{"id":77951,"date":"2025-05-04T04:55:37","date_gmt":"2025-05-04T02:55:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=77951"},"modified":"2025-05-04T05:10:25","modified_gmt":"2025-05-04T03:10:25","slug":"michael-svatos-putinova-strategicka-ofenziva-iii-vlastenecka-valka-dil-druhy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/04\/michael-svatos-putinova-strategicka-ofenziva-iii-vlastenecka-valka-dil-druhy\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Putinova strategick\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva \u2013 \u201cIII. vlasteneck\u00e1 v\u00e1lka\u201d \u2013 d\u00edl druh\u00fd"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Putinova strategick\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva \u2013 \u201cIII. vlasteneck\u00e1 v\u00e1lka\u201d \u2013 d\u00edl druh\u00fd. Rusko do konce roku 5 kr\u00e1t zn\u00e1sob\u00ed \u00fatoky dron\u016f Geranium\/\u0160ah\u00edd na ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta! Rusk\u00e1 produkce t\u011bchto dron\u016f u\u017e 7 kr\u00e1t p\u0159ev\u00fd\u0161\u00ed produkci americk\u00fdch antiraket proti nim Stinger. USA p\u0159itom na p\u0159elomu 2024\/25 vyprodaly celou jejich produkci a\u017e do roku 2029 po 1\/4 Maroku, Egyptu, Pentagonu a NATO. Pro Ukrajinu pr\u00fd u\u017e rakety nezb\u00fdvaj\u00ed!<\/h4>\n
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V\u010dera Zelenskyj vyhro\u017eoval, \u017ee nem\u016f\u017ee zaru\u010dit bezpe\u010dnost zahrani\u010dn\u00edch st\u00e1tn\u00edk\u016f \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edc\u00edch se 9. kv\u011btna moskevsk\u00e9 p\u0159ehl\u00eddky, a Putin\u016fv \u201czl\u00fd\u201d mu\u017e Dmitrij Medved\u011bv mu vzk\u00e1zal, \u017ee v tom p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b se 10. kv\u011btna Kyjevan\u00e9 u\u017e nemus\u00ed probudit<\/a>. Ponech\u00e1me-li stranou re\u00e1ln\u00fd smysl vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed obou st\u00e1tn\u00edk\u016f znesv\u00e1\u0159en\u00fdch stran, a pod\u00edv\u00e1me-li se na nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed, vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch ukrajinsk\u00fdch expert\u016f na v\u00e1lku dron\u016f,\u00a0slavn\u00e9ho velitele legend\u00e1rn\u00ed 414. brig\u00e1dy ukrajinsk\u00fdch dron\u016f\u00a0 \u201c\u041f\u0442\u0430\u0445\u0438 \u041c\u0430\u0434\u044f\u0440\u0430\u201d gener\u00e1la Roberta \u201cMa\u010fara\u201d Brovdyho<\/a>, a \u0161\u00e9f-experta kyjevsk\u00e9ho\u00a0Centra pro glob\u00e1ln\u00ed studia Strategie XXI. stolet\u00ed Pavlo Lakiychuka<\/a>, je s podivem, \u017ee si Zelenskyj tak vyskakuje.<\/p>\n

(1) \u00datoky rusk\u00fdch dron\u016f \u0160ah\u00edd jsou u\u017e nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u011b\u017e \u00fatoky rusk\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch raket\u00a0<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Rusk\u00e9 \u00fatoky destruk\u010dn\u00edmi drony \u0160ah\u00edd u\u017e letos v souhrnu zp\u016fsobuj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed destrukci ukrajinsk\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, ne\u017e v\u0161echny \u00fadery rusk\u00fdch balistick\u00fdch raket a st\u0159el dohromady.\u00a0N\u00e1r\u016fst rusk\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f drony \u0160ah\u00edd je impozantn\u00ed<\/a>. L\u00e9to 2024 = 500 dron\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. Podzim\/zima 2024 = 1000 dron\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. Jaro 2025 = 2000 dron\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. A na konci roku 2025 podle ukrajinsk\u00fdch expert\u016f = 5000 dron\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrana proti n\u00e1let\u016fm rusk\u00fdch destruk\u010dn\u00edch dron\u016f \u0160ah\u00edd u\u017e nyn\u00ed nepln\u00ed sv\u00e9 zad\u00e1n\u00ed, zne\u0161kod\u0148ovat 2\/3 nal\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00edch dron\u016f, proto\u017ee byla vybudov\u00e1na syst\u00e9mem n\u011bkolika za sebou jdouc\u00edch lini\u00ed tvo\u0159en\u00fdch mobiln\u00edmi tlupami nalo\u017een\u00fdmi na ter\u00e9nn\u00edch automobilech, a vyzbrojen\u00fdmi ru\u010dn\u00edmi protiletadlov\u00fdmi raketami a kulomety, a ty p\u0159il\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00ed drony lovily a sest\u0159elovaly. Tento