{"id":83305,"date":"2025-07-11T06:19:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-11T04:19:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=83305"},"modified":"2025-07-11T06:19:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-11T04:19:00","slug":"michael-svatos-nova-taktika-ruskych-dalkovych-dronu-geranium-2-a-raket-iskander","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/11\/michael-svatos-nova-taktika-ruskych-dalkovych-dronu-geranium-2-a-raket-iskander\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Nov\u00e1 taktika rusk\u00fdch d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch dron\u016f Geranium 2 a raket Iskander"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Za posledn\u00edch 48 hodin nechal Putin na Ukrajince vypustit cekem 1156 d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch \u00fadern\u00fdch dron\u016f Ger\u00e1nium II a Gerbera, a 17 kus\u016f r\u016fzn\u00fdch raket, (celkem 1173). Rusk\u00e9 posledn\u00ed \u00fatoky pro\u0161ly ukrajinskou obranou jako n\u016f\u017e m\u00e1slem, a zp\u016fsobily v Kyjev\u011b a v dal\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1padoukrajinsk\u00fdch m\u011bstech nejen \u010detn\u00e9 po\u017e\u00e1ry, a devastace, ale i velkou nespokojenost m\u00edstn\u00edch obyvatel a politik\u016f.\u00a0A ti vyjad\u0159ovali zna\u010dn\u00e9 zd\u011b\u0161en\u00ed nad n\u00e1r\u016fstem \u010detnosti \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f<\/a>.\u00a0(Velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 video zde<\/a>.)\u00a0Rusov\u00e9 oproti lo\u0148sk\u00e9mu \u010dervenci 10 kr\u00e1t zv\u00fd\u0161ili po\u010dty \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edch dron\u016f<\/a>,\u00a0a ty za\u010daly dopadat i na zat\u00edm klidn\u00e1 z\u00e1padoukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta. A\u010dkoli Zelensk\u00e9ho brann\u00e1 moc se v\u010dera op\u011bt sv\u00fdm ob\u010dan\u016fm chlubila, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161inu z vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch raket a dron\u016f zne\u0161kodnila, (1110 ze 1173), zadokumentovan\u00fd rozsah nap\u00e1chan\u00fdch \u0161kod, i ostr\u00e1, v\u010dera proti Zelensk\u00e9ho neschopnosti sest\u0159elovat rusk\u00e9 drony zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 r\u00e9torika kyjevsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed u\u017e jasn\u011b nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00fdch \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edch dron\u016f a raket usp\u011blo zas\u00e1hnout c\u00edle mnohem v\u00edc, ne\u017e bylo p\u0159edt\u00edm obvykl\u00e9.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Nov\u00e1 taktika rusk\u00fdch d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch dron\u016f uplatn\u011bn\u00e1 p\u0159i posledn\u00edch dvou \u00fatoc\u00edch (celkem 1173 dron\u016f a raket)\u00a0\u0161okovala z\u00e1padn\u00ed analytiky<\/a>, proto\u017ee rusk\u00e9 drony bez v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch pot\u00ed\u017e\u00ed prolet\u011bly celou Ukrajinou a zasahovaly poprv\u00e9 i c\u00edle na z\u00e1padn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b. (Podrobn\u00fd rozbor taktiky v anal\u00fdze.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Leteck\u00fd expert a vedouc\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Kyjevsk\u00e9ho leteck\u00e9ho muzea Valerij Roman\u011bnko v\u010dera tvrd\u011b kritizoval obrannou taktiku proti n\u00e1let\u016fm rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f<\/a>. Podle Roman\u011bnka, Zelensk\u00e9ho generalita soust\u0159e\u010fuje ve\u0161ker\u00e9 sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed na sest\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed celkem ne\u0161kodn\u00fdch dron\u016f Gerbera, proto\u017ee l\u00e9taj\u00ed pomalu, (nanejv\u00fd\u0161 150km\/h), a daj\u00ed se tak dob\u0159e sest\u0159elit, a Kyjev tak m\u016f\u017ee chrlit sv\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla o \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nosti sv\u00e9 obrany proti dron\u016fm.\u00a0 Drony Gerbera p\u0159itom nesou malou n\u00e1lo\u017e, maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 5kg v\u00fdbu\u0161niny, (pro srovn\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0gran\u00e1t 122mm = 3 a\u017e 5kg v\u00fdbu\u0161niny<\/a>, gran\u00e1t 155mm = 12 kg v\u00fdbu\u0161niny), a \u010dasto l\u00e9taj\u00ed i bez n\u00e1lo\u017ee, proto\u017ee slou\u017e\u00ed pouze jako l\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00ed n\u00e1vnada pro ukrajinskou PVO.<\/p>\n

