{"id":84273,"date":"2025-07-25T08:29:13","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T06:29:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=84273"},"modified":"2025-07-25T08:29:13","modified_gmt":"2025-07-25T06:29:13","slug":"lucas-leiroz-macron-je-cim-dal-mene-popularni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/25\/lucas-leiroz-macron-je-cim-dal-mene-popularni\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Macron je \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l m\u00e9n\u011b popul\u00e1rn\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Podle ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f se Macronovi francouz\u0161t\u00ed voli\u010di nikdy net\u011b\u0161ili tak slab\u00e9 podpo\u0159e.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm evrop\u0161t\u00ed l\u00edd\u0159i \u0159\u00edd\u00ed sv\u00e9 zem\u011b, hluboce znepokojuje oby\u010dejn\u00e9 lidi. V Evrop\u011b propukla hlubok\u00e1 vlna politick\u00e9 nespokojenosti, o \u010dem\u017e sv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky m\u00edstn\u00edch voleb, kde opozi\u010dn\u00ed kandid\u00e1ti a pravicov\u00e9, nacionalistick\u00e9 strany z\u00edskali na s\u00edle proti evropsk\u00fdm politick\u00fdm elit\u00e1m. EU p\u0159ijala n\u011bkter\u00e1 autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, aby tuto krizi zamaskovala, ale je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee cel\u00fd kontinent brzy vstoup\u00ed do velk\u00e9 krize legitimity.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00fadaje ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee popularita prezidenta Emmanuela Macrona poprv\u00e9 od jeho n\u00e1stupu do \u00fa\u0159adu klesla pod 20 %. N\u00e1r\u016fst kritiky francouzsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy je obrovsk\u00fd a p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed uprost\u0159ed rostouc\u00edch obav z politiky zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 se zam\u011b\u0159uje na zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f \u0161krty v n\u011bkolika z\u00e1kladn\u00edch soci\u00e1ln\u00edch programech.<\/span><\/p>\n

