{"id":77883,"date":"2025-05-03T05:09:41","date_gmt":"2025-05-03T03:09:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=77883"},"modified":"2025-05-03T05:09:41","modified_gmt":"2025-05-03T03:09:41","slug":"ian-proud-britska-koalice-ochotnych-po-zrale-uvaze-rozhodla-ze-neni-ochotna-bojovat-na-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/03\/ian-proud-britska-koalice-ochotnych-po-zrale-uvaze-rozhodla-ze-neni-ochotna-bojovat-na-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Ian Proud: Britsk\u00e1 koalice ochotn\u00fdch po zral\u00e9 \u00favaze rozhodla, \u017ee nen\u00ed ochotna bojovat na Ukrajin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b britsk\u00e1 mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia nafukuj\u00ed britskou vojenskou s\u00edlu a odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed. Nyn\u00ed se ukazuje, \u017ee Brit\u00e1nie by m\u011bla pot\u00ed\u017ee vyslat na Ukrajinu 5000 voj\u00e1k\u016f v r\u00e1mci takzvan\u00e9 \u201eodstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00edly\u201c. Politologov\u00e9 ve Whitehallu mus\u00ed zoufale zapojit mozek a usilovat o m\u00edr.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V pozoruhodn\u00e9m obratu ud\u00e1lost\u00ed lond\u00fdnsk\u00fd den\u00edk The Times zve\u0159ejnil 29. dubna \u010dl\u00e1nek, v n\u011bm\u017e uvedl, \u017ee Evropa by\u00a0m\u011bla pot\u00ed\u017ee vyslat 25 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f<\/a>\u00a0na Ukrajinu. To sam\u00e9 noviny, kter\u00e9 p\u0159ed pouh\u00fdmi osmn\u00e1cti dny publikovaly\u00a0bizarn\u00ed chvalo\u0159e\u010d<\/a>\u00a0o \u201ekl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 roli\u201c Brit\u00e1nie p\u0159i \u0159\u00edzen\u00ed ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy Ukrajiny v roce 2023.<\/p>\n

Premi\u00e9r Keir Starmer se aktivn\u011b sna\u017eil naj\u00edt si roli, kter\u00e1 by sbl\u00ed\u017eila rozd\u00edln\u00e9 politiky USA a Evropy ohledn\u011b veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky a pl\u00e1n\u016f na m\u00edr. S velkou sl\u00e1vou ozn\u00e1mil na b\u0159eznov\u00e9m summitu v Lancaster House \u201ekoalici ochotn\u00fdch\u201c.<\/p>\n

Objevila se my\u0161lenka, \u017ee takov\u00e1 koalice by po budouc\u00edm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mohla vyslat do Ukrajiny m\u00edrov\u00e9 s\u00edly. Tyto s\u00edly, slo\u017een\u00e9 z evropsk\u00fdch, nikoli americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, by mimo jin\u00e9 \u201ebr\u00e1nily dohodu na Ukrajin\u011b\u201c a \u201ezaru\u010dovaly m\u00edr po jej\u00edm uzav\u0159en\u00ed\u201c. Od t\u00e9 doby se v Pa\u0159\u00ed\u017ei a Lond\u00fdn\u011b konalo mnoho sch\u016fzek, na nich\u017e se projedn\u00e1valy podrobnosti.<\/p>\n

Koalice m\u011bla \u010dty\u0159i c\u00edle. Udr\u017eet vojenskou pomoc Ukrajin\u011b a vyv\u00edjet dal\u0161\u00ed tlak na Rusko prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sankc\u00ed, zachovat suverenitu Ukrajiny a jej\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast na m\u00edrov\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch (co\u017e je samoz\u0159ejm\u00e9), pos\u00edlit obrann\u00e9 schopnosti Ukrajiny po uzav\u0159en\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody a vyslat takzvanou \u201ekoalici ochotn\u00fdch\u201c k udr\u017een\u00ed m\u00edru.<\/p>\n

