{"id":80634,"date":"2025-06-07T00:13:27","date_gmt":"2025-06-06T22:13:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=80634"},"modified":"2025-06-06T19:34:10","modified_gmt":"2025-06-06T17:34:10","slug":"jiri-paroubek-jaka-bude-odveta-ruska-za-zniceni-strategickych-bombarderu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/07\/jiri-paroubek-jaka-bude-odveta-ruska-za-zniceni-strategickych-bombarderu\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Jak\u00e1 bude odveta Ruska za zni\u010den\u00ed strategick\u00fdch bombard\u00e9r\u016f?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

V ned\u011bli 1. \u010dervna Ukrajina dramaticky eskalovala v\u00e1lku s Ruskem \u00fatokem sv\u00fdch dron\u016f proti rusk\u00fdm bombard\u00e9r\u016fm \u2013 nosi\u010d\u016fm strategick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. V telefon\u00e1tu hlav st\u00e1t\u016f Ruska a USA se prezident Putin zm\u00ednil americk\u00e9mu prezidentovi, \u017ee Rusko na tento bezprecedentn\u00ed \u00fatok Ukrajiny bude reagovat.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Prezident Trump ve sv\u00e9m vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed o rozhovoru toto pouze konstatoval, ani\u017e by dodal nap\u0159. to, \u017ee rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta varoval p\u0159ed odvetn\u00fdm \u00fatokem na Ukrajinu. Trump tak vlastn\u011b nep\u0159\u00edmo vyj\u00e1d\u0159il jist\u00e9 pochopen\u00ed pro ruskou reakci.<\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b je dob\u0159e, \u017ee Kreml o t\u00e9to v\u011bci hovo\u0159\u00ed s\u00a0americk\u00fdm prezidentem a \u017ee tedy nezva\u017euje odvetu ve form\u011b \u00fatoku taktick\u00fdmi jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi. Co si budeme \u0159\u00edkat, ukrajinsk\u00fd \u00fatok musel b\u00fdt pro Rusy p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm. A byl p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm tak\u00e9 pro Ameri\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed se od n\u011bj de facto distancovali. Byla to sofistikovan\u00e1 akce proveden\u00e1 ukrajinskou zpravodajskou slu\u017ebou. Tak\u017ee odvetn\u00e1 akce ze strany Ruska bude velmi tvrd\u00e1, ale bude provedena konven\u010dn\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi.<\/p>\n

To, co se stalo v ned\u011bli na rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch leti\u0161t\u00edch, je toti\u017e do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry tak\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00edm pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty (nemluv\u011b o dal\u0161\u00edch jadern\u00fdch velmoc\u00edch), \u017ee mus\u00ed zajistit ochranu sv\u00fdch zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, po\u010d\u00ednaje nosi\u010di jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed typu letadel a\u017e po rakety. V \u010dase AI a velice rychle se rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00edch dronov\u00fdch technologi\u00ed si um\u00edm p\u0159edstavit i situaci, kdy nejadern\u00fd st\u00e1t, anebo p\u0159\u00edmo terorist\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed se rozhodnou zv\u00fd\u0161it nap\u011bt\u00ed ve vztaz\u00edch mezi velmocemi \u010di dokonce p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eit jejich v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd \u010di jadern\u00fd konflikt, mohou uspo\u0159\u00e1dat \u00fatok podobn\u00e9ho typu na raketov\u00e1 sila s\u00a0raketami s\u00a0jadern\u00fdmi hlavicemi. Anebo na z\u00e1kladny raket st\u0159edn\u00edho doletu. Anebo na flotily lod\u00ed kotv\u00edc\u00edch v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edstavech atd. Fantazii se meze nekladou. Bohu\u017eel, v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee k\u00a0uskute\u010dn\u011bn\u00ed takov\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f v\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b s\u00a0rychle se rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00edmi technologiemi s\u00a0neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fdm potenci\u00e1lem doj\u00edt.<\/p>\n

