{"id":80261,"date":"2025-06-02T05:46:38","date_gmt":"2025-06-02T03:46:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=80261"},"modified":"2025-06-02T05:46:38","modified_gmt":"2025-06-02T03:46:38","slug":"michael-svatos-kreml-po-uspesnych-utocich-kyjeva-na-ruske-strategicke-cile-zatim-zlovestne-mlci-co-to-muze-znamenat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/06\/02\/michael-svatos-kreml-po-uspesnych-utocich-kyjeva-na-ruske-strategicke-cile-zatim-zlovestne-mlci-co-to-muze-znamenat\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Kreml po \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch \u00fatoc\u00edch Kyjeva na rusk\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle zat\u00edm zlov\u011bstn\u011b ml\u010d\u00ed! Co to m\u016f\u017ee znamenat?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>P\u0159es v\u00edkend jsem byl na konferenci, jak jsem avizoval, a vr\u00e1til jsem se z n\u00ed a\u017e v p\u0159ed jednou hodinou dnes r\u00e1no. Dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza tedy bude jen proto, \u017ee Kyjev v\u010dera v ned\u011bli 1. \u010dervna dramaticky eskaloval dosavadn\u00ed pr\u016fb\u011bh v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b, a \u00fatokem sv\u00fdch dron\u016f proti rusk\u00fdm nosi\u010d\u016fm strategick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed naplnil zn\u011bn\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nku 19, p\u00edsmeno c, rusk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 doktr\u00edny, p\u0159esn\u00fd text:\u00a0<em>akce protivn\u00edka postihuj\u00edc\u00ed prvky kriticky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed nebo vojensk\u00e9 infrastruktury Rusk\u00e9 federace, jejich\u017e vy\u0159azen\u00ed z provozu by naru\u0161ilo reakci jadern\u00fdch sil<\/em>; a od v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho \u00fatoku Ukrajiny na tyto rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle, tak prezident Ruska Vladim\u00edr Putin je platnou ruskou legislativou pln\u011b zmocn\u011bn na\u0159\u00eddit proti Ukrajin\u011b prov\u00e9st jadern\u00e9 \u00fadery v libovoln\u00e9m mno\u017estv\u00ed, a proti jak\u00fdmkoli c\u00edl\u016fm.<\/p>\n<p>Z rusk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 doktr\u00edny nav\u00edc vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee v\u0161echny ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 by Ukrajinu v jej\u00edm sou\u010dasn\u00e9m ta\u017een\u00ed proti Rusku i nad\u00e1le podporovaly, \u010di vyzbrojovaly, se mohou tak\u00e9 st\u00e1t ter\u010dem preventivn\u00edch rusk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch \u00fader\u016f, respektive Putin m\u016f\u017ee na\u0159\u00eddit proti nim tyto \u00fadery prov\u00e9st, op\u011bt v libovoln\u00e9m mno\u017estv\u00ed, a proti jak\u00fdmkoli c\u00edl\u016fm. (Pln\u00fd text rusk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 doktr\u00edny jsem zve\u0159ejnil v anal\u00fdze MAP 2039.) Proto\u017ee tato situace je extr\u00e9mn\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1, budu se d\u00e1le v\u011bnovat jen jej\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed eskalaci, a vlastn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky proti rusk\u00fdm c\u00edl\u016fm nebudu d\u00e1le rozeb\u00edrat,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/aeronet.news\/trumpuv-vyjednavac-pro-ukrajinu-priznal-ze-nato-vede-proxy-valku-proti-rusku-podle-jeho-nazoru-je-pozadavek-moskvy-na-zakaz-clenstvi-ukrajiny-v-nato-opravneny\/\">pro \u010desk\u00fd jazyk jsou dob\u0159e pops\u00e1ny zde<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/eng\/news\/2025\/06\/1\/7515094\/\">pro anglick\u00fd jazyk zde<\/a>, a pro rusk\u00fd jazyk zde, a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/swodki\/493766\">to v\u010detn\u011b vide\u00ed z \u00fato\u010d\u00edc\u00edch ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Situace je po \u00faderu Kyjeva proti rusk\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm nosi\u010d\u016fm extr\u00e9mn\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1. V 01.08 \u010desk\u00e9ho \u010dasu, na Rusko velmi pozd\u011b a neobvykle publikoval kan\u00e1l Rybar \u0159\u00edzen\u00fd Michailem Zvin\u010dukem, osobou velmi bl\u00edzkou rusk\u00fdm tajn\u00fdm slu\u017eb\u00e1m, text, a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/rybar\/70933\">v n\u011bm varoval, p\u0159ed dal\u0161\u00edm mo\u017en\u00fdm ukrajinsk\u00fdm \u00fatokem proti rusk\u00fdm strategick\u00fdm jadern\u00fdm sil\u00e1m prov\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdm drony vypou\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdmi z civiln\u00edch lod\u00ed pluj\u00edc\u00edch v arktick\u00fdch nebo tichooce\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vod\u00e1ch<\/a>. Po v\u010derej\u0161\u00edm ukrajinsk\u00e9m \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9m \u00fatoku, tak hroz\u00ed mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u00e1 eskalace, v\u010detn\u011b jadern\u00e9ho smeten\u00ed USA z povrchu zem\u011b, ke kter\u00e9mu by mohlo doj\u00edt ze strany Ruska, pokud by ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky pokra\u010dovaly.<\/p>\n<p>Kyjev v\u010dera dok\u00e1zal nemo\u017en\u00e9, a v\u0161echny jadern\u00e9 mocnosti sv\u011bta, se po v\u010derej\u0161\u00edm kyjevsk\u00e9m \u00fatoku na nosi\u010de rusk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, mus\u00ed za\u010d\u00edt re\u00e1ln\u011b ob\u00e1vat, \u017ee n\u011bkolik stovek dron\u016f za \u201cpakatel\u201d, vypu\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch jak\u00fdmikoli teroristy, m\u00e1 potenci\u00e1l na kritick\u00fd okam\u017eik vy\u0159adit z provozu v\u011bt\u0161inu strategick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed napaden\u00e9 mocnosti, kter\u00e9 nejsou v kritick\u00e9m okam\u017eiku \u00fatoku neseny jadern\u00fdmi ponorkami pluj\u00edc\u00edmi kdesi hluboko v oce\u00e1nu. A velmoci budou ot\u0159esen\u00e9, a za\u010dnou okam\u017eit\u011b jednat, a prov\u00e1d\u011bt r\u00e1zn\u00e1 protiopat\u0159en\u00ed, proto\u017ee vyhl\u00eddka na situaci, \u017ee d\u00edky akci n\u011bjak\u00fdch terorist\u016f proti jedn\u00e9 velmoci bude moci druh\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 velmoc vyu\u017e\u00edt situace k nukle\u00e1rn\u00ed likvidaci teroristy napaden\u00e9 prvn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 velmoci, je extr\u00e9mn\u011b v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00e1. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj a rozmis\u0165ov\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00fdch proti-balistick\u00fdch obrann\u00fdch kapacit toti\u017e m\u016f\u017ee vytvo\u0159it sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, v nich\u017e k proniknut\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00fdmi obran\u00fdmi proti-balistick\u00fdmi kupolemi jadern\u00fdch velmoc\u00ed u\u017e nebude sta\u010dit pohotovostn\u00ed salva z n\u011bkolika jadern\u00fdch ponorek, kter\u00e9 pr\u00e1v\u011b plavou v mo\u0159i, a p\u0159i zni\u010den\u00ed pozemn\u00edch jadern\u00fdch odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edch kapacit drony terorist\u016f, bude hrozit velmoci napaden\u00e9 teroristy potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eka od nenapaden\u00e9 velmoci, proto\u017ee jej\u00ed pohotovostn\u00ed z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00ed salva odp\u00e1len\u00e1 z ponorek u\u017e nebude dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e1, aby prorazila obrannou proti-balistickou kupoli nenapaden\u00e9 velmoci.