Nikdo, v\u010detn\u011b Starmera, v\u0161ak nevyslovil jasnou strategii, jak t\u011bchto c\u00edl\u016f dos\u00e1hnout. Naopak se zd\u00e1, \u017ee podporuj\u00ed pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky, nikoli jej\u00ed ukon\u010den\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Pod\u00edv\u00e1me-li se na n\u011b postupn\u011b, pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 pomoci Ukrajin\u011b a uvalen\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch sankc\u00ed na Rusko s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed v\u00e1lku prodlou\u017e\u00ed, nikoli ukon\u010d\u00ed. Nikdo nevysv\u011btlil, co by Rusko motivovalo k uzav\u0159en\u00ed m\u00edru na z\u00e1klad\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed militarizace Ukrajiny a tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 dal\u0161\u00edm sankc\u00edm. Tento c\u00edl byl jasn\u011b prosazov\u00e1n ukrajinskou stranou. Z ekonomick\u00e9ho hlediska neuplyne t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 den, ani\u017e by Zelenskyj, Jermak nebo n\u011bkdo jin\u00fd z ukrajinsk\u00e9 mocensk\u00e9 vertik\u00e1ly vyz\u00fdval k dal\u0161\u00edm\u00a0sankc\u00edm proti Rusku<\/a>, a to v dob\u011b, kdy USA tla\u010d\u00ed na ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu. Ukrajina dokonce vyz\u00fdvala k dal\u0161\u00edm sankc\u00edm proti Rusku v dnech p\u0159ed za\u010d\u00e1tkem v\u00e1lky. P\u0159i mnoha p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitostech jsem p\u0159edlo\u017eil anal\u00fdzy, kter\u00e9 ukazuj\u00ed, jak se Rusko neust\u00e1le p\u0159izp\u016fsobuje sankc\u00edm, a ilustroval jsem, \u017ee dal\u0161\u00ed sankce by nem\u011bly \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdznamn\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd dopad. Stejn\u011b jako dod\u00e1vky dal\u0161\u00edch zbran\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b by sankce pouze odradily od snah o m\u00edr a povzbudily Rusko k pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed boj\u016f.<\/p>\n

I nezaujat\u00fd pozorovatel si m\u016f\u017ee v\u0161imnout, \u017ee pl\u00e1n na pos\u00edlen\u00ed obrann\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed Ukrajiny po uzav\u0159en\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody by znamenal celkovou rearmaci, co\u017e je v rozporu s jak\u00fdmkoli dlouhodob\u00fdm m\u00edrov\u00fdm procesem. V ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nikdo nevysv\u011btlil, pro\u010d by toto p\u0159ezbrojen\u00ed bylo nutn\u00e9. Pokud je m\u00edrov\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed cestou vp\u0159ed, pak by ob\u011b strany m\u011bly postupn\u011b a po mal\u00fdch kroc\u00edch st\u00e1hnout sv\u00e9 s\u00edly a sn\u00ed\u017eit pohotovost. Ne\u0159\u00edk\u00e1m, \u017ee Ukrajina m\u00e1 rozpu\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm sv\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy hned prvn\u00ed den. S\u00a0800 000 p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00edky<\/a>\u00a0v\u0161ak Ukrajina ji\u017e m\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed arm\u00e1du ne\u017e kter\u00fdkoli jin\u00fd evropsk\u00fd spojenec NATO s v\u00fdjimkou Turecka.<\/p>\n

Ukrajina nav\u00edc od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky obdr\u017eela v\u00edce ne\u017e 120 miliard dolar\u016f na vojenskou pomoc, co\u017e je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 stejn\u011b jako ro\u010dn\u00ed rozpo\u010det Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie na obranu za dva roky. Jak\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed obrann\u00e9 kapacity by pot\u0159ebovala? A co je je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, kdo by to zaplatil? USA to v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch \u010dty\u0159ech letech za prezidenta Trumpa rozhodn\u011b platit nebudou.<\/p>\n

Evropsk\u00e1 unie t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b neusp\u011bje ve sv\u00e9m \u00fasil\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161it vlastn\u00ed v\u00fddaje na obranu o 800 miliard dolar\u016f v r\u00e1mci\u00a0pl\u00e1nu zbrojen\u00ed von der Leyenov\u00e9<\/a>. To by znamenalo tak masivn\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed v\u00fddaj\u016f pro zem\u011b jako Francie a It\u00e1lie, \u017ee by to pro jejich vl\u00e1dy znamenalo politickou sebevra\u017edu. Ukrajina si ji\u017e nyn\u00ed\u00a0nem\u016f\u017ee dovolit<\/a>\u00a0udr\u017eet svou arm\u00e1du v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 nadm\u011brn\u00e9 velikosti po skon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky bez masivn\u00edch injekc\u00ed evropsk\u00fdch pen\u011bz, kter\u00e9 prost\u011b nejsou k dispozici. Odkud se vezmou pen\u00edze na zbrojen\u00ed Ukrajiny? Odpov\u011b\u010f: nikde.<\/p>\n

To n\u00e1s vrac\u00ed k my\u0161lence m\u00edrov\u00fdch sil nebo odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edch sil a k \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00edmu odhalen\u00ed, \u017ee evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b Brit\u00e1nie, nemaj\u00ed k dispozici dostatek voj\u00e1k\u016f, aby tento z\u00e1vazek v jak\u00e9mkoli rozsahu splnily. V b\u0159eznu, v dozvuku summitu v Lancaster House, dokonce i konzervativn\u00ed politici oslavovali Starmera jako modern\u00edho Winstona Churchilla, kter\u00fd se postavil proti tyranii v Evrop\u011b. Rychl\u00e1 p\u0159ipom\u00ednka: Winston Churchill dohl\u00ed\u017eel na mobilizaci t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u0161esti milion\u016f britsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f do druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky. Starmer se sna\u017e\u00ed d\u00e1t dohromady p\u011bt tis\u00edc pro Ukrajinu.<\/p>\n

