{"id":79007,"date":"2025-05-17T04:45:29","date_gmt":"2025-05-17T02:45:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=79007"},"modified":"2025-05-17T04:45:29","modified_gmt":"2025-05-17T02:45:29","slug":"lucas-leiroz-usa-chteji-obnovit-diplomaticke-forum-s-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/17\/lucas-leiroz-usa-chteji-obnovit-diplomaticke-forum-s-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: USA cht\u011bj\u00ed obnovit diplomatick\u00e9 f\u00f3rum s Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

I kdy\u017e je tato iniciativa pozitivn\u00ed, nesta\u010d\u00ed k ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 sektory americk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti cht\u011bj\u00ed obnovit plodn\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 rozhovory mezi NATO a Ruskou federac\u00ed. V n\u00e1vaznosti na diplomatickou vlnu, kterou d\u0159\u00edve inicioval republik\u00e1nsk\u00fd prezident Donald Trump, se americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da \u00fadajn\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed zapojit do jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o vytvo\u0159en\u00ed nov\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury spole\u010dn\u011b s Moskvou. Zda v\u0161ak budou tato jedn\u00e1n\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e1 p\u0159i odr\u00e1\u017een\u00ed rusk\u00fdch strategick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb a z\u00e1jm\u016f, nebo zda budou jen dal\u0161\u00edm pokusem o jednostrann\u00e9 americk\u00e9 vnucov\u00e1n\u00ed, se teprve uvid\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle\u00a0<\/span>agentury Bloomberg<\/span><\/a>\u00a0se americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da chopila iniciativy k obnoven\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v r\u00e1mci Rady NATO-Rusko jako gesto dobr\u00e9 v\u016fle k podpo\u0159e m\u00edrov\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f o konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b. Rada, zalo\u017een\u00e1 v roce 2002, si klade za c\u00edl vytvo\u0159it p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd kan\u00e1l pro strategick\u00fd dialog mezi Z\u00e1padem a Rusy, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e jej\u00edmi ofici\u00e1ln\u00edmi l\u00eddry budou Washington a Moskva. Toto opat\u0159en\u00ed bylo p\u0159ijato v dob\u011b relativn\u00edho sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed mezi USA a Ruskem, na po\u010d\u00e1tku 21. stolet\u00ed, na vrcholu americk\u00e9 unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed \u00e9ry. V roce 2014, po incidentech na Ukrajin\u011b, f\u00f3rum upadlo a ofici\u00e1ln\u011b ukon\u010dilo svou \u010dinnost v roce 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00e9dia s odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na\u00a0<\/span>anonymn\u00ed zdroje<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u00fadajn\u011b obezn\u00e1men\u00e9 s touto z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed vysv\u011btlila, \u017ee c\u00edlem obnoven\u00ed \u010dinnosti Rady je podpo\u0159it m\u00edrov\u00fd dialog na Ukrajin\u011b. O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee vytvo\u0159en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho komunika\u010dn\u00edho kan\u00e1lu mezi USA a Ruskem usnadn\u00ed diplomatick\u00fd dialog a n\u00e1sledn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed, co\u017e p\u0159iprav\u00ed cestu k m\u00edru na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010cl\u00e1nek zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00fd agenturou Bloomberg popisuje obnoven\u00ed dialogu v Rad\u011b jako dal\u0161\u00ed krok k p\u0159edchoz\u00edm n\u00e1vrh\u016fm USA veden\u00fdch Trumpem na ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, americk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da ml\u010dky p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee dosavadn\u00ed n\u00e1vrhy nespl\u0148uj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 po\u017eadavky, a proto nyn\u00ed souhlas\u00ed s nov\u00fdmi \u00fastupky k pokroku v m\u00edrov\u00fdch rozhovorech \u2013 p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e reaktivace Rady je jedn\u00edm z t\u011bchto dodate\u010dn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eMoskva se dosud zdr\u00e1hala americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1vrhu na p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00fd by konflikt v sou\u010dasnosti zhruba zmrazil, ud\u011blil USA uzn\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9ho poloostrova Krym za rusk\u00fd a zru\u0161il americk\u00e9 sankce. Ukrajina by na opl\u00e1tku z\u00edskala siln\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky a pr\u00e1vo rozv\u00edjet vlastn\u00ed arm\u00e1du (…) USA od t\u00e9 doby k n\u00e1vrhu p\u0159idaly nov\u00e9 podrobnosti, v\u010detn\u011b nab\u00eddky o\u017eivit bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rozhovory v r\u00e1mci Rady NATO-Rusko, uvedla osoba obezn\u00e1men\u00e1 s touto z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed, kter\u00e1 hovo\u0159ila pod podm\u00ednkou anonymity. Partnersk\u00e9 f\u00f3rum fakticky skon\u010dilo po tot\u00e1ln\u00ed rusk\u00e9 invazi v roce 2022,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed se v \u010dl\u00e1nku.