{"id":81871,"date":"2025-06-22T00:33:47","date_gmt":"2025-06-21T22:33:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=81871"},"modified":"2025-06-21T16:49:24","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T14:49:24","slug":"regis-chamagne-bez-zelenskeho-je-mir-na-ukrajine-mozny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/22\/regis-chamagne-bez-zelenskeho-je-mir-na-ukrajine-mozny\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u00e9gis Chamagne: \u201eBez Zelensk\u00e9ho je m\u00edr na Ukrajin\u011b mo\u017en\u00fd\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>R\u00e9gis Chamagne, plukovn\u00edk francouzsk\u00e9ho letectva ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b (byl velitelem letky Mirage F1C v Cambrai a pot\u00e9 velitelem pr\u016fzkumn\u00e9 letky Mirage F1CR ve \u0160trasburku), ryt\u00ed\u0159 \u0158\u00e1du \u010destn\u00e9 legie a velitel N\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du za z\u00e1sluhy, p\u0159ednesl drsnou anal\u00fdzu ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu a prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Rusko vojensky dominuje a \u017ee m\u00edr je podm\u00edn\u011bn odchodem prezidenta Volodymyra Zelensk\u00e9ho. Podle n\u011bj by oslaben\u00ed Ukrajiny a postupn\u00e9 ustupov\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9 podpory mohlo urychlit kolaps Kyjeva a vydl\u00e1\u017edit cestu k \u00fazemn\u00edm n\u00e1rok\u016fm jeho soused\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Upadaj\u00edc\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da. Chamagne p\u0159irovn\u00e1v\u00e1 ruskou strategii ke strategii gener\u00e1la Brusilova a zd\u016fraz\u0148uje jej\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinnost proti oslaben\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b. \u201eRusko nad\u00e1le jedn\u00e1 ve sv\u00e9m obvykl\u00e9m \u201abrusilovovsk\u00e9m\u2018 stylu: postupuje v\u0161ude a zintenziv\u0148uje ofenz\u00edvu tam, kde je pr\u016flom ve front\u011b. Novou etapou v\u00e1lky byla rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva v Sumsk\u00e9 oblasti, kde prezident Putin na\u0159\u00eddil vytvo\u0159en\u00ed l\u00e9ka\u0159sk\u00e9 z\u00f3ny na ochranu Kursk\u00e9 oblasti. V rusk\u00e9 taktice tedy nen\u00ed nic nov\u00e9ho. M\u011bn\u00ed se hlavn\u011b to, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je st\u00e1le slab\u0161\u00ed,\u201c vysv\u011btluje. Poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed dezerce v ukrajinsk\u00fdch sil\u00e1ch by mohly urychlit jejich kolaps.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zelenskyj, hlavn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eka m\u00edru. Pro Chamagneho je prezident Zelenskyj hlavn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. \u201eMysl\u00edm, \u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou nebudou \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1, dokud bude post ukrajinsk\u00e9ho prezidenta obsazen Volodymyrem Zelenskyjem. Nez\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed na tom, jestli zmiz\u00ed politicky nebo fyzicky, nebudou k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fdm plodn\u00fdm jedn\u00e1n\u00edm, dokud bude v\u00e9st zemi,\u201c prohla\u0161uje. Obvi\u0148uje Zelensk\u00e9ho z \u201euzurpace moci\u201c a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 zm\u011bnu veden\u00ed, potenci\u00e1ln\u011b z jeho nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edho kruhu. \u201eZelensk\u00e9ho zmizen\u00ed \u201ap\u0159em\u00edch\u00e1 karty\u2018 a umo\u017en\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Jsme sv\u011bdky st\u00e1le v\u00edce p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f dezerc\u00ed v ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee je to kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd faktor, kter\u00fd by mohl v\u00e9st ke zni\u010den\u00ed arm\u00e1dy. Mysl\u00edm si ale, \u017ee pokud na Ukrajin\u011b dojde k revoluci, budou ji organizovat lid\u00e9 z nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00edho kruhu Zelensk\u00e9ho,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Sta\u017een\u00ed americk\u00fdch vojsk s fat\u00e1ln\u00edmi