{"id":82108,"date":"2025-06-25T00:16:18","date_gmt":"2025-06-24T22:16:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=82108"},"modified":"2025-06-24T13:03:41","modified_gmt":"2025-06-24T11:03:41","slug":"pepe-escobar-iran-utoci-na-americkou-zakladnu-v-kataru-a-varuje-pred-znicujici-odpovedi-ktera-jeste-neskoncila","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/25\/pepe-escobar-iran-utoci-na-americkou-zakladnu-v-kataru-a-varuje-pred-znicujici-odpovedi-ktera-jeste-neskoncila\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar: \u00cdr\u00e1n \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na americkou z\u00e1kladnu v Kataru a varuje p\u0159ed zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed odpov\u011bd\u00ed, kter\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b neskon\u010dila"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span>V dramatick\u00e9 eskalaci konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1n v r\u00e1mci operace Proclamation of Victory odp\u00e1lil \u0161est raket na leteckou z\u00e1kladnu Al-Udeid v Kataru, srdce americk\u00e9ho centr\u00e1ln\u00edho velitelstv\u00ed (CENTCOM). Geopolitick\u00fd analytik a novin\u00e1\u0159 Pepe Escobar analyzoval tento v\u00fdvoj v ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 diskusi s moder\u00e1torem Dannym Hiongem. \u00datok, kter\u00fd p\u0159i\u0161el v reakci na \u00fatok USA na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, p\u0159edstavuje symbolick\u00fd, ale v\u00fdznamn\u00fd krok Teher\u00e1nu. Escobar zd\u016fraznil: \u201eVys\u00edl\u00e1n\u00ed je jasn\u00e9: \u201aSami jste si to zp\u016fsobili a pokud se to vyhrot\u00ed, va\u0161e z\u00e1kladny v st\u00e1tech Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu za to zaplat\u00ed.\u2018\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Pepe Escobar: \u00cdr\u00e1n za\u00fato\u010dil na americkou z\u00e1kladnu v Kataru, varuje, \u017ee zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed reakce je\u0161t\u011b neskon\u010dila\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/nE0EKNwLw5E?feature=oembed\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<h3><strong><span>Symbolick\u00fd \u00fatok s jasn\u00fdm poselstv\u00edm<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Podle Escobarova odhadu m\u011bl \u00fatok na z\u00e1kladnu Al-Udeid symbolick\u00fd charakter. \u201eZ\u00e1kladna byla pr\u00e1zdn\u00e1, v\u0161echno bylo evakuov\u00e1no,\u201c vysv\u011btlil s odkazem na sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed zku\u0161enosti z ter\u00e9nu: \u201eByl jsem v Al-Udeid, je to obrovsk\u00e9.\u201c Navzdory p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9mu varov\u00e1n\u00ed USA a katarsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b, kter\u00e9 umo\u017enilo evakuaci, byl vzkaz st\u00e1t\u016fm Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu (GCC) nezam\u011bniteln\u00fd: \u201eVzkaz zn\u00ed: \u201aNem\u00e1te kam ut\u00e9ct, nem\u00e1te se kam schovat,\u2018\u201c \u0159ekl Escobar a citoval p\u00edse\u0148 z Motownu, aby zd\u016fraznil p\u0159\u00edmo\u010darost \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho varov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Podle Escobara nebyl \u00fatok jen reakc\u00ed na americkou agresi, ale tak\u00e9 c\u00edlen\u00fdm varov\u00e1n\u00edm v\u0161em zem\u00edm Rady pro spolupr\u00e1ci arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f v Persk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu (GCC), v\u010detn\u011b Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f a Bahrajnu. \u201eTrump tohle na v\u00e1s v\u0161echny p\u0159ivedl,\u201c shrnul \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 poselstv\u00ed, \u201ea pokud se to bude stup\u0148ovat, va\u0161e z\u00e1kladny v st\u00e1tech Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu za to zaplat\u00ed.