{"id":81703,"date":"2025-06-20T00:32:10","date_gmt":"2025-06-19T22:32:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=81703"},"modified":"2025-06-19T19:01:55","modified_gmt":"2025-06-19T17:01:55","slug":"valka-proti-iranu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/20\/valka-proti-iranu\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Alastair Crooke shrnuje prvn\u00ed dny americk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Celkov\u011b vzato, pokus Izraele a spojeneck\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb o p\u0159ekvapiv\u00fd \u201esynergick\u00fd psychologick\u00fd \u0161ok\u201c pro \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd st\u00e1t prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sou\u010dasn\u00fdch poprav v n\u011bkolika oblastech, atent\u00e1t\u016f na v\u011bdce, naru\u0161en\u00ed syst\u00e9m\u016f protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany a pou\u017eit\u00ed sabot\u00e9rsk\u00fdch t\u00fdm\u016f s dronov\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi selhal.<\/span><\/p>\n

O\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9ho v\u00fdsledku \u2013 paralyzovat a panika\u0159it \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed a dokonce vytvo\u0159it prostor pro vytou\u017eenou zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu \u2013 se nedos\u00e1hlo. (K tomu nikdy nedo\u0161lo. \u00cdr\u00e1nci odlo\u017eili stranou sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 rozd\u00edly a p\u0159ijali n\u00e1rodn\u00ed suverenitu.)<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory ztr\u00e1t\u011b osmi vojensk\u00fdch velitel\u016f se syst\u00e9m rychle zotavil: syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany byly obnoveny b\u011bhem osmi hodin a \u00cdr\u00e1n odvetil raketov\u00fdmi \u00fatoky na Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm bodem bylo, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd program z\u016fstal nedot\u010den \u2013 a\u017e na povrchov\u00e9 \u0161kody. A aby bylo jasno: to nikdy nebylo c\u00edlem Izraelc\u016f. Prost\u011b nemaj\u00ed kapacitu zni\u010dit infrastrukturu poh\u0159benou 800 metr\u016f hluboko v hor\u00e1ch. Sp\u00ed\u0161e oni (a jejich spojenci \u2013 USA a evropsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty) doufaj\u00ed ve \u201ezm\u011bnu re\u017eimu\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