ukrajinsk\u00fd obrann\u00fd syst\u00e9m byl \u00fa\u010dinn\u00fd do p\u0159\u00edletu 1000 dron\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, ale jakmile jejich po\u010det vzrostl na 2000, p\u0159estal b\u00fdt efektivn\u00ed. Ukrajina proto mus\u00ed cel\u00fd syst\u00e9m zp\u016fsobem odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edm po\u010dtu nal\u00e9taj\u00edc\u00edch dron\u016f zmnohon\u00e1sobit. A to bude bolestn\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1kladem syst\u00e9mu efektivn\u00edho sest\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed dron\u016f \u0160ah\u00edd jsou\u00a0americk\u00e9 protiletadlov\u00e9 st\u0159ely Stinger<\/a>.\u00a0Jen\u017ee\u00a0Pentagon u\u017e Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159edal sv\u00e9 \u201cdesetilet\u00e9\u201d z\u00e1soby t\u011bchto st\u0159el<\/a>,\u00a0a dal\u0161\u00ed p\u0159ed\u00e1vat odm\u00edt\u00e1, nebo\u0165 je pr\u00fd pot\u0159ebuje. A proto\u017ee se st\u0159ely Stinger cel\u00fdch 18 let p\u0159ed rokem 2020 nevyr\u00e1b\u011bly.\u00a0\u00a0A proto\u017ee jejich znovuobnoven\u00e1 v\u00fdroba se nyn\u00ed odhaduje na 60 st\u0159el m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b od roku 2023<\/a>.\u00a0\u00a0A proto\u017ee Washington\u00a0letos v lednu podepsal smlouvu s Marokem za 825 milionu USD na dod\u00e1vku 600 nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00edch st\u0159el Stinger<\/a>, (verze FIM-92K<\/a>),\u00a0a v \u010dervenci 2024 s NATO na dod\u00e1vku 940 raket Stinger FIM-92K za 780 milion\u016f USD, (mimochodem pro pobaven\u00ed \u2013\u00a0\u010desk\u00fd mainstream balamut\u00ed, \u017ee NATO ten den objednalo n\u00e1kup 5800 t\u011bchto st\u0159el za 780 milion\u016f USD<\/a>),\u00a0a\u00a0v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2024 s Egyptem na 720 st\u0159el za 740 milion\u016f USD, a v\u00fdrobn\u00ed linky jsou tak vyprodan\u00e9 a\u017e do roku 2029<\/a>.\u00a0Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee nov\u00e1 zes\u00edlen\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrana proti n\u00e1let\u016fm 2000, a nebo dokonce 5000 rusk\u00fdch \u0160ah\u00edd\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, bude muset b\u00fdt vybudov\u00e1na na z\u00e1klad\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed po\u010dt\u016f mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b \u00fa\u010dinn\u00fdch mobiln\u00edch kulometn\u00fdch tlup, ne\u017e tlup vyzbrojen\u00fdch raketami Stinger. A to v kone\u010dn\u00e9m d\u016fsledku bude znamenat drastick\u00e9 a\u017e 10-ti n\u00e1sobn\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed po\u010dt\u016f p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f t\u011bchto ukrajinsk\u00fdch mobiln\u00edch loveck\u00fdch tlup na ter\u00e9nn\u00edch automobilech, a op\u011bt tak vy\u010derp\u00e1 u\u017e vy\u010derpan\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed potenci\u00e1l o dal\u0161\u00ed mu\u017ee.<\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee z vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch expert\u016f je z\u0159ejm\u00e9<\/a>, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrana proti dron\u016fm \u0160\u00e1h\u00edd je nyn\u00ed tvo\u0159en\u00e1 mobiln\u00edmi protivzdu\u0161n\u00fdmi tlupami rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdmi v n\u011bkolika hluboce strukturovan\u00fdch e\u0161elonech, rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdch bu\u010f po lini\u00edch nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d \u00fazem\u00edm zem\u011b, nebo kolem velk\u00fdch m\u011bst, \u010di\u00a0 d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f, lze tak po\u010d\u00edtat 2000 lovc\u016f na Kyjev, 10 000 lovc\u016f na 100 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch ukrajinsk\u00fdch m\u011bst, a nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f, a 10 000 lovc\u016f na t\u0159i linie t\u00e1hnouc\u00ed se za sebou od v\u00fdchodn\u00edch hranic Ukrajiny a linie fronty a linie pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed a\u017e na st\u0159edn\u00ed Ukrajinu o d\u00e9lce 1200km linie prvn\u00ed, 800km druh\u00e9, a 600km t\u0159et\u00ed, a 10 000 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f velitelsk\u00fdch, pr\u016fzkumn\u00fdch a logistick\u00fdch jednotek, kter\u00e9 loveck\u00e9 tlupy \u0159\u00edd\u00ed, nav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed a z\u00e1sobuj\u00ed, tedy nejm\u00e9n\u011b 32 000 mu\u017e\u016f a \u017een.<\/p>\n

