{"id":82450,"date":"2025-06-30T00:11:41","date_gmt":"2025-06-29T22:11:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=82450"},"modified":"2025-06-29T13:58:51","modified_gmt":"2025-06-29T11:58:51","slug":"pravda-o-primeri-mezi-izraelem-a-iranem-hloubkovy-pohled-s-plukovnikem-douglasem-macgregorem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/30\/pravda-o-primeri-mezi-izraelem-a-iranem-hloubkovy-pohled-s-plukovnikem-douglasem-macgregorem\/","title":{"rendered":"Pravda o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem: Hloubkov\u00fd pohled s plukovn\u00edkem Douglasem MacGregorem"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span>P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem p\u0159it\u00e1hlo pozornost cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta. Co to ale doopravdy znamen\u00e1 pro region a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed politiku? Plukovn\u00edk Douglas Macgregor, renomovan\u00fd geopolitick\u00fd expert, se v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m rozhovoru pod\u011blil o sv\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed pozad\u00ed, d\u016fsledk\u016f a k\u0159ehk\u00e9 povahy tohoto p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek zd\u016fraz\u0148uje kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 body jeho anal\u00fdzy a nab\u00edz\u00ed hloubkov\u00fd vhled do slo\u017eit\u00e9 situace na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Plukovn\u00edk Douglas Macgregor odhaluje PRAVDU o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem!\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/jZ1hUIA2KGc?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3><strong><span>K\u0159ehk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed: Kdo vyhr\u00e1l?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Po dvan\u00e1ctidenn\u00edm konfliktu mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem bylo dohodnuto p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ob\u011b strany pova\u017euj\u00ed za v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed. Macgregor to ale jasn\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1: Neexistuje jasn\u00fd v\u00edt\u011bz. \u201eZ\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na tom, na kter\u00e9 stran\u011b jste,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1. Z pohledu \u00cdr\u00e1nu zem\u011b uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee jej\u00ed zbrojn\u00ed arzen\u00e1l je mnohem siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e mnoz\u00ed p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dali. Zejm\u00e9na schopnost p\u0159emoci izraelsk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 syst\u00e9my palbou raket Izrael p\u0159ekvapila. Vysoce postaven\u00fd izraelsk\u00fd politik Ben Gvir dokonce p\u0159ipustil, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 schopnosti byly podcen\u011bny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Izrael naopak oslavuje zni\u010den\u00ed \u00fadajn\u00fdch \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, ale Macgregor pochybuje, \u017ee tyto \u00fatoky zp\u016fsobily zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u0161kody. Podle jeho zpravodajsk\u00fdch zdroj\u016f byly napaden\u00e9 c\u00edle z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9. \u201eByl to vizu\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch,\u201c \u0159ekl Macgregor, \u201eale strategicky irelevantn\u00ed.\u201c \u00cdr\u00e1n tak\u00e9 p\u0159edem informoval USA a Izrael o pl\u00e1novan\u00e9m proti\u00fatoku, kter\u00fd zas\u00e1hl opu\u0161t\u011bnou leteckou z\u00e1kladnu v Bahrajnu \u2013 symbolick\u00fd akt bez v\u011bt\u0161\u00edch n\u00e1sledk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Role USA: bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e1 podpora Izraele?<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>\u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm t\u00e9matem Macgregorovy anal\u00fdzy je bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e1 podpora Izraele ze strany USA. \u201eNez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na tom, kter\u00e1 strana je u moci,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1. Tato politika zavazuje USA podporovat Izrael finan\u010dn\u011b a technologicky, bez ohledu na d\u016fsledky. To vt\u00e1hlo USA do sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho konfliktu bez jak\u00e9koli jasn\u00e9 strategie na dohled. \u201eNevid\u00edm \u017e\u00e1dnou strategii, jen impulzivn\u00ed reakce,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Macgregor a kritizuje politiku USA za prezidenta Donalda Trumpa. Trump\u016fv p\u0159\u00edstup p\u0159irovn\u00e1v\u00e1 k p\u0159\u00edstupu Joea Bidena a dokonce hovo\u0159\u00ed o \u201eoran\u017eov\u00e9m McCainovi\u201c, aby ilustroval kontinuitu americk\u00e9 politiky navzdory zd\u00e1nliv\u011b nov\u00e9mu veden\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Podpora Izraele tak\u00e9 vedla k tomu, \u017ee humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed krize v Gaze je do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry ignorov\u00e1na. Macgregor odhaduje, \u017ee v Gaze zem\u0159ely statis\u00edce lid\u00ed \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e v d\u016fsledku n\u00e1sil\u00ed nebo nemoc\u00ed \u2013 a pova\u017euje to za trval\u00fd katalyz\u00e1tor konfliktu. \u201eDokud nebude ot\u00e1zka Gazy vy\u0159e\u0161ena, nebude trval\u00fd m\u00edr,\u201c varuje.