{"id":81875,"date":"2025-06-22T00:36:15","date_gmt":"2025-06-21T22:36:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=81875"},"modified":"2025-06-21T16:54:16","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T14:54:16","slug":"alexandre-lemoine-izrael-pripravuje-pudu-pro-svrzeni-moci-v-iranu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/22\/alexandre-lemoine-izrael-pripravuje-pudu-pro-svrzeni-moci-v-iranu\/","title":{"rendered":"Alexandre Lemoine: Izrael p\u0159ipravuje p\u016fdu pro svr\u017een\u00ed moci v \u00cdr\u00e1nu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Izrael chce nejen zcela zbavit \u00cdr\u00e1n jak\u00e9koli \u0161ance na v\u00fdvoj jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, ale m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed c\u00edle. Konkr\u00e9tn\u011b zcela zm\u011bnit vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed re\u017eim v Teher\u00e1nu. \u010c\u00edm to je, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 operace jist\u011b nep\u0159inese takov\u00e9 okam\u017eit\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky, ale mohla by fungovat v budoucnu?<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Tel Aviv by mohl na \u00cdr\u00e1n uplatnit tzv. doktr\u00ednu Dahiya. To p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed izraelsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia. V\u00fdznam t\u00e9to doktr\u00edny spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee vojensk\u00e9 operace jsou vedeny nejen, a dokonce ani ne prim\u00e1rn\u011b, proti arm\u00e1d\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 proti ekonomice zem\u011b a civiln\u00edmu obyvatelstvu. Dahiya je p\u0159edm\u011bst\u00ed Bejr\u00fatu, kter\u00e9 Izrael t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem bombardoval v roce 2006. Masivn\u00ed bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, ni\u010den\u00ed obytn\u00fdch \u010dtvrt\u00ed a infrastrukturn\u00edch objekt\u016f, to v\u0161e se d\u011bje s c\u00edlem donutit obyvatele zem\u011b k usilov\u00e1n\u00ed o m\u00edr s Izraelem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebo v nejp\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i pro Tel Aviv, aby se chopil moci. \u201e\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu lidu chci \u0159\u00edct toto: Jste skv\u011bl\u00fd n\u00e1rod s obrovsk\u00fdm talentem a genialitou, kter\u00fd byl touto uzurpa\u010dn\u00ed tyrani\u00ed zbaven nad\u011bje. Vzala v\u00e1m v\u00e1\u0161 norm\u00e1ln\u00ed \u017eivot. \u010casto se obrac\u00edm k \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu lidu, nat\u00e1\u010d\u00edm videa a dost\u00e1v\u00e1m miliony reakc\u00ed. Lid\u00e9 p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed: \u201aA\u0165 \u017eije Izrael! Bravo, osvobo\u010fte n\u00e1s od tyranie!\u2018 Moje odpov\u011b\u010f: Bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed se v\u00e1\u0161 \u010das svobody. Povsta\u0148te, bu\u010fte svobodn\u00ed,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>obr\u00e1til se k<\/span><\/a> \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu lidu izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Benjamin Netanjahu.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00edlem izraelsk\u00e9 operace nen\u00ed jen zni\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu, ale tak\u00e9 zni\u010den\u00ed toho, co Tel Aviv pova\u017euje za ko\u0159en probl\u00e9mu: moci ajatoll\u00e1h\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eIzraelsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da vn\u00edm\u00e1 samotn\u00fd \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd re\u017eim, nejen jeho jadernou a vojenskou infrastrukturu, jako skute\u010dn\u00e9 nebezpe\u010d\u00ed. A to nen\u00ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9, vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed v\u016fdci, z nich\u017e mnoz\u00ed horliv\u011b v\u011b\u0159\u00ed v extr\u00e9mn\u00ed \u0161\u00editskou islamistickou ideologii, ji\u017e dlouho vyhro\u017euj\u00ed zni\u010den\u00edm Izraele,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>p\u00ed\u0161e<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u010dasopis\u00a0<\/span>Politico<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle z\u00e1padn\u00edch expert\u016f chce Izrael tento re\u017eim v n\u011bkolika kroc\u00edch zlikvidovat.