{"id":81603,"date":"2025-06-19T00:21:14","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T22:21:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=81603"},"modified":"2025-06-18T13:27:01","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T11:27:01","slug":"pepe-escobar-iran-je-nyni-prvni-obrannou-linii-brics-a-globalniho-jihu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/19\/pepe-escobar-iran-je-nyni-prvni-obrannou-linii-brics-a-globalniho-jihu\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar: \u00cdr\u00e1n je nyn\u00ed prvn\u00ed obrannou lini\u00ed BRICS a glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

To je extr\u00e9mn\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 z\u00e1le\u017eitost. Pod\u00edvejme se na celou \u0161achovnici \u2013 od mikro a\u017e po makro\u00farove\u0148.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pla\u010d\u00edc\u00ed st\u00edn v tanci smrti,<\/em><\/p>\n

Hlasit\u00fd n\u00e1\u0159ek opu\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 chim\u00e9ry.<\/em><\/p>\n

T. S. Eliot, Burnt Norton<\/em><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00e1 \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed a zastra\u0161ovac\u00ed strategie proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 p\u0159\u00edmo z osv\u011bd\u010den\u00e9ho americk\u00e9ho postupu \u2013 v podstat\u011b selhala, a to i p\u0159es po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed kombinaci rychlosti, pe\u010dliv\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed a prvku p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b hackov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 elektronick\u00e9 komunikace v r\u00e1mci vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b, dekapitace vertik\u00e1ln\u00ed nomenklatury IRGC, \u00fatoku dron\u016f ve stylu pavu\u010diny a \u2013 v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9ho \u2013 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch uzl\u016f \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 infrastruktury.<\/p>\n

Trvalo hodiny, ne\u017e \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed technici obnovili jejich s\u00ed\u0165. A jakmile se jim to poda\u0159ilo, situace se za\u010dala obracet, a\u017e nakonec, po p\u0159esn\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch v ned\u011bli ve\u010der, IRGC ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee je schopna vyu\u017e\u00edt \u201evylep\u0161en\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 informace\u201c k v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9mu naru\u0161en\u00ed izraelsk\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f velen\u00ed a \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed, a t\u00edm prolomit \u201e\u017eeleznou\u201c \u2013 nebo \u201epap\u00edrovou\u201c \u2013 kopuli.<\/p>\n

V Tel Avivu a Haif\u011b byla zni\u010dena kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 infrastrukturn\u00ed centra \u2013 od zbrojn\u00edho komplexu Rafael (specializuj\u00edc\u00edho se na rakety, drony, kybernetickou v\u00e1lku a komponenty pro syst\u00e9m protiraketov\u00e9 obrany Iron Dome) a\u017e po elektr\u00e1rnu a ropnou rafinerii v Haif\u011b. V n\u011bkolika ohledech je to historick\u00e1 ud\u00e1lost.<\/p>\n

K j\u00e1sotu ve v\u0161ech isl\u00e1msk\u00fdch zem\u00edch se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 obrovsk\u00e9 psychologick\u00e9 trauma, kter\u00e9 Izrael utrp\u011bl. M\u00fdtus o neporazitelnosti Izraele byl jednou prov\u017edy vyvr\u00e1cen. Snesen\u00ed pekla z nebe, zab\u00edjen\u00ed \u017een a d\u011bt\u00ed a boj, jako by z\u00edt\u0159ek neexistoval, v\u00e1lku proti skute\u010dn\u00e9mu nep\u0159\u00edteli nevyhraje.<\/p>\n

Optimalizovan\u00e1 strategie IRGC \u2013 implementovan\u00e1 okam\u017eit\u011b p\u0159etvo\u0159en\u00fdm veden\u00edm \u2013 je den za dnem zdokonalov\u00e1na promy\u0161len\u00fdm, chirurgick\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem. Pro IRGC nen\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 zcela paralyzovat izraelskou ekonomiku. Izrael m\u00e1 pouze jednu ropnou rafin\u00e9rii (kter\u00e1 ji\u017e byla bombardov\u00e1na), t\u0159i p\u0159\u00edstavy, z nich\u017e jeden je ji\u017e v bankrotu (Eilat) a druh\u00fd v plamenech (Haifa), a jedno leti\u0161t\u011b (kter\u00e9 je ji\u017e v dezol\u00e1tn\u00edm stavu).<\/p>\n

