{"id":8284,"date":"2022-02-14T04:00:34","date_gmt":"2022-02-14T03:00:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=8284"},"modified":"2022-02-13T16:14:40","modified_gmt":"2022-02-13T15:14:40","slug":"bidenovi-zbyvaji-v-ukrajinske-krizi-jen-tri-moznosti-a-zadna-z-nich-mu-nevyhovuje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/02\/14\/bidenovi-zbyvaji-v-ukrajinske-krizi-jen-tri-moznosti-a-zadna-z-nich-mu-nevyhovuje\/","title":{"rendered":"Bidenovi zb\u00fdvaj\u00ed v ukrajinsk\u00e9 krizi jen t\u0159i mo\u017enosti a \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z nich mu nevyhovuje"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee zachov\u00e1n\u00ed status quo neposkytuje sch\u016fdn\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed americko-rusk\u00e9 krize ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny, jak\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enosti m\u00e1 prezident Joe Biden?<\/strong><\/p>\n

V dob\u011b, kdy Evropa balancuje na pokraji v\u00e1lky na v\u00fdchod\u011b kontinentu, se administrativa prezidenta Joea Bidena ocit\u00e1 v politick\u00e9 no\u010dn\u00ed m\u016f\u0159e bez jednoduch\u00fdch \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed.\u00a0Nen\u00ed to tak d\u00e1vno, co americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da \u010delila region\u00e1ln\u00ed a n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed ot\u00e1zce \u2013 nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou.\u00a0V nejhor\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b mohla tato krize skon\u010dit Ruskou invaz\u00ed na Ukrajinu, po kter\u00e9 by USA vedly glob\u00e1ln\u00ed koalici ochotn\u00fdch uvalit na Moskvu masivn\u00ed sankce. D\u016fsledky takov\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e \u2013 bolestiv\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 \u0161kody pro Evropu a USA i mo\u017en\u00e9 ot\u0159esy na periferii EU a NATO \u2013 byly pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za dlouhodob\u011b \u00fanosn\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dnes stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00fdm v\u00fdchoz\u00edm bodem.\u00a0Rusko a \u010c\u00edna prohloubily sv\u016fj vztah zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd p\u0159esahuje pouh\u00e9 spojenectv\u00ed a usiluje o \u201emezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd na z\u00e1konech\u201c<\/strong>, kter\u00fd zpochyb\u0148uje z\u00e1kladn\u00ed dogma \u201emezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na pravidlech\u201c<\/strong> Bidenovy administrativy.\u00a0<\/span>Po setk\u00e1n\u00ed s<\/span>\u00a0francouzsk\u00fdm prezidentem Emmanuelem Macronem v Moskv\u011b rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin varoval p\u0159ed mo\u017enost\u00ed jadern\u00e9ho konfliktu, kter\u00fd by nem\u011bl \u201e\u00a0<\/span>\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bze<\/span>\u00a0\u201c, pokud by Ukrajina vstoupila do NATO.\u00a0Ukrajinsk\u00e1 krize se tak stala smrteln\u011b v\u00e1\u017enou, a proto mus\u00ed nyn\u00ed Bidenova administrativa zv\u00e1\u017eit v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 mo\u017enosti, jak tuto krizi ukon\u010dit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017enost prvn\u00ed: v\u00e1lka<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u00e1lka by nebyla mo\u017enost\u00ed, kterou by si Washington dobrovoln\u011b vybral.\u00a0A co je nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, i kdyby USA v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zva\u017eovaly Ukrajinu jako \u010dlena NATO, je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nemo\u017en\u00e9, aby vojensk\u00e1 aliance z\u00edskala podporu v\u0161ech 30 \u010dlen\u016f pro vojenskou akci, kter\u00e1 by se rovnala kolektivn\u00ed sebevra\u017ed\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uprost\u0159ed eskalace nap\u011bt\u00ed v posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika t\u00fddnech v\u0161ak Rusko vys\u00edl\u00e1 do B\u011bloruska des\u00edtky tis\u00edc voj\u00e1k\u016f.\u00a0Moskva ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee tyto jednotky\u00a0<\/span>B\u011blorusko znovu opust\u00ed<\/span>\u00a0po skon\u010den\u00ed spole\u010dn\u00fdch man\u00e9vr\u016f \u201eUnited Resolve 2022\u201c , zat\u00edmco USA a NATO rozm\u00edst\u00ed sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed s\u00edly ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed\u00a0Evrop\u011b\u00a0<\/span>.\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Nelze tedy vylou\u010dit mo\u017enost, \u017ee by se v\u00fdsledn\u00fd sud s prachem mohl vzn\u00edtit do velk\u00e9ho po\u017e\u00e1ru.\u00a0Jak uk\u00e1zal atent\u00e1t na arciv\u00e9vodu Franti\u0161ka Ferdinanda Rakousk\u00e9ho v roce 1914, sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky mohou b\u00fdt vyvol\u00e1ny mnohem bezv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi ud\u00e1lostmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