Proto\u017ee tato line dok\u00e1zala dosud odrazit 2\/3 dron\u016f \u0160ah\u00edd p\u0159i po\u010dtu 1000 n\u00e1let\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, do konce roku mus\u00ed b\u00fdt zn\u00e1sobena 5 kr\u00e1t, aby odrazila 2\/3 dron\u016f \u0160ah\u00edd p\u0159i po\u010dtu n\u00e1let\u016f 5000 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. Po\u010det dron\u016f \u0160ah\u00edd, kter\u00e9 obranu proraz\u00ed, a sv\u00e9 c\u00edle zni\u010d\u00ed se v\u0161ak zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed ze 333 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b na 1655 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b. P\u0159ipo\u010dteme-li ztr\u00e1tu \u00fa\u010dinnosti obrany nemo\u017enost\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161it 5 kr\u00e1t po\u010det tlup vybaven\u00fdch raketami Stinger, m\u016f\u017eeme klidn\u011b p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat 2 a\u017e 3 tis\u00edce \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch pr\u016flet\u016f dron\u016f \u0160ah\u00edd m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b.<\/p>\n

V b\u0159eznu 2024 se kyjevsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia chlubila<\/a>, \u017ee zem\u011b dostala novou z\u00e1silku raket Stinger, a \u017ee ta brzy zajist\u00ed, \u017ee Ukrajina znovu ovl\u00e1dne sv\u00e9 nebe. Jak to dopadlo, potvrdili oba ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed experti tento v\u00edkend. Nast\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed podzimn\u00ed souboj rusk\u00e9 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdroby 5000 dron\u016f Geranium II za maxim\u00e1ln\u011b 250 milion\u016f USD proti americk\u00e9 m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdrob\u011b 60 raket Stinger za cca 60 milion\u016f USD dopadne pro Ukrajinu je\u0161t\u011b h\u016f\u0159, a to i kdyby Trump pos\u00edlal v\u0161echny vyroben\u00e9 rakety Stinger na Ukrajinu, a ne NATO, Maroku a Egyptu, a do americk\u00fdch v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch sklad\u016f. P\u0159edstava, jak ov\u0161em by \u010delili z\u00e1padn\u00ed rakety p\u0159\u00edvalu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch dron\u016f na Tchaj-wan, nebo na Ukrajinu, kdyby Zelenskyj splnil sv\u00e9 hrozby, a drony nebo britsk\u00fdmi raketami SCALP zlikvidoval n\u011bjak\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00edky na moskevsk\u00e9 p\u0159ehl\u00eddkov\u00e9 tribun\u011b, je u\u017e ov\u0161em d\u011bsiv\u00e1 i jen ve snech.<\/p>\n

Jeden dron \u0160ah\u00edd v rusk\u00e9 verzi Geranium-II doprav\u00ed na c\u00edl 50kg v\u00fdbu\u0161niny, a jeho cena se odhaduje na 20 a\u017e 50 tis\u00edc EUR<\/a>. Jedna raketa Stinger m\u00e1 p\u0159itom cenu (ze t\u0159\u00ed kontrakt\u016f v\u00fd\u0161e) 1 037 610 USD. Ekonomika souboje tak hovo\u0159\u00ed jasn\u011b. Kde Ukrajinci vezmou dal\u0161\u00edch 124 000 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edk\u016f kulometn\u00fdch loveck\u00fdch tlup, aby st\u00edhali 5000 dron\u016f, bude z\u00e1hada. A\u010dkoli je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee dodate\u010dn\u00e9 tlupy lovc\u016f budou obsazeny vlivn\u00fdmi osobami velmi rychle, proto\u017ee p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161nost k loveck\u00e9 tlup\u011b zaru\u010duje lukrativn\u00ed v\u00fdsadu lovit rusk\u00e9 drony v ukrajinsk\u00e9m t\u00fdlu, a nikoli smutn\u00fd osud b\u00fdt na front\u011b loven rusk\u00fdmi drony v ukrajinsk\u00fdch z\u00e1kopech.<\/p>\n

(2) Leto\u0161n\u00ed v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b rozhodnou zabij\u00e1ck\u00e9 drony, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd voj\u00e1k si u\u017e nebude jist \u017eivotem v p\u00e1smu \u0161irok\u00e9m 50km!