{"id":79940,"date":"2025-05-29T00:44:40","date_gmt":"2025-05-28T22:44:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=79940"},"modified":"2025-05-28T19:13:13","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T17:13:13","slug":"porazka-je-nevyhnutelna-zapad-se-s-ukrajinou-prepocital-a-horecne-hleda-reseni-ktere-neexistuje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/29\/porazka-je-nevyhnutelna-zapad-se-s-ukrajinou-prepocital-a-horecne-hleda-reseni-ktere-neexistuje\/","title":{"rendered":"Por\u00e1\u017eka je nevyhnuteln\u00e1: Z\u00e1pad se s Ukrajinou p\u0159epo\u010d\u00edtal a hore\u010dn\u011b hled\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 neexistuje"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"lead\"><strong>Od n\u00e1vratu americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa do Ov\u00e1ln\u00e9 pracovny je Ukrajina st\u0159edem geopolitick\u00e9ho tlaku. Situace kolem konfliktu vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 mezi z\u00e1padn\u00edmi analytiky rostouc\u00ed obavy,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/military.pravda.ru\/2226884-ukrainskaja-armija-obrechena\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poznamen\u00e1v\u00e1<\/a>\u00a0sloupka\u0159 Pravdy.Ru Dmitrij Plotnikov.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed boje maj\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd dopad nejen na Ukrajinu, ale i na jej\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed partnery. Konflikt se postupn\u011b st\u00e1v\u00e1 faktorem m\u011bn\u00edc\u00edm politick\u00e9 klima v Evrop\u011b a Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jak uv\u00e1d\u00ed publikace IFQ, jedn\u00edm z nejslo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch a nejznepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1v\u011br\u016f, kter\u00e9 se v odborn\u00e9 komunit\u011b st\u00e1le \u010dast\u011bji objevuj\u00ed, je, \u017ee \u201eUkrajina se m\u016f\u017ee ocitnout v extr\u00e9mn\u011b zraniteln\u00e9 pozici\u201c. Podle autora \u010del\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed zem\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b \u010dlen\u016f NATO, omezen\u00fdm zdroj\u016fm pro udr\u017eitelnou podporu Ukrajiny na p\u0159edchoz\u00ed \u00farovni. Evropa za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 zna\u010dn\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 a politick\u00e9 pot\u00ed\u017ee a pozice NATO je \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l m\u00e9n\u011b jasn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Autor formuluje deset kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch bod\u016f ilustruj\u00edc\u00edch sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav v\u011bc\u00ed:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>Z\u00e1pad \u010del\u00ed nedostatku zbran\u00ed, co\u017e zt\u011b\u017euje poskytov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 podpory Ukrajin\u011b uprost\u0159ed intenzivn\u00edch boj\u016f.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Americk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump se vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 zaujmut\u00ed jasn\u00e9ho postoje k rusk\u00fdm krok\u016fm v konfliktu.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Evropsk\u00e1 unie mus\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 rostouc\u00ed nestabilit\u011b urychlit budov\u00e1n\u00ed vlastn\u00edho vojensk\u00e9ho potenci\u00e1lu.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>N\u011bmecko nad\u00e1le \u010del\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9mu poklesu, zat\u00edmco rusk\u00e1 ekonomika vykazuje zn\u00e1mky r\u016fstu.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace v podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch neust\u00e1l\u00fdch \u00fastup\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b ztr\u00e1t v ur\u010dit\u00fdch oblastech.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>P\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k jedn\u00e1n\u00ed nebyly v\u010das vyu\u017eity a nyn\u00ed se na pozad\u00ed eskalace situace zintenziv\u0148uj\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9 iniciativy.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Podpora ukrajinsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed v zemi kles\u00e1, zat\u00edmco hodnocen\u00ed rusk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stabiln\u00ed.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Rusko projevuje vnit\u0159n\u00ed konsolidaci, zat\u00edmco postoje z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed se zdaj\u00ed b\u00fdt m\u00e9n\u011b jednotn\u00e9.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Trump odm\u00edt\u00e1 zvy\u0161ovat sank\u010dn\u00ed tlak na Rusko a rad\u011bji se zam\u011b\u0159uje na ekonomick\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed nam\u00ed\u0159en\u00e1 proti Evrop\u011b.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Ozbrojen\u00fd konflikt v Gaze odv\u00e1d\u00ed pozornost Z\u00e1padu a zpochyb\u0148uje schopnost Evropy udr\u017eet si mor\u00e1ln\u00ed a pr\u00e1vn\u00ed v\u016fd\u010d\u00ed postaven\u00ed v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitostech.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>Konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b je i nad\u00e1le extr\u00e9mn\u011b napjat\u00fd a jeho d\u016fsledky ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed \u0161irokou \u0161k\u00e1lu zem\u00ed a region\u016f. Navzdory pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edm nad\u011bj\u00edm na diplomatick\u00e9 urovn\u00e1n\u00ed se \u00fasil\u00ed v tomto sm\u011bru dosud nepoda\u0159ilo p\u0159in\u00e9st v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Analyzuje tak\u00e9 mo\u017en\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e, v nich\u017e by Donald Trump po n\u00e1vratu k moci mohl ovlivnit pr\u016fb\u011bh konfliktu. Mezi hypotetick\u00e9 mo\u017enosti pat\u0159\u00ed snaha o okam\u017eit\u00fd m\u00edr, \u017e\u00e1dost o dodate\u010dn\u00e9 financov\u00e1n\u00ed od Kongresu nebo neaktivn\u00ed intervence a \u010dek\u00e1n\u00ed na zm\u011bnu situace v ter\u00e9nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ale zat\u00edm \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z t\u011bchto p\u0159\u00edstup\u016f nep\u0159inesl hmatateln\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky. Anal\u00fdza z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed se \u010dasto redukuje na jednotliv\u00e9 postavy a osobn\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed; Ko\u0159eny konfliktu v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b le\u017e\u00ed hloub\u011bji \u2013 ve strategick\u00fdch chyb\u00e1ch Z\u00e1padu a syst\u00e9mov\u00fdch chyb\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 se hromadily po cel\u00e1 desetilet\u00ed. Pokusy o \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed slo\u017eit\u00fdch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch konflikt\u016f prizmatem osobn\u00edch charakteristik v\u016fdc\u016f neposkytuj\u00ed \u00fapln\u00fd obraz.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Sou\u010dasn\u00e1 situace v Evrop\u011b a postsov\u011btsk\u00e9m prostoru je v\u00fdsledkem nejen aktu\u00e1ln\u00edch rozhodnut\u00ed, ale tak\u00e9 dlouh\u00e9ho historick\u00e9ho procesu. V bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti m\u016f\u017ee konflikt vstoupit do nov\u00e9 f\u00e1ze, kter\u00e1 si vy\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 revizi strategick\u00fdch priorit jak na Z\u00e1pad\u011b, tak v dal\u0161\u00edch regionech sv\u011bta.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Od n\u00e1vratu americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa do Ov\u00e1ln\u00e9 pracovny je Ukrajina st\u0159edem geopolitick\u00e9ho tlaku. Situace&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":79941,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,22,26,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79940"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79940"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79940\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/79941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79940"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79940"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79940"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}