{"id":78207,"date":"2025-05-07T06:48:44","date_gmt":"2025-05-07T04:48:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=78207"},"modified":"2025-05-07T06:48:44","modified_gmt":"2025-05-07T04:48:44","slug":"michael-svatos-za-par-dni-se-ocekava-velka-putinova-balisticka-ofenziva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/07\/michael-svatos-za-par-dni-se-ocekava-velka-putinova-balisticka-ofenziva\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Za p\u00e1r dn\u00ed se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 \u201cVelk\u00e1 Putinova balistick\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva\u201d!"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Za p\u00e1r dn\u00ed se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 \u201cVelk\u00e1 Putinova balistick\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva\u201d! Prvn\u00ed kolo III. Vlasteneck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky \u2013 anal\u00fdza \u2013 IV. d\u00edl<\/h3>\n

V noci na dne\u0161ek Rusko za\u00fato\u010dilo balistick\u00fdmi raketami na Kyjev. V 02.00 SE\u010c 7. kv\u011btna 2025 bylo u\u017e jasn\u00e9, \u017ee ve m\u011bst\u011b vypukl rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd po\u017e\u00e1r, (300m2 plocha po\u017e\u00e1ru<\/a>), jak informoval, starosta Kli\u010dko. V noci p\u0159edt\u00edm Rusov\u00e9 ude\u0159ili dvojicemi balistick\u00fd raket na vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle ve m\u011bstech Dn\u011bpropetrovsk, Pavlograd a Sumy, a\u00a0na m\u00edstech z\u00e1sah\u016f op\u011bt vypukly velk\u00e9 po\u017e\u00e1ry<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Tyto \u00fatoky jsou podle polsk\u00e9ho experta Konrady Myzyky<\/a>, \u0159editele vojensk\u00e9 poradensk\u00e9 firmy Rochan, pravd\u011bpodobnou p\u0159edzv\u011bst\u00ed nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed velk\u00e9 Putinovy ofenz\u00edvy, kter\u00e1 se chyst\u00e1. Podle experta Muzyky se rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da nyn\u00ed chyst\u00e1 za\u010d\u00edt proti ukrajinsk\u00fdm m\u011bst\u016fm vypou\u0161t\u011bt, zejm\u00e9na ze sv\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen v Brjansk\u00e9 gubernii, 10 a\u017e 30 balistick\u00fdch raket ka\u017ed\u00fd den. Tato o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 balistick\u00e1 smr\u0161\u0165 dostala za \u00fakol vy\u010derpat posledn\u00ed zbytky ukrajinsk\u00fdch antiraket Patriot, a zcela rozvr\u00e1tit posledn\u00ed zbytky ukrajinsk\u00e9 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, a vy\u010distit tak ukrajinsk\u00e9 nebe pro letn\u00ed n\u00e1lety rusk\u00fdch st\u00edhac\u00edch bombard\u00e9r\u016f SU-34. A ty maj\u00ed na Kyjev, i na v\u0161echna v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta pod\u00e9l cel\u00e9ho toku \u0159eky Dn\u011bpr, vypou\u0161t\u011bt t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 klouzav\u00e9 bomby FAB o v\u00e1ze 250kg a\u017e 3 tuny.<\/p>\n

Kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim nebude m\u00edt jak, tuto o\u010dek\u00e1vanou kv\u011btnovou ruskou balistickou ofenz\u00edvu odrazit,\u00a0shoduj\u00ed se experti<\/a>. Protiraketov\u00e1 obrana Ukrajiny je u\u017e v trok\u00e1ch. Ze v\u0161ech 8 samostatn\u00fdch palebn\u00fdch \u010det anti-raket Patriot, kter\u00e9 Ukrajina za celou dobu v\u00e1lky od Z\u00e1padu dostala, u\u017e zb\u00fdv\u00e1 ve funk\u010dn\u00edm stavu pouze 6. Ty v\u0161echny jsou soust\u0159ed\u011bny kolem Kyjeva, na ochranu tamn\u00edch re\u017eimn\u00edch doupat, a hlavn\u00edch velitelsk\u00fdch bunkr\u016f, a nav\u00edc jim u\u017e prakticky do\u0161ly v\u0161echny dodan\u00e9 anti-rakety. Aby samostatn\u00e1 palebn\u00e1 \u010deta Patriot mohla p\u0159il\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00ed ruskou balistickou raketu, nebo hyper-rychlostn\u00ed st\u0159elu s pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed 30% zne\u0161kodnit, mus\u00ed proti ka\u017ed\u00e9 z nich vyslat nejm\u00e9n\u011b 2 antirakety, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e pravd\u011bpodobnost sest\u0159elen\u00ed nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch, ned\u00e1vno zmodernizovan\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch raket a st\u0159el je je\u0161t\u011b miziv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Ro\u010dn\u00ed produkce antiraket Patriot nep\u0159esahuje 500 kus\u016f, a americk\u00e9 i z\u00e1padn\u00ed sklady jsou u\u017e vy\u010derp\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n

O\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 kv\u011btnov\u00e1 rusk\u00e1 balistick\u00e1 a hyper-rychlostn\u00ed salva bude m\u00edt s\u00edlu 300 a\u017e 600 raket a hyper-rychlostn\u00edch st\u0159el, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e polovina z n\u00ed budou star\u0161\u00ed typy, kter\u00e9 se daj\u00ed l\u00e9pe zne\u0161kodnit. Aby Ukrajinu ruskou salvu aspo\u0148 ze 30% odvr\u00e1tila, musela by proti n\u00ed vyp\u00e1lit celoro\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdrobu v\u0161ech americk\u00fdch antiraket Patriot, a to si USA ani NATO nemohou dovolit do\u00a0 Zelensk\u00e9ho investovat.<\/p>\n