Dron Gerbera svou n\u00e1lo\u017e\u00ed 5kg dok\u00e1\u017ee podle Roman\u011bnka pouze zpusto\u0161it byt, nebo jeho velikosti odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed objekt. Dron Geranium II ov\u0161em nese n\u00e1lo\u017e 90kg v\u00fdbu\u0161niny, a tak dok\u00e1\u017ee zni\u010dit cel\u00fd d\u016fm, nebo podobn\u00fd objekt. P\u0159i posledn\u00edch n\u00e1letech se uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee 1\/2 rusk\u00fdch \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edch dron\u016f byly drony Gerbera, a podle Roman\u011bnka velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st z nich ani nenesla \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 n\u00e1lo\u017ee, a v\u011bt\u0161inu z nich Ukrajinci ani nesest\u0159elili, ale drony Gerbera pouze po vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed paliva spadly ne\u0161kodn\u011b na zem, jak Rusov\u00e9 ostatn\u011b pl\u00e1novali. Celou ukrajinskou taktiku boje proti dron\u016fm je podle Roman\u011bnka t\u0159eba okam\u017eit\u011b p\u0159epracovat. Nov\u011b m\u00e1 b\u00fdt zak\u00e1z\u00e1no \u00fato\u010dit na drony let\u00edc\u00ed rychlost\u00ed pod 150km, proto\u017ee to jsou ne\u0161kodn\u00e9 Gerbera, a v\u0161echny ukrajinsk\u00e9 prost\u0159edky se mus\u00ed soust\u0159edit v\u00fdhradn\u011b na boj proti dron\u016fm Geranium. To je pr\u00fd jednoduch\u00e9, proto\u017ee se na radarech poznaj\u00ed svoji polovi\u010dn\u00ed letovou rychlost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d Ukrajinci za\u010dali p\u0159i posledn\u00edch rusk\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch sest\u0159elovat hlavn\u011b drony Gerbera, je nanejv\u00fd\u0161 zaj\u00edmav\u00e9. Ve st\u0159edu 11. \u010dervna 2025 ozn\u00e1mil poslanec Ukrajiny Oleksij Hon\u010darenko,\u00a0\u017ee vl\u00e1da na\u0159\u00eddila vypl\u00e1cet za sest\u0159elen\u00ed 1 rusk\u00e9ho d\u00e1lkov\u00e9ho dronu 100 000 H\u0159iven<\/a>, (cca 50 tis\u00edc CZK), a od t\u00e9 doby po\u010dty sest\u0159elen\u00fdch dron\u016f Gerbera rapidn\u011b narostly, kde\u017eto drony Geranium za\u010daly v\u00edce zasahovat sv\u00e9 c\u00edle. Proto\u017ee podle leteck\u00e9ho experta Roman\u011bnka je pomalu let\u00edc\u00ed dron Gerbera snadn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sest\u0159elit ne\u017e rychle let\u00edc\u00ed dron Geranium, asi tak nebude n\u00e1hoda, \u017ee Ukrajinci za\u010dali najednou houfn\u011b sest\u0159elovat drony Gerbera, \u017ee?<\/p>\n

Zelenskyj, kter\u00fd se na Ukrajin\u011b st\u00e1v\u00e1, pro zp\u016fsob s jak\u00fdm bezv\u00fdsledn\u011b v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch vede v\u00e1lku proti Rusku, st\u00e1le neobl\u00edben\u011bj\u0161\u00edm, v\u010dera, v reakci na posledn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky drony a raketami, tvrdil,\u00a0\u017ee Rusov\u00e9 budou brzy na Ukrajinu vypou\u0161t\u011bt 1000 d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch \u00fadern\u00fdch dron\u016f denn\u011b, ov\u0161em, \u017ee Ukrajina u\u017e m\u00e1 pl\u00e1n, jak je v\u0161echny sest\u0159el\u00ed<\/a>. Zelensk\u00e9ho pl\u00e1n je jednoduch\u00fd \u2013 Z\u00e1pad vypl\u00e1zne Ukrajin\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed miliardy EUR a dolar\u016f, a Zelensk\u00e9ho re\u017eim za n\u011b vyrob\u00ed desetitis\u00edce st\u00edhac\u00edch dron\u016f, a ty pak v\u0161echny rusk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00ed drony sest\u0159el\u00ed. T\u00edmto pl\u00e1nem se net\u0159eba p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 zab\u00fdvat, proto\u017ee v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch nebude pro technologicko-v\u00fdrobn\u00ed n\u00e1ro\u010dnost realizov\u00e1n, kde\u017eto rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky budou pokra\u010dovat. Proto Zelenskyj ozn\u00e1mil i druh\u00fd pl\u00e1n, a podle n\u011bj\u00a0Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie dod\u00e1 Ukrajin\u011b 5000 raket vyroben\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed Thales<\/a>, a ty s rusk\u00fdmi drony zato\u010d\u00ed. Spole\u010dnost Thales vyr\u00e1b\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1 nejlep\u0161\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9 antirakety proti dron\u016fm typ\u016f Starstreak.<\/p>\n