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Pos\u00edlen\u00e1 pozice \u00cdr\u00e1nu a jadern\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Na rozd\u00edl od z\u00e1padn\u00edch narativ\u016f se Macgregor nedomn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee by ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 \u00fatoky oslabily \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd program. \u201eC\u00edle byly pr\u00e1zdn\u00e9,\u201c zd\u016fraz\u0148uje s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na zpravodajsk\u00e9 zdroje. \u00cdr\u00e1n v\u010das p\u0159em\u00edstil sv\u00e9 z\u00e1soby uranu a nad\u00e1le zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee nem\u00e1 v \u00famyslu vyv\u00edjet jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b. Macgregor nicm\u00e9n\u011b vid\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky: \u201eKa\u017ed\u00fd st\u00e1t, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 prost\u0159edky, se nyn\u00ed bude sna\u017eit jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b z\u00edskat.\u201c D\u016fvod? Strach ze z\u00e1sahu USA nebo Izraele.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Podle Macgregora z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 Izrael s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 90 hlavicemi jedinou jadernou mocnost\u00ed v regionu. Tato jadern\u00e1 p\u0159evaha je \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem \u201eprojektu Velk\u00e9ho Izraele\u201c, jeho\u017e c\u00edlem je region\u00e1ln\u00ed dominance. Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod bez jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, jak po\u017eaduje \u00cdr\u00e1n, by donutil Izrael vzd\u00e1t se sv\u00fdch zbran\u00ed \u2013 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd se izraelsk\u00e9mu veden\u00ed jev\u00ed jako nemysliteln\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Izraelsk\u00e1 finan\u010dn\u00ed a vojensk\u00e1 krize<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>P\u0159ekvapiv\u00fdm bodem v Macgregorov\u011b anal\u00fdze je prek\u00e9rn\u00ed situace Izraele. Podle ministra financ\u00ed Smotricha je zem\u011b na pokraji ekonomick\u00e9ho kolapsu. \u201eJe\u0161t\u011b t\u00fdden, mo\u017en\u00e1 dva, a ekonomika se zhrout\u00ed,\u201c cituje Macgregor. Izrael nav\u00edc odp\u00e1lil velkou \u010d\u00e1st sv\u00fdch raket, zat\u00edmco USA maj\u00ed tak\u00e9 probl\u00e9my se z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00edm. \u201eNevyr\u00e1b\u00edme rakety dostate\u010dn\u011b rychle,\u201c varuje. Tato slabost by mohla Izrael donutit k dodr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed \u2013 Macgregor v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 skeptick\u00fd: \u201eNic se z\u00e1sadn\u011b nezm\u011bnilo.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Netanjahuova strategie a ot\u00e1zka zm\u011bny re\u017eimu<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Macgregor je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Benjamin Netanjahu po \u00fatoku Ham\u00e1su 7. \u0159\u00edjna \u00famysln\u011b eskaloval konflikt. \u201eNebyla to n\u00e1hoda,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 a poukazuje na varov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e1 Izrael p\u0159edt\u00edm ignoroval. Netanjahu vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 krizi k ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho region\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu, kter\u00fd podporuje svou kontrolou nad americk\u00fdmi politiky. \u201eNetanjahu m\u00e1 v americk\u00e9m Kongresu v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vliv ne\u017e Trump,\u201c zd\u016fraz\u0148uje Macgregor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dal\u0161\u00edm z c\u00edl\u016f Izraele je zm\u011bna re\u017eimu v \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Macgregor zmi\u0148uje podporu syna b\u00fdval\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e1ha jako potenci\u00e1ln\u00edho \u201eloutkov\u00e9ho vl\u00e1dce\u201c v Teher\u00e1nu. Vid\u00ed v\u0161ak jen malou vyhl\u00eddku na \u00fasp\u011bch: \u201e\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid je sjednocen\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e kdy jindy za svou vl\u00e1dou.