{"id":79986,"date":"2025-05-30T00:23:42","date_gmt":"2025-05-29T22:23:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=79986"},"modified":"2025-05-29T14:41:23","modified_gmt":"2025-05-29T12:41:23","slug":"francouzsky-socialni-stat-na-pokraji-kolapsu-ucetni-dvur-varuje-pred-insolvenci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/30\/francouzsky-socialni-stat-na-pokraji-kolapsu-ucetni-dvur-varuje-pred-insolvenci\/","title":{"rendered":"Francouzsk\u00fd soci\u00e1ln\u00ed st\u00e1t na pokraji kolapsu: \u00da\u010detn\u00ed dv\u016fr varuje p\u0159ed insolvenc\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Francouzsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m soci\u00e1ln\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed \u010del\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi. \u00da\u010detn\u00ed dv\u016fr nal\u00e9hav\u011b varuje p\u0159ed hroz\u00edc\u00ed insolvenc\u00ed ji\u017e v roce 2027, zat\u00edmco v\u00fddaje jsou zcela mimo kontrolu. Tento v\u00fdvoj odhaluje struktur\u00e1ln\u00ed slabiny syst\u00e9mu, kter\u00fd hroz\u00ed zhroucen\u00edm pod tlakem masivn\u00ed imigrace a rostouc\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f na obranu.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pierre Moscovici na\u0161el pro tuto katastrofu jasn\u00e1 slova. V rozhovoru pro RTL p\u0159edseda francouzsk\u00e9ho \u00fa\u010detn\u00edho dvora nenechal \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 pochybnosti o dramatick\u00e9 povaze situace: \u201eMus\u00edme znovu z\u00edskat kontrolu. V posledn\u00edch letech, zejm\u00e9na v letech 2023 a 2024, jsme ztratili kontrolu nad na\u0161imi ve\u0159ejn\u00fdmi financemi.\u201c Takov\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed se od vysok\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk\u016f jen z\u0159\u00eddka oz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u2013 obvykle hovo\u0159\u00ed diplomatick\u00fdmi fr\u00e1zemi. Zde v\u0161ak skrz fas\u00e1du st\u00e1tn\u00ed politiky pror\u00e1\u017e\u00ed nah\u00e1 panika.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zpr\u00e1va \u00da\u010detn\u00edho dvora,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kterou cituje Politico,\u00a0se v \u010d\u00edslech \u010dte jako horor: deficit ve v\u00fd\u0161i 15,3 miliardy eur v roce 2024, s progn\u00f3zou 22,1 miliardy pro rok 2025. I tyto \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed \u010d\u00e1stky jsou ale p\u0159ehnan\u00e9, st\u011b\u017euj\u00ed si audito\u0159i. Vl\u00e1da \u017eongluje s nerealistick\u00fdmi progn\u00f3zami r\u016fstu a zaml\u010duje da\u0148ov\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 nikdy nep\u0159inesou sl\u00edben\u00e9 \u00faspory. Zn\u00e1me tu hru z jin\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch metropol\u00ed \u2013 nejd\u0159\u00edv r\u016f\u017eov\u00e9 sliby, pak nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9 probuzen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Imigrace jako podce\u0148ovan\u00e1 z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e pro syst\u00e9m<\/span><\/h3>\n

Tady se v\u011bci st\u00e1vaj\u00ed politicky v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00fdmi. O \u010dem politici v\u0161eho druhu r\u00e1di ml\u010d\u00ed, v\u011bdci p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161ej\u00ed st\u0159\u00edzliv\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla: Migrace stoj\u00ed Francii ro\u010dn\u011b zhruba\u00a0<\/span>25 miliard eur<\/span><\/a> . A to je jen \u0161pi\u010dka ledovce. Mnoho lid\u00ed s migra\u010dn\u00edm p\u016fvodem, kte\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e maj\u00ed francouzsk\u00e9 pasy, se v t\u011bchto v\u00fdpo\u010dtech v\u016fbec neobjevuje. Skute\u010dn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady budou pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b astronomick\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zoufal\u00e9 pokusy Francie o obrat v roce 2024 pomoc\u00ed nov\u00fdch imigra\u010dn\u00edch z\u00e1kon\u016f se zdaj\u00ed b\u00fdt jako zav\u00edr\u00e1n\u00ed dve\u0159\u00ed st\u00e1j\u00ed pot\u00e9, co kon\u011b u\u017e d\u00e1vno utekli. Syst\u00e9m p\u016fvodn\u011b navr\u017een\u00fd pro homogenn\u00ed spole\u010dnost se stabiln\u00ed pracovn\u00ed histori\u00ed se hrout\u00ed pod n\u00e1porem zcela odli\u0161n\u00e9 reality. \u0160t\u011bdr\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u00e1vky ve Francii p\u016fsob\u00ed jako magnet \u2013 jev, kter\u00fd ekonomov\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u00eddali po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed, zat\u00edmco politici p\u0159ed n\u00edm p\u0159iv\u00edrali o\u010di.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1vazky v\u016f\u010di NATO zhor\u0161uj\u00ed rozpo\u010dtovou krizi<\/span><\/h3>\n

