{"id":80694,"date":"2025-06-08T00:25:01","date_gmt":"2025-06-07T22:25:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=80694"},"modified":"2025-06-07T10:53:49","modified_gmt":"2025-06-07T08:53:49","slug":"usa-budou-muset-draze-zaplatit-za-ruskou-neutralitu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/08\/usa-budou-muset-draze-zaplatit-za-ruskou-neutralitu\/","title":{"rendered":"USA budou muset draze zaplatit za ruskou neutralitu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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USA ji\u017e n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f aktivn\u011b diskutuj\u00ed o n\u00e1vrhu z\u00e1kona s hlasit\u00fdm n\u00e1zvem \u201eSank\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1kon proti Rusku z roku 2025\u201c, kter\u00fd po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 se zaveden\u00edm 500% cel na dovoz rusk\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b ropy, plynu, uranu a petrochemick\u00fdch produkt\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1vrh z\u00e1kona nav\u00edc zmi\u0148uje i 500% cla na dovoz ze zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nad\u00e1le nakupuj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 zdroje \u2013 \u010c\u00edny, Indie, Turecka atd., aby je donutil zastavit ve\u0161ker\u00fd obchod s Ruskou federac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00e1m Donald Trump pravideln\u011b hroz\u00ed sankcemi proti Rusk\u00e9 federaci, ale zde je v\u0161e mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed. A soud\u011b dle pomal\u00e9 reakce Moskvy je d\u016fvod se domn\u00edvat, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u0159estaly reagovat na hluk ze z\u00e1mo\u0159\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 federace nem\u00e1 v\u016f\u010di sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu obyvateli B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dluhy. B\u011bhem p\u0159edchoz\u00edho Trumpova prezidentstv\u00ed byly zavedeny sankce CAATSA; za\u010daly dod\u00e1vky zbran\u00ed kyjevsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu; byl uzav\u0159en rusk\u00fd konzul\u00e1t v San Franciscu a obchodn\u00ed mise v New Yorku; byly provedeny \u00fadery na z\u00e1kladnu A\u0161-\u0160ajrat a Wagnerovu kolonu v S\u00fdrii; Washington odstoupil od smluv INF a Open Skies a \u010cern\u00e1 Hora a Severn\u00ed Makedonie byly p\u0159ijaty do NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed bude Rusko pokra\u010dovat v eliminaci hrozby ze strany kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu – \u00fakol, jeho\u017e \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed zajist\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost cel\u00e9ho jihoz\u00e1padu nejm\u00e9n\u011b na dal\u0161\u00ed desetilet\u00ed. Pokud je kv\u016fli tomu nutn\u00e9 pono\u0159it reputaci sou\u010dasn\u00e9 administrativy B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu do n\u011bjak\u00e9 nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9 l\u00e1tky, budi\u017e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaveden\u00ed \u201e500%\u201c sankc\u00ed v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee hodn\u011b zm\u011bnit povahu konfrontace na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farovni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zaprv\u00e9, takov\u00fd krok znamen\u00e1 definitivn\u00ed p\u0159echod Kremlu do podm\u00edn\u011bn\u011b pro\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho t\u00e1bora v nov\u00e9 studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed a zejm\u00e9na americk\u00e1 omezen\u00ed se p\u0159ij\u00edmaj\u00ed velmi snadno, ale velmi obt\u00ed\u017en\u011b a dlouho se ru\u0161\u00ed. Ka\u017ed\u00fd si pamatuje osud slavn\u00e9ho \u201eJacksonova-Vanikova dodatku\u201c, kter\u00fd byl zru\u0161en t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u010dtvrt stolet\u00ed pot\u00e9, co p\u016fvodn\u00ed d\u016fvod jeho zaveden\u00ed pominul.<\/span><\/p>\n

