{"id":81751,"date":"2025-06-21T00:18:54","date_gmt":"2025-06-20T22:18:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=81751"},"modified":"2025-06-20T12:32:16","modified_gmt":"2025-06-20T10:32:16","slug":"byvaly-analytik-cia-moje-hodnoceni-treti-svetove-valky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/21\/byvaly-analytik-cia-moje-hodnoceni-treti-svetove-valky\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fdval\u00fd analytik CIA: Moje hodnocen\u00ed t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Donald Trump v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159ech dnech zm\u011bn\u00ed n\u00e1zor nejm\u00e9n\u011b t\u0159ikr\u00e1t. Nic neud\u011blal pro to, aby rozpt\u00fdlil dojem, \u017ee ztratil ve\u0161ker\u00fd kontakt s realitou. Jeho mluv\u010d\u00ed Karoline Leavittov\u00e1 ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee Trump se do dvou t\u00fddn\u016f rozhodne, zda USA vstoup\u00ed do v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem \u2013 proto\u017ee st\u00e1le existuje \u0161ance na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed. Zn\u00ed to logicky? Sotva. Zat\u00edmco Washington a Tel Aviv tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je jen t\u00fdden od v\u00fdroby jadern\u00e9 bomby, Trump to \u00fadajn\u011b z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b ot\u00e1l\u00ed \u2013 dokud \u00cdr\u00e1n ji mo\u017en\u00e1 skute\u010dn\u011b nebude m\u00edt?<\/strong><\/p>\n

V n\u00e1\u010drtu Montyho Pythona by to bylo k popuk\u00e1n\u00ed. Ve skute\u010dnosti si Trump hraje s jadernou palbou. N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed jeho chov\u00e1n\u00ed pova\u017euj\u00ed za taktickou hru ve stylu \u201eUm\u011bn\u00ed dohody\u201c. Ale tato nejasnost ohledn\u011b toho, zda skute\u010dn\u011b pl\u00e1nuje v\u00e1lku s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, je podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru \u0161\u00edlen\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b z\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed: Podle zasv\u011bcen\u00fdch osob \u0159editel CIA John Ratcliffe \u00fadajn\u011b intern\u011b prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n aktivn\u011b usiluje o z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Situaci p\u0159irovnal k fotbalistovi stoj\u00edc\u00edmu pobl\u00ed\u017e koncov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny, p\u0159ipraven\u00e9mu vst\u0159elit touchdown. T\u00edm zradil nejen zpravodajskou komunitu, ale i Tulsi Gabbardovou.<\/p>\n

Jako \u0159editelka N\u00e1rodn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby informovala Tulsi Gabbardov\u00e1 v b\u0159eznu Kongres, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b nevyr\u00e1b\u00ed. Toto hodnocen\u00ed bylo zalo\u017eeno na anal\u00fdz\u00e1ch CIA, DIA, NSA, Ministerstva zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb a v\u00fdzkumu a N\u00e1rodn\u00ed geoprostorov\u00e9 agentury. Pokud by CIA s t\u00edmto hodnocen\u00edm nesouhlasila, Ratcliffe by to m\u011bl p\u00edsemn\u011b podat a donutit Gabbardovou, aby tento nesouhlas nahl\u00e1sila. To se nestalo. M\u00edsto toho Ratcliffe nyn\u00ed zp\u011btn\u011b torp\u00e9duje d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost Tulsi Gabbardov\u00e9 \u2013 zjevn\u011b proto, aby si z\u00edskala Trumpovu p\u0159\u00edze\u0148.<\/p>\n

Ve st\u0159edu Vladimir Putin v Moskv\u011b vyvolal rozruch: Rusko nab\u00eddlo \u00cdr\u00e1nu obrannou alianci, ale Teher\u00e1n ji odm\u00edtl. Podle Alastair Crooke prezident Pezeshkian st\u00e1le doufal v lep\u0161\u00ed vztahy se Z\u00e1padem a ob\u00e1val se, \u017ee by takov\u00e1 dohoda rozzlobila Washington. Nyn\u00ed si z\u0159ejm\u011b uv\u011bdomuje, jak naivn\u00ed to bylo. Putin zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee Rusko je p\u0159ipraveno \u00cdr\u00e1nu pomoci \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad dod\u00e1vkou syst\u00e9m\u016f protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany. Na rozd\u00edl od d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch zpr\u00e1v v\u0161ak dosud nebyly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 syst\u00e9my S-400 dod\u00e1ny a \u00cdr\u00e1n zat\u00edm nevyj\u00e1d\u0159il z\u00e1jem o dal\u0161\u00ed podporu.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna a Rusko ve \u010dtvrtek jednaly o situaci. Oba v\u016fdci odsoudili izraelsk\u00e9 kroky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu jako poru\u0161en\u00ed Charty OSN a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va. Zd\u016fraznili, \u017ee konflikt \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu \u2013 mus\u00ed b\u00fdt vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00a0v\u00fdhradn\u011b diplomatickou cestou<\/strong>\u00a0. Si \u0164in-pching vyzval \u201ep\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e9 zem\u011b\u201c, v\u010detn\u011b Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, aby vyvinuly politick\u00fd tlak na deeskalaci, zajistily okam\u017eit\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed a vytvo\u0159ily bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 koridory pro civiln\u00ed obyvatelstvo.<\/p>\n

