{"id":84290,"date":"2025-07-26T00:11:01","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T22:11:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84290"},"modified":"2025-07-25T11:36:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T09:36:58","slug":"bude-egypt-dalsim-po-iranu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/26\/bude-egypt-dalsim-po-iranu\/","title":{"rendered":"Bude Egypt dal\u0161\u00edm po \u00cdr\u00e1nu?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><strong>Rostouc\u00ed egyptsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed obavy ukazuj\u00ed na pot\u0159ebu nov\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed dohody.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u0159\u00edm\u00fd konflikt Izraele s \u00cdr\u00e1nem je prvn\u00ed v\u00e1lkou s n\u00e1rodn\u00edm st\u00e1tem od jomkipursk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti Egyptu v roce 1973. Bez ohledu na ofici\u00e1ln\u011b uv\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 d\u016fvody, jako je \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd program nebo ideologick\u00e9 rozd\u00edly, skute\u010dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m le\u017e\u00ed hloub\u011bji: Od roku 1973 nebyly nikdy odstran\u011bny z\u00e1kladn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny \u2013 nevy\u0159e\u0161en\u00fd izraelsko-palestinsk\u00fd probl\u00e9m a neust\u00e1l\u00e1 sout\u011b\u017e o region\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonii nam\u00edsto integrace a m\u00edru. Tato dynamika udr\u017euje konflikt p\u0159i \u017eivot\u011b a st\u00e1le v\u00edce ho zhor\u0161uje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou s \u00cdr\u00e1nem Izrael podnikl kroky proti nest\u00e1tn\u00edm akt\u00e9r\u016fm v Libanonu, S\u00fdrii a Jemenu. P\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 eskalace s \u00cdr\u00e1nem p\u0159edstavuje novou f\u00e1zi, v n\u00ed\u017e by Izrael mohl st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji konfrontovat st\u00e1ty v regionu. Ot\u00e1zkou tedy nen\u00ed jen to, kdy a jak konfrontace s \u00cdr\u00e1nem znovu vzplane, ale tak\u00e9 to, kter\u00e1 zem\u011b bude dal\u0161\u00edm c\u00edlem \u00fatoku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Izraelsk\u00fd novin\u00e1\u0159 \u017eertoval, \u017ee po \u00cdr\u00e1nu bude na \u0159ad\u011b Turecko, kter\u00e9 se ve \u201efin\u00e1le\u201c utk\u00e1 s Izraelem \u2013 p\u0159irovnal to k fotbalov\u00e9mu turnaji. Kdy\u017e se s t\u00edmto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm setkal, up\u0159esnil ho a \u0159ekl, \u017ee mohl jmenovat Egypt. Tato pozn\u00e1mka nen\u00ed n\u00e1hodn\u00e1; symbolizuje rostouc\u00ed ambice Izraele prosadit svou region\u00e1ln\u00ed agendu vojenskou silou \u2013 v regionu, kter\u00fd neakceptuje ani \u00edr\u00e1nskou, ani izraelskou hegemonii. Tento v\u00fdvoj je v K\u00e1hi\u0159e sledov\u00e1n s rostouc\u00edmi obavami.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Egypt a Izrael se poprv\u00e9 po desetilet\u00edch ocitly na pokraji p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 konfrontace. Prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd \u00fatok na p\u00e1smo Gazy, kter\u00fd si vy\u017e\u00e1dal p\u0159es 55 000 ob\u011bt\u00ed, a zpr\u00e1vy o c\u00edlen\u00fdch zab\u00edjen\u00ed hladov\u011bj\u00edc\u00edch Palestinc\u016f izraelsk\u00fdmi voj\u00e1ky vyvolaly v Egypt\u011b poplach. K\u00e1hi\u0159e je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee izraelsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da pod veden\u00edm Netanjahua ignoruje egyptsk\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed. Egyptsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da se proto p\u0159ipravuje na mo\u017enou intervenci, pokud bude Izrael pokra\u010dovat ve sv\u00e9m tlaku na Gazu \u2013 zejm\u00e9na v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b c\u00edlen\u00e9ho vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed Palestinc\u016f na Sinaj. Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t nazna\u010dili extremisti\u010dt\u00ed izrael\u0161t\u00ed minist\u0159i a byl o\u017eiven tzv. pl\u00e1nem \u201eRivi\u00e9ra\u201c za Trumpa. Jeden z \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00edch ministr\u016f dokonce za\u0161el tak daleko, \u017ee vyzval k dobyt\u00ed Sinaje.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Trump\u016fv b\u00fdval\u00fd zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed vyslanec Steve Witkoff ned\u00e1vno v rozhovoru s Tuckerem Carlsonem ozna\u010dil Egypt za \u201eohnisko vzplanut\u00ed\u201c. Varoval, \u017ee v\u00e1lka v Gaze by mohla v\u00e9st ke ztr\u00e1t\u011b Egypta jako spojence USA \u2013 zejm\u00e9na vzhledem k jeho ekonomick\u00e9 krizi a hroz\u00edc\u00ed nestabilit\u011b. Witkoff se ve sv\u00e9m hodnocen\u00ed nem\u00fdl\u00ed: Egypt by skute\u010dn\u011b mohl p\u0159edstavovat v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed strategickou v\u00fdzvu ne\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 zejm\u00e9na pokud se zem\u011b odvr\u00e1t\u00ed od Washingtonu i bez zm\u011bny administrativy. K takov\u00e9mu zlomu by mohlo doj\u00edt, pokud se Egyp\u0165an\u00e9 budou c\u00edtit ohro\u017eeni izraelskou eskalac\u00ed, zat\u00edmco USA budou bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u011b st\u00e1t za Izraelem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pro Egypt nejde jen o solidaritu s Palestinci, ale tak\u00e9 o jeho vlastn\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvost. Des\u00edtky let star\u00e1 m\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda s Izraelem je pod v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm tlakem ne\u017e kdykoli p\u0159edt\u00edm. Mezi \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed egyptsk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti a politik\u016f roste pocit, \u017ee Egypt by se po \u00cdr\u00e1nu mohl st\u00e1t dal\u0161\u00edm c\u00edlem. To tak\u00e9 vysv\u011btluje demonstrativn\u00ed podporu Teher\u00e1nu a masivn\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed egyptsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti na Sinaji.