Jako by soci\u00e1ln\u00ed n\u00e1klady nesta\u010dily, nyn\u00ed se p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 vojensk\u00fd tlak. Francie pr\u00e1v\u011b dos\u00e1hla\u00a0<\/span>c\u00edle NATO ve v\u00fd\u0161i dvou procent<\/span><\/a> v roce 2024 \u2013 a Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 ji\u017e po\u017eaduj\u00ed p\u011bt procent. Donald Trump pos\u00edl\u00e1 pozdravy. Francouzi \u010del\u00ed ne\u0159e\u0161iteln\u00e9 rovnici: Jak m\u016f\u017ee zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 u\u017e tak \u017eije nad pom\u011bry v oblasti soci\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u00fddaj\u016f, z\u00edskat dal\u0161\u00ed miliardy na tanky a rakety?<\/span><\/p>\n

Diskutovan\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f NATO<\/span><\/a>\u00a0na 3,5 procenta plus dal\u0161\u00edch 1,5 procenta na \u201eoblasti souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s bezpe\u010dnost\u00ed\u201c zn\u00ed jako kreativn\u00ed \u00fa\u010detnictv\u00ed. Takov\u00e9 triky jsou zn\u00e1m\u00e9 z obdob\u00ed krize eura \u2013 tehdy byly \u0159eck\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fddaje n\u00e1hle p\u0159edefinov\u00e1ny jako \u201einvestice do infrastruktury\u201c. Realita z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stejn\u00e1: pen\u00edze, kter\u00e9 nejsou, nelze utratit, bez ohledu na to, jak si je zaznamen\u00e1te v \u00fa\u010detnictv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed kritika a syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n

Kdy\u017e i Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bnov\u00fd fond ve\u0159ejn\u011b vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 k \u00faspor\u00e1m \u2013 obvykle diplomaticky a\u017e do bodu bolesti \u2013 cel\u00e1 v\u011bc je v plamenech. Doporu\u010den\u00ed MMF omezit soci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fddaje a prov\u00e9st d\u016fchodovou reformu se rovn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed bankrotu francouzsk\u00e9ho modelu. Pro zemi, kter\u00e1 se r\u00e1da prezentuje jako ba\u0161ta soci\u00e1ln\u00ed spravedlnosti, je to facka do tv\u00e1\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozpo\u010dtov\u00fd deficit ve v\u00fd\u0161i 5,8 procenta hrub\u00e9ho dom\u00e1c\u00edho produktu poru\u0161uje v\u0161echna pravidla EU. T\u0159\u00edprocentn\u00ed limit je u\u017e d\u00e1vno zastaral\u00fd a n\u00e1vrat ke solidn\u00edm ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm financ\u00edm do roku 2029 je \u010dirou fantazi\u00ed. Francie se p\u0159ipojuje k dlouh\u00e9mu seznamu evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e nemohou financovat sv\u00e9 sliby soci\u00e1ln\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed. Rozd\u00edl: Francie je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e1 na to, aby selhala, ale tak\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e1 na to, aby byla zachr\u00e1n\u011bna. Dilema, kter\u00e9 by mohlo st\u00e1hnout celou euroz\u00f3nu do propasti.<\/span><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Francouzsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m soci\u00e1ln\u00edho zabezpe\u010den\u00ed \u010del\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed krizi. \u00da\u010detn\u00ed dv\u016fr nal\u00e9hav\u011b varuje p\u0159ed hroz\u00edc\u00ed insolvenc\u00ed ji\u017e…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":79987,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[45,130,1263],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79986"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79986"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79986\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/79987"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79986"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79986"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79986"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}