{"id":83655,"date":"2025-07-17T00:14:11","date_gmt":"2025-07-16T22:14:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=83655"},"modified":"2025-07-16T14:33:29","modified_gmt":"2025-07-16T12:33:29","slug":"ted-snider-smutny-konec-valky-na-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/17\/ted-snider-smutny-konec-valky-na-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Ted Snider: Smutn\u00fd konec v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V\u00edce zbran\u00ed pro Kyjev by jen odd\u00e1lilo nevyhnutelnou por\u00e1\u017eku<\/span><\/h3>\n

P\u0159\u00edb\u011bh v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b se nikdy nemusel vypr\u00e1v\u011bt. USA a NATO mohly s Ruskem vyjedn\u00e1vat, aby v\u00e1lce zabr\u00e1nily; Ukrajina mohla s Ruskem vyjednat m\u00edr kr\u00e1tce po za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky. USA ob\u011b strany odm\u00edtly a ochota Ukrajiny bojovat s Ruskem byla m\u00edsto toho koupena fale\u0161n\u00fdmi sliby.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajin\u011b byla sl\u00edbena ve\u0161ker\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 podpora, kterou pot\u0159ebovala k obran\u011b sv\u00e9ho pr\u00e1va na vstup do NATO, k zaujmut\u00ed sv\u00e9ho m\u00edsta v Evropsk\u00e9 unii a orientaci na Z\u00e1pad, k znovuz\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed ve\u0161ker\u00e9ho ztracen\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed a k oslaben\u00ed a por\u00e1\u017ece Ruska. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd z t\u011bchto slib\u016f nebyl spln\u011bn a ukrajinsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh se ch\u00fdl\u00ed ke smutn\u00e9mu konci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejpal\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9m Ukrajiny le\u017e\u00ed na boji\u0161ti. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia se vzep\u0159ela realit\u011b, \u017ee Rusko v\u00e1lku u\u017e d\u00e1vno vyhr\u00e1lo. Kdy\u017e m\u00e9dia u\u017e nemohla tuto realitu skr\u00fdvat, odm\u00edtla se o rusk\u00e9m postupu zmi\u0148ovat, ani\u017e by jej ozna\u010dila zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00edc\u00edmi term\u00edny \u201epomal\u00fd\u201c nebo \u201es t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdmi ztr\u00e1tami\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm i mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed znepokojen\u00ed a hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201eboj\u00edch\u201c Ukrajiny o zadr\u017een\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho postupu letos v l\u00e9t\u011b a varuj\u00ed, \u017ee Ukrajina \u201em\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1le prohr\u00e1t\u201c. Rusko postupuje na z\u00e1pad pod\u00e9l cel\u00e9 \u2013 st\u00e1le se prodlu\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed \u2013 linie kontaktu, kterou siln\u011b oslaben\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly jen t\u011b\u017eko br\u00e1n\u00ed. Rusko nashrom\u00e1\u017edilo obrovsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 kontingenty v n\u011bkolika regionech, v\u010detn\u011b Sumsk\u00e9 a Pokrovsk\u00e9 oblasti. Vojska vstoupila do bl\u00edzkosti dvou strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch m\u011bst, kter\u00e1 p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed trasy pro ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly na v\u00fdchod\u011b. Blokov\u00e1n\u00ed t\u011bchto tras Moskvou zt\u00ed\u017e\u00ed Kyjevu z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed vojsk.<\/span><\/p>\n

