{"id":78200,"date":"2025-05-07T06:37:10","date_gmt":"2025-05-07T04:37:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=78200"},"modified":"2025-05-07T06:37:10","modified_gmt":"2025-05-07T04:37:10","slug":"smlouva-ktera-drzela-indii-a-pakistan-na-uzde-je-pryc-co-ted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/07\/smlouva-ktera-drzela-indii-a-pakistan-na-uzde-je-pryc-co-ted\/","title":{"rendered":"Smlouva, kter\u00e1 dr\u017eela Indii a P\u00e1kist\u00e1n na uzd\u011b, je pry\u010d. Co te\u010f?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<h3>N\u011bkolik dn\u00ed p\u0159ed indickou \u201eoperac\u00ed Sindoor\u201c Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d pozastavil dohodu s Nov\u00fdm Dill\u00ed z roku 1972, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem bylo nastolit trval\u00fd m\u00edr mezi ob\u011bma sousedy<\/h3>\n<p><span>Indie zah\u00e1jila v noci 7. kv\u011btna operaci \u201eSindoor\u201c, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem byla teroristick\u00e1 infrastruktura v P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu, jako odvetu za smrt\u00edc\u00ed teroristick\u00fd \u00fatok v Pahalgramu v Ka\u0161m\u00edru minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc. Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed uvedlo, \u017ee zas\u00e1hlo nejm\u00e9n\u011b dev\u011bt c\u00edl\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span>\u201eNa\u0161e akce byly c\u00edlen\u00e9, uv\u00e1\u017een\u00e9 a neeskaluj\u00edc\u00ed. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 objekty nebyly ter\u010dem \u00fatok\u016f. Indie prok\u00e1zala zna\u010dnou zdr\u017eenlivost p\u0159i v\u00fdb\u011bru c\u00edl\u016f a zp\u016fsobu proveden\u00ed,\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0\u00a0uvedla indick\u00e1 vl\u00e1da ve sv\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1086\" data-end=\"1411\"><span>P\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r \u0160ehb\u00e1z \u0160ar\u00edf ozna\u010dil \u00fatoky za\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201ezbab\u011bl\u00fd\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0\u00a0\u00fatok a prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201em\u00e1 pln\u00e9 pr\u00e1vo r\u00e1zn\u011b reagovat na tento v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd akt vynucen\u00fd Indi\u00ed a \u017ee r\u00e1zn\u00e1 odpov\u011b\u010f je poskytov\u00e1na\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Nap\u011bt\u00ed mezi Indi\u00ed a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem eskalovalo k vojensk\u00fdm akc\u00edm po zabit\u00ed 26 nevinn\u00fdch rekreant\u016f v Pahalgamu v Ka\u0161m\u00edru p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi teroristy p\u0159i teroristick\u00e9m \u00fatoku ve stylu Ham\u00e1su.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndtv.com\/india-news\/pahalgam-terror-attack-lashkar-pakistans-isi-nexus-mentioned-in-anti-terror-bodys-pahalgam-report-8309888\"><span>Indick\u00e1 N\u00e1rodn\u00ed vy\u0161et\u0159ovac\u00ed agentura (ISI) nav\u00e1zala<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0kontakty\u00a0\u00a0mezi p\u00e1kist\u00e1nskou arm\u00e1dou a Inter Services Intelligence (ISI) n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed po masov\u00e9 vra\u017ed\u011b. Ve\u0159ejnost byla rozzloben\u00e1 a usilovala o odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed pomstu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Po \u00fatoku ozn\u00e1mily ob\u011b zem\u011b \u0161irokou\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/india\/616616-india-pakistan-escalation-latest-developments\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span>\u0161k\u00e1lu diplomatick\u00fdch a ekonomick\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0. Je pozoruhodn\u00e9, \u017ee Indie poprv\u00e9 od doby, kdy byla smlouva mezi ob\u011bma sousedy podeps\u00e1na, pozastavila platnost Smlouvy o vod\u011b v Indusu z roku 1960. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n odm\u00edtl indick\u00fd krok k pozastaven\u00ed IWT a varoval, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli odv\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed vody bude pova\u017eov\u00e1no za \u201ev\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fd akt\u201c. Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d rovn\u011b\u017e\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dawn.com\/news\/1906310\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span>uvedl<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0\u00a0, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201epozastav\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0svou \u00fa\u010dast na v\u0161ech bilater\u00e1ln\u00edch dohod\u00e1ch s Indi\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b p\u0159elomov\u00e9 dohody ze Simly z roku 1972.