{"id":77766,"date":"2025-05-02T00:12:58","date_gmt":"2025-05-01T22:12:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=77766"},"modified":"2025-05-01T14:45:38","modified_gmt":"2025-05-01T12:45:38","slug":"radio-svoboda-vypustili-jsme-kocku-z-pytle-ohledne-herniho-planu-eu-pro-ukrajinu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/05\/02\/radio-svoboda-vypustili-jsme-kocku-z-pytle-ohledne-herniho-planu-eu-pro-ukrajinu\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u00e1dio Svoboda: Vypustili jsme ko\u010dku z pytle ohledn\u011b hern\u00edho pl\u00e1nu EU pro Ukrajinu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Rusko nem\u016f\u017ee od EU o\u010dek\u00e1vat nic na opl\u00e1tku, pokud Putin povol\u00ed nasazen\u00ed jejich vojsk a letadel na z\u00e1padn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b a hl\u00eddkov\u00e1n\u00ed nad n\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusko ji\u017e dlouho varuje, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, jak\u00e9\u00a0navrhuje Zelenskyj\u00a0<\/a>, by mohlo NATO otev\u0159\u00edt cestu k roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed sv\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho vlivu v t\u00e9to zemi.\u00a0R\u00e1dio Svoboda, kter\u00e9 Z\u00e1pad dosud odm\u00edtal jako konspira\u010dn\u00ed teorii,\u00a0<\/a>prost\u011b jen pustilo ko\u010dku z pytle. Nejmenovan\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9, kter\u00e9 citovali ve sv\u00e9m ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku, potvrdili, \u017ee si p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed, \u017ee by to Evropan\u016fm \u201ekoupilo \u010das na shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed \u201auklid\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edch sil\u2018 v z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti Ukrajiny\u201c a organizaci tam \u201eleteck\u00fdch hl\u00eddek\u201c.<\/p>\n

Jejich \u00fadajn\u00fd hern\u00ed pl\u00e1n spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v \u201eudr\u017een\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u016f v m\u00edrov\u00e9m procesu\u201c, \u201enastaven\u00ed sledu\u201c konfliktu dosa\u017een\u00edm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 pozd\u011bji povede k trval\u00e9mu m\u00edru, a vyu\u017eit\u00ed v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9ho p\u0159echodn\u00e9ho obdob\u00ed k proveden\u00ed v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch krok\u016f k vyv\u00edjen\u00ed tlaku na Rusko k dal\u0161\u00edm \u00fastupk\u016fm. V \u010dl\u00e1nku R\u00e1dia Liberty je vynech\u00e1no, \u017ee Rusko pohrozilo \u00fatoky na z\u00e1padn\u00ed jednotky na Ukrajin\u011b, o kter\u00fdch ministr obrany Pete Hegseth\u00a0d\u0159\u00edve uvedl,\u00a0<\/a>\u017ee by se jim nevztahovaly z\u00e1ruky podle \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 od USA.<\/p>\n

I kdyby Putin souhlasil s t\u00edmto \u00fastupkem, kter\u00fd je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za\u00a0jeden z p\u011bti v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch rozd\u00edl\u016f\u00a0<\/a>mezi n\u00edm a Trumpem, je\u017e vedly k Trumpovu rozzloben\u00e9mu p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku proti Putinovi, Radio Liberty uvedlo, \u017ee by to st\u00e1le nevedlo k de iure evropsk\u00e9mu uzn\u00e1n\u00ed rusk\u00fdch \u00fazemn\u00edch zisk\u016f. Tot\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed pro zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed nebo vr\u00e1cen\u00ed jak\u00e9hokoli z 200 miliard eur zabaven\u00e9ho majetku. Brzy by mohly b\u00fdt dokonce uvaleny dal\u0161\u00ed sankce a neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9 zisky z tohoto majetku \u201efinancuj\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 pot\u0159eby Ukrajiny\u201c.<\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, co odhalilo R\u00e1dio Svoboda, nem\u016f\u017ee Rusko od EU o\u010dek\u00e1vat nic na opl\u00e1tku, pokud Putin povol\u00ed rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed a hl\u00eddkov\u00e1n\u00ed jejich vojsk a letadel na z\u00e1padn\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b. Ve\u0161ker\u00e9 nad\u011bje na obnoven\u00ed statusu n\u00e1razn\u00edkov\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu Ukrajiny z doby p\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou by byly zni\u010deny a nelze vylou\u010dit, \u017ee by se z\u00f3na vojensk\u00e9 aktivity EU mohla pozd\u011bji roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it a\u017e k Dn\u011bpru nebo i d\u00e1le. Jedn\u00edm z c\u00edl\u016f\u00a0speci\u00e1ln\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>operace\u00a0<\/a>bylo zabr\u00e1nit vojensk\u00e9 expanzi Z\u00e1padu na v\u00fdchod, co\u017e by byl dal\u0161\u00ed velk\u00fd \u00fastupek.<\/p>\n

Putin\u016fv dlouholet\u00fd bl\u00edzk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edtel a vlivn\u00fd vysoce postaven\u00fd poradce Nikolaj Patru\u0161ev za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto t\u00fddne\u00a0agentu\u0159e TASS \u0159ekl\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee \u201eNATO ji\u017e druh\u00fdm rokem po sob\u011b po\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1 pobl\u00ed\u017e na\u0161ich hranic nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed cvi\u010den\u00ed za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed, kde procvi\u010duje sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch akc\u00ed na velk\u00e9 plo\u0161e \u2013 od Vilniusu po Od\u011bsu, obsazen\u00ed Kaliningradsk\u00e9 oblasti, blokov\u00e1n\u00ed lodn\u00ed dopravy v Baltsk\u00e9m a \u010cern\u00e9m mo\u0159i a preventivn\u00ed \u00fadery na trval\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny rusk\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edch sil.\u201c<\/p>\n