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strategie: ekonomick\u00e1 paral\u00fdza Izraele<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 reakce se v\u0161ak neomezuje pouze na symbolick\u00e9 \u00fatoky. Escobar zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n sleduje p\u0159esnou a promy\u0161lenou strategii zam\u011b\u0159enou na paralyzov\u00e1n\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 ekonomiky. \u201eMaj\u00ed lh\u016ftu dva a\u017e t\u0159i t\u00fddny na to, aby zni\u010dili co nejv\u00edce izraelsk\u00e9 ekonomiky,\u201c vysv\u011btlil. V \u010dasn\u00fdch rann\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch \u00cdr\u00e1n testoval a odp\u00e1lil nov\u00e9 typy raket, jako jsou rakety Ghadr a Fattah, a tak\u00e9 rakety KASM, kter\u00e9 dosud nebyly pou\u017eity. \u201eToto je jen za\u010d\u00e1tek,\u201c zd\u016fraznil Escobar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Podle Escobara mezi nov\u00e9 c\u00edle pat\u0159\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstav A\u0161dod a bl\u00edzk\u00e1 elektr\u00e1rna. \u201eMohou paralyzovat v\u0161echny izraelsk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstavy, kdykoli budou cht\u00edt,\u201c \u0159ekl. D\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 izraelsk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, jako je leti\u0161t\u011b Ben-Gurion, obrann\u00e1 spole\u010dnost Rafael (srovnateln\u00e1 s Raytheonem nebo Lockheed Martin) a Weizmannov institut, pova\u017eovan\u00fd za izraelsk\u00fd MIT, ji\u017e byly v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zasa\u017eeny. \u201e\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strategie u\u017e nen\u00ed strategick\u00e1 trp\u011blivost, ale promy\u0161len\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed a ofenz\u00edva,\u201c \u0159ekl Escobar.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Izraelsk\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dost o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed zam\u00edtnuta<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Pozoruhodn\u00fdm bodem v Escobarov\u011b anal\u00fdze je zpr\u00e1va, \u017ee podle izraelsk\u00e9 televizn\u00ed stanice Channel 11 Izrael form\u00e1ln\u011b po\u017e\u00e1dal \u00cdr\u00e1n o ukon\u010den\u00ed raketov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 odpov\u011b\u010f byla jednozna\u010dn\u00e1: \u201eNe, skon\u010d\u00ed, a\u017e se rozhodneme, \u017ee skon\u010d\u00ed.\u201c Escobar zd\u016fraznil: \u201eVy jste v\u00e1lku za\u010dali a nev\u00edte, jak ji ukon\u010dit.\u201c To podtrhuje odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu udr\u017eet si kontrolu nad tempem a v\u00fdsledkem konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Slab\u00e1 str\u00e1nka: \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Navzdory \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 s\u00edle Escobar pouk\u00e1zal na z\u00e1sadn\u00ed slabinu: nedostatek protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany na z\u00e1pad\u011b zem\u011b. \u201eMaj\u00ed velk\u00fd probl\u00e9m, proto\u017ee v z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, a\u017e po Teher\u00e1n, nemaj\u00ed prakticky \u017e\u00e1dnou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu,\u201c vysv\u011btlil. M\u00edsta jako Kerm\u00e1n\u0161\u00e1h a Isfah\u00e1n jsou obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zraniteln\u00e1. Mo\u017en\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm by mohly b\u00fdt dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f S-300 nebo S-400, ale zat\u00edm nic nenasv\u011bd\u010duje tomu, \u017ee by se tak d\u011bje. \u201e\u00cdr\u00e1n je na sv\u00e9m z\u00e1padn\u00edm k\u0159\u00eddle extr\u00e9mn\u011b zraniteln\u00fd,\u201c varoval Escobar.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Geopolitick\u00fd rozm\u011br: V\u00e1lka proti BRICS<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Escobar zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee konflikt sah\u00e1 daleko za hranice Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu. \u201eToto je v\u00e1lka proti BRICS,\u201c \u0159ekl s odkazem na prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa, kter\u00fd otev\u0159en\u011b hovo\u0159il o \u201ezm\u011bn\u011b re\u017eimu\u201c v \u00cdr\u00e1nu. \u201eProzradil hru,\u201c poznamenal Escobar a dodal: \u201eTo je hlavn\u00ed titulek: Toto je v\u00e1lka za zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu.\u201c Podle Escobara si americk\u00e1 strategie klade za c\u00edl zabr\u00e1nit integraci Eurasie a oslabit zem\u011b BRICS \u2013 zejm\u00e9na \u00cdr\u00e1n, Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu. \u201eCht\u011bj\u00ed slab\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n, stejn\u011b jako je nyn\u00ed slab\u00e1 S\u00fdrie,\u201c vysv\u011btlil. Oslaben\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n by Z\u00e1padu umo\u017enil ovl\u00e1dat koridory Hedv\u00e1bn\u00e9 stezky a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dopravn\u00ed koridor Sever-Jih, co\u017e by strategicky izolovalo Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv: \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd trumf<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>\u00dast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem Escobarovy anal\u00fdzy je Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fd by \u00cdr\u00e1n mohl pou\u017e\u00edt jako svou posledn\u00ed kartu. \u201eZahraj\u00ed si ho, pouze pokud bude ohro\u017eena jejich existence,\u201c \u0159ekl. Selektivn\u00ed blok\u00e1da, v n\u00ed\u017e by voln\u00fd pr\u016fplav byl povolen pouze lod\u00edm sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00edc\u00edm do \u010c\u00edny nebo Indie, je p\u0159edstavitelnou mo\u017enost\u00ed. \u201eO tom se v Teher\u00e1nu diskutuje,\u201c \u0159ekl Escobar. \u00dapln\u00e9 uzav\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu by v\u0161ak uvrhlo glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku do krize, proto\u017ee podle Goldman Sachs by mohlo doj\u00edt k bilionov\u00fdm \u0161kod\u00e1m. \u201eBylo by to jako \u0159et\u011bzov\u00e1 reakce po jadern\u00e9m v\u00fdbuchu,\u201c citoval Warrena Buffetta.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>Rusk\u00e1 a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 podpora<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Escobar pouk\u00e1zal na ruskou podporu \u00cdr\u00e1nu, kter\u00e1 dosud m\u011bla diplomatickou povahu. \u201eRusko pomohlo \u00cdr\u00e1nu obnovit jeho vojenskou s\u00ed\u0165 po izraelsk\u00e9m kybernetick\u00e9m \u00fatoku,\u201c \u0159ekl, ale zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee toto t\u00e9ma je v Moskv\u011b tabu. Diskutovala se tak\u00e9 mo\u017en\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 ochrana ze strany Ruska nebo \u010c\u00edny, ale z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 spekulativn\u00ed. \u201ePokud by \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u011bl jadernou ochranu, byl by to jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak zastavit toto \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed,\u201c \u0159ekl Escobar.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span>V\u00fdhled: Dlouh\u00e9, hork\u00e9 l\u00e9to<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span>Podle Escobara budou nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed t\u00fddny kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9. \u201eV\u00edtejte v dlouh\u00e9m, hork\u00e9m l\u00e9t\u011b,\u201c varoval. \u00cdr\u00e1n prosazuje strategickou \u00fato\u010dnou strategii s c\u00edlem ekonomicky oslabit Izrael, zat\u00edmco USA a Izrael doufaj\u00ed, \u017ee prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm trval\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f vyvolaj\u00ed v \u00cdr\u00e1nu povst\u00e1n\u00ed. Escobar vyj\u00e1d\u0159il skepsi, \u017ee USA mohou tuto v\u00e1lku vyhr\u00e1t: \u201eImp\u00e9rium tuto v\u00e1lku vyhr\u00e1t nem\u016f\u017ee. Je nevyhnuteln\u00e9, \u017ee multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt p\u0159ijde jako v\u00fdchod slunce.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z\u00e1v\u011brem Escobar zd\u016fraznil pot\u0159ebu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho odporu v\u016f\u010di imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed nadvl\u00e1d\u011b. \u201eToto je existencion\u00e1ln\u00ed okam\u017eik pro 21. stolet\u00ed,\u201c \u0159ekl. \u201e\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid hraje svou roli, lid\u00e9 solid\u00e1rn\u00ed s \u00cdr\u00e1nem v regionu hraj\u00ed svou roli a multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt hraje svou roli. Nyn\u00ed je na n\u00e1s, na kolektivn\u00edm Z\u00e1pad\u011b, abychom sehr\u00e1li svou roli.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>V dramatick\u00e9 eskalaci konfliktu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b \u00cdr\u00e1n v r\u00e1mci operace Proclamation of Victory odp\u00e1lil&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":82109,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1854,38,107,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82108"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=82108"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/82108\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/82109"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=82108"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=82108"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=82108"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}