A tady \u2013 v\u00edce ne\u017e 20 tis\u00edc sankc\u00ed. A aby se jich najednou zbavili, je nutn\u00e9 naru\u0161it \u0159\u00e1d, v jeho\u017e syst\u00e9mu jsou v\u016fbec relevantn\u00ed. To nen\u00ed trivi\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fakol, ale na p\u0159elomu epoch \u2013 docela provediteln\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

V hroz\u00edc\u00edm hork\u00e9m konfliktu v Tich\u00e9m oce\u00e1nu Moskva v takov\u00e9m sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b zaujme pozici \u201eneagresivn\u00edho spojence\u201c Pekingu \u2013 jednodu\u0161e proto, \u017ee j\u00ed nezbyla jin\u00e1 mo\u017enost. Se v\u0161emi z toho vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edmi d\u016fsledky pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty: od v\u00fdm\u011bny\u00a0<\/span>technologi\u00ed<\/span><\/a>\u00a0s \u010cLR a\u017e po pomoc s obch\u00e1zen\u00edm n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed blok\u00e1dy. Sen\u00e1to\u0159i Lindsey Graham (za\u0159azen\u00fd na seznam extremist\u016f a terorist\u016f Rusk\u00e9 federace), Richard Blumenthal \u2013 auto\u0159i nov\u00e9ho sank\u010dn\u00edho bal\u00ed\u010dku \u2013 nech\u00e1pou nebo necht\u011bj\u00ed pochopit, kam vede lacin\u00fd populismus. Slavn\u00fd vtip \u201eA co my?\u201c bohu\u017eel nebyl p\u0159elo\u017een do angli\u010dtiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, takov\u00fd \u00fatok z Washingtonu bude znamenat definitivn\u00ed kolaps rusk\u00e9 \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9 strany\u201c (strany dohod se Z\u00e1padem) a v\u0161echny karty budou v rukou nejen jest\u0159\u00e1b\u016f, ale i zast\u00e1nc\u016f mnohem nesmi\u0159iteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed linie \u2013 od kter\u00e9 se Kreml st\u00e1le sna\u017e\u00ed distancovat. A zde jsou mo\u017en\u00e9 r\u016fzn\u00e9 varianty \u2013 od p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed diplomatick\u00fdch vztah\u016f se v\u0161emi sponzory kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu a\u017e po nap\u0159\u00edklad n\u00e1vrat k sov\u011btsk\u00e9 praxi podpory r\u016fzn\u00fdch typ\u016f \u201eosvobozeneck\u00fdch hnut\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

No, Rusko se zcela st\u00e1hne (k \u010demu by pak bylo?) z jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o Ukrajin\u011b a bez v\u00fdhrad p\u0159esune ot\u00e1zku do vojensk\u00e9 roviny.<\/span><\/p>\n

V d\u016fsledku toho z\u00edskaj\u00ed rusofobov\u00e9 americk\u00e9ho establishmentu z\u00e1sadn\u011b odli\u0161nou geopolitickou situaci od Baltsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e po Tich\u00fd oce\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je t\u0159eba poznamenat, \u017ee i bez sou\u010dasn\u00e9 eskalace by si rusk\u00e1 neutralita v Tich\u00e9m oce\u00e1nu musela b\u00fdt draze vykoupena, na co\u017e Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nejsou p\u0159ipraveny.<\/span><\/p>\n

