{"id":81887,"date":"2025-06-22T00:40:25","date_gmt":"2025-06-21T22:40:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=81887"},"modified":"2025-06-21T17:09:02","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T15:09:02","slug":"alexandre-lemoine-existuji-v-modernim-svete-cervene-linie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/22\/alexandre-lemoine-existuji-v-modernim-svete-cervene-linie\/","title":{"rendered":"Alexandre Lemoine: Existuj\u00ed v modern\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b \u010derven\u00e9 linie?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>\u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00fd ji\u017e reagoval na prvn\u00ed vlnu \u00fader\u016f proti sv\u00fdm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm, zejm\u00e9na v Teher\u00e1nu, prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Izrael \u201ep\u0159ekro\u010dil v\u0161echny \u010derven\u00e9 linie\u201c. Nyn\u00ed si strany vym\u011b\u0148uj\u00ed salvy raket. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty o jadern\u00e9 dohod\u011b byla zru\u0161ena (nebo odlo\u017eena, pokud chceme b\u00fdt optimisti\u010dt\u00ed). Teher\u00e1nsk\u00e1 spolupr\u00e1ce s MAAE byla rovn\u011b\u017e pozastavena. Izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady hovo\u0159\u00ed o dvou t\u00fddnech pl\u00e1novan\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f, ale ve skute\u010dnosti nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jak dlouho by to mohlo trvat.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Je v principu mo\u017en\u00e9 v nov\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b zm\u00edtan\u00e9m konflikty stanovit \u010derven\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1ry? Jedinou hranic\u00ed, kterou v\u0161echny st\u00e1ty st\u00e1le respektuj\u00ed, je pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Pr\u00e1v\u011b tato zbra\u0148, respektive \u00fadajn\u00e1 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 aspirace na jej\u00ed vlastnictv\u00ed, se v\u0161ak stala z\u00e1minkou pro sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, Izrael v\u011b\u0159il a v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n uva\u017euje o p\u0159ekro\u010den\u00ed kone\u010dn\u00e9 \u010derven\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1ry, a proto \u00fato\u010d\u00ed preventivn\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jinak si ka\u017ed\u00fd st\u00e1t s\u00e1m ur\u010duje, co p\u0159edstavuje hranici, kterou potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed protivn\u00edk nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ekro\u010dit. To posiluje pocit v\u0161eobecn\u00e9ho chaosu. K tomu se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 krize glob\u00e1ln\u00edch instituc\u00ed a mechanism\u016f odstra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Ta se neprojevila nyn\u00ed, ale ji\u017e v dob\u011b, kdy rezoluce a varov\u00e1n\u00ed Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN nemohly zabr\u00e1nit ur\u010dit\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm nebo skupin\u00e1m st\u00e1t\u016f v prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed v severn\u00ed Africe, St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii a na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Na instituci, kter\u00e1 existuje po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed, se st\u00e1le odvol\u00e1vaj\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch glob\u00e1ln\u00edch hr\u00e1\u010d\u016f. V praxi v\u0161ak jej\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed nefunguj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Za\u010d\u00e1tkem kv\u011btna se Indie a P\u00e1kist\u00e1n vz\u00e1jemn\u011b bombardovaly a do\u0161lo k vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Jsou to dv\u011b jadern\u00e9 mocnosti. P\u0159ed p\u011bti lety by to zp\u016fsobilo \u0161ok, bylo by to vn\u00edm\u00e1no jako anom\u00e1lie, kterou by se cel\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 spole\u010denstv\u00ed sna\u017eilo co nejrychleji odstranit. Nyn\u00ed je to vn\u00edm\u00e1no sp\u00ed\u0161e jako o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd v\u00fdvoj glob\u00e1ln\u00ed krize. Stejn\u011b jako rakety let\u00edc\u00ed sm\u011brem k Tel Avivu nebo Teher\u00e1nu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Izrael je obvi\u0148ov\u00e1n ze snahy naru\u0161it \u00edr\u00e1nsko-americk\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Existuje i jin\u00fd n\u00e1zor: jedn\u00e1n\u00ed byla odv\u00e1d\u011bc\u00ed taktikou, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem bylo ukol\u00e9bat Teher\u00e1nskou bd\u011blost. Politici ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b zneu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed nepokoj\u016f k \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00edch a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch ot\u00e1zek (jak je vn\u00edmaj\u00ed) silou. Nov\u00fd syst\u00e9m glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dohod podle nich stav v\u011bc\u00ed pouze upevn\u00ed. V\u00fdpo\u010dty, \u017ee ob\u010dan\u00e9 konfliktn\u00edch zem\u00ed vyjdou do ulic a budou od sv\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f po\u017eadovat m\u00edr, nejsou nikde opodstatn\u011bn\u00e9. Naopak, vyhrocen\u00e9 konflikty s explozemi a ni\u010den\u00edm vedou ke sjednocov\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1rod\u016f kolem sou\u010dasn\u00fdch v\u016fdc\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Existuje p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsko-izraelsk\u00e1 eskalace odvede sv\u011bt od konfliktu mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou. Ozbrojen\u00e9 konflikty se v\u0161ak ned\u011bl\u00ed na v\u00edce \u010di m\u00e9n\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00e9, jednodu\u0161e tvo\u0159\u00ed vzorec glob\u00e1ln\u00ed nejistoty. Tento vzorec se nan\u00e1\u0161\u00ed na syst\u00e9m glob\u00e1ln\u00edch ekonomick\u00fdch vazeb, co\u017e mimo jin\u00e9 komplikuje dlouhodob\u00e9 p\u016fsoben\u00ed jak\u00fdchkoli sankc\u00ed (v\u017edycky se najde n\u011bkdo, kdo je pom\u016f\u017ee obej\u00edt). Jak\u00e1koli vojensk\u00e1 akce na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b ovliv\u0148uje cenu ropy, co\u017e n\u00e1sledn\u011b ovliv\u0148uje jej\u00ed dopad na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Mnoz\u00ed sarkasticky hovo\u0159\u00ed o roli Donalda Trumpa jako m\u00edrotvorce. Navzdory sv\u00e9 impulzivit\u011b v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b c\u00edtil, \u017ee pro politiky v turbulentn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b je vhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed navrhovat mechanismy pro ekonomick\u00e9 transakce a v\u00fdhody, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e pl\u00e1ny na novou glob\u00e1ln\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architekturu. L\u00edd\u0159i mohou b\u00fdt na takov\u00e9 projekty p\u0159ipraveni a\u017e pot\u00e9, co si v\u0161ichni vezmou, nebo se alespo\u0148 pokus\u00ed vz\u00edt, to, co jim n\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed. Trumpovo prezidentsk\u00e9 funk\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt krat\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e toto obdob\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.observateur-continental.fr\/?module=articles&amp;action=view&amp;id=7001\"><em><span>Alexandre Lemoine<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00cdr\u00e1n, kter\u00fd ji\u017e reagoval na prvn\u00ed vlnu \u00fader\u016f proti sv\u00fdm za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edm, zejm\u00e9na v Teher\u00e1nu, prohl\u00e1sil,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81888,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[3283,1503,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81887"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81887"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81887\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81888"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81887"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81887"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81887"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}