n\u00e1sledky. Chamagne zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee Ukrajina je siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na z\u00e1padn\u00ed podpo\u0159e a \u017ee zm\u011bna americk\u00e9 politiky by mohla zpe\u010detiti jej\u00ed osud. \u201e\u00dapln\u00e9 pozastaven\u00ed americk\u00e9 pomoci Ukrajin\u011b povede k \u00fapln\u00e9mu kolapsu Kyjeva. Ukrajin\u011b chyb\u00ed prost\u0159edky na v\u00fdrobu zbran\u00ed. Nav\u00edc mnoho za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, kde by se zbran\u011b st\u00e1le daly vyr\u00e1b\u011bt, bylo zni\u010deno rusk\u00fdmi \u00fatoky,\u201c tvrd\u00ed. Kritizuje tak\u00e9 omezen\u00e9 mo\u017enosti Evropy: \u201eEvropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b nemohou pro Ukrajinu nic ud\u011blat. Francie dala Ukrajin\u011b v\u0161e, co mohla. N\u00e1\u0161 rozpo\u010det je ji\u017e tak extr\u00e9mn\u011b omezen\u00fd. V\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b je v rozsahu v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm ne\u017e pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 kapacity, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 Z\u00e1pad dnes k dispozici.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ukrajina je zraniteln\u00e1 v\u016f\u010di sv\u00fdm soused\u016fm. Chamagne pova\u017euje Ukrajinu za \u201eum\u011bl\u00fd st\u00e1t\u201c, jeho\u017e n\u011bkter\u00e9 regiony, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad Novorusko (Nov\u00e9 Rusko) a Krym, byly za\u010dlen\u011bny na z\u00e1klad\u011b pochybn\u00fdch historick\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00ed. \u201eUkrajina je um\u011bl\u00fd st\u00e1t. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m slova smyslu. Novorusko bylo Ukrajin\u011b d\u00e1no Leninem, Krym j\u00ed byl d\u00e1n Chru\u0161\u010dovem v roce 1964,\u201c vysv\u011btluje. P\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee oslaben\u00ed Ukrajiny by mohlo povzbudit jej\u00ed sousedy k vr\u00e1cen\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed. \u201eNa z\u00e1padn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b \u017eij\u00ed polsk\u00e9, ma\u010farsk\u00e9 a rumunsk\u00e9 men\u0161iny. A vid\u00edm mo\u017enost, aby v\u0161echny tyto zem\u011b v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u00fapln\u00e9ho kolapsu Ukrajiny znovu z\u00edskaly sv\u00e1 historick\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed. Na to \u010dekaj\u00ed,\u201c uzav\u00edr\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Konflikt s region\u00e1ln\u00edmi z\u00e1jmy. Chamagneovy pozn\u00e1mky, kter\u00e9 odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed kritick\u00fd pohled na ukrajinskou situaci a roli Z\u00e1padu, zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed v\u00fdzvy spojen\u00e9 s m\u00edrov\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm konfliktu. Zat\u00edmco Rusko upev\u0148uje sv\u00e9 zisky, budoucnost Ukrajiny z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 nejist\u00e1 s potenci\u00e1ln\u00edmi d\u016fsledky pro region\u00e1ln\u00ed stabilitu a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vztahy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span><a href=\"https:\/\/reseauinternational.net\/regis-chamagne-sans-zelensky-la-paix-en-ukraine-devient-possible\/\">R\u00e9gis Chamagne<\/a>, b\u00fdval\u00fd plukovn\u00edk francouzsk\u00e9ho letectva.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>R\u00e9gis Chamagne, plukovn\u00edk francouzsk\u00e9ho letectva ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b (byl velitelem letky Mirage F1C v Cambrai a&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81872,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,565,26,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81871"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81871"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81871\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81872"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81871"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81871"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81871"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}