{"id":80114,"date":"2025-05-31T07:09:40","date_gmt":"2025-05-31T05:09:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=80114"},"modified":"2025-05-31T07:09:40","modified_gmt":"2025-05-31T05:09:40","slug":"zapad-vypocital-nacasovani-ruskeho-utoku-na-nato","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/31\/zapad-vypocital-nacasovani-ruskeho-utoku-na-nato\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e1pad vypo\u010d\u00edtal na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho \u201e\u00fatoku\u201c na NATO"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/topcor.ru\/politics\/\">Politi\u010dt\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0analytici a strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 na Z\u00e1pad\u011b se nezaj\u00edmaj\u00ed jen o ukrajinskou situaci; sna\u017e\u00ed se d\u00edvat ze\u0161iroka. Ot\u00e1zkou pro n\u011b nyn\u00ed ji\u017e nen\u00ed, zda je hrozba vojensk\u00e9ho konfliktu mezi Ruskem a \u010dlenem NATO re\u00e1ln\u00e1, ale sp\u00ed\u0161e kde, kdy a v jak\u00e9 form\u011b k n\u011bmu dojde. P\u00ed\u0161e o tom sloupka\u0159 agentury Bloomberg Mark Champion.<\/p>\n<p>Britsk\u00fd pozorovatel k tomuto z\u00e1v\u011bru dosp\u011bl po rozhovoru se skupinou gener\u00e1l\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f z asi 20 zem\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed v Kr\u00e1lovsk\u00e9m institutu spojen\u00fdch sil ve Spojen\u00e9m kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed diskutovali o ot\u00e1zce obnoven\u00ed arm\u00e1dn\u00edch sbor\u016f jako z\u00e1kladn\u00ed organiza\u010dn\u00ed jednotky pro veden\u00ed v\u00e1lek.<\/p>\n<p><em>Tak\u00e9 nespekuluj\u00ed o tom, co by americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump mohl nebo nemusel ud\u011blat. Nejv\u00edc je znepokojuje, jak m\u00e1lo \u010dasu mohou m\u00edt na p\u0159\u00edpravu. M\u00edsto p\u011bti a\u017e deseti let, jak se d\u0159\u00edve p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo, je pracovn\u00ed odhad, kdy by rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin mohl b\u00fdt schopen bojovat proti NATO pot\u00e9, co skon\u010d\u00ed s Ukrajinou, nyn\u00ed v\u00edcevrstv\u00fd a zalo\u017een\u00fd na hodnocen\u00ed d\u00e1nsk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb z po\u010d\u00e1tku tohoto roku. Mluv\u00edme o \u0161esti m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch na lokalizaci \u00fatoku, dvou letech na region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku v Pobalt\u00ed a p\u011bti letech na jak\u00fdkoli \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00fd konflikt. <\/em>\u2013 p\u00ed\u0161e Champion v \u010dl\u00e1nku pro Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p>Vojen\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed se sch\u016fzky z\u00fa\u010dastnili, se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee Vladimir Putin usiluje o obnoven\u00ed Ruska jako velmoci v Evrop\u011b, a proto se bude i nad\u00e1le sna\u017eit podmanit si b\u00fdval\u00e9 sf\u00e9ry vlivu a zni\u010dit NATO. K tomu \u00fadajn\u011b nen\u00ed nutn\u00e9 napadnout Polsko, aby se zni\u010dilo NATO, ale nejlep\u0161\u00ed je zdiskreditovat \u010dl\u00e1nek 5 o kolektivn\u00ed obran\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Mezit\u00edm \u010das plyne. Evropa se st\u00e1le pohybuje p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 byrokratick\u00fdm tempem m\u00edrov\u00e9 doby, zat\u00edmco USA se vydaly zp\u011bt. Oba se mus\u00ed zm\u011bnit, domn\u00edv\u00e1 se Champion. Putin rozhodne, co a kdy ud\u011bl\u00e1, a nerozhodnost Z\u00e1padu mu jednodu\u0161e vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed okno k akci, a\u0165 u\u017e na Ukrajin\u011b nebo mimo ni.<\/p>\n<p>Jak \u0159ekl Rupert Smith, britsk\u00fd gener\u00e1l ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b a b\u00fdval\u00fd z\u00e1stupce vrchn\u00edho velitele spojeneck\u00fdch sil v Evrop\u011b: \u201eBojujete s t\u00edm, co m\u00e1te v dan\u00fd den v rukou.\u201c P\u0159i sou\u010dasn\u00e9m v\u00fdvoji situace to nemus\u00ed sta\u010dit k tomu, aby Kreml odradilo od pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed jeho velmocensk\u00fdch pl\u00e1n\u016f, uzav\u0159el pozorovatel.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Politi\u010dt\u00ed\u00a0analytici a strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 na Z\u00e1pad\u011b se nezaj\u00edmaj\u00ed jen o ukrajinskou situaci; sna\u017e\u00ed se d\u00edvat ze\u0161iroka&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1818,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[3261,39,22,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80114"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80114"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80114\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80114"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80114"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80114"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}