{"id":83904,"date":"2025-07-20T00:16:06","date_gmt":"2025-07-19T22:16:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=83904"},"modified":"2025-07-19T16:50:25","modified_gmt":"2025-07-19T14:50:25","slug":"pavel-sik-18-balicek-sankci-a-jiny-vysledek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/20\/pavel-sik-18-balicek-sankci-a-jiny-vysledek\/","title":{"rendered":"Pavel \u0160ik: 18. bal\u00ed\u010dek sankc\u00ed a jin\u00fd v\u00fdsledek…"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Fico dostal, co cht\u011bl, a\u00a0tak EU schv\u00e1lila dal\u0161\u00ed sankce. Pr\u00fd ty nejtvrd\u0161\u00ed doposud. Budou \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b? Podle m\u00e9ho asi jako t\u011bch p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00fdch 17 bal\u00edk\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u0161eobecn\u011b se jedn\u00e1 o pr\u00e1zdn\u00e1 gesta bez dopad\u016f. Nap\u0159\u00edklad se zablokovaly v\u0161echny mo\u017en\u00e9 aktivity v p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9m o\u017eiven\u00ed potrub\u00ed Nordstream. Zastav\u00ed to Rusko? Ne, potrub\u00ed je stejn\u011b mimo provoz. Bylo identifikov\u00e1no 105 plavidel, kter\u00e9 u\u017e nesm\u00ed do evropsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f. Zastav\u00ed to Rusko? Ne, jen to zdra\u017e\u00ed ropu v Evrop\u011b, bude se p\u0159e\u010derp\u00e1vat do jin\u00fdch tanker\u016f.<\/p>\n

Odpojilo se dal\u0161\u00edch 22 rusk\u00fdch bank od Swiftu. Fakt jich bylo je\u0161t\u011b tolik p\u0159ipojen\u00fdch? Zastav\u00ed to Rusko? Ne, sp\u00ed\u0161e t\u011bch 180 zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159ipojen\u00fdch bude m\u00edt je\u0161t\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed byznys.<\/p>\n

Evropa bude pr\u00fd blokovat v\u00fdvoz technologi\u00ed a\u00a0komponent, kter\u00e9 by mohly b\u00fdt vyu\u017eity pro vojenskou produkci. Zastav\u00ed to Rusko? Pouze pokud se Evrop\u011b poda\u0159\u00ed zastavit i\u00a0v\u00fdvoz pra\u010dek a\u00a0my\u010dek. \u010cesko p\u0159isp\u011blo i\u00a0n\u00e1vrhem, \u017ee zbo\u017e\u00ed, kter\u00e9 budou celn\u00edci pova\u017eovat za takov\u00e9, kter\u00e9 by podle jejich n\u00e1zoru mohlo Rusku pomoci ve v\u00e1lce, mohou zachytit i\u00a0kdy\u017e se nejedn\u00e1 o\u00a0zbo\u017e\u00ed pro typicky vojensk\u00e9 pou\u017eit\u00ed. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee Lip\u00e1nek si t\u00edm pojistil su\u0161i\u010dky na pr\u00e1dlo a\u00a0dusi\u010dnan draseln\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Nejzaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jsou dv\u011b polo\u017eky. Jeliko\u017e Rusko za\u017ealovalo Belgii, kde sed\u00ed instituce s\u00a0n\u00e1zvem Euroclear, co zmrazila jeho rezervy, je v\u00a0bal\u00ed\u010dku i\u00a0z\u00e1vazek Belgii, \u017ee od\u0161kodn\u011bn\u00ed Rusku budeme platit v\u0161ichni. Zastav\u00ed to Rusko? Ne, absurdn\u011b je to pro Moskvu a\u017e pozitivn\u00ed. Je pro n\u00ed lep\u0161\u00ed, kdy\u017e za dluhy ru\u010d\u00ed cel\u00e1 EU a\u00a0nejen jedna instituce nebo zem\u011b.<\/p>\n

Ale nejlep\u0161\u00ed polo\u017eka je sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed cenov\u00e9ho stropu na ruskou ropu ze 60 dolar\u016f za barel na 45-47 dolar\u016f. Rusku to zkomplikuje export, m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k\u00a0p\u0159echodn\u00e9mu poklesu tr\u017eeb z\u00a0d\u016fvodu vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch p\u0159epravn\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f nebo omezen\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstupu k\u00a0poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed tanker\u016f. Ale adaptace na dal\u0161\u00ed bal\u00edk bude trvat t\u00fddny p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b m\u011bs\u00edce, zm\u011bn\u00ed se toky, Evropa bude nucena v\u00edce nakupovat z\u00a0Kavkazu, Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu atd. Rusk\u00e9 toky p\u016fjdou v\u00edce do Asie, kter\u00e1 na n\u011bjak\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 sankce ka\u0161le. Ale jeden tok se nezm\u011bn\u00ed, jen d\u00e1le nav\u00fd\u0161\u00ed a\u00a0to export indick\u00fdch rafin\u00e9ri\u00ed do EU.<\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd nov\u00fd sank\u010dn\u00ed bal\u00ed\u010dek Z\u00e1padu je jako dal\u0161\u00ed rok americk\u00e9 prohibice v\u00a0minul\u00e9m stolet\u00ed. V\u0161ichni v\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee lidi nep\u0159estanou chlastat, st\u00e1t p\u0159ijde o\u00a0dan\u011b, ne\u00fam\u011brn\u011b se zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1klady na dohled z\u00e1kazu a\u00a0n\u011bkdo jin\u00fd na tom stra\u0161n\u011b zbohatne, ale p\u0159esto se politici pl\u00e1cali po\u00a0ramenou. Evropa v\u00a0okam\u017eiku schv\u00e1len\u00ed zaru\u010dila Indii a\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b p\u00e1r procent slevy z\u00a0jejich dosavadn\u00edch cen a\u00a0tud\u00ed\u017e dal\u0161\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159skou v\u00fdhodu.<\/p>\n

My ale m\u00e1me jin\u00e9 hodnoty, kter\u00e9 oni nemaj\u00ed\u2026<\/p>\n

Pavel \u0160ik,\u00a0FB<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fico dostal, co cht\u011bl, a\u00a0tak EU schv\u00e1lila dal\u0161\u00ed sankce. Pr\u00fd ty nejtvrd\u0161\u00ed doposud. Budou \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b?…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17690,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[41,636,22,125,203],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83904"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83904"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83904\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17690"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83904"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83904"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83904"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}