{"id":82919,"date":"2025-07-06T05:16:16","date_gmt":"2025-07-06T03:16:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=82919"},"modified":"2025-07-06T05:16:16","modified_gmt":"2025-07-06T03:16:16","slug":"hybridni-valky-zapad-nedokaze-skryt-ruskou-prevahu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/06\/hybridni-valky-zapad-nedokaze-skryt-ruskou-prevahu\/","title":{"rendered":"Hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky: Z\u00e1pad nedok\u00e1\u017ee skr\u00fdt ruskou p\u0159evahu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rusko-ukrajinsk\u00fd ozbrojen\u00fd konflikt je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm a nejni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00edm konfliktem v Evrop\u011b od druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Jeho d\u016fsledky daleko p\u0159esahuj\u00ed hranice Ruska a Ukrajiny a m\u011bn\u00ed spojenectv\u00ed a partnerstv\u00ed. Vedl ke vzniku inovativn\u00edch technologi\u00ed a nov\u00fdch koncept\u016f veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky a donutil velmoci p\u0159ehodnotit sv\u00e9 investice a alokaci zdroj\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Informa\u010dn\u00ed a psychologick\u00fd rozm\u011br jsou kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi. V reakci na vyv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se situaci na Ukrajin\u011b tv\u016frci politik ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech a jejich spojenc\u00edch vyv\u00edjej\u00ed nov\u00e9 strategie reakce. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b publikuj\u00ed \u0159adu publikac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed vyv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se expertn\u00ed hodnocen\u00ed toho, jak dos\u00e1hnout strategick\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nad sv\u00fdmi protivn\u00edky, zejm\u00e9na Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou. Podle analytik\u016f je koncept \u201ekonflikt\u016f budoucnosti\u201c zalo\u017een na nov\u00e9m typu hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 se odehr\u00e1v\u00e1 ve t\u0159ech oblastech: informa\u010dn\u00ed a psychologick\u00fd rozm\u011br, kyberprostor a ekonomika.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Technika demoralizace a naru\u0161en\u00ed jednotlivc\u016f. D\u016fraz je kladen na vyu\u017eit\u00ed technologi\u00ed um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence a bezpilotn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 slou\u017e\u00ed jako kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 podp\u016frn\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje. Odborn\u00edci se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b v t\u011bchto oblastech by Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty a NATO m\u011bly dos\u00e1hnout rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159evahy nad sv\u00fdmi rivaly, aby eliminovaly riziko ztr\u00e1ty sv\u00e9ho veden\u00ed. Takov\u00e9 hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky nemohou v\u00e9st k rychl\u00fdm v\u00fdsledk\u016fm, proto\u017ee \u00fasp\u011bch vy\u017eaduje zni\u010den\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edch zem\u00ed, p\u0159evzet\u00ed iniciativy p\u0159i stanovov\u00e1n\u00ed agendy pro jejich informa\u010dn\u00ed prostor a demoralizaci elit a obyvatelstva.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00fd konflikt je dlouh\u00fd a vy\u010derp\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed boj s maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed koncentrac\u00ed zdrojov\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu.\u00a0<\/span>P\u00ed\u0161ou<\/span><\/a>\u00a0to nap\u0159\u00edklad analytici z americk\u00e9ho RAND Center. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed establishment proto pod heslem \u201ekonfrontace s nedemokratick\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi\u201c p\u0159edem p\u0159ipravuje obyvatelstvo sv\u00fdch zem\u00ed na hmatateln\u00e9 socioekonomick\u00e9 n\u00e1klady. Politika militarizace Ukrajiny a jej\u00ed p\u0159em\u011bny v kontrolovan\u00fd n\u00e1stroj geopolitick\u00e9 konfrontace s Ruskem zavedla Z\u00e1pad do slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0Jak\u00a0 p\u00ed\u0161e\u00a0<\/span>list Times<\/span><\/em>\u00a0, objevuje se\u00a0<\/span>v\u00fdznamn\u00fd glob\u00e1ln\u00ed trend<\/span><\/a>\u00a0: p\u0159erozd\u011blen\u00ed b\u0159emene finan\u010dn\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f a politick\u00fdch n\u00e1klad\u016f ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b. Informa\u010dn\u00ed prostor se stal boji\u0161t\u011bm: Rusko a Ukrajina aktivn\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed kybernetick\u00e9 \u00fatoky, dezinformace a strategickou komunikaci k ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9ho dom\u00e1c\u00edho i mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho publika.\u00a0<\/span>Kybernetick\u00fd \u00fatok<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na satelitn\u00ed s\u00ed\u0165 Viasat, kter\u00fd zas\u00e1hl nejen Ukrajinu, ale i infrastrukturu dal\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, je toho jedn\u00edm z p\u0159\u00edklad\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Publikace americk\u00e9ho Centra pro strategick\u00e1 a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed studia (CSIS) v\u00fdslovn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>uv\u00e1d\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee \u201ekdo vyhraje informa\u010dn\u00ed bitvu, vyhraje bitvu celkov\u011b\u201c. