{"id":83779,"date":"2025-07-18T00:31:03","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T22:31:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=83779"},"modified":"2025-07-17T15:14:48","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T13:14:48","slug":"pierre-duval-hrozi-francii-ekonomicka-recese-a-jeji-zhrouceni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/18\/pierre-duval-hrozi-francii-ekonomicka-recese-a-jeji-zhrouceni\/","title":{"rendered":"Pierre Duval: Hroz\u00ed Francii ekonomick\u00e1 recese a jej\u00ed zhroucen\u00ed?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 \u0161krty useknou hlavy politick\u00e9 moci. Francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron spolu se sv\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem Fran\u00e7oisem Bayrouem a sou\u010dasnou vl\u00e1dou s\u00e1zej\u00ed na to, \u017ee donut\u00ed Francouze spolknout rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 \u0161krty, zat\u00edmco v\u011bt\u0161ina p\u0159e\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 ze dne na den. Situace v zemi je kritick\u00e1.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee francouzsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Fran\u00e7ois Bayrou brzy p\u0159ijde o funkci kv\u016fli rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdm \u0161krt\u016fm.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0Le Monde\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/em>se nem\u00fdl\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: Proti \u201ekletb\u011b\u201c dluhu Fran\u00e7ois Bayrou s\u00e1z\u00ed na nejistou mobilizaci Francouz\u016f. Bayrouov\u00fdm c\u00edlem je v rozpo\u010dtu na rok 2026 u\u0161et\u0159it 43,8 miliardy, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e poukazuje na to, \u017ee ka\u017edou sekundu se francouzsk\u00fd\u00a0<\/span>dluh<\/span><\/a>\u00a0zvy\u0161uje o 5 000 eur. My\u0161lenka zru\u0161en\u00ed dvou st\u00e1tn\u00edch sv\u00e1tk\u016f (8. kv\u011btna a Velikonoc) bou\u0159\u00ed Francouze, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou lp\u011bli na tradic\u00edch zem\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pl\u00e1n \u00fasporn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed francouzsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra, kter\u00fd zahrnuje zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed dan\u00ed, \u0161krty ve v\u00fddaj\u00edch, a to i \u0161krty v d\u016fchodech a soci\u00e1ln\u00edch d\u00e1vk\u00e1ch (p\u011bt miliard eur na zdravotnictv\u00ed), a tak\u00e9 solid\u00e1rn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvek od nejbohat\u0161\u00edch, jeho\u017e v\u00fd\u0161e dosud nebyla stanovena, nemluv\u011b o reform\u011b poji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed v nezam\u011bstnanosti, p\u0159edstavuje v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e9 prvky, kter\u00e9 by mohly rozb\u00edt sou\u010dasn\u00fd republik\u00e1nsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fchodci, kte\u0159\u00ed Macronovu politiku\u00a0\u00a0do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>podporovali , se tak\u00e9 postav\u00ed na barik\u00e1dy, proto\u017ee jejich \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 bude je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce zasa\u017eena.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

V roce 2024 byl zaznamen\u00e1n prvn\u00ed zlomov\u00fd bod. \u201eSeniory v\u00edce p\u0159itahuje N\u00e1rodn\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed, historick\u00fd zlom,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>zn\u011blo v titulku\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Radio France<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Krize ve Francii, kter\u00e1 ovliv\u0148uje spole\u010dnost a ekonomiku, ohla\u0161uje historick\u00fd zlom. To je znepokojiv\u00e9, proto\u017ee Francie v pr\u016fb\u011bhu sv\u00e9 historie za\u017eila krvav\u00e9 epizody.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eToto je okam\u017eik pravdy,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Bayrou a varoval, \u017ee Francie by mohla \u010delit dluhov\u00e9 krizi podobn\u00e9 t\u00e9, jakou za\u017eila \u0158ecko v roce 2008.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Rostouc\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0deficity mezi lety 2008 a 2010 byly \u201ejiskrou, kter\u00e1 zap\u00e1lila pojistku\u201c, uv\u00e1d\u00ed web Institutu pro ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed (IEFP): \u201eFinan\u010dn\u00ed krize v roce 2008 donutila evropsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy zas\u00e1hnout, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 recesi.\u201c\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto je skute\u010dn\u011b okam\u017eik z\u00fa\u010dtov\u00e1n\u00ed pro Francii. Ob\u010dansk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka \u2013 nebo sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00e1lka mezi r\u016fzn\u00fdmi etnick\u00fdmi skupinami, kter\u00e9 sd\u00edlej\u00ed toto \u00fazem\u00ed \u2013 je na rtech v\u0161ech a tento n\u00e1zor je sd\u00edlen v uzav\u0159en\u00fdch prostor\u00e1ch kuchyn\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V roce 2023 Roland Cayrol, politolog, kter\u00fd pracoval s ka\u017ed\u00fdm prezidentem republiky od Val\u00e9ryho Giscarda d’Estainga,\u00a0<\/span>uvedl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0, \u017ee nepokoje po smrti Nahel Merzouk byly p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Zasa\u017eeno<\/span><\/a>\u00a0bylo 672 obc\u00ed , kter\u00e9 se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed v 95 departementech, s odhadovan\u00fdm po\u010dtem 50 000 v\u00fdtr\u017en\u00edk\u016f. Bylo zaznamen\u00e1no 684 n\u00e1siln\u00fdch \u010din\u016f proti volen\u00fdm \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016fm a osob\u00e1m odpov\u011bdn\u00fdm za ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 slu\u017eby. V\u00edce ne\u017e tis\u00edc podnik\u016f bylo vandalizov\u00e1no nebo vyplen\u011bno, v\u010detn\u011b 436 trafik a 370 bankovn\u00edch pobo\u010dek, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e bylo zap\u00e1leno 12 031 vozidel a 2 508 budov bylo zap\u00e1leno nebo po\u0161kozeno, v\u010detn\u011b 273 budov policejn\u00edch slo\u017eek a 105 radnic.