{"id":82760,"date":"2025-07-04T00:13:48","date_gmt":"2025-07-03T22:13:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=82760"},"modified":"2025-07-03T16:03:30","modified_gmt":"2025-07-03T14:03:30","slug":"vaclav-prokupek-macron-ma-problem-bude-po-nem-prezidentem-marxista-nebo-nacionalista","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/07\/04\/vaclav-prokupek-macron-ma-problem-bude-po-nem-prezidentem-marxista-nebo-nacionalista\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1clav Prok\u016fpek: Macron m\u00e1 probl\u00e9m, bude po n\u011bm prezidentem marxista nebo nacionalista?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 francouzsk\u00e9 volby sice p\u0159inesly sv\u00e1 p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed, ale poka\u017ed\u00e9 byla z\u00e1kladn\u00ed struktura sout\u011b\u017ee st\u00e1le p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e1. Te\u010f tomu tak nen\u00ed. Prezidentsk\u00e9 volby ve Francii v roce 2027 jsou zcela otev\u0159en\u00e9. Posledn\u00edch p\u011bt nebo \u0161est voleb v zemi sice p\u0159ineslo p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed a zvraty, ale poka\u017ed\u00e9 byla z\u00e1kladn\u00ed struktura sout\u011b\u017ee kandid\u00e1t\u016f p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e1 dva roky dop\u0159edu. To u\u017e ale tentokr\u00e1t nen\u00ed!<\/strong><\/p>\n

Existuje pro to n\u011bkolik d\u016fvod\u016f: v\u0161eobecn\u00e1 n\u00e1lada nespokojenosti s politikou; prohlubuj\u00edc\u00ed se star\u00e1 propast mezi levic\u00ed a pravic\u00ed; slabost \u00fa\u0159aduj\u00edc\u00edho prezidenta, kter\u00fd nem\u016f\u017ee ani znovu kandidovat, ani snadno ovlivnit v\u00fdb\u011br sv\u00e9ho n\u00e1stupce; a tak\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed, ekonomick\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 nejistoty vyvolan\u00e9 administrativou americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa, jeho\u017e vztahy s\u00a0Franci\u00ed jsou na bodu mrazu!<\/p>\n

Centrist\u00e9 a Republik\u00e1ni v\u011brn\u00ed Macronovi: \u00dadajn\u011b bez \u0161ance<\/strong><\/h3>\n

V\u00fdb\u011br kandid\u00e1t\u016f na budouc\u00edho prezidenta je nav\u00edc tentokr\u00e1t obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b nejist\u00fd, jeliko\u017e politick\u00fd st\u0159ed kolem prezidenta Emmanuela Macrona je zna\u010dn\u011b rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00fd.<\/p>\n

A\u017e do minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce se sout\u011b\u017e o Macronova n\u00e1stupce omezovala na dva jeho b\u00fdval\u00e9 premi\u00e9ry: l\u00eddra st\u0159edopravicov\u00e9 strany Horizonty \u00c9douarda Philippa a l\u00eddra Macronovy strany Renesance Gabriela Attala. Nyn\u00ed se v\u0161ak oba s prezidentem roze\u0161li a sna\u017e\u00ed se oslovit jeho soci\u00e1ln\u011b progresivn\u00ed, proevropskou a pro mega – podnikatelsky orientovanou z\u00e1kladnu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 se distancuj\u00ed od nepopul\u00e1rn\u00edho prezidenta s podivnou histori\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee Philippe je v tomto boji o centristy jasn\u00fdm l\u00eddrem s podporou 21 a\u017e 24 procent v prvn\u00edm kole voleb, zat\u00edmco Attal v pr\u016fzkumech se pohybuje kolem 14 a\u017e 15 procent.<\/p>\n