Z\u00a0tohoto hlediska skute\u010dn\u011b prora\u017een\u00ed obrany rusk\u00fdch leti\u0161\u0165 se strategick\u00fdmi bombard\u00e9ry je ve sv\u011bt\u011b vojenstv\u00ed velk\u00fdm p\u0159ed\u011blem. List Washington Post p\u0159irovnal tento \u00fatok na rusk\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 flotily dokonce k\u00a0\u00fatoku Japonc\u016f na Pearl Harbor. Rusk\u00e9 veden\u00ed zat\u00edm na \u00fatok Ukrajiny nereaguje emotivn\u011b, ale nepochybn\u011b sp\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1 pl\u00e1n\u00a0 odvety. V\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b si zejm\u00e9na jadern\u00e9 velmoci mus\u00ed uv\u011bdomit, jak\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem se zm\u011bnila t\u00edmto \u00fatokem geostrategick\u00e1 situace dne\u0161n\u00edho sv\u011bta. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee na ka\u017ed\u00fd \u00fatok, na ka\u017edou uplatn\u011bnou zbra\u0148ovou technologii \u010di vojenskou operaci se najde obrana. Ur\u010dit\u011b ani Rusko, ani USA a ani \u010c\u00edna nemaj\u00ed z\u00e1jem na tom, aby jejich jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed byla ohro\u017eov\u00e1na \u00fatoky druho\u0159ad\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f \u010di terorist\u016f, anebo fanatik\u016f. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm nedostupnosti a naprost\u00e9 nezranitelnosti zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f jadern\u00e9ho charakteru velmoc\u00ed; je um\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed zbran\u00ed hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed do kosmu, anebo na neust\u00e1le se pohybuj\u00edc\u00ed ponorky s\u00a0raketami s\u00a0jadern\u00fdmi hlavicemi, kter\u00e9 budou plout v\u00a0odlehl\u00fdch mo\u0159\u00edch Arktidy \u010di Antarktidy. K\u00a0tomu aby vytvo\u0159ili velkou flotilu ponorek,\u00a0 maj\u00ed technick\u00e9 prost\u0159edky a pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 finance jen USA, \u010c\u00edna a Rusko.<\/p>\n

J\u00e1sot ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Lipavsk\u00e9ho nad ned\u011bln\u00ed akc\u00ed Ukrajiny ukazuje, \u017ee tento \u010dlov\u011bk a bohu\u017eel, mysl\u00edm, \u017ee i velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st z\u00e1padoevropsk\u00fdch politick\u00fdch elit si v\u016fbec neuv\u011bdomuje geopolitick\u00e9 a strategick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky, kter\u00e9 tento \u00fatok ukrajinsk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky na ruskou leteckou flotilu m\u00e1. J\u00e1sat nad t\u00edm, \u017ee bylo zni\u010deno 30 % bombard\u00e9r\u016f, schopn\u00fdch n\u00e9st jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, je jist\u00fdm druhem politick\u00e9 tuposti. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ta \u010d\u00edsla zni\u010den\u00fdch bombard\u00e9r\u016f se pon\u011bkud li\u0161\u00ed. V\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch informa\u010dn\u00edch zdroj\u00edch je to 41 bombard\u00e9r\u016f, v\u00a0jin\u00fdch 14. Kdy\u017e se laicky d\u00edv\u00e1m na typy zni\u010den\u00fdch letadel, mysl\u00edm, \u017ee \u010d\u00e1st z\u00a0nich lze nazvat star\u00fdmi klumprcajky. A krom\u011b toho, raketov\u00e1 sila s\u00a0jadrn\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi Ruska jsou st\u00e1le pln\u011b funk\u010dn\u00ed. A obsahuj\u00ed v\u00edce raket s\u00a0jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi, ne\u017eli m\u00e1 Z\u00e1pad s\u00e1m k dispozici.<\/p>\n

N\u011bkter\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed administrativy D. Trumpa mi p\u0159ipadaj\u00ed jako z\u00a0d\u00edlny Jaroslava Ha\u0161ka. Ale u t\u00e9to z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky geostrategick\u00e9ho charakteru se Trump chov\u00e1 rozumn\u011b. A to je dob\u0159e. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee tento spektakul\u00e1rn\u00ed \u00fatok pon\u011bkud dobrodru\u017en\u00e9ho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed na Rusko, byl uskute\u010dn\u011bn ve snaze p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit politick\u00e9 elity Z\u00e1padu, \u017ee Ukrajina i p\u0159es velk\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty \u00fazem\u00ed a voj\u00e1k\u016f ve v\u00e1lce v\u00a0posledn\u00edm roce je schopna sofistikovan\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace, k\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e nepot\u0159ebuje Z\u00e1pad. Je pot\u0159eba si ale uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee jak\u00e9koliv operace tohoto typu, kdy n\u011bkdo za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na strategick\u00e9 zbran\u011b jadern\u00e9 velmoci, m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k\u00a0otev\u0159en\u00e9mu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9mu konfliktu mezi nimi. A to jist\u011b nen\u00ed v\u00a0z\u00e1jmu sv\u011bta, kter\u00fd by byl v takov\u00e9m konfliktu zni\u010den, sp\u00e1len a vr\u017een do doby kamenn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V ned\u011bli 1. \u010dervna Ukrajina dramaticky eskalovala v\u00e1lku s Ruskem \u00fatokem sv\u00fdch dron\u016f proti rusk\u00fdm…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":44854,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[2856,1503,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80634"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80634"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80634\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44854"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80634"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80634"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80634"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}