My\u0161lenka evropsk\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch sil na Ukrajin\u011b byla v\u017edy odsouzena k ne\u00fasp\u011bchu, vzhledem k dlouhodob\u00e9mu a jasn\u011b vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00e9mu odm\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska p\u0159\u00edtomnosti sil NATO na kontroln\u00ed linii. Kdy\u017e na to Rusko pouk\u00e1zalo a po tlaku americk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy na Brit\u00e1nii byl n\u00e1vrh m\u00edrov\u00fdch sil z\u0159ed\u011bn na \u201eodstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00edly\u201c. My\u0161lenka byla takov\u00e1, \u017ee m\u00edsto toho, aby byly koali\u010dn\u00ed jednotky rozm\u00edst\u011bny bl\u00edzko kontroln\u00ed linie, mohly by b\u00fdt nasazeny na vzd\u00e1len\u00e1 m\u00edsta na z\u00e1pad\u011b Ukrajiny, pro p\u0159\u00edpad, \u017ee by byly pot\u0159eba, aby odradily Rusko od teoretick\u00e9ho poru\u0161en\u00ed jak\u00e9koli m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody. Dnes, pokud lze u\u0161et\u0159it n\u011bjak\u00e9 evropsk\u00e9 jednotky, budou nasazeny pouze k v\u00fdcviku ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Tento stav je v\u00edce ne\u017e trapn\u00fd. V Brit\u00e1nii jsme si a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 \u010dasto zvykli serv\u00edrovat politick\u00e9 fr\u00e1ze ochotn\u00fdm prov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdm m\u00e9di\u00edm, ne\u017e abychom si ujasnili vlastn\u00ed politick\u00e9 my\u0161len\u00ed. D\u011bl\u00e1me to p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e projedn\u00e1me na\u0161e pl\u00e1ny s Ameri\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed v z\u00e1padn\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b hraj\u00ed hlavn\u00ed roli v pl\u00e1nech na m\u00edr na Ukrajin\u011b. V \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m okam\u017eiku se nezd\u00e1, \u017ee bychom posuzovali rizika spojen\u00e1 s na\u0161imi n\u00e1pady nebo zva\u017eovali pravd\u011bpodobnou a v t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u0161ech p\u0159\u00edpadech zcela p\u0159edv\u00eddatelnou reakci Ruska. Mo\u017en\u00e1 ani nevedeme dialog s Ruskem, abychom vyjednali to, co je mo\u017en\u00e9, a prozkoumali mo\u017enosti obou stran pro dosa\u017een\u00ed kompromisu. N\u00e1vrh, aby prezident Macron vystupoval jako evropsk\u00fd vyjednava\u010d s prezidentem Putinem, skon\u010dil v nicot\u011b. M\u00edsto toho se s velkou d\u016fle\u017eitost\u00ed pot\u00e1c\u00edme od jednoho idiotsk\u00e9ho n\u00e1padu k druh\u00e9mu a v ka\u017ed\u00e9 f\u00e1zi je ohla\u0161ujeme jako obrovsk\u00fd pr\u016flom v na\u0161em spole\u010dn\u00e9m odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed porazit Rusko. A\u017e nakonec, bez sebemen\u0161\u00edho n\u00e1znaku sebereflexe, p\u0159izn\u00e1me, \u017ee po zral\u00e9 \u00favaze to nebude fungovat.<\/p>\n

Te\u010f u\u017e mus\u00edme ur\u010dit\u011b naj\u00edt n\u011bkoho ve Whitehallu, kdo zapoj\u00ed mozek, obl\u00e9kne si kalhoty pro dosp\u011bl\u00e9, zapoj\u00ed se do konfliktu na obou stran\u00e1ch a kone\u010dn\u011b dos\u00e1hne m\u00edru, ne?<\/p>\n

\n

Britain\u2019s coalition of the willing decides, upon reflection, that it\u2019s unwilling to fight in Ukraine<\/a>\u00a0vy\u0161el 2.5.2025 na Strategic Culture. Vybral a p\u0159elo\u017eil Zv\u011bdavec.<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b britsk\u00e1 mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia nafukuj\u00ed britskou vojenskou s\u00edlu a odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed. Nyn\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":67067,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[61,26,9039],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77883"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77883"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77883\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/67067"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77883"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77883"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77883"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}