<\/p>\n<p>Pro politiky jadern\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed tak v\u010dera nastala \u00e9ra absolutn\u00ed nejistoty, \u017ee nebudou z\u00e1ke\u0159n\u00fdm \u00fatokem zni\u010deny a vyhlazeny, a v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed kyjevsk\u00fd \u00fatok proti Rusku tak vytvo\u0159il absolutn\u011b novou geostrategickou situaci na\u0161eho sv\u011bta, kter\u00e1 bude extr\u00e9mn\u011b nestabiln\u00ed, dokud mocnosti nenajdou jej\u00ed spolehliv\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Kyjev v\u010dera uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee jak\u00e1koli pod\u0159adn\u00e1 zem\u011b sv\u011bta s dostate\u010dn\u011b fanatick\u00fdm veden\u00edm je schopna \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b napadnout jednu jadernou velmoc, a ta m\u016f\u017ee ve vynucen\u00e9 reakci na tento extr\u00e9mn\u011b levn\u00fd \u00fatok fanatik\u016f nebo terorist\u016f sm\u00e9st nukle\u00e1rn\u00edmi \u00fadery cel\u00fd zbytek sv\u011bta z povrchu zem\u011b, a sama b\u00fdt smetena odvetn\u00fdmi nukle\u00e1rn\u00edmi \u00fadery. Fanatici a terorist\u00e9 tak maj\u00ed poprv\u00e9 v historii lidstva k dispozici metodu i prost\u0159edky jak vyhladit cel\u00fd sv\u011bt. Z hlediska v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho \u00faderu Kyjeva na Rusko tak vyvst\u00e1v\u00e1 nov\u00e1 z\u00e1kladn\u00ed sv\u011bta, zda m\u00e1 Ukrajina pr\u00e1vo se br\u00e1nit rusk\u00e9 invazi i za cenu, \u017ee jej\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 operace proti Rusku povedou k likvidaci \u00fapln\u011b cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta?<\/p>\n<p>Jadern\u00e9 supervelmoci, kter\u00e9 proti sob\u011b vedou neust\u00e1l\u00e9 nel\u00edtostn\u00e9 kvazi-v\u00e1lky, v nich\u017e klidn\u011b ob\u011btuj\u00ed cel\u00e9 n\u00e1rody, nebo jejich v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti, jen aby z\u00edskaly, \u010di si udr\u017eely mal\u00e9 v\u00fdhody, nebo po\u0161kodily sv\u00e9 soupe\u0159e, se v\u017edy dr\u017e\u00ed z\u00e1sady, \u017ee tyto kvazi-v\u00e1lky nesm\u00ed nikdy p\u0159er\u016fst v jadern\u00fd konflikt mezi soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00edmi supervelmocemi. A Zelenskyj v\u010dera ve\u0159ejn\u011b uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee nov\u00e9 levn\u00e9 technologie maj\u00ed potenci\u00e1l tuto z\u00e1kladn\u00ed z\u00e1sadu pro veden\u00ed kvazi-v\u00e1lek mezi supervelmocemi eliminovat, a p\u0159etvo\u0159it libovolnou kvazi-v\u00e1lku supervelmoc\u00ed v \u00faplnou nukle\u00e1rn\u00ed v\u00e1lku supervelmoc\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco Vietnamci se Sov\u011btskou pomoc\u00ed nem\u011bli d\u00edky tehdej\u0161\u00edmu stavu technologi\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dnou mo\u017enost eskalovat v\u00e1lku s USA do full v\u00e1lky mezi SSSR a USA, Ukrajinci u\u017e s pomoc\u00ed internetu a modern\u00edch technologi\u00ed v\u010dera dok\u00e1zali, \u017ee tento potenci\u00e1l maj\u00ed. Kdy\u017e maj\u00ed tento potenci\u00e1l maj\u00ed nyn\u00ed Ukrajinci, maj\u00ed ho i terorist\u00e9 a fanatici v\u0161eho sv\u011bta. Zelenskyj v\u010dera otev\u0159el poprv\u00e9 v d\u011bjin\u00e1ch lidstva skute\u010dnou Pando\u0159inu sk\u0159\u00ednku, a jen t\u00edm uk\u00e1zal, jak modern\u00ed technologie rychle m\u011bn\u00ed v\u0161echny\u00a0 jistoty star\u00e9ho sv\u011bta, v n\u011bm\u017e jsme byli dosud zvykl\u00ed v\u0161ichni pohodln\u011b \u017e\u00edt. A uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee kub\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 krize, kter\u00e1 d\u011bsila politiky po n\u011bkolik dek\u00e1d, byla jen mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b lehce vy\u0159e\u0161iteln\u00fdm o\u0159\u00ed\u0161kem, proti sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu kyjevsk\u00e9mu gordick\u00e9mu uzlu dron\u016f napadaj\u00edc\u00edch nosi\u010de