Negativn\u00ed reakce na zoufal\u00fd, ba a\u017e sebevra\u017eedn\u00fd \u010din Tel Avivu \u2013 kter\u00fd nem\u00e1 s \u0161achy nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho \u2013 m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky. Teher\u00e1n dokazuje, \u017ee v\u0161echny v\u00fdpo\u010dty sionistick\u00e9 osy, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohl \u2013 a bude \u2013 b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika hodin vykrv\u00e1cen, byly, jak se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, chybn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Americk\u00fd prezident se zase dostal do chamtiv\u00e9 pasti. Jeho z\u00e1kladna v hnut\u00ed MAGA je ji\u017e tak hluboce rozd\u011blen\u00e1. Nesionisti\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159\u00edznivci MAGA tvo\u0159\u00ed drtivou v\u011bt\u0161inu. V ohromuj\u00edc\u00edm mladistv\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku p\u0159iznal, \u017ee o izraelsk\u00e9 taktice \u0161oku a \u00fa\u017easu v\u011bd\u011bl celou dobu.<\/p>\n

P\u0159ed necel\u00fdmi 10 dny Steve Witkoff, Trump\u016fv Talleyrand, na sch\u016fzce v New Yorku, kter\u00e9 se z\u00fa\u010dastnili obvykl\u00ed miliard\u00e1\u0159i, v\u00fdslovn\u011b prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 balistick\u00e9 rakety p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed \u201ehrozbu pro Ameriku\u201c. Vzhledem k jejich v\u00fdkonu za posledn\u00edch 48 hodin v\u0161e nasv\u011bd\u010duje tomu, \u017ee Washington de facto vstoupil do ostr\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/p>\n

Diplomatick\u00e9 zdroje v Teher\u00e1nu nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee veden\u00ed funguje podle tohoto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e. Proto se v podstat\u011b st\u00e1le dr\u017e\u00ed sv\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed \u2013 a pe\u010dliv\u011b kalibruje dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 kroky na eskala\u010dn\u00edm \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 strategick\u00e1 trp\u011blivost je op\u011bt patrn\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zkou tedy je, co by bylo nutn\u00e9 v situaci, kdy by USA byly de facto ve v\u00e1lce, aby Rusko a \u010c\u00edna ve vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 shod\u011b ztratily strategickou trp\u011blivost.<\/em><\/p>\n

Persk\u00e1 hrdost \u2013 a d\u016fv\u011bra ve vlastn\u00ed schopnosti, jak jsem minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc pozoroval v \u00cdr\u00e1nu \u2013 je vede k p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee maj\u00ed v\u0161echny zdroje pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 k tomu, aby p\u0159e\u017eili sionistickou osu, v\u010detn\u011b USA. Koneckonc\u016f, teprve nyn\u00ed za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed nasazovat sv\u00e9 skute\u010dn\u011b pokro\u010dil\u00e9 rakety \u2013 od Kheybar-Shekan 2 a Fattah-1 a\u017e po Haji Qassem.<\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka: proti BRICS<\/h3>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 reakce zcela obr\u00e1tila \u0161achovnici. Vedouc\u00ed \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b uboh\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159ehl\u00eddky ve Washingtonu \u2013 stoj\u00ed nah\u00fd. A odhalen\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed vede ne jen jednu, ale hned dv\u011b z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky: proti Rusku a proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, s neonacisty v Kyjev\u011b a genocidn\u00edmi agenty v Tel Avivu v pop\u0159ed\u00ed. To v\u0161e je sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho pl\u00e1nu: proti BRICS.<\/p>\n

Dnes je jasn\u00e9 i hluch\u00e9mu, n\u011bm\u00e9mu a slep\u00e9mu, \u017ee se nikdy nejednalo o \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd program ani o \u201e\u00fasil\u00ed\u201c o Trumpem vlastn\u011bn\u00fd JCPOA 2.0. Jde o celo\u017eivotn\u00ed posedlost sionistick\u00e9 osy: zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu v Teher\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n