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Roland Cayrol, kter\u00fd varoval, \u017ee politici maj\u00ed probl\u00e9m p\u0159ijmout varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed hrozbou nepokoj\u016f, s\u00e1zel na v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e9 strany v roce 2027 ve spojen\u00ed s Republik\u00e1nskou pravic\u00ed (DR). Olivier Marleix, poslanec za skupinu Republik\u00e1nsk\u00e1 pravice, o kter\u00e9m den\u00edk\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>L’Express<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0informoval, \u017ee \u201eMacron pro n\u011bj byl vt\u011blen\u00edm \u010f\u00e1bla\u201c, \u017ee se projevoval jako \u201eprim\u00e1rn\u00ed antimacronista\u201c a \u017ee jeho \u201enen\u00e1vist v\u016f\u010di Macronovi byla nitern\u00e1\u201c,\u00a0<\/span>reprezentoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0n\u00e1zor drtiv\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161iny Francouz\u016f. Mimo volebn\u00ed m\u00edstnosti sta\u010d\u00ed promluvit si s lidmi na ulici, abyste si tento postoj vyslechli.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

La D\u00e9p\u00eache\u00a0<\/span><\/em>\u00a0poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0, \u017ee Macron m\u00e1 velmi n\u00edzkou popularitu a je na \u201ekonci sv\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy\u201c. \u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Fr\u00e9d\u00e9ric Dabi, gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel pro ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed v IFOP (Francouzsk\u00fd institut ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed), ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee \u201ev \u010dervnu se Macron t\u011b\u0161il 23% p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9mu hodnocen\u00ed\u201c a \u017ee \u201epodrobn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, 45 % Francouz\u016f je velmi nespokojen\u00fdch a 42 % sp\u00ed\u0161e nespokojen\u00fdch\u201c: \u201eJe to tedy nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed prezident.\u201c\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Francie sm\u011b\u0159uje ekonomicky do stejn\u00e9 katastrofy jako \u0158ecko. A odbory nebudou br\u00e1nit zam\u011bstnance ani d\u016fchodce. \u201eNavzdory odbor\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 mobilizaci \u0158ecko p\u0159ijalo d\u016fchodovou reformu,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>psal v roce 2008 titulek\u00a0<\/span><\/a>\u00a0den\u00edku Le Monde<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuto vysoce kontroverzn\u00ed reformu \u0159eck\u00e9ho penzijn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu ji\u017e n\u011bkolik let po\u017eaduj\u00ed Evropsk\u00e1 unie, MMF a OECD. Stejn\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 i nad\u00e1le.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

S kriz\u00ed v roce 2008 prudce vzrostl po\u010det sebevra\u017ed a \u00fasporn\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed uplat\u0148ovan\u00e1 \u0159eckou politikou n\u00e1sledn\u011b zp\u016fsobila n\u00e1r\u016fst\u00a0<\/span>m\u00edry sebevra\u017ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v \u0158ecku.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Bayrou\u016fv pl\u00e1n \u00fasporn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed podporuje Macron. \u201ePrezident republiky reagoval na tuto rozpo\u010dtovou prezentaci faktick\u00fdm prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm, \u017ee tento rozpo\u010det m\u00e1 p\u0159ednost odvahy, troufalosti, jasnosti a zohledn\u011bn\u00ed investi\u010dn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f, kter\u00e9 mus\u00ed Francie splnit,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>prohl\u00e1sila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0mluv\u010d\u00ed vl\u00e1dy Sophie Primasov\u00e1 b\u011bhem tiskov\u00e9 konference Rady ministr\u016f a dodala: \u201eFrancie je p\u0159itla\u010dena z\u00e1dy ke zdi.\u201c Stejn\u011b jako \u0158ecko v roce 2008.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Chudoba, kter\u00e1 je v zemi ji\u017e tak vysok\u00e1, se je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed. Chudoba a nerovnost jsou\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farovni<\/span><\/a>\u00a0za posledn\u00edch t\u0159icet let, p\u0159esto L‘\u00a0<\/span>Humanit\u00e9\u00a0 v lednu 2024\u00a0<\/span><\/em>informoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0: \u201eV N\u00e1rodn\u00edm shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed poslanci zvy\u0161uj\u00ed rozpo\u010det na kancel\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje… kv\u016fli inflaci.