krom\u011b toho se t\u00edm maximalizuje rychlost n\u00e1razu a penetrace a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se zna\u010dn\u011b zt\u011b\u017euje z\u00e1sah p\u0159il\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00edch raket interceptory. Logicky m\u00e1 \u00fahel sklonu v okam\u017eiku vstupu do atmosf\u00e9ry zna\u010dn\u00fd vliv na kone\u010dnou rychlost n\u00e1razu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u00fahly odpov\u00eddaj\u00ed vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm rychlostem.<\/p>\n

Pokud jde o rychlosti, 9M723 m\u016f\u017ee dos\u00e1hnout a\u017e 3 km\/s (t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 11 000 km\/h nebo a\u017e Mach 9, v z\u00e1vislosti na nadmo\u0159sk\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161ce), p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e si zachov\u00e1v\u00e1 man\u00e9vrovac\u00ed schopnosti.<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed (pro NATO) je, \u017ee syst\u00e9m \u201eIskander-M\u201c pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 klamn\u00e9 c\u00edle a ru\u0161en\u00ed, aby p\u0159ekonal \u00fahlov\u00e9 rozli\u0161en\u00ed radaru nebo ho dokonce donutil vypnout se. V\u0161echny tyto faktory dohromady\u00a0p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0pro NATO nep\u0159ekonateln\u00e9 v\u00fdzvy. V\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed \u0161tv\u00e1\u010di a v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed zlo\u010dinci z nejhanebn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho vyd\u011bra\u010dsk\u00e9ho kartelu na sv\u011bt\u011b v\u0161ak navzdory\u00a0varov\u00e1n\u00edm<\/a>\u00a0Ruska nad\u00e1le hledaj\u00ed pot\u00ed\u017ee. Je t\u0159eba poznamenat, \u017ee\u00a0Kreml disponuje mnohem v\u00fdkonn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi raketov\u00fdmi syst\u00e9my ne\u017e \u201eIskander\u201c<\/a>, i kdy\u017e nejsou tak pokro\u010dil\u00e9 jako arogance gener\u00e1l\u016f USA a NATO, kte\u0159\u00ed uprchli p\u0159ed T\u00e1lib\u00e1nem, ale mysl\u00ed si, \u017ee mohou \u201eporazit Rusko rychleji ne\u017e kdykoli p\u0159edt\u00edm\u201c.<\/p>\n

Drago Bosnic<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Ignorance et fantaisie militaire : L\u2019assaut \u00e9clair propos\u00e9 par le g\u00e9n\u00e9ral Donahue contre l\u2019enclave russe de Kaliningrad. Une erreur de calcul pourrait conduire \u00e0 une v\u00e9ritable catastrophe nucl\u00e9aire<\/a> vy\u0161el 22.7.2025 na mondialisation.ca. P\u0159eklad Zv\u011bdavec<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chybn\u00fd odhad by mohl v\u00e9st ke skute\u010dn\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 katastrof\u011b Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee vyhro\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdm supervelmoc\u00edm…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84343,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1422,1503,39,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84342"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84342"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84342\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":84344,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84342\/revisions\/84344"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84343"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84342"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84342"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84342"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}