V \u010dervnu rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly obsadily 556 kilometr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch \u00fazem\u00ed. Pro Ukrajinu se jedn\u00e1 o nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1tu \u00fazem\u00ed za jeden m\u011bs\u00edc p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm od listopadu 2024 a o zna\u010dn\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 ho\u0159k\u00e9 vyhlazovac\u00ed v\u00e1lce. Rusko dosahuje stabiln\u00edho postupu d\u00e1le na z\u00e1pad a ned\u00e1vno dobylo cenn\u00e1 lo\u017eiska lithia v lithiov\u00fdch pol\u00edch Dobra pobl\u00ed\u017e \u0160ev\u010denka v z\u00e1padn\u00edm Don\u011bcku. Tato ztr\u00e1ta je pro Ukrajinu z\u00e1sadn\u00ed, proto\u017ee tyto zdroje m\u011bly za c\u00edl udr\u017eet z\u00e1jem Washingtonu o dohodu o nerostn\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch, kterou ned\u00e1vno podepsal Trump s Kyjevem a kter\u00e1 nahradila bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky pro Ukrajinu. USA ozna\u010dily lithium za kritickou surovinu pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost. Toto lithiov\u00e9 pole pat\u0159\u00ed mezi nejcenn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b d\u00edky vysok\u00e9 koncentraci tohoto miner\u00e1lu. Tyto zdroje, kter\u00e9 jsou \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pro hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 o\u017eiven\u00ed Ukrajiny, jej\u00ed partnerstv\u00ed s USA a jej\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost, se nyn\u00ed nach\u00e1zej\u00ed na rusk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly postupuj\u00ed po sou\u0161i, Ukrajina je zasa\u017eov\u00e1na st\u00e1le rozs\u00e1hlej\u0161\u00edmi \u00fatoky dron\u016f a raket. V\u00fdznam t\u011bchto masivn\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f p\u0159esahuje samotn\u00e9 zasa\u017een\u00e9 c\u00edle. Oslabuj\u00ed ukrajinskou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu a otev\u00edraj\u00ed dve\u0159e budoucnosti, v n\u00ed\u017e Rusko nebude moci kontrolovat sv\u00e9 s\u00edly na obloze a Ukrajina bude zraniteln\u00e1 a bezbrann\u00e1. Ukrajina, kter\u00e1 nem\u00e1 dostatek raket pro svou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu, musela k sest\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed dron\u016f a raket pou\u017e\u00edt sv\u00e9 cenn\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky F-16. Koncem \u010dervna se jedna z t\u011bchto st\u00edha\u010dek z\u0159\u00edtila a jeden z m\u00e1la ukrajinsk\u00fdch pilot\u016f vycvi\u010den\u00fdch k \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed t\u011bchto modern\u00edch st\u00edha\u010dek zahynul p\u0159i ochran\u011b ukrajinsk\u00e9ho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru p\u0159ed rusk\u00fdmi raketami a drony.<\/span><\/p>\n

A situace se bude d\u00e1le zhor\u0161ovat. Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden Pentagon ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee zastav\u00ed dod\u00e1vky n\u011bkter\u00fdch protiletadlov\u00fdch raket a p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 munice.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA promrhaly ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed mno\u017estv\u00ed protiletadlov\u00fdch raket jak na Ukrajin\u011b, tak b\u011bhem izraelsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Ve v\u00fdpov\u011bdi p\u0159ed rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdm v\u00fdborem Sen\u00e1tu \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00ed n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch operac\u00ed admir\u00e1l James Kilby uvedl, \u017ee americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo vynakl\u00e1d\u00e1 svou munici na obranu proti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm raket\u00e1m \u201ealarmuj\u00edc\u00edm tempem\u201c. A nebylo to jen n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo: bylo odp\u00e1leno 39 pozemn\u00edch st\u00edhac\u00edch raket THAAD, co\u017e pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159edstavuje p\u011btinu v\u0161ech americk\u00fdch z\u00e1sob. Rozhodnut\u00ed o zastaven\u00ed dod\u00e1vek na Ukrajinu p\u0159i\u0161lo pot\u00e9, co p\u0159ezkum z\u00e1sob munice podle Kilbyho \u201evyvolal obavy, \u017ee celkov\u00fd po\u010det d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch gran\u00e1t\u016f, protiletadlov\u00fdch raket a p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00e9 munice kles\u00e1\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

V prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jist\u011b znepokoj\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 politiky, z\u00e1stupkyn\u011b tiskov\u00e9ho tajemn\u00edka B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu Anna Kellyov\u00e1 uvedla, \u017ee rozhodnut\u00ed bylo \u201ep\u0159ijato s c\u00edlem d\u00e1t na prvn\u00ed m\u00edsto z\u00e1jmy Ameriky po p\u0159ezkoum\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 podpory a pomoci na\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b jin\u00fdm zem\u00edm sv\u011bta ze strany ministerstva obrany\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zastaven\u00ed dod\u00e1vek se dotklo protivzdu\u0161n\u00fdch raket Patriot, d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch gran\u00e1t\u016f, p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdch st\u0159el a raket vzduch-zem\u011b Hellfire. Ovliv\u0148uje to nejen schopnost Ukrajiny br\u00e1nit se rusk\u00fdm dron\u016fm a raket\u00e1m, ale tak\u00e9 jej\u00ed vlastn\u00ed schopnost odpalovat st\u0159ely dlouh\u00e9ho doletu. To by byla v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 r\u00e1na pro vojensk\u00e9 schopnosti zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento t\u00fdden v\u0161ak Pentagon ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee Trump rozhodnut\u00ed zru\u0161il a na\u0159\u00eddil ministerstvu obrany dodat Ukrajin\u011b deset protiraketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f Patriot. Sta\u017een\u00ed zbran\u00ed prodlou\u017e\u00ed boje a zp\u016fsob\u00ed bolest, ale neovlivn\u00ed v\u00fdsledek v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Ukrajinu je alarmuj\u00edc\u00ed, \u017ee administrativa dosud neuvalila \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nov\u00e9 sankce proti Rusku. Na konci \u010dervna ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Marco Rubio zd\u00e1nliv\u011b vylou\u010dil nov\u00e9 sankce v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti s argumentem, \u017ee pokud by takov\u00e9 sankce byly zavedeny, USA by ztratily schopnost vyjedn\u00e1vat \u201ea hovo\u0159it s nimi o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

