{"id":78753,"date":"2025-05-14T00:22:42","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T22:22:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=78753"},"modified":"2025-05-13T13:18:36","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T11:18:36","slug":"zbynek-fiala-cla-pro-cinu-se-vraci-z-orbitu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/14\/zbynek-fiala-cla-pro-cinu-se-vraci-z-orbitu\/","title":{"rendered":"Zbyn\u011bk Fiala: Cla pro \u010c\u00ednu se vrac\u00ed z orbitu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Po celn\u00edm skoku do astronomick\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161in n\u00e1sleduje veleskok dol\u016f. Dohoda v \u017denev\u011b povzbudila prezidenta Trumpa, aby zkusil volat prezidenta Si.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Obchodn\u00ed politika se Trumpovi moc neda\u0159\u00ed. Potom, co napa\u0159il \u010c\u00edn\u011b dovozn\u00ed cla p\u0159esahujic\u00ed sto procent, Peking mu to vr\u00e1til na podobn\u00e9 \u00farovni, ale fakticky to pochopil jako embargo. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00fd export do USA klesl v\u00a0dubnu o 21 procent. Statistika zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu p\u0159itom uk\u00e1zala, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna si na\u0161la jin\u00e9 odbytov\u00e9 kan\u00e1ly a zvedla celkov\u00fd obrat zbo\u017e\u00ed meziro\u010dn\u011b o 5,6 procenta. Kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b, za posledn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce, byla r\u016fstov\u00e1 tempa je\u0161t\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0p\u00e1tek poprv\u00e9 po dlouh\u00e9 dob\u011b nevypluly z\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f v\u016fbec \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 kontejnerov\u00e9 lod\u011b do USA. Ale nejsp\u00ed\u0161 \u0161lo jen o gesto k nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edmu\u00a0jedn\u00e1n\u00ed americk\u00e9 a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 delegace v\u00a0\u017denev\u011b, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1s vr\u00e1tilo bl\u00ed\u017ee k norm\u00e1lu. Jedn\u00edm z\u00a0v\u00fdsledk\u016f je oboustrann\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed celn\u00edch sazeb o 115 procent.<\/p>\n

Uveden\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed m\u00e1 omezenou \u010dasovou platnost na pouh\u00fdch 90 dn\u00ed. A tak je mnohem podstatn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dohoda, \u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed budou pokra\u010dovat. \u010c\u00ednskou stranu bude reprezentovat m\u00edstop\u0159edseda vl\u00e1dy Che Li-feng a americkou ministr financ\u00ed Scott Bessent, jeho\u017e v\u00fdznam v\u00a0americk\u00e9 vl\u00e1d\u011b roste.<\/p>\n

Podle z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy m\u016f\u017ee jedn\u00e1n\u00ed prob\u00edhat v\u00a0USA, \u010c\u00edn\u011b i jinde, abychom zbyte\u010dn\u011b net\u00e1pali. \u017de v\u0161ak jde o seri\u00f3zn\u00ed z\u00e1m\u011br, nazna\u010duje pozn\u00e1mka, \u017ee ob\u011b strany mohou v\u00e9st tak\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed na (ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed) pracovn\u00ed \u00farovni k\u00a0relevantn\u00edm hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm a obchodn\u00edm z\u00e1le\u017eitostem.<\/p>\n

Pod dojmem pozitivn\u00edch v\u00fdsledk\u016f z \u017denevy americk\u00fd prezident v\u00a0pond\u011bl\u00ed odpoledne prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee bude volat \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9mu prezidentu Si \u0164in-pchingovi \u201emo\u017en\u00e1 na konci tohoto t\u00fddne\u201c.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-05-12\/trump-says-he-may-speak-to-xi-this-week-after-tariffs-lowered<\/a><\/p>\n

