{"id":82958,"date":"2025-07-07T00:24:46","date_gmt":"2025-07-06T22:24:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=82958"},"modified":"2025-07-06T15:29:06","modified_gmt":"2025-07-06T13:29:06","slug":"zavery-nelegalni-valky-kterou-zapad-s-nadsenim-vedl-a-prohral","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/07\/zavery-nelegalni-valky-kterou-zapad-s-nadsenim-vedl-a-prohral\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1v\u011bry neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kterou Z\u00e1pad s nad\u0161en\u00edm vedl a prohr\u00e1l"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo bylo zru\u0161eno a nikdy p\u0159edt\u00edm nebyly ud\u00e1losti tak z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b zkreslov\u00e1ny. Ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n, reakce Teher\u00e1nu, kter\u00e1 Izraeli m\u00e1lem zlomila vaz. Bolestiv\u00e9 porodn\u00ed k\u0159e\u010de nov\u00fdch politick\u00fdch realit \u2013 v\u00e1lka dvou sv\u011bt\u016f.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Zaveden\u00ed<\/h3>\n<p>Americk\u00fd prezident Trump si d\u011bl\u00e1, co chce, jeho n\u00e1zory se m\u011bn\u00ed ka\u017edou hodinu a jeho \u010diny poru\u0161uj\u00ed americk\u00e9 i mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo. O \u00fatoku USA na \u00cdr\u00e1n jsme ji\u017e informovali v \u010dl\u00e1nku \u201e\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/article\/trump-has-decided-to-attack-iran-this-will-have-consequences-for-the-whole-world-1423\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Trump se rozhodl a \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 Bude to m\u00edt d\u016fsledky \u2013 pro cel\u00fd sv\u011bt?<\/a>\u00a0\u201c z 22. \u010dervna. Nyn\u00ed m\u00e1me nov\u00e9 perspektivy.<\/p>\n<p>V tomto \u010dl\u00e1nku se zab\u00fdv\u00e1me naprost\u00fdm vojensk\u00fdm a strategick\u00fdm selh\u00e1n\u00edm izraelsk\u00fdch a americk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na \u00cdr\u00e1n, reakc\u00ed \u00fato\u010dn\u00edka, kter\u00e1 p\u0159ivedla Izrael na pokraj zk\u00e1zy, \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm\u201c a d\u016fvody, pro\u010d \u00cdr\u00e1n u\u0161et\u0159il Izrael p\u0159ed mo\u017en\u00fdm \u00fapln\u00fdm zni\u010den\u00edm. Dvan\u00e1ct dn\u00ed, kter\u00e9 obsahuj\u00ed v\u0161e.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Izrael a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty selhaly<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Zm\u011bna re\u017eimu selhala \u2013 Sjednocen\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid<\/h4>\n<p>V\u00e1lku proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, spole\u010dn\u011b napl\u00e1novanou a podn\u00edcenou Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a Izraelem, prohr\u00e1ly ob\u011b strany. I nepoliti\u010dt\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00edci jsou st\u00e1le v\u00edce udiveni prostoduchost\u00ed, s n\u00ed\u017e Z\u00e1pad, kter\u00fd kdysi dominoval sv\u011btu, neust\u00e1le zatahuje cel\u00e9 regiony do nov\u00fdch katastrof, postr\u00e1d\u00e1 jakoukoli lidskost p\u0159i sledov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f a pohrd\u00e1 pravidly, kter\u00e1 si s\u00e1m stanovil. A\u0165 se na toto dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed d\u00edv\u00e1te jakkoli, nem\u011blo \u0161anci na \u00fasp\u011bch.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Reza Pahlevi jako nov\u00fd \u0161\u00e1h \u2013 rozmazlen\u00fd spratek hledaj\u00edc\u00ed pen\u00edze<\/h4>\n<p>Nejstar\u0161\u00ed syn posledn\u00edho \u0161\u00e1ha opustil \u00cdr\u00e1n s rodinou sv\u00e9ho otce na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 1979. Ukraden\u00e9 miliardy umo\u017enily t\u011bmto mnoha student\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed nedokon\u010dili vysokou \u0161kolu, v\u00e9st v\u00edce ne\u017e pohodln\u00fd \u017eivot. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee tyto pen\u00edze doch\u00e1zej\u00ed u\u017e l\u00e9ta. D\u016fkazem toho jsou soudn\u00ed procesy ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, v nich\u017e se s zam\u011bstnanci a mana\u017eery h\u00e1dal o pen\u00edze. Je proto na mizin\u011b a hled\u00e1 nov\u00fd zdroj ob\u017eivy. Pahlevi str\u00e1vil cel\u00fd \u017eivot ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, nikdy se nestaral o blaho sv\u00e9 zem\u011b a nyn\u00ed je Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, Brity a Izraelem vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n jako loutka \u2013 s vyhl\u00eddkou na spoustu pen\u011bz.<\/p>\n<p>Jeho otec se ji\u017e dostal k moci jako neleg\u00e1ln\u00ed loutka. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid demokraticky zvolil liber\u00e1ln\u00edho profesora Mohammada Mossadegha. Pot\u00e9, co omezil moc britsk\u00fdch a americk\u00fdch ropn\u00fdch gigant\u016f, aby mohl obrovsk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 bohatstv\u00ed p\u0159ev\u00e9st na sv\u016fj lid, Britov\u00e9 a Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 rychle zareagovali. S tajnou slu\u017ebou Operace\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/article\/war-without-peace-666#:~:text=In%201953%2C%20for%20example%2C%20the%20CIA%20%2D%20together%20with%20the%20British%20MI6%20%2D%20overthrew%20the%20democratically%20elected%20Iranian%20Prime%20Minister%20Mohammad%20Mossadegh%20in%20Operation%20AJAX%20in%20order%20to%20restore%20the%20Shah%20to%20the%20Peacock%20Throne.%20The%20reason%2C%20as%20so%20often%2C%20was%20the%20black%20gold.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ajax<\/a>\u00a0provedly MI-6 a CIA pu\u010d proti Mossadeghovi a dosadily \u0161\u00e1ha jako loutku. Zvr\u00e1til demokratick\u00e9 v\u00fddobytky a vr\u00e1til bohatstv\u00ed Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm a Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 zase donutili Brity k z\u00e1niku podnik\u00e1n\u00ed. Obchod je obchod. \u0160\u00e1h byl za tuto prostitu\u010dn\u00ed slu\u017ebu \u0161t\u011bd\u0159e placen.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a class=\"single-popup\" href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-74.png?quality=100&amp;ssl=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-469338 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-74.png?resize=792%2C556&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-74.png?w=792&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 792w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-74.png?resize=300%2C211&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-74.png?resize=768%2C539&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-74.png?resize=90%2C63&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 90w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-74.png?resize=320%2C225&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 320w,https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-74.png?resize=600%2C422&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;_jb=custom 1913w\" alt=\"\" width=\"567\" height=\"398\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Premi\u00e9r Mohammad Mossadegh \u2013 Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Dal\u0161\u00ed nechutn\u00e9 opat\u0159en\u00ed: Aby se \u0161\u00e1h udr\u017eel u moci, byl Mosad najat, aby pro nov\u00e9 p\u00e1ny z\u0159\u00eddil nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1mou tajnou policii SAVAK. P\u0159i tom se op\u00edral o podporu gestapa a specialist\u016f SS, kte\u0159\u00ed byli v N\u011bmecku v roce 1945 zbaveni moci.