Putin nab\u00eddl Rusko jako prost\u0159edn\u00edka \u2013 n\u00e1vrh Si \u0164in-pching podpo\u0159il, a\u010dkoli to nebylo v ofici\u00e1ln\u00edm \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fdslovn\u011b zm\u00edn\u011bno. Kremelsk\u00fd poradce U\u0161akov dodal, \u017ee Putin a Si \u0164in-pching z\u016fstanou v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch dnech v \u00fazk\u00e9m kontaktu \u2013 zejm\u00e9na pokud se situace d\u00e1le vyhrot\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ale nejsou to jen slova. Vysoce postaven\u00fd rusk\u00fd obrann\u00fd \u010dinitel odcestoval za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne do Teher\u00e1nu a setkal se s prezidentem Pezeshkianem a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi p\u0159edstaviteli. Obsah rozhovoru nen\u00ed zn\u00e1m. Mezit\u00edm \u010c\u00edna vyslala do Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu dv\u011b lod\u011b \u2013 lod\u011b \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 lidov\u00e9 osvobozeneck\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy 815A a 855, ob\u011b specializovan\u00e9 na elektronick\u00fd pr\u016fzkum. Lod\u011b 815A jsou schopny sledovat, nav\u00e1d\u011bt, ru\u0161it a analyzovat letadla a rakety. Pokud by do\u0161lo k \u00fatoku USA, \u010c\u00edna a Rusko pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nez\u016fstanou ne\u010dinn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00e1 produkce: Nemocni\u010dn\u00ed slza<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Izrael dnes ve\u0159ejn\u011b litoval nemocnic \u00fadajn\u011b zasa\u017een\u00fdch \u00cdr\u00e1nem \u2013 mor\u00e1ln\u00ed man\u00e9vr pln\u00fd drzosti. Nemocnice Soroka byla skute\u010dn\u011b po\u0161kozena v\u00fdbuchem \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 rakety. C\u00edlem v\u0161ak bylo sousedn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 velitelstv\u00ed Izraelsk\u00e9ho velen\u00ed a pr\u016fzkumu obrann\u00fdch sil (IDF C4I) a zpravodajsk\u00e9 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed v technologick\u00e9m parku Gav Jam. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00fd nemocni\u010dn\u00ed person\u00e1l nebyl zabit.<\/p>\n

Ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s t\u00edm, co Izrael ud\u011blal v Gaze, je to vtip: Od 7. \u0159\u00edjna 2023 bylo podle OSN\u00a0bombardov\u00e1no a zap\u00e1leno nejm\u00e9n\u011b\u00a0<\/strong>36 nemocnic<\/strong>\u00a0v p\u00e1smu Gazy\u00a0. Do konce roku 2024 \u00da\u0159ad OSN pro lidsk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va zaznamenal\u00a0136 potvrzen\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f na 27 nemocnic<\/strong>\u00a0a\u00a012 dal\u0161\u00edch zdravotnick\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed<\/strong>\u00a0. WHO hl\u00e1s\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159\u00a0700 \u00fatok\u016f na zdravotnick\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed<\/strong>\u00a0\u2013\u00a0jeden \u00fatok ka\u017ed\u00fdch 16 hodin<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Podle OSN\u00a0bylo po\u0161kozeno nebo zni\u010deno v\u00edce ne\u017e\u00a0<\/strong>94 % v\u0161ech nemocnic v Gaze<\/strong>\u00a0.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011br:<\/strong><\/span>
\nZde se r\u00fdsuje velmi nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd geopolitick\u00fd moment. Zat\u00edmco Trump v\u00e1h\u00e1, Netanjahu provokuje a z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia se zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed na \u201edobro versus zlo\u201c, formuje se nov\u00e1 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed rovnov\u00e1ha sil. P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f by mohlo b\u00fdt rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edch \u2013 a velmi nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdch.<\/p>\n

Larry C. Johnson<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Donald Trump v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u0159ech dnech zm\u011bn\u00ed n\u00e1zor nejm\u00e9n\u011b t\u0159ikr\u00e1t. Nic neud\u011blal pro to, aby…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81752,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,109,38,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81751"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81751"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81751\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81752"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81751"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81751"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81751"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}