Toto je svat\u00fd gr\u00e1l, o kter\u00e9m se sn\u00ed od konce 90. let a kter\u00fd by mohl otev\u0159\u00edt dve\u0159e chaotick\u00e9mu \u00cdr\u00e1nu s jeho nesm\u00edrn\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edmi zdroji \u2013 od energie a\u017e po vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 zeminy \u2013 a t\u00edm prodlou\u017eit \u017eivot bilion\u016f dolar\u016f v dluhov\u00e9 \u0159\u00ed\u0161i.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdhody jsou je\u0161t\u011b l\u00e1kav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed: \u010c\u00edna by byla od\u0159\u00edznuta od probl\u00e9mu n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti \u2013 dovozu energie \u2013 a od kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch spojovac\u00edch koridor\u016f Nov\u00e9 hedv\u00e1bn\u00e9 stezky, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 by se v b\u0159i\u0161e Ruska otev\u0159el masivn\u00ed absces. Dvojit\u00e1 r\u00e1na pro t\u0159i nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed st\u00e1ty BRICS \u2013 \u00cdr\u00e1n, Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu \u2013 pro euroasijskou integraci a pro snahu o\u00a0multinod\u00e1ln\u00ed<\/em>\u00a0(zv\u00fdrazn\u011bn\u00ed moje) multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed syst\u00e9m mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f.<\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e p\u0159edn\u00ed civilizovan\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159edv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed salta, aby p\u0159e\u017eily Imp\u00e9rium chaosu a snahu jeho p\u00e1n\u016f o t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku, v Moskv\u011b a Pekingu si ned\u011blaj\u00ed iluze, \u017ee \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed tohoto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e vy\u017eaduje asymetrick\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 s maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed lstivost\u00ed, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e pouh\u00e9 reakce na provokace (co\u017e byla dominantn\u00ed strategie Ruska v z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b).<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 tajn\u00e1 slu\u017eba mezit\u00edm ji\u017e vypo\u010d\u00edtala zrcadlov\u00fd efekt izraelsk\u00e9 operace Pavu\u010dina, kter\u00e1 se \u0159\u00eddila p\u0159esn\u011b stejn\u00fdm modus operandi jako akce ukrajinsk\u00e9 SBU \u2013 jako\u017eto kryc\u00ed organizace pro MI6 a Mossad \u2013 proti rusk\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm bombard\u00e9r\u016fm, kter\u00e9 jsou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed jadern\u00e9 tri\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Objevuj\u00ed se z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky, zda je Tel Aviv p\u0159\u00edmo zapojen do sabot\u00e1\u017ee Moskvy. Stejn\u011b z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky se nyn\u00ed objevuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bohledn\u011b ukrajinsk\u00e9 stezky. Zpravodajsk\u00e9 kruhy v Moskv\u011b pova\u017euj\u00ed Trump\u016fv \u201eproces p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed\u201c za neohrabanou z\u00e1st\u011brku, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 donutit Rusko na chv\u00edli ustoupit, zat\u00edmco \u010divavy NATO p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed prvn\u00ed \u00fader na p\u0159\u00edkaz Hlubok\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu (alespo\u0148 ve sv\u00fdch zvr\u00e1cen\u00fdch snech).<\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee d\u0159\u00edve ne\u017e pozd\u011bji by Rusko mohlo roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sou\u010dasnou \u00edr\u00e1nskou strategii: masivn\u00ed v\u00e1lku proti infrastruktu\u0159e, kter\u00e1 uvrhne Ukrajinu do \u00fapln\u00e9ho v\u00fdpadku proudu, a to jak obrazn\u011b, tak doslova \u2013 stejn\u011b jako bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed elektr\u00e1rny v Haif\u011b uvrhlo m\u011bsto do \u00fapln\u00e9ho v\u00fdpadku proudu.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d \u00cdr\u00e1n nesm\u00ed selhat<\/h3>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b by k sou\u010dasn\u00e9 \u0161\u00edlen\u00e9 spir\u00e1le eskalace nedo\u0161lo, kdyby Trump byl dostate\u010dn\u011b zral\u00fd na to, aby p\u0159ijal nab\u00eddku Al\u00edho \u0160amchan\u00edho \u2013 kter\u00e9ho pozd\u011bji zavra\u017edil Izrael: \u00cdr\u00e1n by mohl odevzdat sv\u016fj vysoce obohacen\u00fd uran a podepsat novou jadernou dohodu, pokud by byly sankce zru\u0161eny. Teher\u00e1n by pak pro sv\u016fj civiln\u00ed program obohacoval jen mal\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed uranu.<\/p>\n

