{"id":83602,"date":"2025-07-16T00:11:49","date_gmt":"2025-07-15T22:11:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=83602"},"modified":"2025-07-15T12:34:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-15T10:34:58","slug":"andrew-korybko-trumpovo-dulezite-prohlaseni-o-rusku-je-neohrabanym-pokusem-navleknout-nit-do-jehly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/16\/andrew-korybko-trumpovo-dulezite-prohlaseni-o-rusku-je-neohrabanym-pokusem-navleknout-nit-do-jehly\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Trumpovo \u201ed\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed\u201c o Rusku je neohraban\u00fdm pokusem navl\u00e9knout nit do jehly"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Jeho hrozba sekund\u00e1rn\u00edch sankc\u00ed by se mohla obr\u00e1tit proti nim a po\u0161kodit vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy USA.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201e\u00a0Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>\u201c o Rusku, kter\u00e9 Trump d\u0159\u00edve vychvaloval, se uk\u00e1zalo jako neobratn\u00fd pokus prolnout nit mezi\u00a0radik\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalac\u00ed americk\u00e9 anga\u017eovanosti\u00a0<\/a>v\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9m konfliktu\u00a0<\/a>a\u00a0odklonem\u00a0<\/a>od n\u011bj. Jeho nov\u00fd t\u0159\u00edbodov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup zahrnuje: 1) rychl\u00e9 vysl\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0a\u017e 17 raketov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f Patriot\u00a0<\/a>na Ukrajinu; 2) dal\u0161\u00ed prodej zbran\u00ed zem\u00edm NATO\u00a0, kter\u00e9 je n\u00e1sledn\u011b\u00a0<\/a>dovezou na Ukrajinu; a 3)\u00a0a\u017e 100% sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed sankce\u00a0<\/a>v\u016f\u010di rusk\u00fdm obchodn\u00edm partner\u016fm, pokud nebude do 50 dn\u016f dosa\u017eeno m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody.<\/p>\n

V po\u0159ad\u00ed, v jak\u00e9m byly zm\u00edn\u011bny, je ka\u017ed\u00fd odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed krok zam\u011b\u0159en na: 1) pos\u00edlen\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany s c\u00edlem zpomalit tempo neust\u00e1l\u00e9ho rusk\u00e9ho pozemn\u00edho postupu; 2) pomoc Ukrajin\u011b s dobyt\u00edm \u010d\u00e1sti jej\u00edho ztracen\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed; a 3) donucen\u00ed \u010c\u00edny a Indie k vyv\u00edjen\u00ed tlaku na Rusko k p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Prvn\u00ed dva c\u00edle jsou samoz\u0159ejm\u00e9, druh\u00fd je nere\u00e1ln\u00fd vzhledem k ne\u00fasp\u011bchu mnohem siln\u011bji ozbrojen\u00e9\u00a0protiofenz\u00edvy Ukrajiny v l\u00e9t\u011b 2023\u00a0<\/a>, zat\u00edmco t\u0159et\u00ed vy\u017eaduje ur\u010dit\u00e9 rozpracov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Velk\u00fd dovoz zlevn\u011bn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 ropy do \u010c\u00edny a Indie poslou\u017eil jako kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd ventil proti tlaku z\u00e1padn\u00edch sankc\u00ed t\u00edm, \u017ee pomohl stabilizovat rubl a t\u00edm i ruskou ekonomiku obecn\u011b. P\u0159esto\u017ee tento dovoz pom\u00e1h\u00e1 i jejich vlastn\u00edm ekonomik\u00e1m, Trump s\u00e1z\u00ed na to, \u017ee ho p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm omez\u00ed, aby se vyhnuli jeho hroz\u00edc\u00edm 100% sekund\u00e1rn\u00edm sankc\u00edm. V\u00fdjimku by mohl ud\u011blat pro Evropany a Turky, kte\u0159\u00ed tak\u00e9 nakupuj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 zdroje pod z\u00e1minkou, \u017ee vyzbrojuj\u00ed Ukrajinu.<\/p>\n