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u00e1kist\u00e1n se zav\u00e1zal k celoplo\u0161n\u00e9 reakci na jakoukoli hrozbu pro svou suverenitu, uvedl sv\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly do stavu vysok\u00e9 pohotovosti a zah\u00e1jil selektivn\u00ed mobilizaci. V\u011bt\u0161ina opat\u0159en\u00ed byla docela o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1. Pozastaven\u00edm \u0160imlsk\u00e9 dohody v\u0161ak P\u00e1kist\u00e1n nev\u011bdomky p\u0159edal Indii velkou v\u00fdhodu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong><span>Co je to \u0160imlsk\u00e1 dohoda?<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span>\u0160imlsk\u00e1 dohoda mezi Indi\u00ed a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem byla podeps\u00e1na 2. \u010dervence 1972 v Barnes Court (Raj Bhavan) ve m\u011bst\u011b \u0160imla v indick\u00e9m st\u00e1t\u011b Him\u00e1\u010dalprad\u00e9\u0161 mezi tehdej\u0161\u00ed indickou premi\u00e9rkou Indirou G\u00e1ndh\u00edovou a jej\u00edm p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161kem Zulfik\u00e1rem Al\u00edm Bhuttem. Ratifikov\u00e1na byla 15. \u010dervence 1972 (P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem) a 3. srpna 1972 (Indi\u00ed) a vstoupila v platnost n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed den.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dohoda p\u0159i\u0161la po \u00fapln\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu ve v\u00e1lce v roce 1971, kter\u00e1 rozd\u011blila zemi a vytvo\u0159ila nez\u00e1visl\u00fd Banglad\u00e9\u0161.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dohoda uv\u00e1d\u00ed:\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eVl\u00e1da Indie a vl\u00e1da P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu jsou odhodl\u00e1ny ukon\u010dit konflikt a konfrontaci, kter\u00e9 dosud naru\u0161ovaly jejich vztahy, a pracovat na podpo\u0159e p\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch a harmonick\u00fdch vztah\u016f a nastolen\u00ed trval\u00e9ho m\u00edru na subkontinentu, aby ob\u011b zem\u011b mohly od nyn\u011bj\u0161ka v\u011bnovat sv\u00e9 zdroje a energii nal\u00e9hav\u00e9mu \u00fakolu prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed blahobytu sv\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Dokument m\u011bl polo\u017eit z\u00e1klady m\u00edrov\u00e9ho a stabiln\u00edho vztahu mezi ob\u011bma n\u00e1rody. Bylo rozhodnuto, \u017ee ob\u011b zem\u011b jsou odhodl\u00e1ny\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eurovnat sv\u00e9 spory m\u00edrov\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm dvoustrann\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed nebo jak\u00fdmikoli jin\u00fdmi m\u00edrov\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky, na kter\u00fdch se vz\u00e1jemn\u011b dohodnou\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Smlouva na\u0159izovala ob\u011bm zem\u00edm, aby \u0159e\u0161ily probl\u00e9my bilater\u00e1ln\u011b, a nahradila rezoluci OSN o Ka\u0161m\u00edru. Mo\u017en\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee podle dohody Indie a P\u00e1kist\u00e1n stanovily linii kontroly (LoC), d\u0159\u00edve naz\u00fdvanou linie p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se stala kvazihranic\u00ed mezi ob\u011bma n\u00e1rody.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nov\u00e9mu Dill\u00ed se poda\u0159ilo p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d, aby zm\u011bnil n\u00e1zev linie p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed na linii kontroly (LoC), \u010d\u00edm\u017e ji odd\u011blil od linie p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed zaveden\u00e9 OSN v roce 1949 a zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee Ka\u0161m\u00edr je nyn\u00ed \u010dist\u011b bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed mezi Indi\u00ed a P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Smlouva jasn\u011b stanovila, \u017ee indick\u00e9 a p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 s\u00edly mus\u00ed b\u00fdt sta\u017eeny na sv\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e9 strany\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201emezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed hranice\u201c.<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0V D\u017eamm\u00fa a Ka\u0161m\u00edru bude linie kontroly vypl\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed z p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed ze 17. prosince 1971 respektov\u00e1na ob\u011bma stranami bez \u00fajmy na uzn\u00e1van\u00e9m postoji kter\u00e9koli ze stran.