[\u2026]<\/span><\/p>\n

Situace se tedy od 13. \u010dervna obr\u00e1tila. Izrael m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 pot\u00ed\u017ee: jeho protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana nefunguje dob\u0159e a Izrael (prokazateln\u011b) trp\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00fdm po\u0161kozen\u00edm \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. V podstat\u011b ka\u017ed\u00fd politik v Izraeli nyn\u00ed pros\u00ed USA, aby vstoupily do v\u00e1lky za n\u011bj.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00e1 ministryn\u011b a \u010dlenka vl\u00e1dy Gila Gamliel: \u201eKategoricky po\u017eadujeme, aby Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty vstoupily do v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu.\u201c<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e to v\u010dera zpo\u010d\u00e1tku vypadalo, \u017ee by se Trump mohl do v\u00e1lky zapojit s otev\u0159en\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi opat\u0159en\u00edmi, po sch\u016fzce s jeho Radou n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti se to zm\u011bnilo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1 Larry Johnson:<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump pokra\u010doval ve sv\u00fdch nadm\u011brn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvc\u00edch na Truth Social, dokud dnes odpoledne nesvolal zased\u00e1n\u00ed Rady n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti ve Washingtonu, D.C.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u011bhem onoho zased\u00e1n\u00ed se stalo n\u011bco, co zhatilo zd\u00e1nliv\u011b nevyhnuteln\u00fd st\u0159et s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, proto\u017ee Trumpovy n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch se zam\u011b\u0159ovaly pouze na trivi\u00e1ln\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitosti, jako je instalace dvou nov\u00fdch sto\u017e\u00e1r\u016f na vlajky v are\u00e1lu B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu. Vid\u011bl jsem zpr\u00e1vu, kter\u00e1 tvrdila, \u017ee Trump d\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1nu 24 hodin na kapitulaci. To se nestane.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ajatoll\u00e1h Chamene\u00ed potvrzuje, \u017ee se to \u201enestane\u201c:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident n\u00e1m vyhro\u017euje. Svou absurdn\u00ed r\u00e9torikou po\u017eaduje, aby se mu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid pod\u0159\u00eddil.<\/span>
\nM\u011bl by vyhro\u017eovat t\u011bm, kte\u0159\u00ed se ohro\u017een\u00ed boj\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd lid se takov\u00fdch hrozeb neboj\u00ed.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Od prvn\u00edho dne v\u00e1lky prob\u00edhaj\u00ed vlny \u00fatok\u016f izraelsk\u00fdch sil proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, po ka\u017ed\u00e9 z nich n\u00e1sleduje vlna raketov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch sil. Ani jedna ze stran nem\u00e1 dostate\u010dnou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu, aby zabr\u00e1nila v\u0161em z\u00e1sah\u016fm. Ani jedna ze stran nem\u00e1 vzdu\u0161nou p\u0159evahu nad \u00fazem\u00edm druh\u00e9 strany.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n zachytil izraelsk\u00e9 drony dlouh\u00e9ho doletu. Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee sest\u0159elil n\u011bkolik letoun\u016f F-35, ale neposkytl \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 d\u016fkazy. Izrael tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee zas\u00e1hl \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 odpalovac\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed raket. Videoz\u00e1znamy o takov\u00fdch z\u00e1saz\u00edch jsou v\u0161ak nedostate\u010dn\u00e9 a mnoho z\u00e1sah\u016f z\u0159ejm\u011b m\u00ed\u0159ilo na n\u00e1vnady.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdm\u011bna \u00fader\u016f bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou dobu pokra\u010dovat. \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 k dispozici n\u011bkolik tis\u00edc raket. Odpaluje kombinaci star\u0161\u00edch raket, kter\u00e9 lze zachytit, a \u0159ady nov\u00fdch, kter\u00e9 zachytit nelze. Zm\u011bnil taktiku z jednoho velk\u00e9ho \u00faderu denn\u011b na n\u011bkolik \u00fader\u016f denn\u011b s men\u0161\u00edm po\u010dtem raket.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00e1 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt n\u00e1chyln\u00e1 k sebezni\u010den\u00ed. Po\u010det st\u00edhac\u00edch raket, kter\u00e9 nasazuje, je omezen\u00fd, uv\u00e1d\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>Wall Street Journal<\/span><\/em>\u00a0(archiv). Jejich vy\u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed by mohlo trvat m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e dva t\u00fddny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu podnikl p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 800 bojov\u00fdch let\u016f, p\u0159i kter\u00fdch zas\u00e1hl 1 000 c\u00edl\u016f. Tak\u00e9 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n odp\u00e1lil 400 raket a 1 000 dron\u016f, z nich\u017e pouze 20 raket zas\u00e1hlo sv\u00e9 c\u00edle, zat\u00edmco k Izraeli dolet\u011blo pouze 200 dron\u016f, ale nic nezas\u00e1hly. Mohu v\u00e1s ujistit, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 z t\u011bchto \u010d\u00edsel nen\u00ed pravdiv\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u011b strany cenzuruj\u00ed v\u00fdsledky \u00fader\u016f. Z toho, co je zn\u00e1mo, se zd\u00e1, \u017ee ob\u011b strany utrp\u011bly zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u0161kody.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n je ale mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b. M\u00e1 v\u00edce ne\u017e desetkr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed populaci ne\u017e Izrael. Jeho rozloha je 1,5 milionu kilometr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch, oproti 21 000 kilometr\u016fm \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edm Izraele. \u00cdr\u00e1n je do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry sob\u011bsta\u010dn\u00fd. M\u00e1 rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd pr\u016fmysl a dob\u0159e vy\u0161kolenou pracovn\u00ed s\u00edlu, kterou lze p\u0159ev\u00e9st z civiln\u00ed na vojenskou v\u00fdrobu. Izrael je z\u00e1visl\u00fd na dovozu, kter\u00fd lze p\u0159eru\u0161it. Izraelsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl je mal\u00fd a vysoce koncentrovan\u00fd v n\u011bkolika m\u00e1lo odv\u011btv\u00edch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed pochyb o tom, \u017ee by \u00cdr\u00e1n v (dlouh\u00e9) vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lce zv\u00edt\u011bzil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Proto Izrael pot\u0159ebuje, aby USA zas\u00e1hly.<\/span><\/p>\n

St\u00e1le pochybuji, \u017ee Trump, navzdory sv\u00e9 r\u00e9torice, je ochoten to ud\u011blat. Riziko je vysok\u00e9 a v\u00fdsledek nejist\u00fd. I kdyby se americk\u00fdm bombard\u00e9r\u016fm poda\u0159ilo zni\u010dit \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 centrifugy zakopan\u00e9 pod horami, \u00cdr\u00e1n bude schopen obnovit sv\u016fj jadern\u00fd program b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jeho tajn\u00ed pracovn\u00edci mu \u0159eknou, \u017ee tato hrozba nen\u00ed plan\u00e1:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Khamenei.ir @khamenei_ir \u2013 11:38 UTC \u2013 18. \u010dervna 2025<\/strong><\/em>
\nPokud se USA do t\u00e9to z\u00e1le\u017eitosti [v\u00e1lky] vm\u011b\u0161\u00ed, bude to 100% k jejich vlastn\u00ed \u0161kod\u011b. \u0160kody, kter\u00e9 utrp\u00ed, budou mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e jak\u00e9koli \u0161kody, kter\u00e9 by mohly b\u00fdt zp\u016fsobeny \u00cdr\u00e1nu.<\/em><\/p>\n

V Rad\u011b bezpe\u010dnosti OSN zaujaly Rusko a \u010c\u00edna jasn\u00fd postoj proti izraelsk\u00e9 agresivn\u00ed v\u00e1lce. Nelze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee by ani jedna z nich otev\u0159en\u011b podpo\u0159ila \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 alespo\u0148 ne zat\u00edm. Obsah n\u011bkolika \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch transportn\u00edch letadel p\u0159il\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00edch do \u00cdr\u00e1nu celkov\u00fd obraz nezm\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alastair Crooke shrnuje prvn\u00ed dny americk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu: Celkov\u011b vzato, pokus Izraele a spojeneck\u00fdch…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":61664,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81703"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81703"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81703\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/61664"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81703"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81703"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81703"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}