{"id":79422,"date":"2025-05-23T00:23:53","date_gmt":"2025-05-22T22:23:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=79422"},"modified":"2025-05-22T13:01:46","modified_gmt":"2025-05-22T11:01:46","slug":"rusko-jednani-a-hledani-nove-rovnovahy-bude-dalsi-jednaci-stul-v-libyi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/23\/rusko-jednani-a-hledani-nove-rovnovahy-bude-dalsi-jednaci-stul-v-libyi\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusko, jedn\u00e1n\u00ed a hled\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9 rovnov\u00e1hy: Bude dal\u0161\u00ed jednac\u00ed st\u016fl v Libyi?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad by mohl b\u00fdt brzy nucen dos\u00e1hnout dohody s Ruskem ohledn\u011b Libye.<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

S nad\u011bj\u00ed na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce mezi Ruskem a Ukrajinou, kter\u00e1 trv\u00e1 ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159i roky, se pozornost sv\u011bta obr\u00e1tila k Istanbulu. Tento v\u00fdvoj se net\u00fdk\u00e1 jen Ruska a Ukrajiny, ale tak\u00e9 Donalda Trumpa \u2013 jeho\u017e druh\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 funk\u010dn\u00ed obdob\u00ed p\u0159ineslo v\u00fdrazn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed o glob\u00e1ln\u00edch kriz\u00edch \u2013 a Evropsk\u00e9 unie, kter\u00e1 zrychluje sv\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed o poskytnut\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 podpory Ukrajin\u011b a z\u00e1rove\u0148 pokra\u010duje v pomoci Kyjevu.<\/span><\/p>\n

V t\u00e9to nov\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed krajin\u011b, kde se propast mezi USA a EU st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le z\u0159eteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, se Turecko, kter\u00e9 udr\u017euje vztahy se v\u0161emi stranami, op\u011bt stalo st\u0159edem pozornosti. Ale jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi Z\u00e1padem a Ruskem neprob\u00edhaj\u00ed jen na ukrajinsk\u00e9 front\u011b. Existuje je\u0161t\u011b jedna d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 ar\u00e9na zahrnuj\u00edc\u00ed Rusko, USA, Evropu a dokonce i Turecko: Libyi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad by mohl b\u00fdt brzy nucen dos\u00e1hnout dohody s Ruskem i v Libyi. Nejprve si ale kr\u00e1tce p\u0159ipome\u0148me sou\u010dasnou politickou situaci a rozlo\u017een\u00ed sil v Libyi:<\/span><\/p>\n

Libyjsk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed arm\u00e1da (LNA) a Chal\u00edfa Haftar<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Libyjsk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed arm\u00e1da (LNA) kontroluje v\u011bt\u0161inu ropn\u00fdch pol\u00ed na v\u00fdchod\u011b zem\u011b, zejm\u00e9na v p\u00e1nvi Syrta. Po svr\u017een\u00ed Muammara Kadd\u00e1f\u00edho v roce 2011 z\u016fstal tento region pod kontrolou islamist\u016f a\u017e do ledna 2020, kdy jej Haftarovy s\u00edly dobyly b\u011bhem n\u011bkolika hodin. Mezi hlavn\u00ed Haftara podporuj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty, Egypt a Wagnerova skupina (nyn\u00ed naz\u00fdvan\u00e1 Africk\u00fd sbor), stejn\u011b jako Rusko, kter\u00e9 podepsalo obrann\u00e9 dohody.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da n\u00e1rodn\u00ed jednoty (GNU)<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Vl\u00e1da n\u00e1rodn\u00ed jednoty (GNU) s\u00eddl\u00ed v Tripolisu a vede ji premi\u00e9r Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh. Je mezin\u00e1rodn\u011b uzn\u00e1v\u00e1na. Turecko podporuje GNU v boji proti Haftarovi. Krom\u011b t\u011bchto dvou hlavn\u00edch mocnost\u00ed utv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed politickou dynamiku v Libyi \u010detn\u00e9 milice \u2013 kter\u00e9 se n\u011bkdy st\u0159et\u00e1vaj\u00ed mezi sebou, jindy se stav\u00ed na stranu jeden druh\u00e9ho. Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 a d\u017eih\u00e1distick\u00e9 skupiny tak\u00e9 zneu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch mezer k usazen\u00ed se ve venkovsk\u00fdch oblastech na jihu a z\u00e1pad\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Energetick\u00e9 bohatstv\u00ed Libye<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Libye m\u00e1 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 46,4 miliardy prok\u00e1zan\u00fdch barel\u016f ropy \u2013 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1soby ropy v Africe a jedny z deseti nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch na sv\u011bt\u011b \u2013 a p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1,4 bilionu metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch such\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu, co\u017e upev\u0148uje jej\u00ed roli v\u00fdznamn\u00e9ho hr\u00e1\u010de na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a v severn\u00ed Africe.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko a Turecko v Libyi<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Turecko a Rusko jsou v Libyi dlouhodob\u011b jak konkurenty, tak i partnery a ob\u011b strany se sna\u017e\u00ed pos\u00edlit sv\u016fj vliv. Jejich rivalita do jist\u00e9 m\u00edry zabr\u00e1nila \u00fapln\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed zem\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