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 ze stran se nebude sna\u017eit o jej\u00ed jednostrannou zm\u011bnu, bez ohledu na vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 rozd\u00edly a pr\u00e1vn\u00ed v\u00fdklady. Indie vr\u00e1tila p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 13 000 kilometr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch \u00fazem\u00ed dobyt\u00e9ho v bitv\u011b na z\u00e1padn\u00ed hranici, ale ponechala si n\u011bkter\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 oblasti, v\u010detn\u011b Turtuku, Dhothangu, Tyakshi a Chalunky v \u00fadol\u00ed Chorbat, o rozloze v\u00edce ne\u017e 883 kilometr\u016f \u010dtvere\u010dn\u00edch, aby usnadnila trval\u00fd m\u00edr. Ob\u011b strany se d\u00e1le dohodly, \u017ee se zdr\u017e\u00ed hrozby silou nebo pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly v rozporu s LoC.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee od podpisu dohody do\u0161lo pouze k jedn\u00e9 omezen\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed jej\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinnost.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed indi\u010dt\u00ed \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci pozd\u011bji tvrdili, \u017ee tich\u00e9 dohody o p\u0159em\u011bn\u011b t\u00e9to linky kontroly na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed hranici bylo dosa\u017eeno b\u011bhem osobn\u00edho setk\u00e1n\u00ed obou p\u0159edsed\u016f vl\u00e1d. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci cokoli podobn\u00e9ho pop\u0159eli. To nebylo p\u0159ijateln\u00e9 ani pro indickou ve\u0159ejnost.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u0160iml\u00e1nsk\u00e1 dohoda vyz\u00fdvala ob\u011b strany k bilater\u00e1ln\u00edmu \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v\u0161ech probl\u00e9m\u016f. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n v\u0161ak tuto \u010d\u00e1st smlouvy nikdy nerespektoval a z\u00e1le\u017eitosti posunul na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148, zejm\u00e9na t\u00edm, \u017ee se v OSN ost\u0159e kritizoval za Ka\u0161m\u00edr. Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem tohoto postoje je p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 protesty proti zru\u0161en\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nku 370 vl\u00e1dou vedenou N\u00e1rendrou M\u00f3d\u00edm v roce 2019. Jednou z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch klauzul\u00ed bylo, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eob\u011b strany zabr\u00e1n\u00ed organizov\u00e1n\u00ed, napom\u00e1h\u00e1n\u00ed nebo podn\u011bcov\u00e1n\u00ed jak\u00fdchkoli \u010din\u016f po\u0161kozuj\u00edc\u00edch udr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fdch a harmonick\u00fdch vztah\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u00e1kist\u00e1n se zapojuje do p\u0159eshrani\u010dn\u00edho terorismu jako n\u00e1stroje zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky k vykrv\u00e1cen\u00ed Indie a podpo\u0159e separatismu v Ka\u0161m\u00edru, stejn\u011b jako k udr\u017een\u00ed indick\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil v naprost\u00e9m nasazen\u00ed. Mezi hlavn\u00ed islamistick\u00e9 \u00fatoky proti Indii sponzorovan\u00e9 P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem pat\u0159\u00ed teroristick\u00fd \u00fatok na indick\u00fd parlament v Nov\u00e9m Dill\u00ed 13. prosince 2001, \u00fatok na chr\u00e1m Ak\u0161ardham v G\u00e1ndh\u00ednagaru v roce 2002, v\u00fdbuchy vlak\u016f v Bombaji v roce 2003, dva v\u00fdbuchy v n\u00e1kupn\u00edch centrech Gateway of India a Zaveri Bazaar v Bombaji v roce 2005, bombov\u00e9 \u00fatoky v Dill\u00ed a bombov\u00e9 \u00fatoky na vlaky v Bombaji v roce 2006, v\u00fdbuchy vlak\u016f v D\u017eajpuru v roce 2008 a tragick\u00e9 \u00fatoky v Bombaji v listopadu 2008. K posledn\u00edm rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm do\u0161lo v Ka\u0161m\u00edru: smrt\u00edc\u00ed teroristick\u00fd \u00fatok na arm\u00e1dn\u00ed t\u00e1bor v Uri zabil 17 indick\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a \u00fatok na vojensk\u00fd konvoj v Pulw\u00e1m\u011b si vy\u017e\u00e1dal smrt 40 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span>Od t\u00e9 doby do sou\u010dasnosti\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d se domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee pozastaven\u00edm smlouvy m\u016f\u017ee op\u011bt p\u0159edlo\u017eit v\u0161echny z\u00e1le\u017eitosti OSN nebo jin\u00fdm org\u00e1n\u016fm a p\u0159izvat t\u0159et\u00ed strany k intervenci v indicko-p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdch sporech. Pozastaven\u00edm dohody ze \u0160imly se v\u0161ak nedotknutelnost LoC st\u00e1v\u00e1 otev\u0159enou. Ob\u011b strany budou moci jednostrann\u011b zneu\u017e\u00edt situace a pokusit se ji poru\u0161it, aby z\u00edskaly v\u00fdhodu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Indie je siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, a to jak vojensky, tak i jinak, a bude m\u00edt v\u00fdhodu. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n se v roce 1999 pokusil poru\u0161it linku kontroly, co\u017e vy\u00fastilo v v\u00e1lku v Kargilu, kde P\u00e1kist\u00e1nci byli nejen vyhn\u00e1ni, ale tak\u00e9 utrp\u011bli poni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eku a velmi vysok\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty. D\u0159\u00edve, v roce 1984, se P\u00e1kist\u00e1n pokusil p\u0159evz\u00edt kontrolu nad ledovcem Siachen, indick\u00fdm \u00fazem\u00edm vymezen\u00fdm dohodou z Kar\u00e1\u010d\u00ed. V reakci na to Indie v roce 1984 zah\u00e1jila operaci Meghdoot, b\u011bhem n\u00ed\u017e z\u00edskala plnou kontrolu nad ledovcem.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>D\u00edky pozastaven\u00ed platnosti dohody ze Simly m\u016f\u017ee Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed voln\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edvat vojensk\u00e9 mo\u017enosti, ani\u017e by poru\u0161ovalo jakoukoli smlouvu. T\u011bchto mo\u017enost\u00ed by mohlo b\u00fdt mnoho. Indie by se mohla proaktivn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159it na teroristick\u00e9 t\u00e1bory nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d lini\u00ed kontroly, aby zpomalila nebo zastavila jejich infiltraci. Indie by mohla znovu z\u00edskat \u00fazem\u00ed v kritick\u00fdch sektorech, zejm\u00e9na v oblasti, jako je pr\u016fsmyk Haji Peer, kter\u00fd d\u0159\u00edve pod mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm tlakem ztratila. Existuj\u00ed i \u200b\u200bdal\u0161\u00ed sektory, kde m\u016f\u017ee Indie vytvo\u0159it v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1razn\u00edkov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny, aby sn\u00ed\u017eila hrozby pro d\u00e1lnici Srinagar-Leh.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Kdy\u017e byla smlouva podeps\u00e1na, P\u00e1kist\u00e1n m\u011bl podporu Z\u00e1padu, zejm\u00e9na USA, proto\u017ee Washington P\u00e1kist\u00e1n pot\u0159eboval pro svou operaci proti Sov\u011btsk\u00e9mu svazu v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u011bci se od t\u00e9 doby zm\u011bnily. Dnes sv\u011bt Indii uch\u00e1z\u00ed. Indie je vysp\u011bl\u00e1 demokracie se silnou ekonomikou. Je to tak\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 mocnost. Rusko, Evropa, USA, arabsk\u00fd sv\u011bt a dokonce i \u010c\u00edna pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed Indii z ekonomick\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Indie nyn\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee vyu\u017e\u00edt sv\u00e9ho vlivu na velmoci k izolaci P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu. Bylo povzbudiv\u00e9 zm\u00ednit se, \u017ee kdy\u017e New York Times informoval o tom, \u017ee turisty z Pahalgamu zast\u0159elili\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eozbrojenci v Ka\u0161m\u00edru\u201c,<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0V\u00fdbor pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed v\u011bci Sn\u011bmovny reprezentant\u016f USA titulek opravil a ozna\u010dil ozbrojence za\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eteroristy\u201c.<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0Zlep\u0161uj\u00ed se i vztahy Indie s \u010c\u00ednou, co\u017e v P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu zp\u016fsobuje nejistotu.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong><span>M\u00edr a stabilita v ohro\u017een\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span>\u0160imlsk\u00e1 dohoda nezabr\u00e1nila zhor\u0161en\u00ed vztah\u016f mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi do bodu ozbrojen\u00e9ho konfliktu ani p\u0159edt\u00edm \u2013 na\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thehindu.com\/news\/national\/siachen-40-years-of-op-meghdoot\/article68069363.ece\"><span>ledovci Siachen<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0nebo b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky v Kargilu v roce 1999.