{"id":84296,"date":"2025-07-26T00:15:10","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T22:15:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84296"},"modified":"2025-07-25T11:45:49","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T09:45:49","slug":"zapad-zdvojnasobuje-sve-usili-v-neuspesnych-valkach-ukrajina-a-blizky-vychod","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/26\/zapad-zdvojnasobuje-sve-usili-v-neuspesnych-valkach-ukrajina-a-blizky-vychod\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1pad zdvojn\u00e1sobuje sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed v ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch: Ukrajina a Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span>V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 diskusi s b\u00fdval\u00fdm analytikem CIA Larrym Johnsonem se Glenn Diesen zab\u00fdv\u00e1 sou\u010dasn\u00fdm geopolitick\u00fdm v\u00fdvojem, kter\u00fd z\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u00ed sv\u011bt na pokraj nov\u00e9 \u00e9ry konfrontace. Johnson analyzuje vojensk\u00e1 a politick\u00e1 selh\u00e1n\u00ed Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a jejich spojenc\u016f v konfliktech na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e1 nejen selh\u00e1vaj\u00ed na boji\u0161ti, ale maj\u00ed i dalekos\u00e1hl\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky. Diskuse odhaluje, jak chybn\u00e9 strategie, nedostatek zdroj\u016f a rostouc\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem, \u010c\u00ednou a \u00cdr\u00e1nem naru\u0161uj\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu sil.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Larry Johnson: Z\u00e1pad zdvojn\u00e1sobuje \u00fasil\u00ed v ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch na Ukrajin\u011b a Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/xboOK9hCypA?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod: Izraelsk\u00e9 nadm\u011brn\u00e9 roztahov\u00e1n\u00ed a region\u00e1ln\u00ed nestabilita<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span>\u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem diskuse je situace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, kde je Izrael zapleten do \u0159ady konflikt\u016f. Johnson zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee navzdory sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159evaze nen\u00ed Izrael schopen porazit Ham\u00e1s v Gaze. Navzdory nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00edm zbra\u0148ov\u00fdm syst\u00e9m\u016fm, v\u010detn\u011b tank\u016f, d\u011blost\u0159electva a st\u00edha\u010dek, \u010del\u00ed Izrael guerillov\u00e9mu hnut\u00ed, kter\u00e9 operuje s jednoduch\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi, jako jsou pu\u0161ky, pistole a improvizovan\u00e9 v\u00fdbu\u0161niny. Tato asymetrie zabr\u00e1nila Izraeli dos\u00e1hnout rozhodn\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed po 21 m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch v\u00e1lky. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 Izrael \u010del\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edm front\u00e1m, v\u010detn\u011b \u00fatok\u016f H\u00fat\u00ed\u016f z Jemenu, konflikt\u016f v S\u00fdrii a Libanonu a hrozby ze strany \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u0159\u00edli\u0161nou expanzi Izraele zhor\u0161uj\u00ed omezen\u00e9 zdroje. S pouh\u00fdmi asi osmi miliony obyvatel a rostouc\u00edm po\u010dtem emigrant\u016f nem\u00e1 zem\u011b ani neomezenou pracovn\u00ed s\u00edlu, ani nevy\u010derpateln\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed zdroje. Johnson zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee psychick\u00e1 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e izraelsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f se zvy\u0161uje, co\u017e se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed v rostouc\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e sebevra\u017ed. \u00datoky na civiln\u00ed c\u00edle v Gaze, zejm\u00e9na na \u017eeny a d\u011bti, t\u00ed\u017e\u00ed sv\u011bdom\u00ed mnoha voj\u00e1k\u016f a zhor\u0161uj\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed krizi.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>Rozpad S\u00fdrie a role vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch mocnost\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span>V S\u00fdrii Johnson vid\u00ed pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edho vzorce zas\u00e9v\u00e1n\u00ed chaosu bez jasn\u00e9 strategie pro p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky. Podpora Hajat Tahr\u00edr a\u0161-\u0160\u00e1m (HTS) a jmenov\u00e1n\u00ed Ab\u00fa Muhammada D\u017eul\u00e1n\u00edho nov\u00fdm syrsk\u00fdm v\u016fdcem byly Z\u00e1padem kritizov\u00e1ny jako pokus o dosazen\u00ed loutkov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e1 postr\u00e1d\u00e1 organickou podporu ve\u0159ejnosti. D\u017eul\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00fd poch\u00e1z\u00ed z teroristick\u00e9 skupiny potomk\u016f ISIS, postr\u00e1d\u00e1 legitimitu mezi r\u016fzn\u00fdmi syrsk\u00fdmi etnick\u00fdmi a n\u00e1bo\u017eensk\u00fdmi skupinami, jako jsou Dr\u00fazov\u00e9, Kurdov\u00e9, Alav\u00edt\u00e9 a k\u0159es\u0165an\u00e9. Johnson p\u0159irovn\u00e1v\u00e1 situaci k \u201ekouli rtuti\u201c, kter\u00e1 se s ka\u017ed\u00fdm \u00faderem rozpad\u00e1 na men\u0161\u00ed kousky, co\u017e vede k p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edmu chaosu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Podle Johnsona maj\u00ed USA a Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie na ud\u00e1losti v S\u00fdrii jen mal\u00fd vliv, krom\u011b prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed chaosu. Turecko pod prezidentem Erdoganem se tak\u00e9 dost\u00e1v\u00e1 na hranice sv\u00fdch mo\u017enost\u00ed, a to i p\u0159es sv\u00e9 ambice p\u0159evz\u00edt roli region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u016fdkyn\u011b. Nedostatek legitimity a vnit\u0159n\u00ed rozpory v S\u00fdrii \u010din\u00ed stabilizaci regionu v dohledn\u00e9 budoucnosti nepravd\u011bpodobnou.