To plat\u00ed zejm\u00e9na v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Ukrajiny, kde Polsko a Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed, oba \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO, podepsaly s Kyjevem\u00a0<\/span>t\u0159\u00edstrannou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed dohodu <\/span>mimo r\u00e1mec NATO. P\u0159evod vojensk\u00e9 techniky a v\u00fdzbroje v hodnot\u011b stovek milion\u016f dolar\u016f, v mnoha p\u0159\u00edpadech doprov\u00e1zen\u00fd vojensk\u00fdmi poradci ze zem\u00ed NATO, dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Ukrajin\u011b fale\u0161n\u00fd pocit bezpe\u010d\u00ed.\u00a0Pokud Ukrajina n\u011bkdy dosp\u011bje k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee m\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edmou podporu Polska a Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie a nep\u0159\u00edmou podporu zbytku NATO a EU, nelze zcela vylou\u010dit, \u017ee Kyjev zah\u00e1j\u00ed vojenskou operaci s c\u00edlem z\u00edskat zp\u011bt Donbas za \u00fa\u010delem ochrany region ho vr\u00e1tit pod kontrolu Ukrajiny. To by v\u0161ak hypoteticky mohlo v\u00e9st ke sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i podobn\u00e9mu tomu z roku 2008, kdy Rusko po kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce s Gruzi\u00ed uznalo nez\u00e1vislost Ji\u017en\u00ed Osetie a Abch\u00e1zie pot\u00e9, co se Tbilisi pokusilo si n\u00e1sil\u00edm\u00a0vz\u00edt tyto zem\u011b pod svoj\u00ed jurisdikci.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ka\u017ed\u00fd racion\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00fd a geopolitick\u00fd analytik by vojenskou ofenz\u00edvu p\u0159es Kyjev odm\u00edtl hned na za\u010d\u00e1tku a ignoroval by pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee se vymkne kontrole. Ukrajina v\u0161ak \u010dasto nen\u00ed racion\u00e1ln\u00edm akt\u00e9rem na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed politick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zhruba 73 procent Ukrajinc\u016f hlasovalo pro Vladimira Zelensk\u00e9ho, kdy\u017e v roce 2019 kandidoval na prezidenta.\u00a0Dnes se jeho popularita mezi ukrajinsk\u00fdm lidem pohybuje kolem 23 procent.\u00a0Zelenskyj, su\u017eovan\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00edmi probl\u00e9my, pomohl rozdm\u00fdchat obavy z rusk\u00e9 invaze a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se pokusil potla\u010dit obavy z n\u00ed \u2013 pot\u00e9, co poznamenal, \u017ee vyhl\u00eddky na v\u00e1lku nevytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 klima pro takov\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed investice, kter\u00e9 Ukrajina nal\u00e9hav\u011b pot\u0159ebuje.\u00a0Zelenskyj takto \u017eongluje s plynov\u00fdm ped\u00e1lem v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 krizi: \u0161l\u00e1pne na plyn, kdy\u017e pot\u0159ebuje mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pozornost, zpomal\u00ed, kdy\u017e pot\u0159ebuje vytvo\u0159it pocit stability.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o v\u00e1lku a m\u00edr, to posledn\u00ed, co Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nebo EU pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed, je nestabiln\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd politik s prstem na spou\u0161ti konfliktu, kter\u00fd by mohl v\u00e9st k jadern\u00e9mu holocaustu.\u00a0Zkr\u00e1tka, aby se USA vyhnuly v\u00e1lce s Ruskem, mus\u00ed vz\u00edt spou\u0161\u0165 takov\u00e9ho konfliktu z rukou prezidenta Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Druh\u00e1 mo\u017enost: kompromis<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusko jasn\u011b vyj\u00e1d\u0159ilo sv\u00e9 po\u017eadavky ohledn\u011b sou\u010dasn\u00e9 krize a vyj\u00e1d\u0159ilo je ve dvou n\u00e1vrz\u00edch smluv p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00fdch USA a NATO.