<\/p>\n<p>V kontextu tohoto p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu se Z\u00e1pad sna\u017e\u00ed dosadit v \u00cdr\u00e1nu tuto pochybnou loutku v nerealistick\u00e9 v\u00ed\u0159e, \u017ee dok\u00e1\u017ee zopakovat Ajaxovu kampa\u0148. Pahlevimu proto bylo dovoleno apelovat na sv\u016fj lid v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei \u2013\u00a0 ve francouz\u0161tin\u011b\u00a0<em>nota bene<\/em>\u00a0\u00a0. Pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n je tak\u00e9 projev p\u0159ed britsk\u00fdm parlamentem. Tyto \u0161pinav\u00e9 triky se pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed k tomu, aby si z\u00e1padn\u00ed obyvatelstvo zvyklo na po\u017eadovan\u00e9ho v\u016fdce. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid v t\u00e9to v\u011bci nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 slovo \u2013 nebo si to alespo\u0148 z\u00e1padn\u00ed mocnosti mysl\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed fotografie ukazuje mlad\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e1ha b\u011bhem n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy Izraele 17. dubna 2023 s Benjaminem Netanjahuem a izraelsk\u00fdm ministrem zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb Gilou Gamlielem.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a class=\"single-popup\" href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-75.png?quality=100&amp;ssl=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-469339 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-75.png?resize=791%2C597&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-75.png?w=791&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 791w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-75.png?resize=300%2C226&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-75.png?resize=768%2C580&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 768w,https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-75.png?resize=600%2C453&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;_jb=custom 1913w\" alt=\"\" width=\"670\" height=\"506\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Zleva doprava: premi\u00e9r Benjamin Netanjahu, Reza Pahlav\u00ed, ministr zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb Gila Gamliel.<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-spacer\" aria-hidden=\"true\">Zvr\u00e1cen\u00e1 strategie Z\u00e1padu v jedin\u00e9m obraze: pot\u00e9, co byl posledn\u00ed demokratick\u00fd prezident sesazen spolu s otcem budouc\u00edho \u0161\u00e1ha, se klonovan\u00fd syn vyd\u00e1v\u00e1 na podobn\u00e9 dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed,\u00a0 <em>nota bene<\/em>\u00a0\u00a0in minne, s Netanjahuem, kter\u00fd cht\u011bl p\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny bombardovat cestu ke zm\u011bn\u011b re\u017eimu v Teher\u00e1nu a zab\u00edt v\u011bdce a vojensk\u00fd person\u00e1l, ale i mnoho civilist\u016f v \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Moje zdroje v \u00cdr\u00e1nu krout\u00ed hlavou: nikdo v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, mlad\u00fd ani star\u00fd, ani ti, kdo milovali star\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e1ha, by tohohle mal\u00e9ho chlapce necht\u011bl.<\/div>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Relativn\u011b mal\u00e9 \u0161kody v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, ale mnoho \u00famrt\u00ed<\/h4>\n<p>\u00cdr\u00e1n je geograficky t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 stejn\u011b velk\u00fd jako z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropa, 75kr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Izrael a m\u00e1 desetkr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed populaci ne\u017e Izrael. Je proto logick\u00e9, \u017ee \u0161kody, kter\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1n utrp\u011bl p\u0159i vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bn\u011b \u00fader\u016f s Izraelem, byly relativn\u011b mal\u00e9 ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u017eidovsk\u00fdm st\u00e1tem, kter\u00fd je co do rozlohy velmi mal\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Jadern\u00fd program byl zasa\u017een pouze na povrchu, a to doslova i obrazn\u011b. Vchody do podzemn\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a bunkr\u016f byly zni\u010deny; jednalo se o symbolick\u00e9 \u0161kody. Trumpovy zpr\u00e1vy o v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed byly tak nep\u0159esn\u00e9, \u017ee se ani americk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby ve sv\u00fdch ozn\u00e1men\u00edch nedr\u017eely sv\u00e9ho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edho v\u016fdce a sp\u00ed\u0161e se p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u011bly k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu pohledu na v\u011bc.<\/p>\n<p>Je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 posoudit, do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry \u00fatoky st\u00edn\u00e1n\u00edm hlav nam\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 proti v\u011bdc\u016fm a vojensk\u00fdm v\u016fdc\u016fm oslabily v\u011bdeck\u00e9 a vojensk\u00e9 schopnosti \u00cdr\u00e1nu. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b m\u011bly tyto \u00fatoky na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid p\u0159esn\u011b opa\u010dn\u00fd \u00fa\u010dinek, ne\u017e jak\u00fd zam\u00fd\u0161lel Z\u00e1pad: \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid je nyn\u00ed sjednocen\u00fd za sv\u00fdmi v\u016fdci, v\u010detn\u011b skupiny ml\u00e1de\u017ee, kter\u00e1 chce modernizaci spole\u010dnosti v zemi. \u00datok proto selhal nejen vojensky, ale i soci\u00e1ln\u011b.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Izrael na pokraji katastrofy<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Obrovsk\u00e9 \u0161kody \u2013 fotografov\u00e1n\u00ed a report\u00e1\u017ee zak\u00e1z\u00e1ny<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><strong>N\u00e1hled<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>N\u00e1\u0161 kolega a p\u0159\u00edtel Larry Johnson ze\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/sonar21.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Sonar21<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u2013 b\u00fdval\u00fd analytik CIA \u2013 sestavil n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159ehled \u0161kod zp\u016fsoben\u00fdch Izraeli.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><a class=\"single-popup\" href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-76.png?quality=100&amp;ssl=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-469340 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-76.png?resize=576%2C1024&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-76.png?w=576&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 576w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-76.png?resize=169%2C300&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 169w,https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-76.png?resize=580%2C1032&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;_jb=custom 1913w\" alt=\"\" width=\"576\" height=\"1024\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>P\u0159ehled \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f proti Izraeli<\/em><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Tel Aviv-Jaffa<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Pokud byste p\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny na X hledali sn\u00edmky zk\u00e1zy, na\u0161li byste, co jste hledali. N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed sn\u00edmek \u00fapln\u00e9 zk\u00e1zy Tel Avivu (vlevo) poch\u00e1z\u00ed z videa, kter\u00e9 jsme cht\u011bli pou\u017e\u00edt pro tento \u010dl\u00e1nek. Nep\u0159ekvapuje n\u00e1s, \u017ee video bylo smaz\u00e1no \u2013 zbyl jen sn\u00edmek obrazovky. Fotografie vlevo ukazuje Tel Aviv a ta vpravo Berl\u00edn v roce 1945. Krom\u011b toho, \u017ee fotografie z Tel Avivu je barevn\u00e1 a fotografie z Berl\u00edna \u010dernob\u00edl\u00e1, nen\u00ed v rozsahu zk\u00e1zy \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd rozd\u00edl. Nep\u0159ekvapuje n\u00e1s, \u017ee izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady zak\u00e1zaly po\u0159izov\u00e1n\u00ed nebo distribuci fotografi\u00ed zk\u00e1zy pod trestem n\u011bkolika let odn\u011bt\u00ed svobody \u2013 i kdy\u017e s m\u00edrn\u00fdm \u00fasp\u011bchem. Nen\u00ed t\u0159eba dod\u00e1vat, \u017ee takov\u00e9 fotografie se v z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00edch nenach\u00e1zej\u00ed.