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a \u00cdr\u00e1n: Nov\u00e1 osa proti Z\u00e1padu<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span>\u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm t\u00e9matem diskuse je rostouc\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce mezi Ruskem, \u010c\u00ednou a \u00cdr\u00e1nem, vn\u00edman\u00e1 jako reakce na z\u00e1padn\u00ed agresi. Johnson popisuje, jak \u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00fd d\u0159\u00edve v\u00e1hal s p\u0159\u00edli\u0161n\u00fdm sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00edm s Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou, nyn\u00ed pro\u0161el \u201e\u00faplnou zm\u011bnou\u201c. Toto spojenectv\u00ed je pos\u00edleno p\u0159\u00edmou diplomatickou a vojenskou spoluprac\u00ed, jako je n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva Al\u00edho Larid\u017ean\u00edho v Moskv\u011b, aby Putinovi p\u0159edal poselstv\u00ed ajatoll\u00e1ha. Rusko a \u010c\u00edna aktivn\u011b podporuj\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n, mimo jin\u00e9 i pokud jde o jeho jadern\u00fd program, a poskytuj\u00ed mu vojenskou podporu na obranu zem\u011b p\u0159ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00edmi \u00fatoky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Johnson zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee tyto t\u0159i zem\u011b vn\u00edmaj\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed politiku jako existen\u010dn\u00ed hrozbu. Podle Johnsona se USA a jejich spojenci sna\u017e\u00ed zni\u010dit Rusko, \u010c\u00ednu a \u00cdr\u00e1n, co\u017e nut\u00ed tyto t\u0159i zem\u011b k u\u017e\u0161\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci. Tato spolupr\u00e1ce je patrn\u00e1 nejen na vojensk\u00e9 \u00farovni, ale tak\u00e9 v ekonomick\u00fdch iniciativ\u00e1ch, jako jsou zem\u011b BRICS a vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed alternativn\u00edch finan\u010dn\u00edch a poji\u0161\u0165ovac\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 funguj\u00ed nez\u00e1visle na z\u00e1padn\u00edm syst\u00e9mu. Rusko nap\u0159\u00edklad zavedlo vlastn\u00ed poji\u0161\u0165ovac\u00ed trh pro lod\u011b, aby ukon\u010dilo svou z\u00e1vislost na Lond\u00fdn\u011b, a pl\u00e1nuje vytvo\u0159it nez\u00e1visl\u00fd trh se zlatem.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>Ukrajina: V\u00e1lka bez vyhl\u00eddky na v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span>Johnson vid\u00ed podobn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj na Ukrajin\u011b: Z\u00e1pad se vojensky i ekonomicky p\u0159ehnal. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly trp\u00ed akutn\u00edm nedostatkem person\u00e1lu a vybaven\u00ed, zat\u00edmco Rusko neust\u00e1le roz\u0161i\u0159uje sv\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 kapacity a po\u010det voj\u00e1k\u016f. Johnson poukazuje na obrovsk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty Ukrajiny \u2013 v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech byly zabity tis\u00edce ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, zat\u00edmco Rusko utrp\u011blo jen zlomek t\u011bchto ztr\u00e1t. N\u00e1bor nov\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f je problematick\u00fd, proto\u017ee v\u00fdcvik trv\u00e1 nejm\u00e9n\u011b rok, co\u017e je ve v\u00e1lce vysok\u00e9 intenzity nepraktick\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z\u00e1padn\u00ed sankce proti Rusku nem\u011bly po\u017eadovan\u00fd \u00fa\u010dinek, ale pos\u00edlily ruskou ekonomiku. S r\u016fstem o 4,4 % v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce Rusko dok\u00e1zalo, \u017ee dok\u00e1\u017ee fungovat samostatn\u011b. Naproti tomu evropsk\u00e1 ekonomika stagnuje a zem\u011b jako N\u011bmecko ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed pr\u016fmysl ve prosp\u011bch jin\u00fdch m\u00edst, nap\u0159\u00edklad USA. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u00fdroba zbran\u00ed a munice nedok\u00e1\u017ee dr\u017eet krok s ruskou. Johnson uv\u00e1d\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad raket Patriot, jejich\u017e sest\u0159elen\u00ed rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f v hodnot\u011b 50 000 dolar\u016f stoj\u00ed n\u011bkolik milion\u016f dolar\u016f za v\u00fdst\u0159el \u2013 co\u017e je ekonomicky neudr\u017eiteln\u00fd model.