A nen\u00ed to jen sou\u010dasn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka \u2013 ale tak\u00e9 slibovan\u00e1 budoucnost z\u00e1padn\u00ed integrace a ochrany \u2013 co pro Ukrajinu vypad\u00e1 tak bez\u00fat\u011b\u0161n\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na ned\u00e1vno skon\u010den\u00e9m summitu NATO v Haagu byl z prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed summitu odstran\u011bn slib \u201enezvratn\u00e9 cesty\u201c Ukrajiny k \u201e\u010dlenstv\u00ed v NATO\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b znepokojiv\u00e9 pro Ukrajinu je i potvrzen\u00ed \u201etrval\u00e9ho suver\u00e9nn\u00edho z\u00e1vazku spojenc\u016f podporovat Ukrajinu\u201c v deklaraci. Jak mi vysv\u011btlil Ian Proud, ekonomick\u00fd poradce britsk\u00e9ho velvyslanectv\u00ed v Moskv\u011b v letech 2014 a\u017e 2019, zahrnut\u00ed slova \u201esuver\u00e9nn\u00ed\u201c sni\u017euje z\u00e1vazek z rozhodnut\u00ed v r\u00e1mci cel\u00e9ho NATO na rozhodnut\u00ed, kter\u00e9 mus\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd \u010dlensk\u00fd st\u00e1t u\u010dinit individu\u00e1ln\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kyjev se dnes mus\u00ed ob\u00e1vat nejen \u010dlenstv\u00ed v NATO, kter\u00e9 by Rusko nikdy nedovolilo, ale i \u010dlenstv\u00ed v Evropsk\u00e9 unii, k n\u011bmu\u017e se Rusko od invaze v \u00fanoru 2022 ob\u010das zd\u00e1lo b\u00fdt otev\u0159en\u00e9. Richard Sakwa, emeritn\u00ed profesor rusk\u00e9 a evropsk\u00e9 politologie na Univerzit\u011b v Kentu, mi v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m dopise \u0159ekl, \u017ee \u201erostouc\u00ed po\u010det \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f je st\u00e1le v\u00edce nespokojen s my\u0161lenkou \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v Evropsk\u00e9 unii\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ma\u010farsko se dlouhodob\u011b otev\u0159en\u011b stav\u00ed proti \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v EU a nov\u00fd polsk\u00fd prezident Karol Nawrocki vedl kampa\u0148 proti vstupu Ukrajiny do EU. Ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 podpora je n\u00edzk\u00e1 i v n\u011bkter\u00fdch dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch, v\u010detn\u011b \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajina byla od vyjednan\u00e9ho m\u00edru odv\u00e1d\u011bna sliby podpory na tak dlouhou dobu, jak bude pot\u0159eba k znovuz\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, oslaben\u00ed Ruska, zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti a p\u0159eorientov\u00e1n\u00ed se na Z\u00e1pad prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm integrace do NATO a EU. Nic z toho se nestalo a velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st z toho se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nikdy nestane.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00edb\u011bh v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uje k velmi smutn\u00e9mu konci. \u010c\u00edm d\u0159\u00edve se postav\u00edme t\u00e9to realit\u011b a ukon\u010d\u00edme v\u00e1lku realistick\u00fdm a trval\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm, t\u00edm lep\u0161\u00ed bude v\u00fdsledek pro Ukrajinu.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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V\u00edce zbran\u00ed pro Kyjev by jen odd\u00e1lilo nevyhnutelnou por\u00e1\u017eku P\u0159\u00edb\u011bh v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b se nikdy…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":37503,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,26,40,73],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83655"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83655"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83655\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37503"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83655"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83655"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83655"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}