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a class=\"single-popup\" href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-77.png?quality=100&amp;ssl=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-469341 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-77.png?resize=952%2C587&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-77.png?w=952&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 952w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-77.png?resize=300%2C185&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-77.png?resize=768%2C474&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 768w,https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-77.png?resize=600%2C370&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;_jb=custom 1913w\" alt=\"\" width=\"813\" height=\"501\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>vlevo: Tel Aviv \u2013 \u010derven 2025; vpravo: Berl\u00edn \u2013 1945<\/em><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-spacer\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><strong>Izraelsk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u00cdr\u00e1nci tak\u00e9 \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b za\u00fato\u010dili na izraelsk\u00e9 zbrojn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti. St\u00e1tn\u00ed zbrojn\u00ed spole\u010dnost Rafael, kter\u00e1 byla napadena, je klenotem izraelsk\u00e9ho zbrojn\u00edho pr\u016fmyslu. Jej\u00ed v\u00fdrobn\u00ed program sah\u00e1 od protitankov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a\u017e po \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 st\u0159ely, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed drony a kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 komponenty izraelsk\u00fdch strategick\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f protiraketov\u00e9 obrany Iron Dome a David\u016fv prak.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a class=\"single-popup\" href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-78.png?quality=100&amp;ssl=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-469342 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-78.png?resize=945%2C504&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-78.png?w=945&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 945w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-78.png?resize=300%2C160&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-78.png?resize=768%2C410&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 768w,https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-78.png?resize=600%2C320&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;_jb=custom 1913w\" alt=\"\" width=\"761\" height=\"406\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Spole\u010dnost Rafael p\u016fsob\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u011b a m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 dce\u0159inou spole\u010dnost\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/dn-defence.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dynamit Nobel Defence<\/a>\u00a0v N\u011bmecku .<\/em><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Infrastruktura<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Zem\u011b m\u00e1 t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstavy: Haifu, Ejlat a A\u0161dod. Jemen\u0161t\u00ed H\u00fat\u00edov\u00e9 \u201euzav\u0159eli\u201c Ejlat p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edci blokov\u00e1n\u00edm pr\u016flivu Bab al-Mandab, vstupu do Adensk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i pro lod\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00edc\u00ed do Izraele nebo z Izraele. P\u0159\u00edstav je od t\u00e9 doby uzav\u0159en.<\/p>\n<p>Od 13. \u010dervna 2025 byla haifsk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edstavn\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v reakci na izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n tak v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zni\u010dena, \u017ee nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b po dlouhou dobu velmi omezen\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n. To plat\u00ed i pro ropnou rafinerii nach\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed se v oblasti p\u0159\u00edstavu. Ob\u011b za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed jsou z\u00e1kladn\u00edmi sou\u010d\u00e1stmi izraelsk\u00e9 ekonomiky. Haifou proch\u00e1z\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 % izraelsk\u00e9ho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu. Pod\u00edl rafinerie na izraelsk\u00e9m trhu je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X Post\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=true&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1934470522265317777&amp;lang=cs&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Freseauinternational.net%2Fconclusions-dune-guerre-illegale-que-loccident-a-menee-et-perdue-avec-enthousiasme%2F&amp;sessionId=22ec0a2cf872159fe56addfda3b92bc45cccec3a&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1934470522265317777\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Haifsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav dnes<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ale A\u0161dod, \u200b\u200bt\u0159et\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav, byl tak\u00e9 tak t\u011b\u017ece zasa\u017een, \u017ee ameri\u010dt\u00ed pozorovatel\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1daj\u00ed, \u017ee jeho efektivn\u00ed kapacita je pouze 40 a\u017e 50 procent.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"embed-twitter\">\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-1\" class=\"\" title=\"X Post\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=true&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-1&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=1854219794771312930&amp;lang=cs&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Freseauinternational.net%2Fconclusions-dune-guerre-illegale-que-loccident-a-menee-et-perdue-avec-enthousiasme%2F&amp;sessionId=22ec0a2cf872159fe56addfda3b92bc45cccec3a&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=2615f7e52b7e0%3A1702314776716&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"1854219794771312930\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Leti\u0161t\u011b Ben Guriona v Tel Avivu, dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 br\u00e1na do sv\u011bta, bylo tak\u00e9 z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zni\u010deno.<\/p>\n<p>Zni\u010den\u00ed \u2013 a to mnoh\u00e9 p\u0159ekvapilo \u2013 v\u0161ak zas\u00e1hlo i vojenskou infrastrukturu. Izrael do 13. \u010dervna 2025 p\u0159esunul sv\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky na britskou z\u00e1kladnu na Kypru. Bez t\u00e9to mo\u017enosti by drah\u00e9 letadlo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b bylo zni\u010deno spolu s vojensk\u00fdmi leti\u0161ti.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00cdr\u00e1n hl\u00e1s\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty person\u00e1lu na izraelsk\u00e9 stran\u011b<\/h3>\n<p>Z\u00e1pad piln\u011b \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed informace o po\u010dtu eliminovan\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch v\u011bdc\u016f a d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f. Izraelci o sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch ml\u010d\u00ed.