Zam\u011b\u0159en\u00edm se na dva nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00e9 dovozce energie se Trump sna\u017e\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eit rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy, kter\u00e9 Kreml z t\u011bchto prodej\u016f z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zas\u00e9v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed rozpory v r\u00e1mci j\u00e1dra RIC, BRICS a SCO, a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna nebo Indie alespo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b vyhov\u00ed. P\u0159ed uplynut\u00edm lh\u016fty p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee jejich v\u016fdci \u2013 kte\u0159\u00ed jsou s Putinem dlouhodob\u00fdmi bl\u00edzk\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00e1teli \u2013 se ho pokus\u00ed p\u0159im\u011bt k p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 Z\u00e1pad chce, i kdy\u017e nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda by usp\u011bli.<\/p>\n

V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se Trump ocit\u00e1 v dilematu, kter\u00e9 si s\u00e1m zp\u016fsob\u00ed, pokud jedna z nich nespln\u00ed jeho po\u017eadavek na ukon\u010den\u00ed obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s Ruskem, nebo pokud jedna \u010di ob\u011b strany tak u\u010din\u00ed jen \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b. Musel by bu\u010f odlo\u017eit uvalen\u00ed hroz\u00edc\u00edch 100% sekund\u00e1rn\u00edch sankc\u00ed na ve\u0161ker\u00fd jejich dovoz, sn\u00ed\u017eit jejich \u00farove\u0148, nebo omezit jejich rozsah tak, aby se vztahoval pouze na spole\u010dnosti, kter\u00e9 st\u00e1le obchoduj\u00ed s Ruskem, jinak by mohlo doj\u00edt k v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm n\u00e1sledk\u016fm, zejm\u00e9na pokud by \u010c\u00edna byla tou, kter\u00e1 jej pln\u011b nespln\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jeho p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed dohoda s \u010c\u00ednou, kterou za\u010d\u00e1tkem kv\u011btna ozna\u010dil za \u201e\u00a0tot\u00e1ln\u00ed reset\u00a0<\/a>\u201c jejich vztah\u016f, by se mohla zhroutit a t\u00edm p\u00e1dem zv\u00fd\u0161it ceny pro Ameri\u010dany nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d zem\u011bmi. Pokud jde o Indii, mohly by se zhroutit i jejich prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed obchodn\u00ed rozhovory, co\u017e by mohlo vytvo\u0159it prostor pro pokrok v\u00a0rod\u00edc\u00edm se \u010d\u00ednsko-indick\u00e9m sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed,\u00a0<\/a>jeho\u017e existenci v pond\u011bl\u00ed\u00a0opatrn\u011b potvrdil\u00a0<\/a>jej\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed diplomat. Ka\u017ed\u00fd p\u0159\u00edpad odvety, nato\u017e oba sou\u010dasn\u011b, by mohl b\u00fdt pro americk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy velmi \u0161kodliv\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Trump\u016fv pokus o navle\u010den\u00ed nit\u011b do jehly proto nen\u00ed jen neohraban\u00fd, ale mohl by se tak\u00e9 v\u00e1\u017en\u011b obr\u00e1tit proti nim, co\u017e vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zku, pro\u010d s t\u00edm souhlasil. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee byl uveden v omyl a myslel si, \u017ee Putin souhlas\u00ed s p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm, kter\u00e9 nevy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny konfliktu, v\u00fdm\u011bnou za\u00a0strategick\u00e9 partnerstv\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na zdroje\u00a0<\/a>. Kdy\u017e Putin odm\u00edtl, Trump si to vzal osobn\u011b a\u00a0p\u0159edstavoval si, \u017ee si s n\u00edm Putin hraje\u00a0<\/a>, co\u017e vedlo k tomu, \u017ee ho Trumpovi poradci zmanipulovali do t\u00e9to eskalace jako pomstu.<\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeho hrozba sekund\u00e1rn\u00edch sankc\u00ed by se mohla obr\u00e1tit proti nim a po\u0161kodit vlastn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy USA….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":83603,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,22,452,814],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83602"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83602"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83602\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/83603"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}