strategick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Nejjednodu\u0161\u0161\u00edm logickou reakc\u00ed supervelmoc\u00ed, jak sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 nosi\u010de dostat do bezpe\u010d\u00ed p\u0159ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00edmi \u00fatoky pod\u0159adn\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, terorist\u016f a fanatik\u016f, bude je rozm\u00edstit do vesm\u00edru, proto\u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd pod\u0159adn\u00fd st\u00e1t, ani terorista, \u010di fanatik, je tam nikdy nedok\u00e1\u017ee napadnout, proto\u017ee k tomu nebude m\u00edt technologie ani finan\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edly. Rusov\u00e9 u\u017e za\u010dali sv\u00e1 sila jadern\u00fdch raket opev\u0148ovat, ale toto \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed nezabr\u00e1n\u00ed dron\u016fm, aby nad opevn\u011bnou kupol\u00ed nevytvo\u0159ily roj, a nepo\u0161kodily startuj\u00edc\u00ed raketu, proto\u017ee ta mus\u00ed opustit sv\u016fj kryt, aby byla odp\u00e1lena. M\u00edt balistick\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 rakety v opevn\u011bn\u00fdch silech tak nen\u00ed absolutn\u011b bez rizika, stejn\u011b jako m\u00edt strategick\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 nosi\u010de v opevn\u011bn\u00fdch hang\u00e1rech, jako maj\u00ed \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Zelenskyj sv\u00fdm v\u010derej\u0161\u00edm \u00fatokem na rusk\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 nosi\u010de vytvo\u0159il mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b p\u0159\u00edznivou situaci pro \u010c\u00ednu. Ta je ze v\u0161ech t\u0159\u00ed jadern\u00fdch supervelmoc\u00ed sice aktu\u00e1ln\u011b nejslab\u0161\u00ed, ale m\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed kosmick\u00fd potenci\u00e1l, a sou\u010dasn\u011b m\u00e1 absolutn\u011b nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed kapacity pro stavbu lod\u00ed a ponorek. \u010c\u00edna tak nejrychleji ze v\u0161ech supervelmoc\u00ed dok\u00e1\u017ee vybudovat dostate\u010dn\u011b siln\u00e9 nukle\u00e1rn\u00ed ponorkov\u00e9 lo\u010fstvo, pop\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nukle\u00e1rn\u00ed lod\u011b dlouhodob\u011b pluj\u00edc\u00ed v pust\u00fdch a divok\u00fdch vod\u00e1ch kolem Antarktidy, a m\u016f\u017ee tak m\u00edt sv\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 prost\u0159edky nejrychleji mimo ve\u0161ker\u00fd dosah terorist\u016f, fanatik\u016f i pod\u0159adn\u00fdch\u00a0 st\u00e1t\u016f. Obdobn\u011b m\u00e1 kapacitu tyto zbran\u011b nejrychleji rozm\u00edstit v kosmu.<\/p>\n<p>Tato nov\u00e1 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 v\u00fdhoda v souboji supervelmoc\u00ed, vyvolan\u00e1 v\u010dera Zelensk\u00fdm, m\u016f\u017ee je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce sbl\u00ed\u017eit dv\u011b ostatn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 supervelmoci Rusko a USA,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nzz.ch\/english\/us-political-scientist-putin-was-correct-on-ukraine-ld.1886394\">\u00a0jak dlouhodob\u011b tvrd\u00ed p\u0159edn\u00ed americk\u00fd strat\u00e9g profesor John Maersheimer<\/a>. Podle Maersheimera je nyn\u00ed u\u017e Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da ve stavu tot\u00e1ln\u00edho rozkladu, (<a class=\"mfp-iframe lightbox-added\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=CGXucsbC1Tw\">Total Disarray<\/a>), a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kyivpost.com\/post\/53749\">v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1hl\u00e1 rezignace kyjevsk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la Drapatyje<\/a>, kter\u00fd tot\u00e1ln\u011b selhal p\u0159i leto\u0161n\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho slavn\u00e9 velk\u00e9 jarn\u00ed ofenz\u00edv\u011b u m\u011bsta Pokrovsk, a to rezignace v d\u016fsledku dal\u0161\u00edho v\u00edkendov\u00e9ho ni\u010div\u00e9ho \u00faderu rusk\u00e9 rakety Iskander na cvi\u010di\u0161t\u011b pln\u00e9 Ukrajinc\u016f, jen ukazuje na naprosto bezv\u00fdchodnou situaci cel\u00e9 kyjevsk\u00e9 generality.