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaprv\u00e9, vyvolat ekonomickou krizi. \u201e\u00dadery na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, m\u00edstn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed s\u00edly a infrastrukturu se Izrael sna\u017e\u00ed oslabit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd st\u00e1t, d\u00e1le po\u0161kodit ji\u017e tak nestabiln\u00ed ekonomiku zem\u011b a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b vyvolat zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>uv\u00e1d\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0Washington\u00a0<\/span>Post<\/span><\/em>\u00a0.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, demonstra\u010dn\u00edmi \u00fadery na m\u00edsta, kter\u00e1 jsou podle Tel Avivu \u201esymboly represivn\u00edho re\u017eimu\u201c. Nap\u0159\u00edklad na jednotky Isl\u00e1msk\u00fdch revolu\u010dn\u00edch gard, kter\u00e9 byly zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 za spole\u010denskou kontrolu. A kone\u010dn\u011b, c\u00edlen\u00fdmi atent\u00e1ty na nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 veden\u00ed zem\u011b. T\u00edm se demonstruje, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady se nedok\u00e1\u017eou ochr\u00e1nit ani samy.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee se s\u00e1z\u00ed na zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed, demonstraci slabosti re\u017eimu a ekonomickou krizi. Bude tato taktika fungovat? Ne hned.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b proto, \u017ee mocensk\u00e1 struktura v \u00cdr\u00e1nu, navzdory v\u0161em \u00fader\u016fm a atent\u00e1t\u016fm, st\u00e1le existuje. Ur\u010dit\u00e9 neshody v \u00cdr\u00e1nu existovaly ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve, ale m\u00edra t\u011bchto neshod v m\u00e9di\u00edch byla zna\u010dn\u011b zveli\u010dov\u00e1na. C\u00edlem bylo vytvo\u0159it dojem ur\u010dit\u00e9ho rozkolu uvnit\u0159 \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f, a\u010dkoli ve skute\u010dnosti k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu rozkolu nedoch\u00e1z\u00ed. Navzdory sv\u00e9mu v\u011bku a nemocem dr\u017e\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd duchovn\u00ed v\u016fdce Al\u00ed Chamene\u00ed v\u0161e ve sv\u00fdch rukou, domn\u00edvaj\u00ed se experti.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 konsolidovan\u00e1. Ano, \u00cdr\u00e1n je konglomer\u00e1tem r\u016fzn\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f: Per\u0161an\u016f, \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nc\u016f, Arab\u016f a Bal\u00fa\u010d\u016f. Tento konglomer\u00e1t je spojen p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm jednotnou ideologi\u00ed Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky, kter\u00e1 pon\u011bkud zkostnat\u011bla. Krom\u011b ideologie v\u0161ak existuje historie a koncept n\u00e1rodn\u00ed hrdosti, kter\u00e9ho se Izraelci nyn\u00ed dotkli. Stejn\u011b jako vlastenectv\u00ed spojen\u00e9 s velkou histori\u00ed a region\u00e1ln\u00edmi ambicemi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud tedy p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1me, \u017ee c\u00edlem Izraele je zm\u011bna re\u017eimu tady a te\u010f, pak Netanjahu jde stejnou cestou jako EU ve sv\u00e9m konfliktu s Ruskem a d\u011bl\u00e1 stejn\u00e9 chyby. Evropan\u00e9, up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost je rozd\u011blen\u00e1, se sna\u017eili vyvolat vnit\u0159n\u00ed nepokoje, ale m\u00edsto toho je jen zhor\u0161ili.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pos\u00edlili ji, proto\u017ee d\u00e9monizovali Rusko, jak to nyn\u00ed Netanjahu d\u011bl\u00e1 s \u00cdr\u00e1nem. Kdy\u017e ho obvi\u0148uje ze v\u0161ech probl\u00e9m\u016f na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a z naprosto \u0161\u00edlen\u00fdch \u00famysl\u016f, nap\u0159\u00edklad p\u0159ed\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed H\u00fat\u00ed\u016fm.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost se v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku skute\u010dn\u011b jev\u00ed jako jednotn\u00e1. A to, co je prezentov\u00e1no jako ochota \u00cdr\u00e1nu kapitulovat \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed politik\u016f, \u017ee je zem\u011b p\u0159ipravena se vzd\u00e1t jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed \u2013 nen\u00ed zm\u011bnou politiky. \u00cdr\u00e1n to v\u017edycky tvrdil.