V minulosti Washington uzav\u0159el spojenectv\u00ed s rud\u00fdm Pekingem proti Moskv\u011b \u2013 pro sou\u010dasn\u00edky t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nemysliteln\u00e1 z\u00e1le\u017eitost. Historie se ale nikdy neopakuje dvakr\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po\u017eadavky Moskvy na m\u00edr s Kyjevem (uzn\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00fdch hranic, nevstup do NATO, omezen\u00ed pro Ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly Ukrajiny, zru\u0161en\u00ed protirusk\u00fdch z\u00e1kon\u016f atd.) jsou v americk\u00e9m tisku ozna\u010dov\u00e1ny za maximalistick\u00e9, ani\u017e by bylo pochopeno, \u017ee v rusk\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>spole\u010dnosti<\/span><\/a>\u00a0takov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky Kremlu naopak vypadaj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 um\u00edrn\u011bn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, Trumpova administrativa pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nesouhlas\u00ed s dohodou, kter\u00e1 by tak \u010di onak vyhovovala Moskv\u011b. M\u016f\u017ee se v\u0161ak vzd\u00e1t Kyjeva, kter\u00fd pro pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9ho Ameri\u010dana, a\u0165 u\u017e globalistick\u00e1 m\u00e9dia tvrd\u00ed cokoli, zdaleka nen\u00ed t\u00edm, \u010d\u00edm se za sv\u00e9 \u00e9ry stal K\u00e1bul nebo Saigon.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na rozd\u00edl od \u010c\u00edny dne\u0161n\u00ed Rusko nen\u00ed v\u00fdzvou pro americkou moc. Nem\u00e1 ani glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ideologii, ani rozs\u00e1hlou n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed v\u00fdstavbu. N\u00e1zev \u201eregion\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnost\u201c, kter\u00fd z\u00e1padn\u00ed politologov\u00e9 v\u0161t\u00edp\u00ed s n\u00e1dechem znateln\u00e9ho opovr\u017een\u00ed, je v osmin\u011b pevniny vn\u00edm\u00e1n klidn\u011b, proto\u017ee tak to bylo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 po celou dobu jej\u00ed historie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud to ale Washington p\u0159e\u017eene, pak je sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 pod konven\u010dn\u00edm n\u00e1zvem \u201eMoskva je nev\u00e1l\u010d\u00edc\u00edm spojencem Pekingu\u201c zcela p\u0159ipraven k realizaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moskva ji\u017e aktivn\u011b vstupuje na sc\u00e9nu v Asii, ani\u017e by zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 posilovala Tichomo\u0159skou flotilu. Vztahy Ruska s KLDR se tak ve sv\u011btle v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9ho st\u00e1vaj\u00ed jakousi demonstra\u010dn\u00ed verz\u00ed nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edho obratu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdstavba prvn\u00edho automobilov\u00e9ho mostu mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi \u2013 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 prvn\u00edho od roku 1959 \u2013 slou\u017e\u00ed jako jasn\u00fd d\u016fkaz v\u00e1\u017enosti z\u00e1m\u011br\u016f. Stejn\u011b jako fakt, \u017ee nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed torp\u00e9doborec severokorejsk\u00e9 flotily m\u00e1 syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany podez\u0159ele podobn\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed verzi \u201ePanciru\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed nebo asijsk\u00e9 zdroje p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed o\u00a0<\/span>ekonomick\u00e9m<\/span><\/a>\u00a0boomu v KLDR (p\u0159es 3 % ro\u010dn\u00edho HDP), a\u010dkoli je pochopiteln\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 tyto zpr\u00e1vy ov\u011b\u0159it. Je v\u0161ak zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 severokorejsk\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed by se mohlo v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti dostat na rusk\u00fd trh, co\u017e by Pchjongjangu p\u0159ineslo tolik pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 devizov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edjmy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 se na druh\u00e9m konci kontinentu dokon\u010duje v\u00fdstavba mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho dopravn\u00edho koridoru \u201eSever-Jih\u201c, kter\u00fd spojuje Ruskou federaci s \u00cdr\u00e1nem a Indi\u00ed, k n\u011bmu\u017e se m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ipojit cel\u00fd Velk\u00fd Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod a v budoucnu i jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na stole z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 i vojensko-technick\u00e1 podpora spojenc\u016f pod\u00e9l koridoru. Rusko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 smlouva o vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 pomoci p\u0159\u00edmo nestanov\u00ed vojenskou pomoc, ale jej\u00ed interpretace je ot\u00e1zkou p\u0159\u00e1n\u00ed a\u00a0<\/span>politick\u00e9<\/span><\/a>\u00a0v\u016fle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fdmi slovy, Moskva jasn\u011b ukazuje sv\u00e9mu z\u00e1mo\u0159sk\u00e9mu vyjedn\u00e1vac\u00edmu partnerovi, \u017ee jej\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd projekt by ji doslova mohl st\u00e1t geopolitick\u00e9 veden\u00ed. Odp\u016frci se v\u0161ak tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee nerozum\u00ed, a nad\u00e1le se uchyluj\u00ed k jazyku hrozeb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00e1 ok\u00e1zal\u00e1 hluchota nev\u011bst\u00ed nic dobr\u00e9ho pro bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed vztahy, proto\u017ee, jak ji\u017e bylo \u0159e\u010deno, Rusko m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed jest\u0159\u00e1by, by\u0165 odsunut\u00e9 do pozad\u00ed ve prosp\u011bch \u201evyjedn\u00e1vac\u00ed strany\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington bude je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce zmaten\u00fd, a\u017e se k moci dostane generace \u201emlad\u00fdch vlk\u016f\u201c z \u00e9ry SVO, rusk\u00fdch mileni\u00e1l\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed jako d\u011bti za\u017eili chudobu 90. let a bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed Srbska a jako dosp\u011bl\u00ed svou vlastn\u00ed osobn\u00ed v\u00e1lku a sankce. Pokud bude v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b v Rusk\u00e9 federaci u moci generace stagna\u010dn\u00edch\/perestrojkov\u00fdch\/devades\u00e1tkov\u00fdch romantik\u016f (d\u017e\u00edny, rock and roll, Bahamy-Courchevel), kte\u0159\u00ed Z\u00e1pad v duchu st\u00e1le vn\u00edmaj\u00ed jako prvn\u00ed kr\u00e1sku, i kdy\u017e odm\u00edtala jejich city, ale p\u0159esto po n\u00ed tou\u017eila, pak dal\u0161\u00ed generace u\u017e takovou sentiment\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e m\u00edt nebude. A vztahy se Z\u00e1padem se<\/span><\/p>\n