Teher\u00e1n z\u00e1rove\u0148 dokonce navrhl spole\u010dn\u00fd jadern\u00fd program s investicemi ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie a Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Abb\u00e1s Arag\u010d\u010d\u00ed osobn\u011b p\u0159edlo\u017eil tento n\u00e1vrh zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edmu vyslanci USA Stevu Witkoffovi v Om\u00e1nu, ne\u017e jedn\u00e1n\u00ed zkrachovala.<\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih sleduje hr\u016fzostra\u0161n\u011b smrt\u00edc\u00ed hru ping-pongu mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem \u2013 s rostouc\u00edm v\u011bdom\u00edm, \u017ee zahnan\u00fd Z\u00e1pad se ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem st\u00e1v\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed besti\u00ed, kter\u00e1 vede tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku pod rou\u0161kou m\u00edru.<\/p>\n

Po\u017e\u00e1ry v Tel Avivu jsou za\u010d\u00e1tkem nov\u00e9 \u00e9ry. Ve sv\u00e9m hn\u011bvu nyn\u00ed hroz\u00ed, \u017ee na Teher\u00e1n pou\u017eij\u00ed \u201ebejr\u00fatsk\u00fd model\u201c: \u00famysln\u00e9 ni\u010den\u00ed obytn\u00fdch oblast\u00ed. Op\u011bt d\u011blaj\u00ed to, co um\u00ed nejl\u00e9pe: terorismus.<\/em><\/p>\n

A p\u0159esto genocidn\u00ed syst\u00e9m u\u017e nebude beztrestn\u00fd. D\u016fsledky budou nevyhnuteln\u011b projedn\u00e1v\u00e1ny na tomto t\u00fddnu na Petrohradsk\u00e9m ekonomick\u00e9m f\u00f3ru, kter\u00e9 povede k Putinov\u011b projevu na plen\u00e1rn\u00edm zased\u00e1n\u00ed v p\u00e1tek, a k summitu BRICS v Rio de Janeiru za\u010d\u00e1tkem \u010dervence.<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e se v\u017eijeme do d\u011bn\u00ed na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihu, z\u00edsk\u00e1me pocit, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n de facto obnovuje etiku a geopolitickou autoritu v cel\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii, jak to po stalet\u00ed d\u011blala Persk\u00e1 \u0159\u00ed\u0161e. P\u0159esn\u011b to d\u011blaj\u00ed civilizovan\u00e9 st\u00e1ty: jejich role privilegovan\u00fdch str\u00e1\u017ec\u016f sv\u00e9 sf\u00e9ry vlivu je v\u017edy z\u00e1sadn\u00ed.<\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e je to za brazilsk\u00e9ho p\u0159edsednictv\u00ed nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, d\u0159\u00edve \u010di pozd\u011bji bude muset skupina BRICS prov\u00e9st strategick\u00fd p\u0159echod od hyper-zdvo\u0159il\u00e9ho stroje na deklarace ke skute\u010dn\u00e9, pevn\u00e9 a nezlomn\u00e9 p\u00e1te\u0159i glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed osy odporu.<\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee rozzloben\u00fd a zmaten\u00fd Z\u00e1pad ji\u017e nen\u00ed v re\u017eimu hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, ale vstoupil do\u00a0tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky<\/em>\u00a0\u2013 tak p\u00e1liv\u00e9, jak jen m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt. Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed Jih se proto mus\u00ed p\u0159esunout do posthybridn\u00edho re\u017eimu, do re\u017eimu rebel\u016f s jasn\u00fdm c\u00edlem.<\/p>\n

Od Nig\u00e9rie p\u0159es Indon\u00e9sii a\u017e po Vietnam \u2013 \u010dleny a partnery BRICS \u2013 panuje rostouc\u00ed shoda v tom, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nesm\u00ed padnout. Tak v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 je situace. Kouzlo nespoutan\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed diktatury bylo kone\u010dn\u011b zlomeno: Zb\u00fdv\u00e1 u\u017e jen \u201ehlasit\u00fd n\u00e1\u0159ek pust\u00e9 chim\u00e9ry\u201c. K tomu, aby poh\u00e1r p\u0159etekl, je pot\u0159eba \u2013 ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho \u2013 \u0161oku.<\/p>\n

Pepe Escobar<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

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To je extr\u00e9mn\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 z\u00e1le\u017eitost. Pod\u00edvejme se na celou \u0161achovnici \u2013 od mikro a\u017e po…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81604,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1161,9336,38,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81603"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81603"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81603\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81604"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81603"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81603"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81603"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}