\u201c \u00cdr\u00e1n jako civilizovan\u00fd st\u00e1t s hluboce zako\u0159en\u011bnou kulturou je odoln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e si mnoz\u00ed na Z\u00e1pad\u011b mysl\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed perspektivy: Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a Ukrajina<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Macgregor roz\u0161i\u0159uje sv\u016fj pohled i na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky. Rusko a \u010c\u00edna se z\u00e1jmem sleduj\u00ed v\u00fdvoj na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a sna\u017e\u00ed se prosazovat svou iniciativu \u201eJeden p\u00e1s, jedna cesta\u201c, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je ekonomick\u00e1 integrace Eurasie a Afriky \u2013 projekt ohro\u017een\u00fd nestabilitou na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. \u201eRusko je kl\u00ed\u010dem ke stabilit\u011b ve St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii,\u201c vysv\u011btluje Macgregor, zat\u00edmco \u010c\u00edna se sna\u017e\u00ed kompenzovat svou zranitelnost v n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed oblasti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud jde o Ukrajinu, Macgregor vid\u00ed paralely s Izraelem. Prezident Zelenskyj \u010del\u00ed podobn\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 krizi jako Netanjahu, ale v je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed situaci. S odhadovan\u00fdm po\u010dtem 1,5 milionu mrtv\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a systematickou ruskou ofenzivou je Ukrajina \u201epacientem na jednotce intenzivn\u00ed p\u00e9\u010de\u201c. Macgregor kritizuje Trumpovo tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lku lze ukon\u010dit b\u011bhem 24 hodin, jako nerealistick\u00e9. Rusko bude v konfliktu dominovat a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b prom\u011bn\u00ed Ukrajinu ve vnitrozemsk\u00fd zbytek st\u00e1tu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>V\u00fdhled: Nejist\u00fd m\u00edr<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Macgregor uzav\u00edr\u00e1 st\u0159\u00edzlivou p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed: P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed je pouze pauzou ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm konfliktu. \u201eStrategick\u00e1 dynamika se m\u011bn\u00ed a je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 ji zastavit,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1. Izrael se bude i nad\u00e1le sna\u017eit zajistit si region\u00e1ln\u00ed dominanci, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n z konfliktu vyjde siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. USA, uv\u011bzn\u011bn\u00e9 svou bezpodm\u00edne\u010dnou podporou Izraele, riskuj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed eskalaci bez jasn\u00e9 strategie.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Macgregor vid\u00ed dva sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e do budoucna: Bu\u010f nastol\u00ed m\u00edr \u2013 co\u017e pova\u017euje za nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 \u2013 nebo Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod \u010del\u00ed hlubok\u00fdm zm\u011bn\u00e1m. \u201eMapa regionu by se mohla z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bnit,\u201c varuje. Zem\u011b jako S\u00fdrie, Ir\u00e1k nebo Kuvajt by mohly p\u0159edefinovat sv\u00e9 hranice, zat\u00edmco velmoci jako Rusko, \u010c\u00edna a Turecko by mohly roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sv\u00e9 sf\u00e9ry vlivu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Anal\u00fdza plukovn\u00edka Douglase Macgregora ukazuje, \u017ee p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem nep\u0159edstavuje udr\u017eiteln\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Region z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 sudem s st\u0159eln\u00fdm prachem, poznamenan\u00fdm ekonomick\u00fdmi krizemi, jadern\u00fdmi ambicemi a geopolitick\u00fdmi mocensk\u00fdmi boji. Bez jasn\u00e9 strategie USA a \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed krize v Gaze hroz\u00ed, \u017ee konflikt bude i nad\u00e1le hnit \u2013 s potenci\u00e1ln\u011b ni\u010div\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky pro Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod i za jeho hranicemi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem p\u0159it\u00e1hlo pozornost cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta. Co to ale doopravdy znamen\u00e1 pro&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":33676,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,4199,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82450"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82450"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82450\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33676"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82450"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82450"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82450"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}