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>Selh\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch strategi\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span>Johnson kritizuje nedostatek strategick\u00e9 vize Z\u00e1padu. Pokud jde o \u00cdr\u00e1n, p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1 obdob\u00ed po dohod\u011b JCPOA z roku 2015, kdy Rusko a \u010c\u00edna st\u00e1le spolupracovaly se Z\u00e1padem na vyv\u00edjen\u00ed tlaku na \u00cdr\u00e1n. Agresivn\u00ed politika USA v\u0161ak tuto spolupr\u00e1ci zni\u010dila a tyto t\u0159i zem\u011b sbl\u00ed\u017eila. Sankce, p\u016fvodn\u011b zam\u00fd\u0161len\u00e9 k oslaben\u00ed protivn\u00edk\u016f, m\u00edsto toho vytvo\u0159ily alternativn\u00ed syst\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 podkop\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed hegemonii.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dokonce i narativy, kter\u00e9 m\u011bly ospravedlnit v\u00e1lku proti Rusku, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad \u201eRussiagate\u201c, byly odhaleny jako podvod. Johnson poukazuje na odhalen\u00ed, kter\u00e1 ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee americk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby v\u011bd\u011bly, \u017ee obvin\u011bn\u00ed z rusk\u00e9ho vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed do americk\u00fdch voleb v roce 2016 byla podvod, ale p\u0159esto byla pou\u017eita k eskalaci nap\u011bt\u00ed. Tato dezinformace podkopala jak\u00fdkoli z\u00e1klad pro m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a zavedla z\u00e1padn\u00ed politiky do slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>V\u00fdhled: Kolaps Ukrajiny a nebezpe\u010d\u00ed eskalace<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span>Johnson p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 nevyhnuteln\u00fd kolaps Ukrajiny, a to jak vojensky, tak politicky. Rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly zintenziv\u0148uj\u00ed sv\u00e9 \u00fatoky, zat\u00edmco ukrajinsk\u00e9 linie se st\u00e1le v\u00edce hrout\u00ed. Dezerce a ob\u011bti nar\u016fstaj\u00ed a neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 vyhl\u00eddka na obrat. Johnson o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko p\u0159evezme kontrolu nad m\u011bsty jako Kyjev a Od\u011bsa, a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed i do Podn\u011bst\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z\u00e1padn\u00ed mo\u017enosti jsou omezen\u00e9. P\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 intervence NATO by podle Johnsona vedla ke katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalaci, proto\u017ee Rusko by mohlo reagovat odvetn\u00fdmi \u00fadery, mo\u017en\u00e1 hypersonick\u00fdmi raketami, proti kter\u00fdm neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 obrana. Alternativou by byl diplomatick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup, v n\u011bm\u017e Z\u00e1pad uzn\u00e1 rusk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed obavy a zah\u00e1j\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o nov\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektu\u0159e v Evrop\u011b. Dosavadn\u00ed r\u00e9torika, zejm\u00e9na z N\u011bmecka, v\u0161ak nazna\u010duje pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed konfrontace.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>Z\u00e1v\u011br: Zlom v glob\u00e1ln\u00edm \u0159\u00e1du<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span>Diskuse s Larrym Johnsonem ukazuje, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed politika se dostala do slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky. V\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b a na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b odhalily limity vojensk\u00e9 a ekonomick\u00e9 s\u00edly USA a jejich spojenc\u016f. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 agresivn\u00ed politika Z\u00e1padu podpo\u0159ila novou alianci mezi Ruskem, \u010c\u00ednou a \u00cdr\u00e1nem, co\u017e zm\u011bnilo glob\u00e1ln\u00ed rovnov\u00e1hu sil. Nedostatek strategick\u00e9 vize, vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed zdroj\u016f a neschopnost pou\u010dit se z historick\u00fdch chyb hroz\u00ed, \u017ee uvrhnou Z\u00e1pad do st\u00e1le se prohlubuj\u00edc\u00ed krize. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Ukrajina balancuje na pokraji kolapsu a Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod se propad\u00e1 do chaosu, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zkou, zda bude Z\u00e1pad schopen p\u0159ehodnotit svou politiku d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e se dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace stane nevyhnutelnou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 diskusi s b\u00fdval\u00fdm analytikem CIA Larrym Johnsonem se Glenn Diesen zab\u00fdv\u00e1 sou\u010dasn\u00fdm geopolitick\u00fdm&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84297,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1052,2024,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84296"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84296"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84296\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84297"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84296"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84296"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84296"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}