\u00a0Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, Rusko po\u017eaduje nejen ukon\u010den\u00ed expanze NATO na v\u00fdchod, ale tak\u00e9 obnovu vojensk\u00e9 architektury NATO na \u00farove\u0148 p\u0159ed rokem 1997. USA a NATO dosud rusk\u00e9 po\u017eadavky odm\u00edtly a m\u00edsto toho zah\u00e1jily sou\u010dasnou konfrontaci.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ani USA, ani NATO nemohou prolomit patovou situaci, \u017ee o takzvan\u00e9 \u201epolitice otev\u0159en\u00fdch dve\u0159\u00ed\u201c Aliance ohledn\u011b \u010dlenstv\u00ed nelze vyjedn\u00e1vat.\u00a0Jak v\u0161ak uk\u00e1zala ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva francouzsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Emmanuela Macrona v Moskv\u011b, existuje z\u00e1jem o \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, p\u0159i kter\u00e9m NATO zachov\u00e1 politiku \u201eotev\u0159en\u00fdch dve\u0159\u00ed\u201c a z\u00e1rove\u0148 vylou\u010d\u00ed mo\u017enost \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny.\u00a0Macron nar\u00e1\u017eel na mo\u017enost \u201e\u00a0<\/span>finlandizace<\/span>\u00a0\u201c Ukrajiny, v n\u00ed\u017e by Ukrajina p\u0159ijala neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed status formalizovan\u00fd prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm kvazi-smluvn\u00edch dohod, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by se vzdala \u00favah o \u010dlenstv\u00ed v NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco Ukrajina je\u0161t\u011b mus\u00ed ocenit moudrost takov\u00e9 dohody \u2013 dohody, kter\u00e1 s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed bude znamenat konec Zelensk\u00e9ho politick\u00e9 kari\u00e9ry vzhledem k jeho osobn\u00edmu a politick\u00e9mu z\u00e1vazku \u010dlenstv\u00ed v NATO \u2013 Ukrajina v t\u00e9to v\u011bci nem\u00e1 co mluvit.\u00a0Maj\u00ed-li se USA a EU vyhnout vyhl\u00eddce na n\u00e1kladn\u00fd a potenci\u00e1ln\u011b zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed vojensk\u00fd konflikt s Ruskem, mus\u00ed b\u00fdt mo\u017enost \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v NATO trvale vylou\u010dena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zde je prostor pro\u00a0<\/span>velk\u00fd kompromis<\/span>, neb\u00fdt tvrd\u00e9 reality americk\u00e9 dom\u00e1c\u00ed politiky.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Biden je na pokraji kompromisn\u00ed dohody s \u00cdr\u00e1nem o n\u00e1vratu USA k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 dohod\u011b.\u00a0Pokud by k tomu do\u0161lo, republik\u00e1ni v americk\u00e9m Kongresu by Bidena roztrhali ve vzduchu.\u00a0Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 ned\u00e1vn\u00e9mu debaklu z afgh\u00e1nsk\u00e9 evakuace se Biden stal zraniteln\u00fdm.\u00a0V americk\u00e9m jazyce existuje fr\u00e1ze \u201et\u0159i p\u0159estupky \u2013 a jste venku\u201c.\u00a0S Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nem a mo\u017enou dohodou s \u00cdr\u00e1nem m\u00e1 Biden u\u017e dva „p\u0159estupky“.\u00a0P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed listopad se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed kritick\u00e9 volby v polovin\u011b obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e9 rozhodnou nejen o tom, kter\u00e1 strana bude dominovat Kongresu, ale tak\u00e9 o budoucnosti Bidenovy legislativn\u00ed agendy.<\/span><\/p>\n

V tomto dilematu je kl\u00ed\u010dem k \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed u\u010dinit Ukrajinu neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed.\u00a0Aby tak u\u010dinila, musela by Bidenova administrativa p\u0159enechat veden\u00ed EU, co\u017e by prezidentovi USA umo\u017enilo i nad\u00e1le zast\u00e1vat nekompromisn\u00ed postoj a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se sladit s realitou definovanou v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei, Berl\u00edn\u011b a Kyjev\u011b.\u00a0To m\u016f\u017ee chv\u00edli trvat, ale z\u00e1kladn\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1sti takov\u00e9ho kompromisu ji\u017e existuj\u00ed: zprovozn\u011bn\u00ed Nord Streamu 2 v\u00fdm\u011bnou za pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed tok plynu ukrajinsk\u00fdmi plynovody, kter\u00fd Ukrajin\u011b zaru\u010d\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup k miliardov\u00fdm poplatk\u016fm za tranzit, a moratorium na operace arm\u00e1dy v regionu. USA a NATO by p\u0159estaly pos\u00edlat voj\u00e1ky do v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00edm krokem by bylo sestavit bal\u00ed\u010dek ekonomick\u00fdch a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch stimul\u016f, kter\u00e9 by mohly pomoci p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Ukrajinu, aby p\u0159ijala vnucenou neutralitu.