Kandidatura nekompromisn\u00edho ministra vnitra Bruna Retailleaua mezit\u00edm hroz\u00ed, \u017ee prom\u011bn\u00ed Francii v \u201ecentristickou ob\u010danskou v\u00e1lku\u201c. \u010cty\u0159ia\u0161edes\u00e1tilet\u00fd Bruno Retailleau jako\u017eto \u0161\u00e9f zna\u010dn\u011b oslaben\u00e9 b\u00fdval\u00e9 gaullistick\u00e9 st\u0159edopravicov\u00e9 strany Republik\u00e1n\u016f a sou\u010dasn\u00fd ministr vnitra se z\u0159ejm\u011b stane kandid\u00e1tem sv\u00e9 strany Republik\u00e1ni, co\u017e stav\u00ed t\u0159i ze \u010dty\u0159 stranick\u00fdch l\u00eddr\u016f nesourod\u00e9 vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed aliance do role soupe\u0159\u016f o Macronova n\u00e1stupce \u2013 situace je ze sv\u00e9 podstaty v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e1. A hroz\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed p\u00e1d francouzsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Lid Francie \u010dek\u00e1 na Macron\u016fv odchod<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Francouzsk\u00fd prezident Macron od ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00fdch voleb v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce ztratil t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ve\u0161ker\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed vliv a m\u00e1 jen malou p\u00e1ku, jak ovlivnit tento kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd z\u00e1vod v r\u00e1mci sv\u00e9ho n\u00e1stupnictv\u00ed na postu prezidenta Francie. Nav\u00edc je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by jak Philippe, tak Retailleau vedli kampa\u0148 za \u201ez\u00e1chranu macronismu\u201c, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e povedou kampa\u0148 za jeho poh\u0159ben\u00ed a obnoven\u00ed n\u011b\u010deho bli\u017e\u0161\u00edho soci\u00e1ln\u011b konzervativn\u00edmu, ekonomicky liber\u00e1ln\u00edmu a m\u00e9n\u011b nad\u0161en\u00e9mu evropsk\u00e9mu st\u0159edopravicov\u00e9mu spektru b\u00fdval\u00fdch prezident\u016f Jacquese Chiraca nebo Nicolase Sarkozyho.<\/p>\n

Na levici je sc\u00e9na je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159epln\u011bn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. V\u011b\u010dn\u00fd kandid\u00e1t krajn\u00ed levice marxista Jean-Luc M\u00e9lenchon dosahuje v prvn\u00edm kole pr\u016fzkum\u016f 13 a\u017e 15 procent, a to i p\u0159es sv\u016fj status nejneobl\u00edben\u011bj\u0161\u00edho mu\u017ee francouzsk\u00e9 politiky s negativn\u00edm hodnocen\u00edm p\u0159es 70 procent. Jeho nehl\u00e1\u0161en\u00e1, ale pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost v z\u00e1vod\u011b jako v\u017edy zt\u00ed\u017e\u00ed vznik kandid\u00e1ta \u0161irok\u00e9 levice. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b, tentokr\u00e1t nen\u00ed bez \u0161ance, dovedl Levicovou frontu k\u00a0v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v\u00a0posledn\u00edch francouzsk\u00fdch parlamentn\u00edch volb\u00e1ch a \u201ejeho spojenci mu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed doslova ukradli\u201c.<\/p>\n

P\u0159esto je nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm zpo\u010d\u00e1tku kandid\u00e1tem na um\u00edrn\u011bnou, proevropskou levici Rapha\u00ebl Glucksmann \u2013 poslanec Evropsk\u00e9ho parlamentu, soci\u00e1ln\u00ed demokrat z\u00a0marxistick\u00e9 Nov\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 (n\u011bkdy tak\u00e9 levicov\u00e9) fronty kter\u00fd si v evropsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch v roce 2024 vedl p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b dob\u0159e a v sou\u010dasnosti v pr\u016fzkumech dosahuje 10 a\u017e 11 procent.<\/p>\n

Marxist\u00e9 Glucksmann i M\u00e9lenchon vylou\u010dili \u00fa\u010dast v jak\u00fdchkoli pan-levicov\u00fdch prim\u00e1rk\u00e1ch<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Mezit\u00edm kdysi mocn\u00e1 st\u0159edolev\u00e1 Socialistick\u00e1 strana z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 rozd\u011blena mezi radik\u00e1ln\u00ed a reformn\u00ed, proevropsk\u00e9 k\u0159\u00eddlo. Levicov\u011b sm\u00fd\u0161lej\u00edc\u00ed prvn\u00ed tajemn\u00edk strany Olivier Faure, kter\u00fd si t\u011bsn\u011b udr\u017eel sv\u00e9 k\u0159eslo ji\u017e po\u010dtvrt\u00e9, douf\u00e1, \u017ee se stane jej\u00edm prezidentsk\u00fdm kandid\u00e1tem v roce 2027. Nejm\u00e9n\u011b dv\u011b vych\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed osobnosti z um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00e9ho k\u0159\u00eddla strany \u2013 Carole Dega, prezidentka jihoz\u00e1padn\u00edho regionu Occitanie, a Karim Boumrane, starosta Saint-Ouen na pa\u0159\u00ed\u017esk\u00e9m p\u0159edm\u011bst\u00ed \u2013 se mu v\u0161ak pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed postavit.<\/p>\n

Celkov\u011b to tedy vypad\u00e1, \u017ee v prezidentsk\u00e9m z\u00e1vod\u011b bude do konce p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edho roku pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b a\u017e osm levicov\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f.<\/p>\n

Pro krajn\u00ed pravici ale b\u00fdt v pole position nemus\u00ed nutn\u011b znamenat v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1kaz pro Le Penovou, Bardela p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 mlad\u00fd?<\/strong><\/h3>\n

