{"id":77797,"date":"2025-05-02T00:13:16","date_gmt":"2025-05-01T22:13:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=77797"},"modified":"2025-05-01T14:45:13","modified_gmt":"2025-05-01T12:45:13","slug":"ceny-plynu-kdyz-se-rekne-a-ma-se-rict-i-b-ano-plyn-zlevnil-ale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/02\/ceny-plynu-kdyz-se-rekne-a-ma-se-rict-i-b-ano-plyn-zlevnil-ale\/","title":{"rendered":"Ceny plynu: kdy\u017e se \u0159ekne „A“, m\u00e1 se \u0159\u00edct i „B“. Ano, plyn zlevnil, ale…"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 cena plynu v Evrop\u011b v dubnu se skute\u010dn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eila o 12,5 % na b\u0159ezen, na zhruba 409 dolar\u016f za 1000 metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch, ale v\u00a0 ro\u010dn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00ed SE zv\u00fd\u0161ila o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 30%, podle lond\u00fdnsk\u00e9 v\u00fdm\u011bny ICE o futures.<\/h4>\n<\/div>\n
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Tak\u017ee vl\u00e1da ukazuje, jak \u00fa\u017easn\u011b hospoda\u0159\u00ed proti b\u0159eznu, ale do skute\u010dn\u00e9ho srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se nepust\u00ed.<\/p>\n

(Mimochodem, v\u0161imli jste si ext\u00e1ze politik\u016f, kdy\u017e dnes Trump s Ukrajinou prvn\u00ed kolo vyhr\u00e1l a Ukrajina s USA o nerostech podepsala dohodu? V\u0159\u00edskot za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1, \u010deho ten dareb\u00e1k a primitiv Trump nakonec dos\u00e1hl. A bruselsk\u00e1 banda ostrouhala, bohu\u017eel my s t\u011bmi dementy tak\u00e9)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cena plynu v evropsk\u00fdch uzlech se posunula k r\u016fstu na podzim roku 2024 a v prvn\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2025 \u010dinila 509 dolar\u016f za 1 tis\u00edc metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch. V dubnu pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 cena plynu klesla o 12,5 % ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s b\u0159eznem na zhruba 409 dolar\u016f,\u00a0ale byla o 28% vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v dubnu 2024.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pokud by se 31. b\u0159ezna, futures na plyn byly vym\u011b\u0148ov\u00e1ny za zhruba 450 dolar\u016f za 1000 metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch, pak 30. dubna aukce uzav\u0159ela na \u00farovni 375 dolar\u016f – o 17 % n\u00ed\u017ee ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s koncem minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce.<\/p>\n

V z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2024 byla pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 cena plynu v Evrop\u011b asi 416 dolar\u016f za 1000 metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch (o 0,3% ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed v ro\u010dn\u00edm obdob\u00ed), v \u0159\u00edjnu – $ 456 (-11%), v listopadu – 491 dolar\u016f (-4%), v prosinci – 449 dolar\u016f (+ 20%), v lednu 2025 – 57 dolar\u016f (+ 53%), v \u00fanoru – 542 dolar\u016f (+ 88%), v b\u0159eznu – 467 dolar\u016f (+ 55%) a v dubnu.<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00ed\u010diny rostouc\u00edch cen plynu<\/h2>\n

Mnohosm\u011brov\u00e1 dynamika ceny plynu v uplynul\u00e9m m\u011bs\u00edci byla zp\u016fsobena \u0159adou faktor\u016f. Po\u010das\u00ed v dubnu bylo mnohem teplej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v b\u0159eznu, evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b odeb\u00edraly m\u00e9n\u011b plynu z podzemn\u00edch skladovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed (UGS) a zah\u00e1jily sezonu dopl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed. Do konce m\u011bs\u00edce byla UGS napln\u011bna v\u00edce ne\u017e 39% a \u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed bylo nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i roky.<\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho tlak na sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed cen nad\u00e1le uplat\u0148uje proces vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska a Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f na \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b, stejn\u011b jako cla ulo\u017een\u00e1 Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty na produkty 185 zem\u00ed a \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cena plynu je z\u00e1rove\u0148 vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e loni kv\u016fli zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 popt\u00e1vce po plynu v Evrop\u011b. Zem\u011b regionu budou v l\u00e9t\u011b pot\u0159ebovat v\u00edce plynu k napln\u011bn\u00ed skladovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 omezen\u00fdm vstup\u016fm nov\u00fdch kapacit na trhu\u00a0budou muset sout\u011b\u017eit o LNG s Asi\u00ed,\u00a0jej\u00ed\u017e popt\u00e1vka po pohonn\u00fdch hmot\u00e1ch roste. F\u00f3rum zem\u00ed vyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00edch plyn (FSEG) o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee Evropa bude do zimy \u010delit zna\u010dn\u00fdm pot\u00ed\u017e\u00edm p\u0159i napl\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch podzemn\u00edch z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016f plynu o 90%, a p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee\u00a0letn\u00ed ceny v\u00fdm\u011bny plynu budou vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e byly v zim\u011b,\u00a0co\u017e podkop\u00e1v\u00e1 ekonomickou proveditelnost \u010derp\u00e1n\u00ed plynu do UGSSF.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u00fdpo\u010dty uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee \u010dist\u00e1 injekce plynu Evropou v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed sez\u00f3n\u011b pln\u011bn\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed Uglast by m\u011bla b\u00fdt nejm\u00e9n\u011b 61 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch, aby byla spln\u011bna norma 80%. To je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 o 50% vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u010dist\u00e1 injekce ne\u017e o rok d\u0159\u00edve\u00a0a je jedn\u00edm z nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch ukazatel\u016f v historii.<\/strong>\u00a0Evropsk\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 provozovatel\u016f plynov\u00fdch p\u0159enosov\u00fdch soustav (ENTSOG) ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee k pln\u011bn\u00ed skladovac\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na 90% evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed po\u017eadovan\u00fdch Evropskou komis\u00ed bude muset \u010derpat asi 57 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch plynu do za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed UGS. FSECH toto \u010d\u00edslo odhadl na 60 miliard metr\u016f krychlov\u00fdch.<\/p>\n

Neboli vl\u00e1da n\u00e1rodu vykl\u00e1d\u00e1 dle Sv\u011br\u00e1kova filmu, jak Sov\u00e1ka uklid\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee po \u010dty\u0159ech p\u011btk\u00e1ch ze zkou\u0161en\u00ed dostal kr\u00e1snou \u010dty\u0159i m\u00ednus. A je st\u00e1le mno\u017eina lid\u00ed, co si ty dareb\u00e1ck\u00fd v\u00fdroky neov\u011b\u0159\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Petr Pokorn\u00fd<\/a><\/p>\n

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Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 cena plynu v Evrop\u011b v dubnu se skute\u010dn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eila o 12,5 % na b\u0159ezen,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":77798,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1872,1503,1008,497,99],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77797"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77797"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77797\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77798"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77797"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77797"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77797"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}