\u00a0To by se nemohlo st\u00e1t p\u0159es noc, ale pokud by se takovou cestou vydalo, mohly by b\u00fdt tyto pob\u00eddky kombinov\u00e1ny s obecnou deeskalac\u00ed.\u00a0S\u00edly USA a NATO by se st\u00e1hly z v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy v\u00fdm\u011bnou za to, \u017ee by se rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly vr\u00e1tily na sv\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny, zat\u00edmco ve stejnou dobu prob\u00edhala \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o dal\u0161\u00edch region\u00e1ln\u00edch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, jako jsou jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu a vojensk\u00e9 man\u00e9vry, jako\u017e i dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bra -vytv\u00e1\u0159et opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 sni\u017euj\u00ed mo\u017enost nezam\u00fd\u0161len\u00fdch konflikt\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159i spr\u00e1vn\u00e9m \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed by takov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup Rusku poskytl v\u011bt\u0161inu toho, co po\u017eaduje, ale \u010dinil by tak zp\u016fsobem, aby v\u00fdsledek vypadal m\u00e9n\u011b jako z\u00e1padn\u00ed kapitulace a sp\u00ed\u0161e jako pragmatick\u00fd kompromis.\u00a0Hlavn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eka je politick\u00e1.\u00a0Dok\u00e1zaly by USA tla\u010dit na Ukrajinu, aby p\u0159ijala takov\u00fd kompromis?\u00a0A mohl Biden p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt nevyhnutelnou dom\u00e1c\u00ed politickou reakci, kter\u00e1 by k n\u011bmu p\u0159i\u0161la?<\/span><\/p>\n

Mo\u017enost t\u0159et\u00ed: zachovat stav status quo<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ned\u011blat nic je n\u011bkdy pova\u017eov\u00e1no za nejrozumn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, a tedy nejatraktivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost.\u00a0Z pohledu Bidenovy administrativy bylo Rusko zatla\u010deno do slo\u017eit\u00e9 situace, v n\u00ed\u017e je na Putinovi, nikoli na Bidenovi, aby hledal kompromis.\u00a0Tento kalkul vy\u017eaduje p\u0159ijet\u00ed v\u00fdkladu sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situace, ve kter\u00e9 bylo Rusko postaveno do defenz\u00edvy, a situace prozat\u00edm z\u016fstane statick\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav v\u0161ak nep\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1 k r\u016f\u017eov\u00e9mu obrazu, kter\u00fd se Bidenova administrativa sna\u017e\u00ed vykreslit.\u00a0Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Rusko si m\u00edsto toho, aby bylo omezov\u00e1no, zajistilo dostatek prostoru, jak dokl\u00e1d\u00e1 Macronova n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva Moskvy a nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva nov\u00e9ho n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho kancl\u00e9\u0159e Olafa Scholze.\u00a0Normandsk\u00fd form\u00e1t je aktivn\u00ed a prohlubuj\u00edc\u00ed se vztahy Ruska s \u010c\u00ednou vyvracej\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi o zranitelnosti Ruska v\u016f\u010di sankc\u00edm pod veden\u00edm USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0161e v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9 je realita zalo\u017een\u00e1 na faktech, ale Bidenova administrativa p\u016fsob\u00ed v oblasti dom\u00e1c\u00edho politick\u00e9ho vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed a \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed tohoto vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00e1 p\u0159ednost p\u0159ed p\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1n\u00edm fakt\u016f, zejm\u00e9na v kritick\u00e9m volebn\u00edm roce.