{"id":8093,"date":"2022-02-07T02:30:24","date_gmt":"2022-02-07T01:30:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=8093"},"modified":"2022-02-06T15:37:46","modified_gmt":"2022-02-06T14:37:46","slug":"multimiliardar-ray-dalio-varuje-usa-hrozi-nova-obcanska-valka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/02\/07\/multimiliardar-ray-dalio-varuje-usa-hrozi-nova-obcanska-valka\/","title":{"rendered":"Multimiliard\u00e1\u0159 Ray Dalio varuje: USA hroz\u00ed nov\u00e1 ob\u010dansk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u00dasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd zakladatel hedgeov\u00e9ho fondu vid\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed soudr\u017enost ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech ohro\u017eenou velk\u00fdm vl\u00e1dn\u00edm deficitem, vysok\u00fdmi dan\u011bmi, inflac\u00ed a majetkovou nerovnost\u00ed.\u00a0Ciz\u00ed mocnosti jsou p\u0159itom na vzestupu.<\/strong><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Ray Dalio, zakladatel nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho hedgeov\u00e9ho fondu na sv\u011bt\u011b Bridgewater Associates, ve \u010dtvrtek varoval, \u017ee USA jsou na \u201eklasick\u00e9 cest\u011b\u201c sm\u011brem k \u201en\u011bjak\u00e9 form\u011b\u201c ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed podm\u00ednky a nep\u0159ekonateln\u00e9 rozd\u00edly v touh\u00e1ch a hodnot\u00e1ch jsou podle n\u011bj ingrediencemi, kter\u00e9 vedou k ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na soci\u00e1ln\u00ed s\u00edti LinkedIn napsal:<\/span><\/p>\n

„Neznalost pravdy kv\u016fli medi\u00e1ln\u00edmu zkreslen\u00ed a propagand\u011b se zvy\u0161uje, proto\u017ee lid\u00e9 jsou st\u00e1le v\u00edce polarizovan\u00ed, emocion\u00e1ln\u011b a politicky motivovan\u00ed.“<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Pouk\u00e1zal na \u0159adu faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 ho k tomuto n\u00e1zoru vedly.\u00a0Ty zahrnovaly velk\u00e9 deficity, vysok\u00e9 dan\u011b, inflaci a rozd\u00edly v bohatstv\u00ed, co\u017e vedlo k politick\u00e9 polarizaci.\u00a0Miliard\u00e1\u0159 zd\u016fraznil:<\/span><\/p>\n

„Pokud se to stane ve stejnou dobu, kdy zahrani\u010dn\u00ed mocnosti narostou dostate\u010dn\u011b na to, aby se postavily p\u0159edn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 velmoci, kter\u00e1 \u010del\u00ed t\u00e9to dynamice ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, je to obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b riskantn\u00ed doba. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee toto je doba, ve kter\u00e9 se nach\u00e1z\u00edme.“<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou je, jak moc se syst\u00e9m dok\u00e1\u017ee ohnout, ne\u017e se rozbije.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pouk\u00e1zal na to, \u017ee politick\u00e9 mocnosti na obou stran\u00e1ch \u201echt\u011bj\u00ed vyhr\u00e1t za ka\u017edou cenu\u201c, \u010d\u00edm\u017e je kompromis nemo\u017en\u00fd.\u00a0Mnoz\u00ed se \u201ep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 boj\u00ed\u201c promluvit nebo se uch\u00e1zet o ve\u0159ejnou funkci.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Historie ukazuje, \u017ee nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm nebezpe\u010d\u00edm, kter\u00e9mu demokracie \u010del\u00ed, je to, \u017ee produkuj\u00ed rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed tak rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 a antagonistick\u00e9, \u017ee jsou ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 a neuspo\u0159\u00e1dan\u00e9, co\u017e vede ke \u0161patn\u00fdm v\u00fdsledk\u016fm a revoluc\u00edm.“<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Dalio p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee leto\u0161n\u00ed volby budou zlomov\u00fdm bodem ve vnit\u0159n\u00ed politice USA:<\/span><\/p>\n

„Ve volb\u00e1ch v roce 2022 uvid\u00edme ztr\u00e1ty um\u00edrn\u011bn\u00fdch a zisky extremist\u016f\/populist\u016f. […] Proto\u017ee ka\u017ed\u00e1 strana chce bojovn\u00edky, ne kompromisn\u00edky. Nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed soud bude rozhodovat o sporn\u00fdch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, za n\u011b\u017e jsou lid\u00e9 p\u0159ipraveni bojovat. Existuje velk\u00e9 riziko, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00e1 strana bude pova\u017eovat rozhodnut\u00ed druh\u00e9 strany za nespravedliv\u00e1 a nep\u0159ijme je. To povede k z\u00fa\u010dtov\u00e1n\u00ed.“<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed to poprv\u00e9, co Dalio u\u010dinil tak hrozn\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi.\u00a0V listopadu lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku vydal knihu s n\u00e1zvem \u201ePrinciples for Dealing with the Changing World Order: Why Nations Win and Loss\u201c.\u00a0Tam tak\u00e9 varoval p\u0159ed \u201enebezpe\u010dn\u011b vysok\u00fdm rizikem\u201c ob\u010dansk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v USA b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch 10 let kv\u016fli \u201emimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9mu rozsahu polarizace\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u00dasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd zakladatel hedgeov\u00e9ho fondu vid\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00ed soudr\u017enost ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech ohro\u017eenou velk\u00fdm vl\u00e1dn\u00edm deficitem, vysok\u00fdmi…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8094,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[29,1401,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8093"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8093"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8093\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8094"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8093"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8093"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8093"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}