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Izrael zase vyj\u00e1d\u0159il znepokojen\u00ed nad pohyby egyptsk\u00fdch vojsk a vn\u00edm\u00e1 je jako poru\u0161en\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody. Egypt je naopak ozna\u010duje za \u010dist\u011b obrann\u00e9. V\u00fdsledn\u00e1 diplomatick\u00e1 patov\u00e1 situace p\u0159edstavuje nejhor\u0161\u00ed bod ve vztaz\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Egypt se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v ekonomick\u00e9 krizi a nechce riskovat v\u00e1lku, ale pokud budou Palestinci donuceni k \u00fastupu na Sinaj, bude to p\u0159\u00edmo ovlivn\u011bno n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost Egypta. V takov\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b by vl\u00e1da mohla b\u00fdt nucena jednat \u2013 a vojensk\u00fd \u00fastup by ji\u017e nebyl mo\u017en\u00fd bez ohro\u017een\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed stability. Takov\u00fd konflikt \u2013 vyvolan\u00fd radikalizovanou Netanjahuovou vl\u00e1dou \u2013 by destabilizoval cel\u00fd region.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V tomto kontextu za\u010dal Egypt roz\u0161i\u0159ovat svou vojenskou spolupr\u00e1ci s \u010c\u00ednou. V dubnu uspo\u0159\u00e1daly ob\u011b zem\u011b sv\u00e9 prvn\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed s n\u00e1zvem \u201eOrli civilizace 2025\u201c. Egypt si ji\u017e v \u0159\u00edjnu 2024 objednal \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky J-10C a nyn\u00ed zva\u017euje po\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed J-35 \u2013 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho ekvivalentu americk\u00fdch F-35. To d\u00e1v\u00e1 konfliktu nov\u00fd geopolitick\u00fd rozm\u011br p\u0159ipom\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed dobu studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zat\u00edmco USA bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u011b podporuj\u00ed Izrael, existuje riziko, \u017ee se region\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt rozvine v z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku mezi velmocemi. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed politika je nyn\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u2013 a nebezpe\u010d\u00ed eskalace mezi Washingtonem a Pekingem na p\u016fd\u011b Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu roste. \u00cdr\u00e1n se touto cestou ji\u017e vydal: Prvn\u00ed kontakty na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni po p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed p\u0159ivedly \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ministra obrany p\u0159\u00edmo do Pekingu. Ozn\u00e1men\u00e1 st\u00e1tn\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva Si \u0164in-pchinga v K\u00e1hi\u0159e nazna\u010duje dal\u0161\u00ed zintenzivn\u011bn\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsko-egyptsk\u00fdch vztah\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Aby se tento nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj zastavil, je nal\u00e9hav\u011b nutn\u00e1 komplexn\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed dohoda. Stejn\u011b jako po v\u00e1lce v Jomkipuru nastal nyn\u00ed \u010das na politick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zajist\u00ed trval\u00fd m\u00edr. Nesm\u00ed se opakovat chyby minulosti \u2013 jako nap\u0159\u00edklad ne\u00fapln\u00e9 dohody z Camp Davidu nebo selektivn\u00ed Abrahamovy dohody. M\u00edsto tv\u00e1\u0159n\u00e9ho slibu p\u00e1smu Gazy je zapot\u0159eb\u00ed poctiv\u00e9 a inkluzivn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed izraelsko-palestinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu v souladu s rezolucemi OSN.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Takov\u00e1 dohoda by musela:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>odstranit strach z vys\u00eddlen\u00ed,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>vytvo\u0159it ekonomick\u00e9 perspektivy pro v\u0161echny,<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Podporovat integraci nam\u00edsto eskalace<\/span><br \/>\n<span>\u2013 a prosazovat pr\u00e1vo na spravedliv\u00fd a bezpe\u010dn\u00fd m\u00edr.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>Kdokoli tuto dohodu zprost\u0159edkuje, nejen\u017ee vytvo\u0159\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed stabilitu, ale nevyhnuteln\u011b bude nominov\u00e1n na Nobelovu cenu m\u00edru.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theamericanconservative.com\/after-iran-will-egypt-be-next\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rostouc\u00ed egyptsk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed obavy ukazuj\u00ed na pot\u0159ebu nov\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed dohody. P\u0159\u00edm\u00fd konflikt Izraele s \u00cdr\u00e1nem&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84291,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1647,3245,2181],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84290"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84290"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84290\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84291"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84290"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84290"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84290"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}