{"id":77602,"date":"2025-04-30T00:15:48","date_gmt":"2025-04-29T22:15:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=77602"},"modified":"2025-04-29T11:09:59","modified_gmt":"2025-04-29T09:09:59","slug":"arkticky-morsky-led-je-stabilni-jiz-20-let-a-klimaticka-hysterie-se-nadale-hrouti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/04\/30\/arkticky-morsky-led-je-stabilni-jiz-20-let-a-klimaticka-hysterie-se-nadale-hrouti\/","title":{"rendered":"Arktick\u00fd mo\u0159sk\u00fd led je stabiln\u00ed ji\u017e 20 let \u2013 a klimatick\u00e1 hysterie se nad\u00e1le hrout\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><span>Nov\u00e1 v\u011bdeck\u00e1\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/essopenarchive.org\/doi\/full\/10.22541\/essoar.174329135.56312606\/v1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/essopenarchive.org\/doi\/full\/10.22541\/essoar.174329135.56312606\/v1\"><span>studie<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0veden\u00e1 Dr. Markem Englandem z Exetersk\u00e9 univerzity potvrzuje to, co mnoho nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch pozorovatel\u016f v\u00ed u\u017e l\u00e9ta:\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>arktick\u00fd mo\u0159sk\u00fd led je stabiln\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dv\u011b desetilet\u00ed.<\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<span>Toto zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed je v p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9m rozporu s apokalyptick\u00fdmi sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i, kter\u00e9 klimati\u010dt\u00ed aktivist\u00e9 a mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed ji\u017e l\u00e9ta.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A\u010dkoli satelitn\u00ed data ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee led se od roku 2007 v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m m\u011bs\u00edci d\u00e1le nerozt\u00e1l, Sir David Attenborough v roce 2022 \u0159ekl div\u00e1k\u016fm BBC, \u017ee Arktida by mohla b\u00fdt v l\u00e9t\u011b do roku 2035 bez ledu. Al Gore se je\u0161t\u011b groteskn\u011bji m\u00fdlil, kdy\u017e v roce 2007 p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee arktick\u00fd mo\u0159sk\u00fd led do roku 2014 \u00fapln\u011b zmiz\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>V\u011bdeck\u00e1 realita vs. politick\u00e1 agenda<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>V\u00fdsledky nov\u00e9 studie jsou jasn\u00e9:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span>Mo\u0159sk\u00fd led je stabiln\u00ed od roku 2007.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><span>Cykly 70\u201380 let ur\u010duj\u00ed p\u0159irozen\u00e9 kol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed rozsahu ledu.<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong><span>Rok 1979<\/span><\/strong><span>\u00a0, kter\u00fd se \u010dasto pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 jako referen\u010dn\u00ed rok, znamenal\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>cyklick\u00fd vrchol<\/span><\/strong><span>\u00a0, nikoli \u201enorm\u00e1ln\u00ed\u201c \u00farove\u0148.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>Historick\u00e1 pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed ve skute\u010dnosti ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee rozsah ledu byl v 50. letech 20. stolet\u00ed men\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dnes. P\u0159esto se st\u00e1le pokra\u010duj\u00ed pokusy prezentovat ka\u017edou p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00ed zm\u011bnu jako \u010dlov\u011bkem zp\u016fsoben\u00fd \u201eklimatick\u00fd kolaps\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Arktick\u00fd v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk Allan Astrup Jensen ned\u00e1vno uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee \u00fadajn\u011b dramatick\u00fd \u00fabytek ledu byl zp\u016fsoben p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm p\u0159irozen\u00fdm \u00fabytkem mezi lety 1997 a 2007. P\u0159ed a po n\u011bm dominuj\u00ed stabiln\u00ed f\u00e1ze.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>Role klimatick\u00fdch model\u016f<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>M\u00edsto aby p\u0159iznali zjevnou stabilizaci, klimatologi\u010dt\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci se nyn\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed interpretovat modely tak, aby byla stagnace pova\u017eov\u00e1na i za \u201epotvrzenou\u201c.<\/span><br \/>\n<span>T\u00fdm Dr. Englanda popisuje sou\u010dasn\u00e9 l\u00e1m\u00e1n\u00ed led\u016f jako \u201ep\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9, ale ne neo\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e9\u201c \u2013 v\u011bta, kter\u00e1 ilustruje, jak flexibiln\u00ed se stalo modern\u00ed modelov\u00e1n\u00ed klimatu:\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>A\u0165 se stane cokoli, interpretuje se to jako d\u016fkaz vlastn\u00ed teze.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Klasick\u00fd man\u00e9vr:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>Kdy\u017e taje led, je to zm\u011bna klimatu.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Kdy\u017e led roste nebo stagnuje, jedn\u00e1 se tak\u00e9 o zm\u011bnu klimatu \u2013 tentokr\u00e1t \u201eskrytou\u201c p\u0159irozen\u00fdmi v\u00fdkyvy, ale \u00fadajn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>Tato absurdn\u00ed interpretace ukazuje, jak moc se klimatologie n\u011bkdy odch\u00fdlila od objektivn\u00edho m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed a je zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1na k obhajob\u011b ideologick\u00fdch program\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span>Klimatick\u00e1 propaganda vs. v\u011bda<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>V\u011bdci jako Dr. England nakonec z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u011brni sv\u00e9mu narativu a sna\u017e\u00ed se sou\u010dasnou ledovou plo\u0161inu prodat jako potvrzen\u00ed sv\u00fdch modelov\u00fdch p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed.<\/span><br \/>\n<span>Je v\u0161ak st\u00e1le obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed skr\u00fdt rozpor mezi skute\u010dn\u00fdmi daty a hysteri\u00ed kolem politick\u00e9ho klimatu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Realita:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>Katastrofick\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi Gorea, Attenborougha a spol. se nesplnily.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>K \u00fadajn\u00fdm \u201ebod\u016fm zlomu\u201c nedo\u0161lo.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span>Tyto modely n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t selhaly, ale nad\u00e1le se pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed jako z\u00e1klad pro masivn\u00ed politick\u00e9 ot\u0159esy.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>D\u016fv\u011bra v klimatick\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi kles\u00e1 \u2013 a s n\u00ed i d\u016fv\u011bra v ty elity, kter\u00e9 cht\u011bj\u00ed zav\u00e9st politiku \u201enulov\u00fdch \u010dist\u00fdch emis\u00ed\u201c zalo\u017eenou na pochybn\u00fdch p\u0159edpokladech.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span>Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span>Arktick\u00fd mo\u0159sk\u00fd led n\u00e1m poskytuje ponau\u010den\u00ed:\u00a0<\/span><strong><span>klima je cyklick\u00e9, slo\u017eit\u00e9 a nelze jej zachytit line\u00e1rn\u00edmi modely.<\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<span>Ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edrodu jako zbra\u0148 k prosazen\u00ed politick\u00e9 agendy, si nejen zahr\u00e1v\u00e1 s v\u011bdeckou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost\u00ed, ale tak\u00e9 se soci\u00e1ln\u00edm m\u00edrem.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/dailysceptic.org\/2025\/04\/28\/now-scientists-claim-near-20-year-stable-arctic-sea-ice-is-unsurprising-and-predicted-by-models\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nov\u00e1 v\u011bdeck\u00e1\u00a0studie\u00a0veden\u00e1 Dr. Markem Englandem z Exetersk\u00e9 univerzity potvrzuje to, co mnoho nez\u00e1visl\u00fdch pozorovatel\u016f v\u00ed&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7262,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[116,873,1102,497],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77602"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77602"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77602\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7262"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}