\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/The_beauties_of_Iranii\/10068\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 zdroje<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed: Byl napaden izraelsk\u00fd web bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch slo\u017eek. Informace o izraelsk\u00fdch ztr\u00e1t\u00e1ch byly poskytnuty takto: 6 vysoce postaven\u00fdch gener\u00e1l\u016f; 32 agent\u016f Mossadu; 78 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f \u0160in Bet (dom\u00e1c\u00ed rozv\u011bdky); 27 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f; 198 d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f letectva; a 462 voj\u00e1k\u016f. Tuto informaci jsme nebyli schopni ov\u011b\u0159it, ale nezd\u00e1 se n\u00e1m nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>40 % Tel Avivu je zni\u010deno \u2013 Izraeli do\u0161la munice<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Ameri\u010dt\u00ed analytici, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad Douglas Macgregor, odhaduj\u00ed, \u017ee 40 % Tel Avivu bylo zni\u010deno. Zni\u010deno, ne po\u0161kozeno. V\u00fd\u0161e \u200b\u200buveden\u00e9 obr\u00e1zky ukazuj\u00ed rozd\u00edl mezi \u201epo\u0161kozeno\u201c a \u201ezni\u010deno\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Izraelsk\u00e1 tolik vychvalovan\u00e1 \u201e\u017delezn\u00e1 kopule\u201c selhala. Vzhledem k rozsahu \u0161kod nen\u00ed term\u00edn \u201euboh\u00fd\u201c pro popis tohoto z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00e9ho \u0161t\u00edtu (\u017delezn\u00e9 kopule) p\u0159ita\u017een\u00fd za vlasy.<\/p>\n<p>Izrael byl nav\u00edc pora\u017een: d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00e9 zdroje n\u00e1m sd\u011blily, \u017ee Izraelc\u016fm prakticky do\u0161la munice. B\u011bhem t\u011bchto 12 dn\u016f v\u00e1lky Izrael pou\u017eil tolik obrann\u00fdch raket, kolik Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dok\u00e1\u017eou vyrobit za dva roky. Syst\u00e9m tedy nejen\u017ee nefunguje tak, jak je inzerov\u00e1no, ale jeho v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacita znamen\u00e1, \u017ee jej nelze pou\u017e\u00edvat udr\u017eiteln\u011b.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Finan\u010dn\u011b neudr\u017eiteln\u00fd syst\u00e9m<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Pokud se pod\u00edv\u00e1te na zbran\u011b pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00e9 v tomto syst\u00e9mu, je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Iron Dome nelze finan\u010dn\u011b zneu\u017e\u00edt p\u0159i skute\u010dn\u00e9m \u00fatoku. Iron Dome se skl\u00e1d\u00e1 z r\u016fzn\u00fdch komponent; ilustrujeme n\u011bkolik p\u0159\u00edklad\u016f.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Patriot \u2013 Ameri\u010dan<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/what-is-patriot-missile-defense-system-2022-12-21\/#:~:text=A%20newly%20produced%20single%20Patriot%20battery%20costs%20over%20%241%20billion%2C%20with%20%24400%20million%20for%20the%20system\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Podle agentury Reuters<\/a>\u00a0stoj\u00ed \u00a0syst\u00e9m\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/de.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/MIM-104_Patriot\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Patriot<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0bez raket 400 milion\u016f dolar\u016f. Jednotkov\u00e1 cena rakety se pohybuje od 3,4 milionu do 8 milion\u016f dolar\u016f v z\u00e1vislosti na verzi.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a class=\"single-popup\" href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-79.png?quality=100&amp;ssl=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-469343 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-79.png?resize=902%2C902&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-79.png?w=902&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 902w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-79.png?resize=300%2C300&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-79.png?resize=200%2C200&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-79.png?resize=768%2C768&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-79.png?resize=320%2C320&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 320w,https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-79.png?resize=600%2C600&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;_jb=custom 1913w\" alt=\"\" width=\"642\" height=\"642\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><em>Thaad \u2013 Ameri\u010dan<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Cena jednoho\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Terminal_High_Altitude_Area_Defense\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">kompletn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu Thaad<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0(Thaad je zkratka pro \u201eTerminal High Altitude Area Defense\u201c) se odhaduje na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/dzen.ru\/a\/ZxIY4DWK8DKBZXGT?ysclid=mchis3aqx7547114945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">3 miliardy dolar\u016f<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0. Syst\u00e9m zahrnuje \u0161est odpalovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, bojovou soupravu se 48 raketami, radarov\u00fd syst\u00e9m a velitelsk\u00e9 vozidlo.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a class=\"single-popup\" href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-80.png?quality=100&amp;ssl=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-469344 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-80.png?resize=945%2C533&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-80.png?w=945&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 945w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-80.png?resize=300%2C169&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-80.png?resize=768%2C433&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-80.png?resize=320%2C180&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 320w,https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-80.png?resize=600%2C339&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;_jb=custom 1913w\" alt=\"\" width=\"667\" height=\"376\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/amalantra.ru\/kompleks-pro-thaad\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">N\u00e1klady na j\u00e1dro syst\u00e9mu<\/a>\u00a0, tedy protiraketov\u00e9 st\u0159ely, nejsou ve\u0159ejn\u011b zve\u0159ejn\u011bny. V rusk\u00fdch zdroj\u00edch jsme na\u0161li t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 b\u00e1je\u010dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla: jedna st\u0159ela m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t 45 a\u017e 500 milion\u016f dolar\u016f, v z\u00e1vislosti na proveden\u00ed exportn\u00ed verze (nap\u0159\u00edklad pro Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii nebo Ji\u017en\u00ed Koreu). Jedna st\u0159ela.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0160\u00edp \u2013 izraelsk\u00fd<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Krom\u011b v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f Thaad a Patriot vyvinul Izrael\u00a0\u00a0kv\u016fli nedostate\u010dn\u00e9mu v\u00fdkonu syst\u00e9mu Patriot\u00a0 vlastn\u00ed raketu\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/de.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Arrow_(Rakete)\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Arrow . Cena tohoto syst\u00e9mu dos\u00e1hla p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1,5 miliardy dolar\u016f, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e jedna raketa st\u00e1la p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/en.royanews.tv\/news\/60871\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2 miliony dolar\u016f<\/a>\u00a0.