{"id":78744,"date":"2025-05-14T00:24:37","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T22:24:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=78744"},"modified":"2025-05-13T13:02:42","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T11:02:42","slug":"naklady-na-vytapeni-pro-madarske-rodiny-by-se-mohly-kvuli-planum-eu-zakazat-rusky-plyn-ztrojnasobit-varuje-think-tank","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/14\/naklady-na-vytapeni-pro-madarske-rodiny-by-se-mohly-kvuli-planum-eu-zakazat-rusky-plyn-ztrojnasobit-varuje-think-tank\/","title":{"rendered":"N\u00e1klady na vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed pro ma\u010farsk\u00e9 rodiny by se mohly kv\u016fli pl\u00e1n\u016fm EU zak\u00e1zat rusk\u00fd plyn ztrojn\u00e1sobit, varuje think tank"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"s-tagline fw-tagline\"><span>Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g\u016fv institut odhaduje, \u017ee z\u00e1kaz dovozu rusk\u00fdch energi\u00ed by vyvolal masivn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst cen, co\u017e by ohrozilo energetickou stabilitu Ma\u010farska a finan\u010dn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed<\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span>\u00da\u010dty za vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed pro ma\u010farsk\u00e9 dom\u00e1cnosti by se mohly zv\u00fd\u0161it a\u017e t\u0159iap\u016flkr\u00e1t, pokud Evropsk\u00e1 unie zavede \u00fapln\u00fd z\u00e1kaz dovozu rusk\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu, uv\u00e1d\u00ed nov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va institutu Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g, kterou cituje\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.magyarhirlap.hu\/gazdasag\/20250512-az-orosz-gaz-betiltasa-harom-es-felszeresere-novelne-a-magyar-csaladok-futesi-koltsegeit\"><span>Magyar H\u00edrlap<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ekonomick\u00e1 v\u00fdzkumn\u00e1 skupina odhaduje, \u017ee takov\u00fd krok by Ma\u010farsku znamenal dodate\u010dn\u00e9 ro\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1klady ve v\u00fd\u0161i t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 1 100 miliard forint\u016f (p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 2,8 miliardy eur), co\u017e by vyvolalo siln\u00fd tlak jak na energetick\u00fd syst\u00e9m zem\u011b, tak na jej\u00ed ob\u010dany.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Podle Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9ga jejich v\u00fdpo\u010dty \u2013 zalo\u017een\u00e9 na ve\u0159ejn\u011b dostupn\u00fdch dom\u00e1c\u00edch i mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch energetick\u00fdch datech \u2013 ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee \u00fapln\u00fd z\u00e1kaz dovozu rusk\u00e9 energie by vedl ke zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00ed cen plynu a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 volatilit\u011b na evropsk\u00fdch energetick\u00fdch trz\u00edch. To by nejen po\u0161kodilo konkurenceschopnost EU, ale tak\u00e9 destabilizovalo dlouhodob\u00fd ma\u010farsk\u00fd program sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fa\u010dt\u016f za energie, kter\u00fd v sou\u010dasnosti zaji\u0161\u0165uje ma\u010farsk\u00fdm rodin\u00e1m jedny z nejni\u017e\u0161\u00edch n\u00e1klad\u016f na vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed v Evrop\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto m\u011bs\u00edce Evropsk\u00e1 komise zve\u0159ejnila pl\u00e1n, v n\u011bm\u017e nast\u00ednila sv\u016fj z\u00e1m\u011br odstavit evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b od rusk\u00e9ho plynu p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e do konce roku 2027 vstoup\u00ed v platnost velkoobchodn\u00ed z\u00e1kaz.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eU\u017e nikdy nedovol\u00edme Rusku, aby proti n\u00e1m pou\u017e\u00edvalo energii jako zbra\u0148\u2026 U\u017e nikdy nebudeme nep\u0159\u00edmo pom\u00e1hat plnit [Kremelsk\u00e9] v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 truhly,\u201c \u0159ekl novin\u00e1\u0159\u016fm evropsk\u00fd komisa\u0159 pro energetiku Dan Jorgensen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tento krok v\u0161ak \u010del\u00ed tvrd\u00e9mu odporu n\u011bkolika zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jsou st\u00e1le siln\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na dovozu energie z Ruska a nejsou si jist\u00e9, kde lze nal\u00e9zt alternativn\u00ed zdroje energie za p\u0159ijatelnou cenu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Krom\u011b Ma\u010farska se proti pl\u00e1n\u016fm stav\u00ed i Slovensko. Premi\u00e9r Robert Fico za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby by tento krok v Evropsk\u00e9 rad\u011b vetoval.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eZastaven\u00ed dod\u00e1vek plynu zp\u016fsob\u00ed nestabilitu. Na\u0161e petrochemick\u00e9 z\u00e1vody byly z\u0159\u00edzeny tak, aby k rafinaci ropy vyu\u017e\u00edvaly ruskou ropu, a odstaven\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee zp\u016fsobit technologick\u00e9 probl\u00e9my. Douf\u00e1m, \u017ee se o tom na\u0161i partne\u0159i v EU dozv\u00ed, a\u017e budou p\u0159ijaty pr\u00e1vn\u00ed p\u0159edpisy,\u201c \u0159ekl Fico.