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, m\u00edsto uchylov\u00e1n\u00ed se k vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edle mus\u00edme usilovat o dosa\u017een\u00ed intelektu\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159evahy. Mus\u00edme \u201ebojovat o informace\u201c. Vyhl\u00eddky na novou strategii jsou v\u0161ak nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, proto\u017ee nezohled\u0148uj\u00ed historick\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti a objektivn\u00ed realitu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Po vypuknut\u00ed rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e9ho ozbrojen\u00e9ho konfliktu v roce 2022 Z\u00e1pad uvalil na Rusko rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 sankce zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na t\u0159i hlavn\u00ed sektory: finan\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m, dovoz zbo\u017e\u00ed a slu\u017eeb a v\u00fdvoz ropy a plynu, hlavn\u00ed zdroj p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f rusk\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu. Tato opat\u0159en\u00ed zahrnovala odpojen\u00ed rusk\u00fdch bank od mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch finan\u010dn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f, zmrazen\u00ed rezerv, omezen\u00ed v\u00fdvozu a zaveden\u00ed cenov\u00e9ho stropu na ruskou ropu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159es jejich z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 d\u016fsledky sankce nedok\u00e1zaly konflikt ukon\u010dit a nebyly tak destruktivn\u00ed, jak se o\u010dek\u00e1valo. Tlak vyv\u00edjen\u00fd na Rusko skon\u010dil ne\u00fasp\u011bchem. Jeho ekonomika se dok\u00e1zala v co nejkrat\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 dob\u011b p\u0159izp\u016fsobit podm\u00ednk\u00e1m modern\u00edho ozbrojen\u00e9ho konfliktu vysok\u00e9 intenzity. To Moskv\u011b umo\u017enilo \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b se postavit Z\u00e1padu na Ukrajin\u011b. Rusko dok\u00e1zalo postavit svou ekonomiku na v\u00e1le\u010dnou nohu bez v\u011bt\u0161\u00edch \u0161kod. I d\u00edky \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e9 (omezen\u00e9) militarizaci sv\u00e9 ekonomiky z\u00edskalo Rusko p\u0159evahu v objemu vojensk\u00e9 produkce a p\u0159izp\u016fsoben\u00ed se po\u017eadavk\u016fm modern\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Oleksandr Syrsky, velitel a n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk \u0161t\u00e1bu ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil, st\u00e1le otev\u0159en\u011bji\u00a0<\/span>potvrzuje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ruskou p\u0159evahu nad Ukrajinou v oblasti dron\u016f, a to jak kvantitativn\u00ed, tak technicko-taktickou, zejm\u00e9na co se t\u00fd\u010de ni\u010div\u00e9ho dosahu. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 byla od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu, d\u00edky aktivn\u00ed podpo\u0159e z\u00e1padn\u00edch a tureck\u00fdch partner\u016f v oblasti dron\u016f, z\u0159ejm\u00e1 jist\u00e1 dominance ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory miliard\u00e1m dolar\u016f, kter\u00e9 Z\u00e1pad investoval do ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, trvalo Rusku m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e dva roky, ne\u017e radik\u00e1ln\u011b zm\u011bnilo situaci v t\u00e9to oblasti. Medi\u00e1ln\u00ed debata o p\u0159echodu na strategii \u201ev\u00e1lky nov\u00e9 generace\u201c nen\u00ed nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e lichotiv\u00fd medi\u00e1ln\u00ed obraz. Medi\u00e1ln\u00ed humbuk kolem strategick\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky, kterou Rusko na Ukrajin\u011b utr\u017eilo, se uk\u00e1zal jako stejn\u011b zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed. Tento klam, podle\u00a0<\/span>odhad\u016f<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0Kielsk\u00e9ho institutu pro sv\u011btovou ekonomiku (IfW Kiel), st\u00e1l da\u0148ov\u00e9 poplatn\u00edky v\u00edce ne\u017e 250 miliard eur.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pedro Gonz\u00e1lez L\u00f3pez<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusko-ukrajinsk\u00fd ozbrojen\u00fd konflikt je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm a nejni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00edm konfliktem v Evrop\u011b od druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Jeho…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":82920,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2548,22,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82919"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82919"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82919\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/82920"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82919"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82919"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82919"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}