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><a class=\"single-popup\" href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-81.png?quality=100&amp;ssl=1\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-469345 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-81.png?resize=819%2C1024&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-81.png?w=819&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 819w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-81.png?resize=240%2C300&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 240w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-81.png?resize=768%2C960&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 768w,https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-81.png?resize=600%2C751&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;_jb=custom 1913w\" alt=\"\" width=\"673\" height=\"841\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, kolik raket ze v\u0161ech syst\u00e9m\u016f bylo b\u011bhem t\u011bchto 12 dn\u016f odp\u00e1leno, ale pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b se jedn\u00e1 o tis\u00edce. Dlouhodob\u00fd konflikt \u2013 krom\u011b toho, \u017ee pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed raket nen\u00ed k dispozici a maj\u00ed velmi omezenou funk\u010dnost \u2013 povede k bankrotu Izraele.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">&#8222;Zastaven\u00ed palby&#8220;<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Nedostatek shody<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Ozn\u00e1men\u00ed o ukon\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem v\u0161ak mnoh\u00e9 p\u0159ekvapilo. Detailn\u00ed pohled na 12 dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky v\u0161ak vrh\u00e1 sv\u011btlo na \u00fadajnou temnotu. \u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le trvalo vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, t\u00edm v\u00edce se izraelsk\u00e1 s\u00edla viditeln\u011b a hmatateln\u011b sl\u00e1bla, co\u017e vzhledem k geografick\u00fdm a demografick\u00fdm okolnostem nen\u00ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9. \u00cdr\u00e1n je 75kr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, a \u0161kody jsou proto rozlo\u017eeny na mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed plochu; do hry vstupuje i faktor populace 10. Na druhou stranu \u00cdr\u00e1n po ni\u010div\u00fdch \u00faderech prvn\u00edch dn\u016f reorganizoval sv\u00e9 velitelsk\u00e9 struktury, co\u017e bylo stejn\u011b viditeln\u00e9 a, co je d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, pro Izrael bolestn\u011b hmatateln\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e9 americk\u00fdm prezidentem Trumpem v noci 25. \u010dervna nen\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed dohodou. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav klidu proto nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm, ale v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b do\u010dasn\u00fdm tichem.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kdo inicioval p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed \u2013 a pro\u010d?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Podle Larryho Johnsona \u017e\u00e1dost o zastaven\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed vze\u0161la od Netanjahua. D\u016fvody jsou jednoduch\u00e9 a p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9: Izrael byl vy\u010derpan\u00fd. Zni\u010den\u00ed nejcitliv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch objekt\u016f je v d\u011bjin\u00e1ch Izraele bezprecedentn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Bude \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c platit?<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Na tuto ot\u00e1zku je relativn\u011b snadn\u00e9 odpov\u011bd\u011bt na z\u00e1klad\u011b dosavadn\u00edho chov\u00e1n\u00ed Izraele a Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Pokud Izrael a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dojdou k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f mohou dos\u00e1hnout dal\u0161\u00edm \u00faderem, ude\u0159\u00ed. Co pan Netanjahu a pan Trump \u0159eknou p\u0159ed takov\u00fdm \u00fatokem, je zcela irelevantn\u00ed. Pro\u010d je slovo Donalda Trumpa bezcenn\u00e9, jsme ji\u017e vysv\u011btlili v na\u0161em \u010dl\u00e1nku \u201e\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/article\/diplomacy-on-his-deathbed-from-peace-president-to-warmonger-1008\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Diplomacie na smrteln\u00e9 posteli \u2013 od m\u00edrov\u00e9ho prezidenta k v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu \u0161tv\u00e1\u010di<\/a>\u00a0\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Izrael a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159ed prvn\u00edm \u00faderem zcela chybn\u011b odhadly situaci, bude pro rozhodovac\u00ed proces irelevantn\u00ed. Netanjahu mus\u00ed pokra\u010dovat v \u00fatoku, jinak skon\u010d\u00ed ve v\u011bzen\u00ed, a Trump si pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bude myslet, \u017ee mus\u00ed v\u017edycky vyhr\u00e1t, proto\u017ee jeho povaha mu nedovoluje p\u0159iznat si chyby.<\/p>\n<p>Tyto nep\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e9 faktory v kombinaci se z\u00e1padn\u00ed aroganc\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b povedou k pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky a k interpretaci \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c pouze jako oddech pro Izraelce. Opravdu douf\u00e1m, \u017ee se m\u00fdl\u00edm.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Izrael je mo\u017en\u00e1 na konci sv\u00fdch sil<\/h3>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Izrael\u0161t\u00ed uprchl\u00edci a vys\u00eddlen\u00e9 osoby<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/znat-kak.livejournal.com\/15430202.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Podle den\u00edku\u00a0<em>Times of Israel<\/em>\u00a0opustilo zemi po 7. \u0159\u00edjnu 2023 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b p\u016fl milionu Izraelc\u016f .<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0List cituje ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fadaje Izraelsk\u00e9ho \u00fa\u0159adu pro osady a imigraci. Americk\u00e9 zdroje dokonce hovo\u0159\u00ed o 1,5 milionu lid\u00ed, a\u010dkoli nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda tito lid\u00e9 opustili zemi do\u010dasn\u011b nebo trvale. K t\u011bmto \u010d\u00edsl\u016fm je t\u0159eba p\u0159ipo\u010d\u00edst po\u010det osob vys\u00eddlen\u00fdch v r\u00e1mci Izraele v d\u016fsledku boj\u016f s Ham\u00e1sem a Hizball\u00e1hem, jejich\u017e po\u010det v \u010dervenci 2024 \u010dinil p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 100 000, uv\u00e1d\u00ed\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.juedische-allgemeine.de\/israel\/nichts-ist-mehr-wie-zuvor\/?q=Binnenfl%C3%BCchtlinge\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201eJ\u00fcdische Allgemeine Zeitung<\/a>\u00a0\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Vzhledem k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 reakci na izraelsko-americk\u00fd \u00fatok z 13. \u010dervna 2025 se p\u0159idal dal\u0161\u00ed velk\u00fd po\u010det uprchl\u00edk\u016f. Pot\u00e9, co izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady zak\u00e1zaly izraelsk\u00fdm ob\u010dan\u016fm opustit zemi, si mnoho z nich jednodu\u0161e pronajalo lod\u011b, aby zemi opustili po mo\u0159i. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fadaje jsme nena\u0161li, ale existuj\u00ed neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy o dal\u0161\u00edch 200 000 a\u017e 250 000 Izraelc\u00edch, kte\u0159\u00ed opustili svou zemi.