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201ePokud bude nutn\u00e9, aby se v\u0161ech 27 zem\u00ed dohodlo, vyu\u017eijeme na\u0161e pr\u00e1vo veta,\u201c dodal.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ma\u010farsko v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed ro\u010dn\u011b zhruba 4,5 miliardy metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch rusk\u00e9ho plynu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm dlouhodob\u00e9 smlouvy o dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch, kter\u00e1 loni pokryla v\u00edce ne\u017e polovinu celkov\u00e9 spot\u0159eby plynu v zemi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Institut uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee nahrazen\u00ed tohoto objemu na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch trz\u00edch by Ma\u010farsko st\u00e1lo odhadem 660 miliard forint\u016f v\u00edce. Po zapo\u010dten\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho plynu dod\u00e1van\u00e9ho do Ma\u010farska alternativn\u00edmi trasami dosahuje nedostatek 7,5 miliardy metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch, co\u017e zvy\u0161uje potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed celkov\u00fd dopad na 1 100 miliard forint\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Institut zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee ma\u010farsk\u00e9 dom\u00e1cnosti dnes plat\u00ed za vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed v pr\u016fm\u011bru 176 900 HUF (p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 435 EUR) ro\u010dn\u011b, a to d\u00edky st\u00e1tn\u00edm cenov\u00fdm regulac\u00edm. Bez t\u011bchto ochrann\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed a na z\u00e1klad\u011b sou\u010dasn\u00fdch sm\u011bnn\u00fdch kurz\u016f by se toto \u010d\u00edslo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 zdvojn\u00e1sobilo na 355 310 HUF. Pokud by byl rusk\u00fd plyn zcela zak\u00e1z\u00e1n, pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed by mohly prudce vzr\u016fst na 625 000 HUF (1 540 EUR) \u2013 co\u017e je v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159iap\u016fln\u00e1sobek sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho pr\u016fm\u011bru.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g p\u0159ipomn\u011bl, \u017ee z\u00e1vislost EU na rusk\u00e9m plynu klesla ze 40 procent p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou na Ukrajin\u011b na m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 20 procent v roce 2023. Tento dramatick\u00fd posun vedl ke zdvojn\u00e1soben\u00ed cen plynu na nizozemsk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 burze. Podle nov\u00e9 strategie Evropsk\u00e9 komise by se ceny mohly podle progn\u00f3z think-tanku zv\u00fd\u0161it z 35 na 70 eur za megawatthodinu. Varovali v\u0161ak, \u017ee skute\u010dn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst by mohl b\u00fdt je\u0161t\u011b prud\u0161\u00ed kv\u016fli nestabilit\u011b trhu vyvolan\u00e9 \u0161oky v nab\u00eddce.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zpr\u00e1va rovn\u011b\u017e zd\u016fraznila kumulativn\u00ed dopad sankc\u00ed EU na ma\u010farsk\u00e9 dom\u00e1cnosti. Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g odhaduje, \u017ee od roku 2022 vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed, ztr\u00e1ta exportn\u00edch trh\u016f a zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na p\u016fj\u010dky od\u010derpaly pr\u016fm\u011brnou ma\u010farskou dom\u00e1cnost o 2,2 milionu forint\u016f (5 430 eur). P\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1klady na urychlen\u00fd proces p\u0159istoupen\u00ed Ukrajiny k EU by se ro\u010dn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ily o 458 000 forint\u016f, zat\u00edmco z\u00e1kaz rusk\u00e9ho plynu by mohl p\u0159idat dal\u0161\u00edch 448 000 forint\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eT\u0159i nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed c\u00edle Bruselu \u2013 vyzbrojen\u00ed Ukrajiny, urychlen\u00ed vstupu do EU a z\u00e1kaz rusk\u00e9 energie \u2013 by pro ma\u010farsk\u00e9 rodiny p\u0159edstavovaly nesnesitelnou z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e,\u201c uzav\u0159el Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g\u016fv institut na sv\u00fdch webov\u00fdch str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-71983\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/aaa.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"89\" height=\"23\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g\u016fv institut odhaduje, \u017ee z\u00e1kaz dovozu rusk\u00fdch energi\u00ed by vyvolal masivn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst cen, co\u017e by&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":17726,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[78,4909,1008,2050],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78744"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78744"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78744\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17726"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}