<\/p>\n<p>Druho\u0159ad\u00fd plukovn\u00edk britsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy v z\u00e1loze\u00a0<span class=\"mw-page-title-main\"><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Hamish_de_Bretton-Gordon\">Hamish de Bretton-Gordon<\/a>\u00a0sice\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.unian.ua\/war\/operaciya-malyuka-pavutina-ukrajina-urazila-strategichnu-aviaciyu-rf-13025523.html\">v\u010dera nad\u0161en\u011b vibroval, \u017ee geni\u00e1ln\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fd \u00fatok drony na rusk\u00e1 letadla, nosi\u010de jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, je zlomem ve v\u00e1lce<\/a>, a ukazuje na rostouc\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 schopnosti, ov\u0161em takov\u00fdchto vibr\u00e1tor\u016f je na Evropsk\u00e9m Z\u00e1pad\u011b mnohem v\u00edce ne\u017e voj\u00e1k\u016f v aktivn\u00ed slu\u017eb\u011b, a bohu\u017eel st\u00e1le nijak nech\u00e1pou podstatu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 strategie a z\u00e1kon\u016f. Ukrajinci v\u010dera sice zni\u010dili mo\u017en\u00e1 a\u017e 1\/3 rusk\u00fdch letadel, nosi\u010d\u016f jadern\u00fdch st\u0159el, ale tato letadla p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed pouze mizivou \u010d\u00e1st rusk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu, a to tu nejstar\u0161\u00ed, a nejm\u00e9n\u011b strategickou. Co v\u010derej\u0161\u00edmi \u00fatoky vlastn\u011b Zelenskyj sledoval, je op\u011bt mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 logicky pochopit. Sobotn\u00edmi \u00fadajn\u011b\u00a0 teroristick\u00fdmi \u00fatoky na rusk\u00e9 civiln\u00ed vlaky zat\u00edm Zelenskyj dos\u00e1hl jedin\u00e9ho,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kp.ru\/online\/news\/6402657\/\">ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed USA v\u010dera velmi rychle vyj\u00e1d\u0159il soustrast Rusku v souvislosti s tragick\u00fdmi \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00edmi ne\u0161t\u011bst\u00edmi v Brjansk\u00e9 a Kursk\u00e9 oblasti<\/a>.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Kreml k \u00fatok\u016fm na vlaky i strategick\u00e1 letadla zat\u00edm ofici\u00e1ln\u011b ml\u010d\u00ed, (platnost k 04.00, SE\u010c, 2.6.2025). Pokud Kreml ml\u010d\u00ed, je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee nenech\u00e1 zma\u0159it m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed pro jeden, sice po taktick\u00e9 str\u00e1nce mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd, ale po strategick\u00e9 str\u00e1nce, extr\u00e9mn\u011b fat\u00e1ln\u00ed, ukrajinsk\u00fd \u00fatok. Ml\u010den\u00ed Kremlu v\u0161ak nijak neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee Kreml p\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy, nebo bude ze sv\u00fdch pozic ustupovat. Jestli supervelmoci n\u011bco bytostn\u011b spole\u010dn\u011b kolektivn\u011b nen\u00e1vid\u00ed, tak schopnost jak\u00e9koli jim pod\u0159adn\u00e9 entity ohrozit jejich dominanci, vymknout se jejich kontrole, a nebo mezi nimi, nedej Bo\u017ee, rozpoutat dokonce zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed jadernou v\u00e1lku. Zelenskyj v\u010dera prok\u00e1zal, \u017ee Ukrajina t\u011bmito schopnostmi za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 disponovat, a \u017ee jej\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9 veden\u00ed je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deno, \u017ee tyto schopnosti m\u016f\u017ee bez povolen\u00ed aspo\u0148 jedn\u00e9 velmoci vyu\u017e\u00edvat. Supervelmoci si tak rychle spo\u010d\u00edtaj\u00ed, \u017ee Zelensk\u00fd by mohl rychle z\u00edskat n\u00e1sledn\u00edky, a supervelmoci by u\u017e mohly nad\u00e1le ztratit kl\u00ed\u010dovou schopnost, b\u00fdt jedin\u00e9, kdo mohou rozhodnout rozpoutat jadernou v\u00e1lku.