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1vrh je ve skute\u010dnosti docela zaj\u00edmav\u00fd. Existence p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho dialogu mezi Ameri\u010dany a Rusy je z\u00e1sadn\u00ed pro jakoukoli trvalou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architekturu. Toto opat\u0159en\u00ed v\u0161ak, pokud je izolovan\u00e9, se tak\u00e9 nedok\u00e1\u017ee p\u0159izp\u016fsobit sou\u010dasn\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 realit\u011b, vezmeme-li v \u00favahu vnit\u0159n\u00ed okolnosti samotn\u00e9ho NATO. Na po\u010d\u00e1tku 21. stolet\u00ed bylo americk\u00e9 veden\u00ed bloku absolutn\u00ed, co\u017e umo\u017e\u0148ovalo kon\u00e1n\u00ed F\u00f3ra v bilater\u00e1ln\u00edm modelu. Nyn\u00ed v\u0161ak v bloku panuje rozd\u011blen\u00ed, kdy Evropan\u00e9 a Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 jednaj\u00ed odd\u011blen\u011b. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b Trump vol\u00e1 po m\u00edru, zat\u00edmco na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed a EU eskalovat v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee jakkoli zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt obnoven\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho americko-rusk\u00e9ho dialogu, tato iniciativa mus\u00ed b\u00fdt tak\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e1 v omezov\u00e1n\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed, proto\u017ee bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed americko-rusk\u00e1 diplomacie nebude k ni\u010demu, pokud evrop\u0161t\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 NATO budou v\u00e1lku nad\u00e1le financovat. Pro skute\u010dn\u00e9 vytvo\u0159en\u00ed nov\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed architektury bude nutn\u00e9 vytvo\u0159it mechanismy, kter\u00e9 Evropany omez\u00ed a donut\u00ed je p\u0159ijmout m\u00edr s Ruskem. Jinak se ratifikace Radou nebude li\u0161it od stejn\u00fdch diplomatick\u00fdch kan\u00e1l\u016f, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e existuj\u00ed nyn\u00ed za Trumpa.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00e1le je nutn\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fd n\u00e1vrh, kter\u00fd \u201ezmrazuje linie\u201c na boji\u0161ti, nen\u00ed v z\u00e1jmu Ruska. Linie jsou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed taktick\u00e9ho aspektu v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed a mohou se dokonce p\u0159es noc zm\u011bnit v z\u00e1vislosti na konkr\u00e9tn\u00edch vojensk\u00fdch pohybech. Rusko zaj\u00edm\u00e1 \u00fazemn\u00ed uzn\u00e1n\u00ed ve strategick\u00e9 sf\u00e9\u0159e, nikoli v taktick\u00e9. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, Z\u00e1pad a Ukrajina mus\u00ed uznat za rusk\u00e1 v\u0161echna \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 tvo\u0159\u00ed \u00fastavn\u00ed mapu Federace \u2013 co\u017e samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zahrnuje Krym, Don\u011bck, Luhansk, Z\u00e1poro\u017e\u00ed a Cherson. Nic men\u0161\u00edho nen\u00ed pro Moskvu tolerovateln\u00e9, proto\u017ee se neakceptuje, \u017ee se vzd\u00e1 sv\u00fdch n\u00e1rok\u016f na to, co je jej\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee jakkoli je iniciativa \u201epro-m\u00edrov\u00fdch\u201c sektor\u016f americk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti reprezentovan\u00fdch Trumpem v\u00edt\u00e1na, pl\u00e1ny Washingtonu op\u011bt nedok\u00e1\u017eou zohlednit multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed realitu a odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edm zp\u016fsobem slou\u017eit rusk\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm. Je zapot\u0159eb\u00ed mnohem v\u00edce ne\u017e jen vytvo\u0159en\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9ho f\u00f3ra k ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Konflikt skon\u010d\u00ed pouze tehdy, kdy\u017e bude m\u00edt Moskva v\u0161echny z\u00e1ruky, \u017ee jej\u00ed hranice jsou bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 a \u017ee v budoucnu nedojde k dal\u0161\u00ed eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Lucas Leiroz<\/a>, \u010dlen Asociace novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f BRICS, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Centra pro geostrategick\u00e1 studia, vojensk\u00fd expert<\/em><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I kdy\u017e je tato iniciativa pozitivn\u00ed, nesta\u010d\u00ed k ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 sektory…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":79008,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,295,39,22,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79007"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=79007"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79007\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/79008"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=79007"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=79007"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=79007"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}