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u00e1kist\u00e1n opakovan\u011b poru\u0161oval p\u0159edpoklady pro usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed, dobr\u00e9 sousedsk\u00e9 vztahy a trval\u00fd m\u00edr mezi ob\u011bma stranami. O\u010dek\u00e1valo se, \u017ee se zdr\u017e\u00ed hrozby silou nebo pou\u017eit\u00ed s\u00edly proti \u00fazemn\u00ed celistvosti nebo politick\u00e9 nez\u00e1vislosti toho druh\u00e9ho, i toto bylo poru\u0161eno. P\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da opakovan\u011b sl\u00edbila, \u017ee pomst\u00ed poni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eku a kapitulaci 93 000 bojeschopn\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, \u010d\u00edm\u017e\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201em\u00edr vrhla za hlavu\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>P\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 de facto vl\u00e1dne zemi od roku 1947, nedovolila, aby do\u0161lo k postupn\u00e9 normalizaci vztah\u016f, jak ji p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 smlouva. Moc p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy pramen\u00ed z nejistoty mas n\u00e1roda. Kroky, kter\u00e9 m\u011bly b\u00fdt podniknuty na podporu cestov\u00e1n\u00ed, obchodu a kulturn\u00edch vztah\u016f, se neust\u00e1le setk\u00e1valy s ne\u00fasp\u011bchy. Pozastaven\u00ed platnosti smlouvy vyvolalo obavy o budoucnost m\u00edru a stability v regionu, zejm\u00e9na pokud jde o linii kontroly v D\u017eamm\u00fa a Ka\u0161m\u00edru.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pozastaven\u00ed by mohlo potenci\u00e1ln\u011b o\u017eivit taktiky z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 se r\u00e1mec Simly sna\u017eil omezit. Nemus\u00ed m\u00edt okam\u017eit\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky, ale mohlo by otev\u0159\u00edt dve\u0159e v\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu diplomatick\u00e9mu a vojensk\u00e9mu zvl\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed situace na hranici mezi st\u00e1ty. Obnoven\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch akc\u00ed nebo nestability hranic by mohlo zhatit \u00fasil\u00ed o rozvoj a konsolidaci demokracie v r\u00e1mci D\u017eamm\u00fa a Ka\u0161m\u00edru po zru\u0161en\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nku 370. Eskalace konfliktu mezi dv\u011bma st\u00e1ty disponuj\u00edc\u00edmi jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi ji\u017e vyvolala v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm spole\u010denstv\u00ed obavy a vyvolala v\u00fdzvy k zdr\u017eenlivosti a dialogu. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pozastaven\u00ed dohody ze Simly poskytlo Indii p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost p\u0159ehodnotit sv\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed a diplomatick\u00e9 strategie. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 pos\u00edlilo argumenty pro op\u011btovn\u00e9 za\u0159azen\u00ed P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu na \u0161ed\u00fd seznam Finan\u010dn\u00edho ak\u010dn\u00edho v\u00fdboru (FATF).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ignorov\u00e1n\u00edm dohody ze Simly P\u00e1kist\u00e1n prok\u00e1zal Indii a premi\u00e9rovi Mod\u00edmu velkou laskavost a z\u00edskal zp\u011bt P\u00e1kist\u00e1nem okupovan\u00fd Ka\u0161m\u00edr, co\u017e by podpo\u0159ila cel\u00e1 indick\u00e1 politick\u00e1 t\u0159\u00edda. Indie m\u00e1 devizov\u00e9 rezervy v hodnot\u011b t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 680 miliard dolar\u016f, zat\u00edmco p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 15 miliard dolar\u016f. P\u00e1kist\u00e1n nem\u016f\u017ee konflikt udr\u017eet. Rozsah ozbrojen\u00e9ho konfliktu bude odstup\u0148ov\u00e1n. Je \u010das vy\u010dkat a sledovat, jak se v\u011bci vyvinou.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>Anal\u00fdza od <strong>leteck\u00e9ho mar\u0161\u00e1la Anila Chopry (ve v\u00fdslu\u017eb\u011b),\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0veter\u00e1na indick\u00e9ho letectva, zku\u0161ebn\u00edho pilota st\u00edhac\u00edch letoun\u016f a b\u00fdval\u00e9ho gener\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0159editele Centra pro studium leteck\u00e9 s\u00edly v Nov\u00e9m Dill\u00ed.<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"Blog-author__cover\"><a href=\"https:\/\/swentr.site\/op-ed\/authors\/anil-chopra\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/mf.b37mrtl.ru\/files\/2024.12\/original\/6751d5fb85f5405bf216cb42.jpeg\" alt=\"Anil Chopra\" width=\"147\" height=\"186\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"Blog-author__text\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>N\u011bkolik dn\u00ed p\u0159ed indickou \u201eoperac\u00ed Sindoor\u201c Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d pozastavil dohodu s Nov\u00fdm Dill\u00ed z roku 1972,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":78201,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,79,371,129,955],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78200"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78200"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78200\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78201"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78200"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78200"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78200"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}