<\/p>\n<p>Tento stav, znamenaj\u00edc\u00ed ztr\u00e1tu jejich kolektivn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti, p\u0159ed jejich vlastn\u00edm super-zni\u010den\u00edm, supervelmoci nikdy nep\u0159ipust\u00ed, a Ukrajina se tak nyn\u00ed defacto stala \u00fahlavn\u00edm nep\u0159\u00edtelem v\u0161ech t\u0159\u00ed supervelmoc\u00ed, proto\u017ee uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee dok\u00e1\u017ee vyvolat stav, p\u0159i kter\u00e9m se supervelmoci mohou navz\u00e1jem zni\u010dit, ani\u017e si to vlastn\u011b p\u0159\u00e1ly, nebo to z d\u016fvod\u016f vlastn\u00edch jen supervelmocem n\u011bjak zam\u00fd\u0161lely. Kyjev proto bude nejsp\u00ed\u0161 supervelmocemi r\u00e1zn\u011b potrest\u00e1n, a Ukrajina bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b podrobena kolektivn\u00ed nen\u00e1visti v\u0161ech supervelmoc\u00ed, se v\u0161emi d\u016fsledky, kter\u00e9 z toho plynou. Zelensk\u00e9ho Pando\u0159ina sk\u0159\u00ednka v\u0161ak u\u017e z\u016fstane trvale otev\u0159en\u00e1, a supervelmoci budou nuceny hledat \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, jak ji uzav\u0159\u00edt, a nebo jak se nov\u00e9 situaci p\u0159izp\u016fsobit. Ob\u011b \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed budou pro v\u0161echny supervelmoci extr\u00e9mn\u011b finan\u010dn\u011b n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e1, a to bude znamenat, \u017ee se supervelmoci budou spole\u010dn\u011b hledat, jak a kdo tyto jejich dodate\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady zaplat\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>P.S. Pros\u00edm za pochopen\u00ed, \u017ee ke konci dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdzy jsem byl u\u017e tot\u00e1ln\u011b vy\u0159\u00edzen. V\u00edkend byl velmi n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fd, d\u011bkuji v\u0161em, se kter\u00fdmi jsem m\u011bl tu skv\u011blou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost hovo\u0159it.<\/p>\n<p>Ve st\u0159edu 28. kv\u011btna jsem byl hostem na TV Bure\u0161,\u00a0<a class=\"mfp-iframe lightbox-added\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=TQKWDaQfAmU\">po\u0159ad najdete zde.<\/a>\u00a0Ve \u010dtvrtek 5. \u010dervna budu od 19. hodin na Svobodn\u00e9m r\u00e1diu, odkaz na po\u0159ad d\u00e1m do anal\u00fdzy v \u00fater\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.michalapetr.com\/map-2311-kreml-po-uspesnych-utocich-kyjeva-na-ruske-strategicke-cile-zatim-zlovestne-mlci-co-to-muze-znamenat-analyza\/\">Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-27204\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Michael_Svatos.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"180\" height=\"180\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Michael_Svatos.png 180w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Michael_Svatos-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 180px) 100vw, 180px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159es v\u00edkend jsem byl na konferenci, jak jsem avizoval, a vr\u00e1til jsem se z n\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":63017,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,22,2703,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80261"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80261"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80261\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/63017"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80261"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80261"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80261"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}