Ty alternativn\u00ed odbytov\u00e9 kan\u00e1ly \u010c\u00edny nejsou jen spekulace. V\u00a0Pekingu se pr\u00e1v\u011b sch\u00e1z\u00ed skupina latinskoamerick\u00fdch a karibsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed prob\u011bhne na \u00farovni ministr\u016f zahrani\u010dn\u00edch v\u011bc\u00ed, ale oslov\u00ed je i prezident Si. M\u00e1 k\u00a0tomu i dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fvod, proto\u017ee v\u00a0pond\u011bl\u00ed do Pekingu p\u0159ilet\u011bl brazilsk\u00fd prezident Lula da Silva a ozn\u00e1mil chystan\u00fd podpis s\u00e9rie dvoustrann\u00fdch dohod, p\u00ed\u0161e South China Morning Post. Na Global Times jsem zase na\u0161el zpr\u00e1vu o prudk\u00e9m r\u016fstu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch investic do energetiky v\u00a0Africe \u2013 a p\u0159eva\u017euj\u00ed obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje, slunce a v\u00edtr. To m\u00e1 logiku, p\u0159\u00edroda d\u00e1v\u00e1 ka\u017ed\u00e9mu, neuzn\u00e1v\u00e1 cla, ani embarga.<\/p>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00fd rozbor americko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch obchodn\u00edch vztah\u016f vy\u0161el na port\u00e1le The China Academy na platform\u011b Substack. Profesor \u010cchen \u0164ing z\u00a0\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 v\u011bdecko-technick\u00e9 univerzity, poukazuje na fakt, \u017ee pro \u010c\u00ednu bude st\u00e1le snaz\u0161\u00ed sni\u017eovat svou z\u00e1vislost na USA, zat\u00edmco USA budou m\u00edt pot\u00ed\u017ee s\u00a0nahrazov\u00e1n\u00edm navykl\u00fdch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch dovoz\u016f. Ale odd\u011blen\u00ed je nevyhnuteln\u00e9 a ob\u011b zem\u011b se na n\u011bj p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed ji\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu.<\/p>\n

\u201eP\u0159i ro\u010dn\u00edm obratu dvoustrann\u00e9ho obchodu ve v\u00fd\u0161i t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 700 miliard dolar\u016f by p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed bylo n\u00e1hl\u00e9 a \u0161kodliv\u00e9. Ve st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m a\u017e dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu se ob\u011b strany p\u0159izp\u016fsobuj\u00ed, aby sn\u00ed\u017eily vz\u00e1jemnou z\u00e1vislost, ale jejich mo\u017enosti a v\u00fdsledky se zna\u010dn\u011b li\u0161\u00ed. Pokrok v t\u00e9to oblasti m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ed\u010dit o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed USA. Ironi\u00ed je, \u017ee zat\u00edmco USA nejhlasit\u011bji hovo\u0159\u00ed o odd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed a sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed rizika a \u010c\u00edna d\u016fsledn\u011b vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 ke spolupr\u00e1ci, je to pr\u00e1v\u011b \u010c\u00edna, kdo se v z\u00e1kulis\u00ed p\u0159ipravuje d\u016fkladn\u011bji,\u201c soud\u00ed tento \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd ekonom.<\/p>\n

Av\u0161ak jin\u00fd \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd ekonom Jao Jang z\u00a0Pekingsk\u00e9 univerzity je st\u0159\u00edzliv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee lze obnovit harmoni\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vztahy, p\u0159i kter\u00fdch \u010c\u00edna mo\u017en\u00e1 trochu ztrat\u00ed, ale nep\u0159ijde o spolupr\u00e1ci, kter\u00e1 d\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl. Rozhovoru, ve kter\u00e9m to rozeb\u00edr\u00e1, v\u011bnoval hongkongsk\u00fd South China Morning Post nev\u00eddan\u00e9 dv\u011b tiskov\u00e9 strany.<\/p>\n

Neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee by se \u010c\u00edna m\u011bla vzd\u00e1t: \u201ePokud cht\u011bj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty bojovat, odpov\u00edme stejn\u00fdm, ale pokud by cht\u011bly jednat, jsme p\u0159ipraveni k\u00a0seri\u00f3zn\u00edm jedn\u00e1n\u00edm.\u201c<\/p>\n