\u201c A \u201eEvrop\u0161t\u00ed st\u00e1tn\u00ed \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci dostanou v dubnu dal\u0161\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed platu,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>upozornila<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0Lidov\u00e1 fronta.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Am\u00e9lie de Montchalin, ministryni ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch financ\u00ed, je v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed o zru\u0161en\u00ed dvou st\u00e1tn\u00edch sv\u00e1tk\u016f \u201etak trochu\u00a0<\/span>kolektivn\u00ed dohodou<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u201c.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Francouzsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da po\u017eaduje od francouzsk\u00e9ho lidu prav\u00fd opak toho, co dost\u00e1vaj\u00ed poslanci a volen\u00ed z\u00e1stupci. \u201eMus\u00edme pracovat usilovn\u011bji, cel\u00fd n\u00e1rod mus\u00ed pracovat usilovn\u011bji, abychom vyprodukovali a [\u2026] aby se situace ve Francii zlep\u0161ila,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>trval na sv\u00e9m<\/span><\/a>\u00a0francouzsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r\u00a0\u00a0 .<\/span><\/p>\n

Macron den p\u0159ed ozn\u00e1men\u00edm fisk\u00e1ln\u00edch \u00fasporn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed ozn\u00e1mil\u00a0 dodate\u010dn\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ve v\u00fd\u0161i 6,5 miliardy eur. Jedn\u00e1 se o pl\u00e1n zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fd na zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu v domn\u011bn\u00ed, \u017ee Evropa \u010del\u00ed nejv\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed hrozb\u011b od konce druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Byl to v\u0161ak Macron, kdo se rozhodl podpo\u0159it Zelensk\u00e9ho v tomto konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b finan\u010dn\u00ed podporou a \u00fasil\u00edm o v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed, m\u00edsto aby usiloval o ekonomickou stabilitu Francie a blahobyt jej\u00edch ob\u010dan\u016f, nebo je\u0161t\u011b l\u00e9pe, o dosa\u017een\u00ed dohody s Ruskem o prosp\u011bchu ze surovin t\u00e9to velk\u00e9 zem\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Mnoho navrhovan\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed se setkalo s kritikou v parlamentu, kde poslanci pohrozili p\u00e1dem vl\u00e1dy kv\u016fli \u00fasporn\u00e9mu rozpo\u010dtu, kter\u00fd by penalizoval nejchud\u0161\u00ed, pracuj\u00edc\u00ed a d\u016fchodce. Iniciativa nebude parlamentem schv\u00e1lena a premi\u00e9r se bude muset uch\u00fdlit k \u00fastavn\u00edmu ustanoven\u00ed, aby obe\u0161el z\u00e1konod\u00e1rce a rozpo\u010det schv\u00e1lil. To otev\u0159e cestu k hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed o ned\u016fv\u011b\u0159e vl\u00e1d\u011b, s rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edmi hlasy N\u00e1rodn\u00edho shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed a socialist\u016f.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ji\u017e v b\u0159eznu lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku byla srovn\u00e1vac\u00ed situace s ostatn\u00edmi evropsk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi pro Francii\u00a0<\/span>alarmuj\u00edc\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0. S deficitem ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch financ\u00ed ve v\u00fd\u0161i 6,3 % HDP ve t\u0159et\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2024 se Francie \u0159ad\u00ed mezi zem\u011b euroz\u00f3ny s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm deficitem, daleko za It\u00e1li\u00ed (2,3 %) nebo dokonce \u0158eckem, kter\u00e9 je nyn\u00ed v p\u0159ebytku. S deficitem ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch financ\u00ed ve v\u00fd\u0161i 6,3 % HDP ve t\u0159et\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2024 se Francie \u0159ad\u00ed mezi zem\u011b euroz\u00f3ny s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm deficitem, daleko za It\u00e1li\u00ed (2,3 %) nebo dokonce \u0158eckem, kter\u00e9 je nyn\u00ed v p\u0159ebytku.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Marc Touati,\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>renomovan\u00fd francouzsk\u00fd ekonom, loni v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0varoval<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: \u201eEkonomick\u00e1 a finan\u010dn\u00ed situace Francie nen\u00ed jen v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1, je katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed.\u201c \u201eFrancie se skute\u010dn\u011b pot\u00e1p\u00ed a mohla by s sebou strhnout celou euroz\u00f3nu,\u201c uzav\u0159el.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pierre Duval<\/span><\/em>\u00a0<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 \u0161krty useknou hlavy politick\u00e9 moci. Francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron spolu se sv\u00fdm premi\u00e9rem Fran\u00e7oisem…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":83780,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,59,130,371],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83779"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83779"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83779\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/83780"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83779"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83779"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83779"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}