Tajemn\u00edk Rady bezpe\u010dnosti Sergej \u0160ojgu pro tent\u00fd\u017e server n\u011bkolik dn\u00ed p\u0159edt\u00edm\u00a0uvedl\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee \u201eza posledn\u00ed rok se po\u010det vojensk\u00fdch kontingent\u016f zem\u00ed NATO nasazen\u00fdch pobl\u00ed\u017e z\u00e1padn\u00edch hranic Rusk\u00e9 federace zv\u00fd\u0161il t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 2,5kr\u00e1t\u2026 NATO p\u0159ech\u00e1z\u00ed na nov\u00fd syst\u00e9m bojov\u00e9 pohotovosti, kter\u00fd umo\u017e\u0148uje nasadit do 10 dn\u016f 100 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f pobl\u00ed\u017e hranic Ruska, do 30 dn\u016f 300 000 a do 180 dn\u016f 800 000.\u201c<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e se k tomu p\u0159id\u00e1\u00a0priorita\u00a0<\/a>Baltsk\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 linie a dopl\u0148kov\u00fd V\u00fdchodn\u00ed \u0161t\u00edt Polska, spolu s pl\u00e1ny na roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed \u201e\u00a0vojensk\u00e9ho Schengenu\u00a0<\/a>\u201c s c\u00edlem urychlit rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed vojsk a vybaven\u00ed na v\u00fdchod, jsou z\u0159ejm\u00e9 rysy operace Barbarossa 2.0. Putin nem\u016f\u017ee ovlivnit, co NATO d\u011bl\u00e1 uvnit\u0159 hranic bloku, ale m\u00e1 moc zastavit jeho de facto expanzi na z\u00e1padn\u00ed Ukrajinu b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, co\u017e by mohlo \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b br\u00e1nit jeho spekulativn\u00edm pl\u00e1n\u016fm.<\/p>\n

Ustoupen\u00ed, k \u010demu\u017e by mohl p\u0159istoupit z p\u011bti d\u016fvod\u016f zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fdch ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b t\u00e9to anal\u00fdzy\u00a0z\u00a0<\/a>po\u010d\u00e1tku b\u0159ezna, by vedlo k tomu, \u017ee rusk\u00fd spojenec ve vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 obran\u011b, B\u011blorusko, bude obkl\u00ed\u010deno NATO pod\u00e9l sv\u00e9ho severn\u00edho, z\u00e1padn\u00edho a pot\u00e9 ji\u017en\u00edho k\u0159\u00eddla. To by z n\u011bj mohlo ud\u011blat\u00a0l\u00e1kav\u00fd budouc\u00ed c\u00edl\u00a0<\/a>, ale z\u00e1padn\u00ed agresi by mohlo odradit pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed rusk\u00fdch raket Ore\u0161nik a taktick\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, z nich\u017e druh\u00e9 jmenovan\u00e9 B\u011blorusko ji\u017e dostalo povolen\u00ed pou\u017e\u00edvat dle vlastn\u00edho uv\u00e1\u017een\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ustupov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edm jednotk\u00e1m na Ukrajin\u011b v\u00fdm\u011bnou za ekonomick\u00e9 a strategick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody, kter\u00e9 Rusko douf\u00e1 z\u00edskat od USA, pokud po m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohod\u011b nastartuje jejich\u00a0rod\u00edc\u00ed se\u00a0<\/a>\u201e\u00a0nov\u00e9\u00a0<\/a>uvoln\u011bn\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>\u201c, by proto znamenalo konven\u010dn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed n\u00e1klady, kter\u00e9 by bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 zvl\u00e1dnout pr\u00e1v\u011b popsan\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 by ho v\u0161ak zast\u00e1nci\u00a0tvrd\u00e9 linie\u00a0<\/a>jako Patru\u0161ev, \u0160ojgu a \u010destn\u00fd p\u0159edseda vlivn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 Rady pro zahrani\u010dn\u00ed a obrannou politiku\u00a0Sergej Karaganov\u00a0<\/a>mohli od takov\u00e9 dohody odradit.<\/p>\n

Putin se proto mus\u00ed rozhodnout, zda je to p\u0159ijateln\u00fd kompromis, nebo zda by Rusko m\u011blo riskovat ztr\u00e1tu sv\u00e9ho postkonfliktn\u00edho strategick\u00e9ho partnerstv\u00ed s USA t\u00edm, \u017ee bude i nad\u00e1le oponovat faktick\u00e9 expanzi NATO na z\u00e1padn\u00ed Ukrajinu, a to i vojensk\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky, pokud by se tam s\u00edly EU p\u0159esunuly bez rusk\u00e9ho souhlasu. Jeho rozhodnut\u00ed ur\u010d\u00ed nejen budoucnost tohoto konfliktu, ale tak\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed pro p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 nouzov\u00e9 situace s NATO, a proto se z n\u011bj stane rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed moment jeho \u010dtvrtstolet\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusko nem\u016f\u017ee od EU o\u010dek\u00e1vat nic na opl\u00e1tku, pokud Putin povol\u00ed nasazen\u00ed jejich vojsk a…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":77767,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,41,39,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77766"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77766"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77766\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77767"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}