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by izraelsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1valo, \u017ee se mu poda\u0159\u00ed destabilizovat situaci do bodu, kdy by v zemi do\u0161lo k z\u00e1sadn\u00edm zm\u011bn\u00e1m. Sp\u00ed\u0161e se s\u00e1z\u00ed na oslaben\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho protivn\u00edka. Proto doch\u00e1z\u00ed k bombov\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm, atent\u00e1t\u016fm, \u00fatok\u016fm a ni\u010den\u00ed infrastruktury.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tedy opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by i ve st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m horizontu mohla vytvo\u0159it v\u0161echny nezbytn\u00e9 podm\u00ednky pro zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu. Nap\u0159\u00edklad a\u017e hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 krize ude\u0159\u00ed s obnovenou silou a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 rafinerie budou zni\u010deny, bude obyvatelstvo nespokojen\u00e9, zejm\u00e9na to, co \u017eije na okraji st\u00e1tu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Nebo a\u017e bude nutn\u00e9 obnovit politick\u00e9 veden\u00ed zem\u011b a odstranit v\u0161echny t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 v\u00e1hy s nezpochybnitelnou autoritou. Pot\u00e9 v zemi za\u010dne boj o moc, v m\u00e9di\u00edch se bude \u0161\u00ed\u0159it \u0161pinav\u00e9 pr\u00e1dlo, co\u017e je v o\u010d\u00edch obyvatel neslu\u010diteln\u00e9 s principy Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky. Nebo a\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1nci budou muset d\u011blat kompromisy s Izraelem a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, co\u017e zna\u010dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st obyvatel zem\u011b bude vn\u00edmat jako slabost a zradu ide\u00e1l\u016f a vlastenectv\u00ed zem\u011b.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael tedy skute\u010dn\u011b usiluje o svr\u017een\u00ed re\u017eimu v Teher\u00e1nu. Ale nakonec. Nyn\u00ed pe\u010dliv\u011b p\u0159ipravuje v\u0161echny podm\u00ednky pro p\u0159evrat.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron se postavil proti zm\u011bn\u011b moci v \u00cdr\u00e1nu zven\u010d\u00ed. Na okraji summitu G7 v Kanad\u011b, kter\u00fd se zam\u011b\u0159il na prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lku mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem, francouzsk\u00fd prezident v noci na pond\u011bl\u00ed 16. \u010dervna prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee svr\u017een\u00ed re\u017eimu silou by se rovnalo \u201estrategick\u00e9 chyb\u011b\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eMysl\u00edm, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee \u00fadery bombami zven\u010d\u00ed zachr\u00e1n\u00ed zemi p\u0159ed sebou samou, se v\u017edycky m\u00fdlil,\u201c\u00a0<\/span>\u0159ekl<\/span><\/a>\u00a0z Kananaskisu. Pokra\u010doval: \u201eMysl\u00edm, \u017ee lid\u00e9 jsou suver\u00e9nn\u00ed a \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo se v minulosti pokusil zm\u011bnit re\u017eimy \u00fadery nebo vojensk\u00fdmi operacemi, se dopustil strategick\u00fdch chyb.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

Alexandre Lemoine<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Izrael chce nejen zcela zbavit \u00cdr\u00e1n jak\u00e9koli \u0161ance na v\u00fdvoj jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, ale m\u00e1 tak\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81876,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,9349],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81875"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81875"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81875\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81876"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81875"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81875"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81875"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}