<\/p>\n<p>Toky uprchl\u00edk\u016f jsou na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b reakc\u00ed na aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed ud\u00e1losti. Odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed v\u0161ak tak\u00e9 politick\u00e9 a soci\u00e1ln\u00ed probl\u00e9my a zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 a demografick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my. Izrael nen\u00ed v\u00fdjimkou. V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b existuje jen m\u00e1lo zn\u00e1mek tolik vychvalovan\u00e9ho vlastenectv\u00ed. Ti, kdo d\u016fv\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed sv\u00fdm v\u016fdc\u016fm, nikdy neopou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed svou vlast.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>P\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 a nep\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 d\u016fsledky<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Infrastruktura a ekonomika byly trvale po\u0161kozeny. Nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bt, jak dlouho bude zem\u011b pot\u0159ebovat k obnov\u011b, pokud bude p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed dodr\u017eeno. Izraelsk\u00e1 ekonomika nejen\u017ee od tohoto konfliktu trp\u00ed, ale u\u017e v \u0159\u00edjnu 2023 nebyla v nejlep\u0161\u00edm stavu. Za posledn\u00ed dva roky \u2013 tedy do 13. \u010dervna 2025 \u2013 zemi opustilo a\u017e 1,5 milionu Izraelc\u016f \u2013 katastrofa pro populaci pouh\u00fdch 9 milion\u016f. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se jedn\u00e1 p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm o lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed si mohou dovolit opustit zemi kv\u016fli finan\u010dn\u00ed situaci, je toto \u010d\u00edslo o to alarmuj\u00edc\u00ed, \u017ee nyn\u00ed chyb\u00ed vzd\u011blan\u00ed a bohat\u00ed Izraelci, kte\u0159\u00ed by byli pro rekonstrukci nezbytn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Dal\u0161\u00edm ukazatelem v\u00e1\u017enosti situace je z\u00e1kaz cestov\u00e1n\u00ed,\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.juedische-allgemeine.de\/israel\/fast-kein-weg-raus\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">kter\u00fd vyhl\u00e1sila<\/a>\u00a0izraelsk\u00e1 \u00a0ministryn\u011b\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.juedische-allgemeine.de\/israel\/fast-kein-weg-raus\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">dopravy<\/a>\u00a0Miri Regevov\u00e1 \u00a0\u2013 napad\u00e1 m\u011b srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ukrajinou. Informace jsou v\u00e1gn\u00ed, ale z\u00e1kaz vycestov\u00e1n\u00ed plat\u00ed, a\u010dkoli na webov\u00fdch str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch izraelsk\u00e9ho velvyslanectv\u00ed v Berl\u00edn\u011b nelze nal\u00e9zt \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 podrobnosti.<\/p>\n<p>Demografick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky tohoto exodu by mohly b\u00fdt pro Izrael fat\u00e1ln\u00ed. Ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed Izrael se v\u017edy sna\u017e\u00ed vykreslit zemi jako zemi \u017did\u016f, v n\u00ed\u017e v\u011bt\u0161inu obyvatel tvo\u0159\u00ed \u017did\u00e9. V zemi v\u0161ak \u017eij\u00ed i miliony Arab\u016f. Jejich porodnost je v\u00fdrazn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e u \u017eidovsk\u00fdch Izraelc\u016f. Vlny uprchl\u00edk\u016f, kter\u00e9 budou n\u00e1sledovat po v\u00e1lce a demografick\u00fdch zm\u011bn\u00e1ch, d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji povedou k tomu, \u017ee v zemi bude \u017e\u00edt v\u00edce ne\u017eid\u016f (muslim\u016f, k\u0159es\u0165an\u016f) ne\u017e \u017did\u016f, co\u017e pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b u\u010din\u00ed sionistickou strategii absurdn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Nav\u00edc dnes na sv\u011bt\u011b pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b neexistuje m\u00e9n\u011b atraktivn\u00ed pas. Pora\u017een\u00fdmi budou ti, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed pouze izraelsk\u00fd pas. Je tak\u00e9 t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee by se n\u011bkdo usadil v t\u00e9to zasl\u00edben\u00e9 zemi. Kdo by cht\u011bl \u017e\u00edt v zemi, kde v\u00edce ne\u017e 50 % populace podporuje genocidu?<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\" style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-469346 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-82.png?resize=945%2C533&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1\" sizes=\"auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-82.png?w=945&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 945w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-82.png?resize=300%2C169&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-82.png?resize=768%2C433&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-82.png?resize=320%2C180&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1 320w,https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/reseauinternational.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/image-82.png?resize=600%2C339&amp;quality=100&amp;ssl=1&amp;_jb=custom 1913w\" alt=\"\" width=\"686\" height=\"387\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><em>Pas, kter\u00fd nikdo nechce m\u00edt v rukou \u2013 Zdroj: S\u00fcddeutsche Zeitung<\/em><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<p>Ke genocidn\u00ed povaze v\u011bt\u0161iny izraelsk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva se vyj\u00e1d\u0159\u00edme v navazuj\u00edc\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pro\u010d \u00cdr\u00e1nci zastavili \u00fatoky?<\/h3>\n<p>Vzhledem k okolnostem je to z\u0159ejm\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka. Pro v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed jasnost je nutn\u00e9 se pod\u00edvat za hranice regionu.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Vojensk\u00e1 chyba?<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>Na\u0161e zdroje p\u0159edpokl\u00e1daj\u00ed, \u017ee pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 palby by vedlo ke kolapsu, nebo dokonce k p\u00e1du Izraele, b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika dn\u00ed \u010di t\u00fddn\u016f. Z \u010dist\u011b vojensk\u00e9ho hlediska tedy byla promarn\u011bna p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k dlouhodob\u00e9 neutralizaci Izraele. Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo byl p\u0159\u00edmo i nep\u0159\u00edmo zapojen a dot\u010den, si byl takov\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e jist\u011b v\u011bdom. Mus\u00ed proto existovat v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 a velmi p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u00e9 d\u016fvody, pro\u010d tato historick\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost nebyla vyu\u017eita nebo odlo\u017eena. Geopolitika<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u00davahy z \u010c\u00edny a Ruska<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u00cdr\u00e1n pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b pozastavil nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 akce pod vlivem Ruska a \u010c\u00edny.<\/p>\n<p>Po zv\u00e1\u017een\u00ed v\u0161ech z\u00e1jm\u016f se zd\u00e1, \u017ee nev\u00fdhody pro Rusko, \u010c\u00ednu a v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku i \u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159eva\u017euj\u00ed nad p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fdmi v\u00fdhodami, alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed \u00favahy by m\u011bly b\u00fdt takto zhodnoceny, jeliko\u017e jsme nebyli schopni l\u00e9pe porozum\u011bt rozhodovac\u00edmu procesu Ruska a \u010c\u00edny. Rusko a \u010c\u00edna n\u00e1m z principu nedovoluj\u00ed d\u00edvat se na sv\u00e9 mapy:<\/p>\n<p>Zaprv\u00e9, Rusko \u2013 v neust\u00e1l\u00e9m stavu deeskalace \u2013 mus\u00ed br\u00e1t v \u00favahu z\u00e1jmy Izraelc\u016f rusk\u00e9ho p\u016fvodu. Jejich po\u010det je zna\u010dn\u00fd, je jich zhruba 2 miliony.