V\u00fdsledky pr\u016fzkum\u016f ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed pro stranu N\u00e1rodn\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed siln\u00e9, a to i p\u0159es b\u0159eznov\u00fd soudn\u00ed rozsudek, kter\u00fd opozi\u010dn\u00ed v\u016fdkyni Marine Le Penov\u00e9 zak\u00e1zal kandidovat na prezidentku Francie p\u011bt let. V\u0161echny ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumy ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee Le Penov\u00e1 a jej\u00ed z\u00e1stupce Jordan Bardella se mohou pochlubit v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 procenty podpory v prvn\u00edm kole.<\/p>\n

Le Penov\u00e1 i Bardella maj\u00ed velmi vysok\u00e9 negativn\u00ed sk\u00f3re \u2013 v rozmez\u00ed 47 a\u017e 49 procent \u2013 \u200b\u200bco\u017e by pro n\u011b nesm\u00edrn\u011b zt\u00ed\u017eilo z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed 50 procent hlas\u016f pot\u0159ebn\u00fdch k\u00a0v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed ve druh\u00e9m kole prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb.<\/p>\n

Vztahy mezi nimi se od soudn\u00edho rozhodnut\u00ed tak\u00e9 zhor\u0161ily. Le Penov\u00e1, kter\u00e1 se st\u00e1le pova\u017euje za kandid\u00e1tku N\u00e1rodn\u00edho shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed a\u017e do odvol\u00e1n\u00ed v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce, se rozzlobila kv\u016fli n\u00e1znak\u016fm \u2013 jak z Bardellova t\u00e1bora, tak z m\u00e9di\u00ed \u2013 \u017ee je nyn\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00fdm prezidentsk\u00fdm favoritem, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t pouk\u00e1zala na sv\u00e9 ml\u00e1d\u00ed a nedostatek zku\u0161enost\u00ed. Toto nap\u011bt\u00ed v\u0161ak zat\u00edm jejich spole\u010dnou popularitu v pr\u016fzkumech ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed nesn\u00ed\u017eilo.<\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, tak daleko p\u0159ed volbami v roce 2027 jsou pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed pro druh\u00e9 kolo prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb vz\u00e1cn\u00e9; nicm\u00e9n\u011b n\u011bkolik ned\u00e1vn\u00fdch pr\u016fzkum\u016f agentur Ifop a Odoxa nazna\u010duje, \u017ee Philippe by porazil Le Penovou i Bardellu, zat\u00edmco oni by mohli porazit Retailleaua nebo Attala. V\u00fdsledek bude tedy z\u00e1viset na tom, kdo obsad\u00ed druh\u00e9 m\u00edsto v prvn\u00edm kole \u2013 o \u010dem\u017e by mohl rozhodnout t\u011bsn\u00fd rozd\u00edl jen n\u011bkolika tis\u00edc hlas\u016f, pokud by st\u0159edo- a levicov\u00ed kandid\u00e1ti z\u016fstali a\u017e do c\u00edle vyrovnan\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, Macron m\u00e1 probl\u00e9m s n\u00e1stupnictv\u00edm v\u00a0Elysejsk\u00e9m pal\u00e1ci \u2013 a na jeho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed nezb\u00fdv\u00e1 mnoho \u010dasu.<\/p>\n

V\u00e1clav Prok\u016fpek<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

P.S. Mo\u017en\u00e1, \u017ee jste si v\u0161imli, \u017ee potom, co pan\u00ed Macronov\u00e1 vlepila facku sv\u00e9mu mu\u017ei \u2013 prezidentovi Francie, neobjevuje se na ve\u0159ejnosti. D\u016fvod? Podle bulv\u00e1rn\u00edho listu Le Pau Express na\u010dapala prezidenta Francie a sv\u00e9ho mu\u017ee s\u00a0n\u011bk\u00fdm v\u00a0posteli! Z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m s\u00a0n\u011bk\u00fdm. Nejsem homofob. Mn\u011b se l\u00edb\u00ed \u017eeny, ale mysl\u00edm si, \u017ee sexu\u00e1ln\u00ed orientace je vrozen\u00e1 a tud\u00ed\u017e za ni nikdo nem\u016f\u017ee. Jen\u017ee to, co le\u017eelo s\u00a0Macronem v\u00a0lo\u017enici nebyl mu\u017e ani \u017eena. Inu, lib\u016fstky mocn\u00fdch!<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 francouzsk\u00e9 volby sice p\u0159inesly sv\u00e1 p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed, ale poka\u017ed\u00e9 byla z\u00e1kladn\u00ed struktura sout\u011b\u017ee st\u00e1le p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00e1….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":55690,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[130,1503,307,122,165],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82760"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82760"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82760\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":82761,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82760\/revisions\/82761"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/55690"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82760"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82760"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}