<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Zelenskyj je sice v\u0161eobecn\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00e1 tragikomick\u00e1 postava, ale jeho v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdhru\u017eky, \u017ee nezaru\u010duje bezpe\u010dnost \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch potent\u00e1t\u016f na moskevsk\u00e9 p\u0159ehl\u00eddkov\u00e9 tribun\u011b 9. kv\u011btna, u\u017e p\u0159ekro\u010dily v\u0161echny meze logick\u00e9ho chov\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0Podle v\u010derej\u0161\u00edho vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed hlavn\u00edho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho experta na v\u00e1lku dron\u016f gener\u00e1la Roberta Brovdyho letos v l\u00e9t\u011b rozhodnou o v\u00fdsledku boj\u016f na ukrajinsko-rusk\u00e9 front\u011b zabij\u00e1ck\u00e9 drony<\/a>. A Ukrajina je nejm\u00e9n\u011b ze 3\/4 z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch dron\u016f, a nebo na dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch jejich kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch komponent\u016f. Pokud se tedy Peking na Kyjev rozzlob\u00ed, Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed oper\u00e1to\u0159i dron\u016f si letos v l\u00e9t\u011b ani ne\u0161krtnou, proto\u017ee nebudou m\u00edt \u010d\u00edm, a potk\u00e1 je tak s ur\u010ditost\u00ed hrdinsk\u00fd osud elitn\u00edho oper\u00e1tora Brovdyho\u00a0414. brig\u00e1dy dron\u016f\u00a0 \u201c\u041f\u0442\u0430\u0445\u0438 \u041c\u0430\u0434\u044f\u0440\u0430\u201d<\/a>,\u00a0Vasyla Ratushny,\u00a0kter\u00e9ho letos v \u00fanoru zlikvidoval rusk\u00fd FPV dron<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Podle ukrajinsk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la Brovdyho budou do za\u010d\u00e1tku leto\u0161n\u00edho l\u00e9ta prov\u00e1d\u011bny v\u0161echny bojov\u00e9 operace na front\u011b v\u00fdhradn\u011b drony. Obrovsk\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed po\u010dt\u016f dron\u016f na obou stran\u00e1ch boji\u0161t\u011b vytvo\u0159\u00ed na ka\u017edou stranu fronty p\u00e1smo o \u0161\u00ed\u0159ce 15 a\u017e 20 km, a v n\u011bm drony prakticky znemo\u017en\u00ed jak\u00fdkoliv pohyb voj\u00e1k\u016f, nebo techniky. A bez tot\u00e1ln\u00ed kontroly t\u00e9to z\u00f3ny nezbude Ukrajinc\u016fm na \u017eivu \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 vlastn\u00ed p\u011bchota, a ne v\u0161ichni ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 a politici si to uv\u011bdomuj\u00ed. Gener\u00e1l Brovdy si tak uv\u011bdomil, co si Rusov\u00e9 uv\u011bdomili u\u017e p\u0159ed t\u0159i\u010dtvrt\u011b rokem, (viz\u00a0na\u0161e p\u0159ede\u0161l\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy o z\u00f3n\u00e1ch tot\u00e1ln\u00ed rusk\u00e9 dominance<\/a>). Brovdy se nem\u00fdl\u00ed, a Rusov\u00e9 ve v\u00e1lce dron\u016f ukazuj\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd den svoji p\u0159evahu.\u00a0Nejnov\u011bji nasadili letos v b\u0159eznu vysoce \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed bojov\u00e9 drony za p\u00e1r set USD<\/a>. Tento nov\u00fd rusk\u00fd pozemn\u00ed dron je slo\u017een z b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 d\u011btsk\u00e9 hra\u010dky \u201ckolono\u017eky<\/a>\u201c, a k n\u00ed je p\u0159ipevn\u011bna protitankov\u00e1 mina. Nov\u00fd rusk\u00fd dron \u201cminov\u00e1 kolono\u017eka\u201d se pr\u00fd po boji\u0161ti pohybuje mnohem rychleji ne\u017e v\u0161echny ostatn\u00ed specializovan\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 pozemn\u00ed drony, a v\u00fdbuch protitankov\u00e9 miny m\u00e1 obrovsk\u00fd devastuj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fa\u010dinek. V\u0161e p\u0159itom za p\u00e1r tis\u00edc.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00fd t\u0159et\u00ed d\u00edl s mapami a\u017e z\u00edtra, dnes jsem mapy nestihnul. D\u011bkuji za pochopen\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Putinova strategick\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva \u2013 \u201cIII. vlasteneck\u00e1 v\u00e1lka\u201d \u2013 d\u00edl druh\u00fd. Rusko do konce roku 5…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":77952,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,2856,102,1894,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77951"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77951"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77951\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77952"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77951"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77951"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77951"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}