V lednu 2020 Turecko a Rusko spole\u010dn\u011b hostily v Moskv\u011b rozhovory o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi gener\u00e1lem Haftarem a GNU. A\u010dkoli rozhovory nevedly k trval\u00e9 dohod\u011b, pomohly uklidnit nap\u011bt\u00ed na m\u00edst\u011b. V polovin\u011b roku 2020 se ob\u011b zem\u011b nep\u0159\u00edmo dohodly na ukon\u010den\u00ed boj\u016f pod\u00e9l de facto fronty od Syrty po Al-D\u017eufru. Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, Turecko a Rusko v Libyi prosazuj\u00ed politiku \u201e\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 konkurence a rovnov\u00e1hy\u201c, aby omezily vliv USA a EU.<\/span><\/p>\n

Haftarova n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bva Ruska<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

Rusk\u00e1 pozice v Libyi byla znovu zd\u016frazn\u011bna, kdy\u017e Haftar a jeho synov\u00e9 nav\u0161t\u00edvili Moskvu od 8. do 10. kv\u011btna 2025 na pozv\u00e1n\u00ed prezidenta Vladimira Putina. Jej\u00ed cesta byla poselstv\u00edm nez\u00e1visl\u00e9 politiky v\u0161em z\u00e1padn\u00edm st\u00e1t\u016fm \u2013 zejm\u00e9na Francii a It\u00e1lii \u2013 kter\u00e9 t\u011b\u017e\u00ed z levn\u00e9 libyjsk\u00e9 energie, a nab\u00eddla nov\u00e9 vod\u00edtka k region\u00e1ln\u00edmu vlivu Ruska.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u011bhem n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy se Haftar setkal s prezidentem Putinem a ministrem obrany Sergejem \u0160ojguem, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e se zam\u011b\u0159il na bezpe\u010dnost, boj proti terorismu a v\u00fdvoj v cel\u00e9m regionu severn\u00ed Afriky a Sahelu. Jeho syn Ch\u00e1lid Haftar podepsal s n\u00e1m\u011bstkem ministra obrany Junusem-Bekem Jevkurovem dohodu o strategick\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ci, co\u017e by mohlo p\u0159ipravit cestu pro pos\u00edlen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti rusk\u00e9ho Africk\u00e9ho sboru v Libyi.<\/span><\/p>\n

V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rady Ruska Moskva znovu potvrdila sv\u016fj z\u00e1vazek k procesu politick\u00e9ho urovn\u00e1n\u00ed v Libyi a k \u200b\u200bpodpo\u0159e mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u00fasil\u00ed o \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konflikt\u016f a boj proti terorismu v cel\u00e9 Africe. D\u0159\u00edve, v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2023, se Haftar v Kremlu setkal s Putinem a tehdej\u0161\u00edm ministrem obrany \u0160ojguem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti se zmen\u0161uj\u00ed<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n

S t\u00edm, jak Rusko prohlubuje spolupr\u00e1ci s LNA a jeho sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed s Haftarem se st\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u0159eteln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm, se mo\u017enosti Z\u00e1padu st\u00e1le v\u00edce omezuj\u00ed. Vzhledem k v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b, cl\u016fm ozn\u00e1men\u00fdm Trumpem a politick\u00fdm nepokoj\u016fm v Evrop\u011b by se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty \u2013 v r\u00e1mci dozr\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed, na vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed orientovan\u00e9, ale z\u00e1jmy \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky \u2013 mohly ocitnout \u2013 v situaci, kdy budou usilovat o uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed s Ruskem nejen ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b, ale i v severn\u00ed Africe.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b jako realita na Ukrajin\u011b vedla k jedn\u00e1n\u00edm, podobn\u00e1 situace se objevuje i v Libyi. Vzhledem k nepopirateln\u00e9mu rusk\u00e9mu vlivu v Libyi se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad m\u00e1 pouze dv\u011b mo\u017enosti: uznat tuto novou rovnov\u00e1hu sil, nebo se s Moskvou usadit a vyjedn\u00e1vat o libyjsk\u00e9 ot\u00e1zce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Erkin\u00a0Oncan<\/strong><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

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Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad by mohl b\u00fdt brzy nucen dos\u00e1hnout dohody s Ruskem ohledn\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":79423,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,4642,22,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79422"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79422"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79422\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/79423"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79422"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79422"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79422"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}