Le\u010d prvn\u00ed probl\u00e9m p\u0159edstavuje jejich cena 107 000 USD<\/a>, kter\u00e1 je nejm\u00e9n\u011b 4 kr\u00e1t vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e cena dronu Geranium II, a nejm\u00e9n\u011b 8 kr\u00e1t vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e cena dronu Gerbera. A druh\u00fd probl\u00e9m je v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacita. Thales nyn\u00ed dod\u00e1v\u00e1 rakety Starstreak Indii, a a\u010dkoli po\u010det dod\u00e1van\u00fdch raket nen\u00ed ve\u0159ejn\u00fd, z indick\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f se d\u00e1 uva\u017eovat o 500 odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edch a 3000 raket\u00e1ch dod\u00e1van\u00fdch podle smlouvy od roku 2024,\u00a0p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e prvn\u00ed z\u00e1silka byla vypravena teprve v \u00fanoru 2025<\/a>. A\u010dkoli Thales, kter\u00fd tyto rakety vyr\u00e1b\u00ed v Belfastu, loni zv\u00fd\u0161il jejich v\u00fdrobu, lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee 5000 raket zvl\u00e1dne Zelensk\u00e9mu dodat nejd\u0159\u00edve do konce leto\u0161n\u00edho roku, za cenu 0.5 miliardy USD. Pokud by dod\u00e1vky za\u010daly tento m\u011bs\u00edc a kontinu\u00e1ln\u011b pokra\u010dovaly do konce roku, mohl by Zelenskyj nasadit do boje proti 15 000 p\u0159il\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00edch rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f Geranium a Gerbera ka\u017ed\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc 800 raket Starstreak, a souboj s rusk\u00fdmi drony, kter\u00fd te\u010f prohr\u00e1v\u00e1, by nijak nezvr\u00e1til.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d kolektivn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad v\u00e1lku dron\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b prohr\u00e1v\u00e1, je z\u0159ejm\u00e9.\u00a0Pentagon v r\u00e1mci projektu LASSO zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9ho na n\u00e1kup mal\u00fdch zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f nyn\u00ed nakupuje drony v cen\u011b 170 000 USD za kus<\/a>,\u00a0p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e jenom kamera tohoto dronu stoj\u00ed 500 USD, a je tak skoro stejn\u011b drah\u00e1 jako jeden cel\u00fd rusk\u00fd zabij\u00e1ck\u00fd dron. Co plat\u00ed o v\u00fdrob\u011b zabij\u00e1ck\u00fdch dron\u016f, plat\u00ed i pro ostatn\u00ed drony a rakety. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbran\u011b jsou tak neskute\u010dn\u011b drah\u00e9, \u017ee v souboji s cenov\u011b efektivn\u00ed Ruskou masou nemaj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou \u0161anci.<\/p>\n

Podle rusk\u00fdch analytik\u016f<\/a>\u00a0drony Geranium-II a Gerbera nyn\u00ed snadno p\u0159ekon\u00e1vaj\u00ed Ukrajinskou obranu, proto\u017ee bylo vylep\u0161eno jejich nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed na c\u00edl, rychlost, dolet, i schopnost prov\u00e1d\u011bt \u00fahybn\u00e9 man\u00e9vry, a proto u\u017e nyn\u00ed nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt vypou\u0161t\u011bny jenom z Brjansk\u00e9 oblasti Ruska, ale mohou vyl\u00e9tat z libovoln\u00e9ho rusk\u00e9ho regionu pod\u00e9l cel\u00e9 hranice s Ukrajinou. A proto\u017ee l\u00e9taj\u00ed ve velk\u00fdch po\u010dtech, snadno p\u0159e\u010d\u00edsl\u00ed slabou ukrajinskou PVO. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se tak, \u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 po\u010dty \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edch rusk\u00fdch d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch dron\u016f, letos na podzim zcela rozvr\u00e1t\u00ed u\u017e tak zna\u010dn\u011b po\u0161kozenou ukrajinskou energetiku.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Za posledn\u00edch 48 hodin nechal Putin na Ukrajince vypustit cekem 1156 d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch \u00fadern\u00fdch dron\u016f Ger\u00e1nium…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":83306,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,2856,349,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83305"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83305"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83305\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/83306"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83305"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83305"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83305"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}