<\/p>\n<p>Za druh\u00e9, pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed by s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed donutilo Rusko k v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu zapojen\u00ed kv\u016fli existuj\u00edc\u00ed principi\u00e1ln\u00ed smlouv\u011b o strategick\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ci, p\u0159esto\u017ee se tato smlouva nezmi\u0148uje o povinn\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 podpo\u0159e v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00e1lky. Existovalo proto riziko, \u017ee se Rusko stane\u00a0\u00a0<em>faktick\u00fdm<\/em>\u00a0\u00fa\u010dastn\u00edkem \u00a0v\u00e1lky proti zemi, jej\u00ed\u017e populace m\u00e1 \u00fazk\u00e9 vazby na Rusko a jej\u00ed\u017e velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st hovo\u0159\u00ed rusky. Rusko nav\u00edc dosahuje na Ukrajin\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho pokroku a nechce sv\u00e9 s\u00edly p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 rozptylovat.<\/p>\n<p>Za t\u0159et\u00ed, vzpome\u0148me si na trp\u011blivost, kterou Rusko projevilo Izraeli b\u011bhem syrsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, a to navzdory materi\u00e1ln\u00edm a, co je d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, lidsk\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m. Izraelsk\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 letadla nap\u0159\u00edklad z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b pou\u017e\u00edvala neozbrojen\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 letouny jako kryt\u00ed proti syrsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obran\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Za \u010dtvrt\u00e9, dal\u0161\u00edm d\u016fkazem rusk\u00e9 neochoty v\u016f\u010di Izraeli je skute\u010dnost, \u017ee zapojen\u00ed Mossadu do \u00fatoku ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f na rusk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 leti\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed v Rusku ofici\u00e1ln\u011b zm\u00edn\u011bno, a\u010dkoli o tom diskutuje mnoho rusk\u00fdch blog\u016f a fakta ponech\u00e1vaj\u00ed jen mal\u00fd prostor pro interpretaci vzhledem ke srovnateln\u00fdm izraelsk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm v \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n<p>Za p\u00e1t\u00e9, tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu by pro Rusko p\u0159i\u0161la tak\u00e9 v ekonomicky nevhodnou dobu. Severoji\u017en\u00ed dopravn\u00ed koridor mezi Petrohradem a Indi\u00ed p\u0159es Kavkaz a \u00cdr\u00e1n se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed dokon\u010den\u00ed a m\u00e1 pro ob\u011b zem\u011b zna\u010dn\u00fd v\u00fdznam.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00ednsk\u00fd z\u00e1jem je z\u0159ejm\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Jej\u00ed hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1jem je ekonomick\u00fd. V\u00e1lka v \u00cdr\u00e1nu by v\u00e1\u017en\u011b naru\u0161ila \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o jejich projekt P\u00e1su a stezky, v n\u011bm\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n hraje hlavn\u00ed roli a p\u0159edstavuje d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek v jeho dal\u0161\u00ed expanzi do Afriky a Evropy.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 tak\u00e9 nakupuj\u00ed velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed zemn\u00edho plynu a ropy z \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Eskalace by v\u00e1\u017en\u011b po\u0161kodila ekonomick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy \u010c\u00edny. Nap\u0159\u00edklad ihned po zaveden\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty smluvn\u011b povolily \u010c\u00edn\u011b n\u00e1kup ropy a plynu z \u00cdr\u00e1nu bez sankc\u00ed. To \u00cdr\u00e1nu poskytuje p\u0159\u00edjmy a \u010c\u00edn\u011b bezpe\u010dnost pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed, pokud lze hovo\u0159it o spolehlivosti a bezpe\u010dnosti dohod s Trumpovou administrativou. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd n\u00e1vrat zpr\u00e1v B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch o 500% sekund\u00e1rn\u00edch sankc\u00edch proti rusk\u00fdm obchodn\u00edm partner\u016fm tomu vys\u00edl\u00e1 pozdrav.<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00e1st plynu a ropy, kter\u00e9 \u010c\u00edna dostane, pou\u017eije \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 dal\u0161\u00ed dohoda, kter\u00e9 bylo dosa\u017eeno velmi rychle po 25. \u010dervnu 2025 \u2013 jako platbu za modern\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 st\u00edha\u010dky. \u010c\u00edna d\u0159\u00edve trvala na platb\u00e1ch v hotovosti, co\u017e realizaci projektu dlouho zdr\u017eovalo.<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Z\u00e1jem USA<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1me, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n, Rusko a \u010c\u00edna od Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f n\u011bco dostaly v\u00fdm\u011bnou za ml\u010den\u00ed o zbran\u00edch: Zaprv\u00e9, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty \u010c\u00edn\u011b umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u011b nakupovat plyn a ropu od \u00cdr\u00e1nu, jak jsme ji\u017e popsali. Na opl\u00e1tku se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nyn\u00ed znovu z\u00edskaly p\u0159\u00edstup k \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm vz\u00e1cn\u00fdm zemin\u00e1m. To je pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty prim\u00e1rn\u00ed z\u00e1jem, zejm\u00e9na pro obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl. Vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 zeminy nejsou vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty maj\u00ed tak\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 lo\u017eiska. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v\u0161ak na rozd\u00edl od \u010c\u00edny nemaj\u00ed kompletn\u00ed v\u00fdrobn\u00ed cyklus od t\u011b\u017eby a\u017e po rafinaci.<\/p>\n<p>Rusko si pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b od USA zajistilo \u00fastupky ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny \u2013 podrobnosti nejsou zn\u00e1my, ale zpr\u00e1vy o Ukrajin\u011b tomu rozhodn\u011b nazna\u010duj\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Trump ji\u017e p\u0159ipustil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n tvrd\u011b zas\u00e1hl Izrael, a p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu a Pentagonu si dob\u0159e uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed, \u017ee pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky by Izrael zcela zni\u010dily. V d\u016fsledku toho by Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ztratily je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159, ne\u017e jakou u\u017e maj\u00ed. Z jeho imperi\u00e1ln\u00edho pohledu by byl nucen zah\u00e1jit dal\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 \u00fadery proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, na kter\u00e9 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nejsou ani ekonomicky, ani vojensky p\u0159ipraveny (kv\u016fli nedostatku munice). P\u00e1r bombard\u00e9r\u016f B2 by nesta\u010dilo, proto\u017ee s \u00cdr\u00e1nem se nelze vojensky vypo\u0159\u00e1dat pouze bombami a raketami. Jak\u00fdkoli dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatok USA na \u00cdr\u00e1n by zase donutil \u00cdr\u00e1n za\u00fato\u010dit na americk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu. Co bude d\u00e1l?