{"id":81229,"date":"2025-06-14T06:58:07","date_gmt":"2025-06-14T04:58:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=81229"},"modified":"2025-06-14T06:58:07","modified_gmt":"2025-06-14T04:58:07","slug":"michail-gamandij-jegorov-proc-je-izraelska-strategie-odsouzena-k-neuspechu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/14\/michail-gamandij-jegorov-proc-je-izraelska-strategie-odsouzena-k-neuspechu\/","title":{"rendered":"Michail Gamandij-Jegorov: Pro\u010d je izraelsk\u00e1 strategie odsouzena k ne\u00fasp\u011bchu?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>Extr\u00e9mn\u00ed agresivita izraelsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu a jeho c\u00edl region\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalace jsou dnes prim\u00e1rn\u011b spojeny s jeho odm\u00edt\u00e1n\u00edm akceptovat vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed kampa\u0148, v n\u00ed\u017e je Tel Aviv jednozna\u010dn\u011b pora\u017een\u00fdm. Navzdory medi\u00e1ln\u00edmu humbuku v\u0161ak izraelsk\u00e1 strategie zdaleka nep\u0159eva\u017euje nad st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edmi \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi schopnostmi.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Nov\u00e1 izraelsk\u00e1 agrese proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu, tentokr\u00e1t zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 na n\u011bkolik vojensk\u00fdch, a dokonce i\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/observateur-continental.fr\/?module=articles&amp;action=view&amp;id=6997\"><span>jadern\u00fdch<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0c\u00edl\u016f \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu, je rozhodn\u011b velkou eskalac\u00ed, o kterou Tel Aviv usiluje ji\u017e dlouhou dobu. Navzdory v\u0161em obvykl\u00fdm tv\u00e1\u0159\u00edm \u00fadajn\u00e9 velk\u00e9 efektivity bude \u2013 strategicky vzato \u2013 velmi obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1n porazit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Je pravda, \u017ee izraelsk\u00fd re\u017eim se \u010dasto zam\u011b\u0159uje na vysoce postaven\u00e9 politick\u00e9, vojensk\u00e9 a v\u011bdeck\u00e9 p\u0159edstavitele sv\u00fdch protivn\u00edk\u016f. A dosud se mu poda\u0159ilo eliminovat zna\u010dn\u00fd po\u010det z nich, a to i b\u011bhem posledn\u00edch \u00fader\u016f. To je d\u00edky zpravodajsk\u00e9 s\u00edti budovan\u00e9 po mnoho let za \u00fa\u010dasti vnit\u0159n\u00edch zr\u00e1dc\u016f; v tomto smyslu nen\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n ojedin\u011bl\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edpadem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nicm\u00e9n\u011b, a navzdory okam\u017eit\u00fdm a v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm dopad\u016fm, jak je zjevn\u011b p\u0159\u00edpadem ztr\u00e1ty vysok\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch a v\u011bdeck\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f, zejm\u00e9na proto, \u017ee izraelsk\u00e1 taktika c\u00edlen\u00e9 eliminace je \u010dasto uv\u00e1d\u011bna jako p\u0159\u00edklad velk\u00e9 \u201eefektivity\u201c, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 strategick\u00fd z\u00e1b\u011br velmi omezen\u00fd, s v\u00fdjimkou snahy za ka\u017edou cenu o \u0161irokou region\u00e1ln\u00ed a dokonce i mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Umo\u017enilo odstran\u011bn\u00ed n\u011bkolika vysok\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f libanonsk\u00e9ho Hizball\u00e1hu, v\u010detn\u011b jeho charismatick\u00e9ho v\u016fdce Hasana Nasrall\u00e1ha, izraelsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu vojensky porazit Hizball\u00e1h? Odpov\u011b\u010f zn\u00ed ne. Umo\u017enilo Izraeli okupovat, pokud ne libanonsk\u00e9 hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto Bejr\u00fat, tak alespo\u0148 ji\u017en\u00ed Libanon? Odpov\u011b\u010f zn\u00ed op\u011bt ne.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro eliminaci n\u011bkolika palestinsk\u00fdch v\u016fdc\u016f Ham\u00e1su, a to jak politick\u00fdch, tak vojensk\u00fdch. Umo\u017enilo to Tel Avivu p\u0159evz\u00edt kontrolu nad p\u00e1smem Gazy, \u00fazem\u00edm, kter\u00e9 nen\u00ed dlouh\u00e9 n\u011bkolik tis\u00edc kilometr\u016f, ale jen o n\u011bco v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm ne\u017e 300 kilometr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch, vzhledem k masivn\u00edm masakr\u016fm palestinsk\u00fdch civilist\u016f\u00a0<\/span><sup><span>?