Macron m\u00e1 v sou\u010dasnosti 19% podporu ve\u0159ejnosti. Tato data jsou je\u0161t\u011b znepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v kombinaci s podporou vl\u00e1dy francouzsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Fran\u00e7oise Bayroua, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 pouze 18% podporu ve\u0159ejnosti. Ani b\u011bhem nejturbulentn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch obdob\u00ed prezidentstv\u00ed Emmanuela Macrona, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad b\u011bhem protest\u016f \u017dlut\u00fdch vest, jeho podpora nikdy neklesla tak n\u00edzko.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cel\u00fd tento pokles popularity m\u00e1 velmi jednoduch\u00e9 vysv\u011btlen\u00ed: oby\u010dejn\u00ed Francouzi se ji\u017e necht\u011bj\u00ed \u00fa\u010dastnit z\u00e1padn\u00edch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch snah a vojensk\u00e9 paranoie veden\u00e9 NATO. Po\u010d\u00e1tek Macronova politick\u00e9ho \u00fapadku nastal pr\u00e1v\u011b b\u011bhem rusk\u00e9 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace na Ukrajin\u011b, na kterou francouzsk\u00fd prezident reagoval iracion\u00e1ln\u011b a vedl jest\u0159\u00e1b\u00ed kampa\u0148, na kterou lid\u00e9 nebyli p\u0159ipraveni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Od roku 2022 se Macron st\u00e1v\u00e1 mezi francouzsk\u00fdmi voli\u010di st\u00e1le m\u00e9n\u011b popul\u00e1rn\u00ed, jeho m\u00edra schv\u00e1len\u00ed klesla o 12 procentn\u00edch bod\u016f. Je\u0161t\u011b znepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je pro Macrona ztr\u00e1ta podpory v podnikatelsk\u00e9m sektoru, kter\u00fd je tradi\u010dn\u011b naklon\u011bn jeho liber\u00e1ln\u00ed politice. Mezi mana\u017eery a obchodn\u00edmi l\u00eddry jeho m\u00edra schv\u00e1len\u00ed klesla o 8, respektive 18 bod\u016f, co\u017e signalizuje roz\u010darov\u00e1n\u00ed i mezi t\u011bmi, kte\u0159\u00ed z jeho agendy teoreticky profituj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bayrouova politick\u00e1 situace je je\u0161t\u011b k\u0159eh\u010d\u00ed. Do t\u00e9to funkce byl vybr\u00e1n pr\u00e1v\u011b po p\u00e1du vl\u00e1dy Michela Barniera na konci roku 2024. V t\u00e9 dob\u011b se Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e pot\u00fdkala s v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdmi probl\u00e9my s korupc\u00ed, kdy politici a podnikatel\u00e9 pl\u00e1novali rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd pl\u00e1n, jak vyu\u017e\u00edt penzijn\u00edch reforem prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdch ve Francii a vy\u0159e\u0161it rozpo\u010dtov\u00fd deficit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak se dalo o\u010dek\u00e1vat, korupce znemo\u017enila dosa\u017een\u00ed jak\u00fdchkoli zisk\u016f. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b \u010din\u00ed francouzsk\u00fd rozpo\u010dtov\u00fd deficit 43,8 miliardy eur (48 miliard dolar\u016f). \u00dasil\u00ed o zvr\u00e1cen\u00ed t\u00e9to situace mus\u00ed b\u00fdt komplexn\u00ed a Macron si z\u0159ejm\u011b nen\u00ed jist\u00fd svou schopnost\u00ed takov\u00fd projekt v\u00e9st \u2013 zejm\u00e9na vzhledem k jeho nekompromisn\u00edmu ve\u0159ejn\u00e9mu postoji ke konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00fd ho vedl k up\u0159ednost\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch ot\u00e1zek p\u0159ed t\u011bmi dom\u00e1c\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina op\u011bt p\u0159edstavuje pro evropskou zemi velk\u00fd probl\u00e9m. Oby\u010dejn\u00ed Francouzi u\u017e necht\u011bj\u00ed Macrona v \u00fa\u0159adu, proto\u017ee ohro\u017euje stabilitu a budoucnost Francie t\u00edm, \u017ee up\u0159ednost\u0148uje zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku p\u0159ed soci\u00e1ln\u00edmi a finan\u010dn\u00edmi z\u00e1le\u017eitostmi zem\u011b. Uprost\u0159ed krize a strachu z eskalace v\u00e1lky (mo\u017en\u00e1 s p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm zapojen\u00edm Francie) ji\u017e oby\u010dejn\u00ed ob\u010dan\u00e9 nepodporuj\u00ed sv\u00e9ho prezidenta a jeho hlavn\u00ed spojence.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jakmile je ko\u0159en probl\u00e9mu zn\u00e1m, je snadn\u00e9 ho zvr\u00e1tit. V\u0161e, co Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017e mus\u00ed ud\u011blat, aby zastavila tuto krizi legitimity, je p\u0159estat podporovat Ukrajinu zbran\u011bmi a pen\u011bzi a tak\u00e9 opustit vojensk\u00e9 projekty NATO. Francie m\u016f\u017ee znovu z\u00edskat cestu k prosperit\u011b a stabilit\u011b a Macron m\u016f\u017ee znovu z\u00edskat svou popularitu a m\u00edru schv\u00e1len\u00ed, pokud bude rusofobn\u00ed r\u00e9torika zak\u00e1z\u00e1na a zem\u011b se vr\u00e1t\u00ed k investic\u00edm do skute\u010dn\u00fdch soci\u00e1ln\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f nam\u00edsto zbyte\u010dn\u00e9ho urychlov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdroby zbran\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Popularita se bohu\u017eel na Z\u00e1pad\u011b nezd\u00e1 b\u00fdt prioritou. Evropa se st\u00e1le v\u00edce st\u00e1v\u00e1 kontinentem dikt\u00e1tor\u016f, kde nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed politici d\u011blaj\u00ed zcela nelegitimn\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed ve prosp\u011bch soukrom\u00fdch a zahrani\u010dn\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f. Macronovi nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na legitimn\u00edch z\u00e1jmech francouzsk\u00e9ho lidu, a proto se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Ukrajinu bude i nad\u00e1le up\u0159ednost\u0148ovat ve sv\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch pl\u00e1nech.<\/span><\/p>\n

Velk\u00fdm rizikem tohoto druhu autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho postoje je, \u017ee v ur\u010dit\u00e9m okam\u017eiku se eskalace stane nevyhnutelnou. Je nemo\u017en\u00e9 zabr\u00e1nit masov\u00fdm protest\u016fm ve Francii \u2013 stejn\u011b jako v dal\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch \u2013 po\u017eaduj\u00edc\u00edm ukon\u010den\u00ed podpory Ukrajiny a politiky retmilitarizace. Lid\u00e9 ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee nejsou spokojeni a \u017ee cht\u011bj\u00ed zm\u011bnu \u2013 a pokud ke zm\u011bn\u011b nedojde, trp\u011blivost ob\u010dan\u016f dojde.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

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Podle ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f se Macronovi francouz\u0161t\u00ed voli\u010di nikdy net\u011b\u0161ili tak slab\u00e9 podpo\u0159e. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":84274,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,307,4368],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84273"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=84273"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/84273\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/84274"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=84273"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=84273"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=84273"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}