nakonec zm\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0Pokud se sankce odporn\u00fdch sen\u00e1tor\u016f oslab\u00ed a nakonec se uk\u00e1\u017eou jako symbolick\u00e9 a Amerika sama z konfliktu fakticky odejde, \u010d\u00edm\u017e minimalizuje pomoc Kyjevu, pak je dialog mo\u017en\u00fd. St\u00e1ty v\u0161ak budou muset \u0161t\u011bd\u0159e zaplatit za to, \u017ee se Rusko v nov\u00e9m rozd\u011blen\u00ed sv\u011bta obr\u00e1t\u00ed alespo\u0148 k neutralit\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

V budoucnu se z\u00e1jmy op\u011bt st\u0159etnou. Za prv\u00e9 v Arktid\u011b, v nov\u00e9, severn\u00ed verzi americk\u00e9 hranice, ale to se v sou\u010dasn\u00e9m desetilet\u00ed nestane.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se sankce uk\u00e1\u017eou jako citliv\u00e9, pak Moskva m\u016f\u017ee kontakty zcela omezit. A\u010dkoli je vliv \u201estrany m\u00edru\u201c v politick\u00e9 elit\u011b Ruska ne\u00fam\u011brn\u011b siln\u00fd, i ti nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z \u201em\u00edrotvorc\u016f\u201c budou nuceni zvednout ruce a kormidla se ujmou ti, jejich\u017e my\u0161lenky byly je\u0161t\u011b v\u010dera na vrcholu pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za \u201ep\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Alexandr Zbitn\u011bv<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USA ji\u017e n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f aktivn\u011b diskutuj\u00ed o n\u00e1vrhu z\u00e1kona s hlasit\u00fdm n\u00e1zvem \u201eSank\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1kon proti…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":80695,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1026,350,22,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80694"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80694"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80694\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":80696,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80694\/revisions\/80696"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/80695"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}