<\/span><\/sup><span>\u00a0Odpov\u011b\u010f je tak\u00e9 dob\u0159e zn\u00e1m\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bkolik rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch expert\u016f tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee jedinou mo\u017enost\u00ed pro osu Washington-Tel Aviv-Lond\u00fdn a dal\u0161\u00ed, jak porazit \u00cdr\u00e1n, by byl pokus o rozs\u00e1hlou pozemn\u00ed invazi. To je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nep\u0159edstaviteln\u00e9, proto\u017ee zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e1 osa odhodlan\u00fdch unipol\u00e1rn\u00edch nostalgik\u016f si takovou invazi ani nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit, by\u0165 jen invazi H\u00fat\u00ed\u016f v Jemenu \u2013 mimo jin\u00e9 kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch spojenc\u016f \u00cdr\u00e1nu. Co se pak d\u00e1 \u0159\u00edci o takov\u00e9 operaci proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu? Je de facto nemo\u017en\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u00cdr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 samoz\u0159ejm\u011b mohou prov\u00e1d\u011bt masivn\u00ed \u00fadery zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na c\u00edle na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady si v\u0161ak t\u00e9to mo\u017enosti uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed a p\u0159esto\u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 c\u00edle na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 p\u016fd\u011b byly nebo mohou b\u00fdt zasa\u017eeny, mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti nedosa\u017eiteln\u00fdch, zejm\u00e9na ty hluboko v podzem\u00ed. Pokud jde o eliminaci \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch osobnost\u00ed, a\u0165 u\u017e vojensk\u00fdch nebo v\u011bdeck\u00fdch, i kdy\u017e se pro \u00cdr\u00e1n jedn\u00e1 o zna\u010dn\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty, persk\u00fd n\u00e1rod m\u00e1 st\u00e1le mnoho talentovan\u00fdch jedinc\u016f ve v\u0161ech strategick\u00fdch oblastech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud jde o s\u00ed\u0165 vnit\u0159n\u00edch zr\u00e1dc\u016f spolupracuj\u00edc\u00edch s nep\u0159\u00edtelem, navzdory sv\u00fdm sabot\u00e1\u017en\u00edm schopnostem nen\u00ed schopna svrhnout \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady. A kone\u010dn\u011b, pokud jde o \u00edr\u00e1nskou reakci, jedn\u00e1 se o velmi d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd bod. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b m\u00e1 Teher\u00e1n v\u0161echny pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 kapacity k tomu, aby zp\u016fsobil v\u00e1\u017enou \u0161kodu nejen sv\u00e9mu izraelsk\u00e9mu nep\u0159\u00edteli, ale tak\u00e9 americk\u00fdm, z\u00e1padn\u00edm a dal\u0161\u00edm spojenc\u016fm Tel Avivu v regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ot\u00e1zkou z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1: ud\u011bl\u00e1 to okam\u017eit\u011b? Proto\u017ee ve vy\u010derp\u00e1vac\u00ed v\u00e1lce, kterou \u00cdr\u00e1n vnucuje Izraeli, a navzdory potvrzen\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 stran\u011b a jeho region\u00e1ln\u00edch spojenc\u016f, v\u00fdhoda st\u00e1le nehraje ve prosp\u011bch izraelsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu. Koneckonc\u016f, skute\u010dnost, \u017ee nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 \u00cdr\u00e1nu jsou tak rozzu\u0159eni,\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.observateur-continental.fr\/?module=articles&amp;action=view&amp;id=5600\"><span>potvrzuje<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0minul\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy. Pokud jde o existen\u010dn\u00ed riziko pro Izrael, na kter\u00e9 telavivsk\u00fd re\u017eim neust\u00e1le odkazuje, je velmi re\u00e1ln\u00e9. Ale pouze kv\u016fli jeho vlastn\u00edm akc\u00edm v region\u00e1ln\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/observateur-continental.fr\/?module=articles&amp;action=view&amp;id=6998\"><em><span>Michail Gamandij-Jegorov<\/span><\/em><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Extr\u00e9mn\u00ed agresivita izraelsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu a jeho c\u00edl region\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalace jsou dnes prim\u00e1rn\u011b spojeny s jeho&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":81230,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[738,1042,38,107],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81229"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81229"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81229\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/81230"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81229"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81229"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81229"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}