Rusko u\u017e letos na ja\u0159e podle ukrajinsk\u00e9ho experta Anatolije Chrap\u010dinskij dramaticky zm\u011bnilo taktiku sv\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 kampan\u011b proti Ukrajin\u011b<\/a>, a od dubna u\u017e \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na m\u011bsta st\u0159edn\u00ed Ukrajiny nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi balistick\u00fdmi raketami a hyper-rychlostn\u00edmi st\u0159elami, kde\u017eto p\u0159ed t\u00edm na n\u011b \u00fato\u010dilo pouze star\u0161\u00edmi st\u0159elami s plochou dr\u00e1hou letu. Tyto nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00e9 balistick\u00e9 rakety a hyper-rychlostn\u00ed st\u0159ely jsou schopny \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b zachycovat jedin\u011b anti-rakety Patriot. Tato jarn\u00ed zm\u011bna taktiky rusk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f u\u017e p\u0159ivedla kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim do sv\u00edzeln\u00e9\u00a0 situace. Obyvatel\u00e9 7 ukrajinsk\u00fdch m\u011bst s populac\u00ed p\u0159esahuj\u00edc\u00ed 500 tis\u00edc obyvatel, i obyvatel\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00edch velk\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch m\u011bst na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm b\u0159ehu Dn\u011bpru, i obyvatel\u00e9 m\u011bst pod\u00e9l jeho toku na z\u00e1padn\u00edm b\u0159ehu, toti\u017e nejsou nijak proti t\u011bmto rusk\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm chr\u00e1n\u011bni, proto\u017ee Zelensk\u00e9ho re\u017eim dr\u017e\u00ed v\u0161ech 6 zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edch funk\u010dn\u00edch bateri\u00ed Patriot v\u00fdhradn\u011b\u00a0 okolo Kyjeva. Na \u201caspo\u0148 na \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dnou ochranu\u201d t\u011bchto ostatn\u00edch velk\u00fdch m\u011bst\u00a0by podle v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f ukrajinsk\u00e9ho experta Kostjantyna Kryvolapa<\/a>\u00a0bylo ihned t\u0159eba\u00a0 nejm\u00e9n\u011b dal\u0161\u00edch 14 bateri\u00ed Patriot, a dal\u0161\u00ed 3 nov\u00e9 baterie by je\u0161t\u011b t\u0159eba na pos\u00edlen\u00ed obrany Kyjeva. Pro tuto \u201caspo\u0148 \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dnou\u201d obranu Ukrajiny proti nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edm rusk\u00fdm balistick\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm, by tak Ukrajina pot\u0159ebovala ke sv\u00fdm zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00edm 6\u00a0 bateri\u00edm Patriot je\u0161t\u011b 17 dal\u0161\u00edch, tedy skoro 10% v\u0161ech, kter\u00e9 byly za celou dobu vyrobeny.<\/p>\n

Pokud Ukrajina pou\u017eije sv\u00e9 zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed anti-rakety Patriot proti kv\u011btnov\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 balistick\u00e9 ofenz\u00edv\u011b, otev\u0159e tak sv\u00e9 nebe pro n\u00e1lety rusk\u00fdch SU-57, SU-35 a SU-34, a ty si u\u017e snadno porad\u00ed s n\u011bmeck\u00fdmi syst\u00e9my IRIS-T, i norsk\u00fdmi NASAMS, a rozbij\u00ed zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 radary. A bude tak otev\u0159ena bezpe\u010dn\u00e1 d\u00e1lnice pro masivn\u00ed n\u00e1lety dron\u016f \u0160\u00e1h\u00edd-Geranium II, i pro letadla SU-34 vypou\u0161t\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed klouzav\u00e9 bomby. Pokud se Ukrajina bude chovat jako Srbsko v dob\u011b \u201chumanit\u00e1rn\u00ed bombardovac\u00ed kampan\u011b\u201d US-balk\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u0159eznice, a antirakety u\u0161et\u0159\u00ed, aby zabr\u00e1nila n\u00e1sledn\u00fdm je\u0161t\u011b ni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00edm bombardovac\u00edm n\u00e1let\u016fm, bude jej\u00ed velitelsk\u00e1 i logistick\u00e1 struktura ukr\u00fdvan\u00e1 v m\u011bstsk\u00e9 z\u00e1stavb\u011b sice jen poni\u010den\u00e1, a ne vyhlazen\u00e1, ale obyvatel\u00e9 nechr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00fdch m\u011bst z toho nebudou v\u016fbec \u0161\u0165astn\u00ed. Oddalovat za t\u011bchto podm\u00ednek m\u00edr, se m\u016f\u017ee velmi rychle uk\u00e1zat jako naprosto kontraproduktivn\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Omlouv\u00e1m se za v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdpadek, ale \u201cn\u011bjak jsem prochladl a musel se vyle\u017eet\u201d.\u00a0 D\u011bkuji za pochopen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Za p\u00e1r dn\u00ed se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 \u201cVelk\u00e1 Putinova balistick\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva\u201d! Prvn\u00ed kolo III. Vlasteneck\u00e9 v\u00e1lky \u2013…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":78208,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,2752,102,22],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78207"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78207"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78207\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}