Se\u00a0cly ve v\u00fd\u0161i 100 procent se obchodovat ned\u00e1, ale n\u00e1vrat k\u00a0p\u016fvodn\u00edm 34 procent\u016fm profesor Jang pova\u017euje za p\u0159ijateln\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Klade si ot\u00e1zku, co dal\u0161\u00edho by USA cht\u011bly dohodnout. M\u00e1 \u010c\u00edna nakupovat v\u00edc americk\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed? Zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 produkty, energetick\u00e9 suroviny, dokonce i Boeingy, kter\u00e9 u\u017e byly v\u00a0minulosti objedn\u00e1ny, ale nikdy dod\u00e1ny? Maj\u00ed \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 v\u00edc investovat v\u00a0Americe?<\/p>\n

To jsou podle n\u011bj zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti. Jestli\u017ee USA otev\u00edraj\u00ed br\u00e1nu pro investice, pro\u010d toho nevyu\u017e\u00edt? Zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 produkty by \u010c\u00edna dov\u00e1\u017eela stejn\u011b, tak\u017ee by jen trochu p\u0159esm\u011brovala zdroje.<\/p>\n

Ale i ty investice mus\u00ed p\u0159esm\u011brovat, zvy\u0161ovat dom\u00e1c\u00ed nadbyte\u010dnou v\u00fdrobu u\u017e ned\u00e1v\u00e1 smysl. Te\u010f v\u0161ak m\u00e1 \u010c\u00edna jin\u00e9 postaven\u00ed ne\u017e v\u00a0minulosti, v\u00a0\u0159ad\u011b technologi\u00ed m\u00e1 jasnou p\u0159evahu. A profesor Jang nab\u00edz\u00ed k\u00a0\u00favaze, \u017ee by se \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd pr\u016fmysl m\u011bl o ty technologie trochu pod\u011blit a vytv\u00e1\u0159et spole\u010dn\u00e9 podniky v\u00a0USA, kter\u00e9 by pracovaly na podobn\u00fdch principech, na jak\u00fdch vyr\u016fstal \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd technologick\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, kdy\u017e bylo podm\u00ednkou spole\u010dn\u00e9ho podniku sd\u00edlen\u00ed know-how.<\/p>\n

Je v\u00a0tom tradi\u010dn\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd p\u0159edstava, \u017ee sv\u011bt m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt stabiln\u00ed jen v\u00a0harmonii. Nevyv\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 vztahy jsou k\u0159ehk\u00e9 a p\u0159itahuj\u00ed zvraty.<\/p>\n

\u201ePokud \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti vstoup\u00ed na trh zakl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00edm spole\u010dn\u00fdch podnik\u016f, m\u00edsto aby svoj\u00ed konkurenc\u00ed ni\u010dily m\u00edstn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti, spolupr\u00e1ce je mo\u017en\u00e1. P\u0159edstavte si, \u017ee bychom se p\u0159esunuli do Evropy a vytla\u010dili BMW z\u00a0trhu, to by byla katastrofa pro N\u011bmecko. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti si proto nemohou kl\u00e1st za c\u00edl, \u017ee zni\u010d\u00ed BMW, mohou v\u0161ak zakl\u00e1dat spole\u010dn\u00e9 podniky s\u00a0BMW a pomoci jim k\u00a0inteligentn\u00ed transformaci. Takov\u00fdto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 neodm\u00edtnou. Mus\u00ed to b\u00fdt situace win-win. Nelze s\u00e1zet na v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, p\u0159i kter\u00e9m ostatn\u00ed hynou,\u201c rad\u00ed profesor Jang \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed vztah\u016f s\u00a0USA i Evropou.<\/p>\n

Zbyn\u011bk Fiala<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Po celn\u00edm skoku do astronomick\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161in n\u00e1sleduje veleskok dol\u016f. Dohoda v \u017denev\u011b povzbudila prezidenta Trumpa,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15957,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,30,1026,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78753"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78753"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78753\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15957"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78753"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78753"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78753"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}