\u00a0Udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed status quo umo\u017e\u0148uje Bidenovi st\u00e1t siln\u011b tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 vn\u00edman\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 agresi a vyu\u017e\u00edt tuto projekci s\u00edly k vdechnut\u00ed nov\u00e9ho \u017eivota do aliance NATO, kter\u00e1 byla hluboce zneklidn\u011bna afgh\u00e1nsk\u00fdm debaklem a zoufale tou\u017e\u00ed po relevanci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z pohledu B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu status quo umo\u017e\u0148uje USA nad\u00e1le formulovat Putinov\u011b orientovan\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed Ruska, aby d\u00e1le d\u00e9monizovalo tento n\u00e1rod v o\u010d\u00edch americk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnosti.\u00a0\u201eVzep\u0159\u00edt se Rusku\u201c hr\u00e1lo historicky d\u016fle\u017eitou roli ve volb\u00e1ch, co\u017e Biden jist\u011b r\u00e1d vyu\u017eije, kdy\u017e za\u010dne st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e1 krize.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bohu\u017eel pro Bidena nen\u00ed geopolitick\u00e1 realita statick\u00e1, ale neust\u00e1le se m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed.\u00a0\u010c\u00edm v\u00edce se Biden sna\u017e\u00ed \u201ezmrazit\u201c krizi s Ruskem na zvl\u00e1dnuteln\u00e9 \u00farovni, t\u00edm v\u00edce povzbuzuje Zelensk\u00e9ho k zah\u00e1jen\u00ed v\u00e1lky s Ruskem.\u00a0Podobn\u011b jak\u00fdkoli pokus pos\u00edlit status quo mor\u00e1ln\u00edm argumentem \u2013 jmenovit\u011b mantrou \u201emezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du zalo\u017een\u00e9ho na pravidlech\u201c \u2013 posiluje protiargument Ruska a \u010c\u00edny, kter\u00fd stav\u00ed na premise \u201cmezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd na z\u00e1konech\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z \u010dist\u011b logick\u00e9ho hlediska nen\u00ed zachov\u00e1n\u00ed statu quo sch\u016fdn\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm, proto\u017ee to nevyhnuteln\u011b povede USA bu\u010f k v\u00e1lce, nebo geopolitick\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece.\u00a0Bohu\u017eel, vzhledem k dom\u00e1c\u00ed realit\u011b, kter\u00e9 Biden \u010del\u00ed, je to nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159.\u00a0M\u00e1-li se uskute\u010dnit pragmati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed cesta, jakou nab\u00edz\u00ed p\u0159\u00edslib neutrality Ukrajiny, bude to vy\u017eadovat v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u00e9 veden\u00ed a proz\u00edravost ze strany EU i Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukazuje se, \u017ee Bidenovou nejlep\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost\u00ed je \u0159\u00eddit se prastarou z\u00e1sadou: „V\u00e9st, nebo nechat se v\u00e9st – nebo kurva j\u00edt z cesty.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Scott Ritter<\/span><\/em><\/strong>\u00a0je b\u00fdval\u00fd pr\u016fzkumn\u00fd d\u016fstojn\u00edk americk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty a autor knihy\u00a0<\/span><\/em>SCORPION KING<\/span><\/em><\/a>\u00a0: America’s Suicidal Embrace of Nuclear Weapons from FDR to Trump.\u00a0Slou\u017eil v USA v Sov\u011btsk\u00e9m svazu jako inspektor pro pln\u011bn\u00ed po\u017eadavk\u016f smlouvy INF, b\u011bhem druh\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu ve \u0161t\u00e1bu gener\u00e1la Normana Schwarzkopfa a pot\u00e9 v letech 1991 a\u017e 1998 slou\u017eil jako hlavn\u00ed inspektor zbran\u00ed v OSN v Ir\u00e1ku .\u00a0Ritter v sou\u010dasnosti p\u00ed\u0161e o t\u00e9matech souvisej\u00edc\u00edch s mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost\u00ed, vojensk\u00fdmi z\u00e1le\u017eitostmi, Ruskem a Bl\u00edzk\u00fdm v\u00fdchodem a kontrolou zbrojen\u00ed a ne\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm zbran\u00ed.\u00a0M\u016f\u017eete ho sledovat na Twitteru na\u00a0<\/span><\/em>@RealScottRitter<\/span><\/em><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee zachov\u00e1n\u00ed status quo neposkytuje sch\u016fdn\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed americko-rusk\u00e9 krize ohledn\u011b Ukrajiny, jak\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8224,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,72,22,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8284"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8284"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8284\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8224"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8284"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8284"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8284"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}