<\/p>\n<p>Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee nejen\u017ee byl Izrael pora\u017een, ale Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 prost\u011b nemaj\u00ed dostatek munice. Existuj\u00ed pro to t\u0159i d\u016fvody: Zaprv\u00e9, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ji\u017e t\u0159i roky vyprazd\u0148uj\u00ed sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby pro Ukrajinu, a to i p\u0159es ne\u00fasp\u011bch. Nen\u00ed proto divu, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v\u010dera ozn\u00e1mily, \u017ee ji\u017e nebudou Ukrajin\u011b dod\u00e1vat zbran\u011b. Zadruh\u00e9, od 7. \u0159\u00edjna 2023 Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed munice pro genocidu v Gaze. Zat\u0159et\u00ed, v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacita Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f zdaleka nesta\u010d\u00ed k uspokojen\u00ed popt\u00e1vky. Jak ji\u017e bylo zm\u00edn\u011bno v\u00fd\u0161e, Izrael b\u011bhem dvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00ed v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem pou\u017eil tolik raket protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, kolik jsou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty schopny vyrobit za dva roky.<\/p>\n<p>Popt\u00e1vka je nyn\u00ed tak velk\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00fdroba nap\u0159\u00edklad raket Patriot prob\u00edh\u00e1 i v dal\u0161\u00edch zem\u00edch.\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zdfheute.de\/politik\/ausland\/patriot-raketen-nato-ukraine-krieg-russland-100.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">N\u011bmecko<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0nap\u0159\u00edklad\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zdfheute.de\/politik\/ausland\/patriot-raketen-nato-ukraine-krieg-russland-100.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">vyrob\u00ed 1 000 t\u011bchto raket<\/a>\u00a0. Nen\u00ed v\u0161ak zm\u00edn\u011bno, jak dlouho to bude trvat. Ve zpr\u00e1v\u011b ze dne 20. \u010dervence 2024\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kommersant.ru\/doc\/6849159\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">rusk\u00fd list Kommersant<\/a>\u00a0s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na americk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kommersant.ru\/doc\/6849159\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">p\u00ed\u0161e<\/a>\u00a0o zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed ro\u010dn\u00ed produkce raket pro syst\u00e9m protiraketov\u00e9 obrany Patriot z 500 na 750 kus\u016f. Pro uveden\u00ed zde uveden\u00fdch \u010d\u00edsel do kontextu: na obranu p\u0159ed \u00edr\u00e1nskou raketou izraelsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany odp\u00e1lil na c\u00edl a\u017e 25 t\u011bchto raket. Toto \u010d\u00edslo je extr\u00e9mn\u00ed a jist\u011b je d\u00e1no specifick\u00fdmi okolnostmi. Zpravidla v\u0161ak na ka\u017edou napadenou raketu \u2013 a \u00cdr\u00e1n jich m\u00e1 tis\u00edce \u2013 p\u0159ipadaj\u00ed alespo\u0148 dv\u011b z\u00e1chytn\u00e9 rakety.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/h3>\n<p>Ni\u010den\u00ed Izraele je v pln\u00e9m proudu. Obnova \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b zni\u010den\u00e9ho Izraele (Tel Aviv, p\u0159\u00edstavy, leti\u0161t\u011b a zbrojovky) bude trvat roky, ale k dodr\u017een\u00ed bude nutn\u00e9 dodr\u017eovat p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 je vzhledem k nespolehliv\u00e9mu chov\u00e1n\u00ed protagonist\u016f zcela nejist\u00e9. To povede k tomu, \u017ee posti\u017een\u00ed vlastn\u00edci nebudou v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situaci investovat. Obnovili byste kancel\u00e1\u0159skou budovu, kdyby existovala 50% \u0161ance, \u017ee bude z\u00edtra znovu zni\u010dena?<\/p>\n<p>Je velmi nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee se Izraelci, kte\u0159\u00ed uprchli, v dohledn\u00e9 budoucnosti vr\u00e1t\u00ed. Od \u0159\u00edjna 2023 Izrael pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ztratil t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u0159etinu sv\u00e9 populace \u2013 konkr\u00e9tn\u011b vzd\u011blanou, bohatou a tud\u00ed\u017e nezbytnou \u010d\u00e1st populace pro rekonstrukci. Je tak\u00e9 mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee mnoho z t\u011bch, kte\u0159\u00ed zemi opustili, nepat\u0159\u00ed k genocidn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b populace \u2013 dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fvod, pro\u010d se nevracet.<\/p>\n<p>Neexistuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 n\u00e1znaky, kter\u00e9 by n\u00e1m umo\u017enily p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bt budoucnost tohoto konfliktu. Je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee v\u00e1lka z\u00edtra znovu vypukne \u2013 nebo ne. S jistotou v\u0161ak o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me, \u017ee V\u00e1lka dvou sv\u011bt\u016f, kterou jsme ji\u017e popsali v\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/de\/suche?_token=nZ8bzeXenwqU0ooJH1BzHQeTqvTwXFY4gPeOWds8&amp;searchstring=Der+Krieg+zweier+Welten+hat+begonnen+%E2%80%93\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">s\u00e9rii \u010dl\u00e1nk\u016f<\/a>\u00a0, bude pokra\u010dovat \u2013 mo\u017en\u00e1 na nov\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b, ale z\u016fstane krvav\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Jedin\u00e9, co m\u016f\u017eeme s jistotou zhodnotit, je, \u017ee ani Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm, ani Izraeli nelze v\u011b\u0159it. Pokud jde o spolehlivost a respekt k mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu pr\u00e1vu, tyto dv\u011b zem\u011b jsou na stejn\u00e9 \u00farovni jako nacistick\u00e9 N\u011bmecko.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Autor:<\/strong> Peter Hanseler je geopolitick\u00fd analytik, kter\u00fd p\u00ed\u0161e z Moskvy. Peter se narodil v Curychu ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku. Je dr\u017eitelem titulu JD (lic. iur.) a titulu Ph.D. (Dr. iur.) z Pr\u00e1vnick\u00e9 fakulty Cury\u0161sk\u00e9 univerzity a titulu Master in International Commercial Law (LL.M.) z Pr\u00e1vnick\u00e9 fakulty Georgetownsk\u00e9 univerzity ve Washingtonu, D.C. \u017dil v USA, \u0160pan\u011blsku, \u0160v\u00fdcarsku, Thajsku a Rusku. Peter je nez\u00e1visl\u00fd, jeho pr\u00e1ci nepodporuje vl\u00e1da ani soukrom\u00e9 subjekty. Petrovy webov\u00e9 str\u00e1nky\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/forumgeopolitica.com\/\">Forumgeopolitica.com<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0publikuj\u00ed sv\u016fj obsah v angli\u010dtin\u011b, ru\u0161tin\u011b, n\u011bm\u010din\u011b<\/em>\u00a0a francouz\u0161tin\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Zdroj: <a title=\"Sonar 21\" href=\"https:\/\/sonar21.com\/findings-on-an-illegal-war-that-the-west-enthusiastically-waged-and-lost\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sonar 21<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo bylo zru\u0161eno a nikdy p\u0159edt\u00edm nebyly ud\u00e1losti tak z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b zkreslov\u00e1ny. Ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd \u00fatok na&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":82959,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,37,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82958"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82958"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82958\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":82960,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82958\/revisions\/82960"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/82959"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82958"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82958"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82958"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}