{"id":77536,"date":"2025-04-29T00:24:10","date_gmt":"2025-04-28T22:24:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=77536"},"modified":"2025-04-28T16:22:48","modified_gmt":"2025-04-28T14:22:48","slug":"trump-tlaci-indii-do-riskantniho-konfliktu-s-cinou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/04\/29\/trump-tlaci-indii-do-riskantniho-konfliktu-s-cinou\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump tla\u010d\u00ed Indii do riskantn\u00edho konfliktu s \u010c\u00ednou"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1fb4c2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-content\" data-id=\"1fb4c2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-content.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p><strong><span>P\u0159ijet\u00ed po\u017eadavk\u016f USA na izolaci \u010c\u00edny v obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lce ze strany Indie bude m\u00edt na Dill\u00ed negativn\u00ed dopad v n\u011bkolika ohledech.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>Celn\u00ed v\u00e1lka americk\u00e9ho prezidenta Donalda Trumpa ot\u0159\u00e1sla glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomikou, ale \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 hlava st\u00e1tu nepoci\u0165uje jej\u00ed dopady tak siln\u011b jako indick\u00fd premi\u00e9r Narendra Modi. V geopolitick\u00e9m dilematu se Indie pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s existen\u010dn\u00edm dilematem: vyva\u017eovat sv\u00e9 \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 vazby s \u010c\u00ednou a p\u0159ita\u017elivost\u00ed americk\u00e9ho trhu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Dne 2. dubna 2025 uvalila Trumpova administrativa 26% recipro\u010dn\u00ed cla na indick\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed, co\u017e Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed p\u0159im\u011blo zapojit se do obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupu na americk\u00fd trh, kter\u00fd je jeho nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed exportn\u00ed destinac\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>A\u010dkoli indick\u00e1 m\u00e9dia l\u00ed\u010d\u00ed Modiho jako \u201eVishwaguru\u201c (sv\u011btov\u00e9ho v\u016fdce) a nezdoln\u00e9ho sil\u00e1ka, Indie ve sv\u00e9 reakci prok\u00e1zala p\u0159ekvapivou zdr\u017eenlivost. To se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed v rychl\u00e9m a rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9m sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed dovozn\u00edch cel na motocykly Harley-Davidson a bourbon whisky vyroben\u00e9 v USA, stejn\u011b jako v komplexn\u00edm z\u00e1vazku ke sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed obchodn\u00edch p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek. Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed tak\u00e9 ozn\u00e1milo pl\u00e1ny na n\u00e1kup dal\u0161\u00edch energetick\u00fdch a obrann\u00fdch produkt\u016f od USA, aby uklidnilo Trumpa.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Trump\u016fv t\u00fdm rozpoznal tuto slabinu a vyu\u017eil 90denn\u00edho pozastaven\u00ed cel k tomu, aby dotla\u010dil Indii k \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 strategii ekonomick\u00e9 a strategick\u00e9 izolace \u010c\u00edny. V r\u00e1mci t\u00e9to diplomatick\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy p\u0159ijel 22. dubna do Dill\u00ed americk\u00fd viceprezident JD Vance na \u010dty\u0159denn\u00ed n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Vance, kter\u00fd cestoval se svou \u017eenou a d\u011btmi z Indie, vyl\u00ed\u010dil cestu jako rodinnou n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvu, aby uk\u00e1zal svou solidaritu se sv\u00fdm\u00a0<\/span><em><span>Sasuralem<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0(\u201etch\u00e1nov\u00e9\u201c) a jeho d\u011btmi\u00a0<\/span><em><span>\u201eNana-Nani\u201c<\/span><\/em><span>\u00a0(prarodi\u010de z mat\u010diny strany). Skute\u010dn\u00fdm \u00fa\u010delem n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy v\u0161ak bylo zv\u00fd\u0161it tlak na Indii a pos\u00edlit jej\u00ed spojenectv\u00ed s Pekingem.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zat\u00edmco Trump ve sv\u00e9m prvn\u00edm volebn\u00edm obdob\u00ed nal\u00e1kal Indii p\u0159esunem americk\u00fdch investic z \u010c\u00edny do Indie, ve sv\u00e9m druh\u00e9m vyhro\u017euje tarify, aby Modiho pod\u0159\u00eddil sv\u00e9 v\u016fli.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Ministr hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed Ajay Seth tento t\u00fdden uvedl, \u017ee \u201eprvn\u00ed kolo\u201c 26procentn\u00edch cel na indick\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed, pokud by bylo zavedeno, by mohlo sn\u00ed\u017eit HDP o 0,2 a\u017e 0,5 procentn\u00edho bodu, co\u017e by podle n\u011bj nem\u011blo \u201ez\u00e1sadn\u00ed dopad\u201c. Aby Dill\u00ed zd\u016fraznilo nal\u00e9havost situace, p\u0159esto pl\u00e1novalo vyslat do Washingtonu hlavn\u00edho obchodn\u00edho vyjednava\u010de i ministra financ\u00ed p\u0159ed osudn\u00fdmi \u00fatoky v Ka\u0161m\u00edru tento t\u00fdden.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Slo\u017eit\u00e1 situace Indie m\u00e1 ko\u0159eny v jej\u00ed rozd\u011blen\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 realit\u011b. Jeho pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna, \u010dasto o n\u011bco v\u00edce ne\u017e v\u00fdroba na mont\u00e1\u017en\u00ed lince, siln\u011b z\u00e1vis\u00ed na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m meziproduktu, surovin\u00e1ch, kapit\u00e1lov\u00e9m zbo\u017e\u00ed, technologii a investic\u00edch do v\u00fdroby fin\u00e1ln\u00edch produkt\u016f pro export, zejm\u00e9na do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V letech 2024\u201325 bylo v\u00edce ne\u017e 14 % celkov\u00e9ho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu Indie s \u010c\u00ednou, zat\u00edmco indick\u00fd dovoz p\u0159isp\u011bl ke sv\u011btov\u00e9mu obchodu \u010c\u00edny pouze 1,9 %, co\u017e zd\u016fraz\u0148uje silnou asymetrii. USA v sou\u010dasnosti akceptuj\u00ed 35% p\u0159idanou hodnotu v Indii jako dostate\u010dnou pro \u201ecertifik\u00e1t p\u016fvodu\u201c, kter\u00fd Indii umo\u017e\u0148uje dov\u00e1\u017eet \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 komponenty, montovat je a vyv\u00e1\u017eet hotov\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed do Ameriky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tento model v\u0161ak \u010din\u00ed Indii zranitelnou v\u016f\u010di procentu\u00e1ln\u00edm \u00faprav\u00e1m. Obrat k USA s sebou nese riziko \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 odvety, kter\u00e1 by mohla zastavit indick\u00e9 v\u00fdrobn\u00ed linky; Obrat sm\u011brem k \u010c\u00edn\u011b hroz\u00ed ztr\u00e1tou p\u0159\u00edstupu na americk\u00fd trh.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Toto je \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed dilema Indie. Pokud se Indie p\u0159ipoj\u00ed k USA ve sv\u00e9m konfliktu s \u010c\u00ednou, Peking by mohl uvalit z\u00e1plavu represivn\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed \u2013 zjevn\u00fdch i nen\u00e1padn\u00fdch \u2013, kter\u00e1 by naru\u0161ila hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd rozvoj Indie, podkopala jej\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost a oslabila jej\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed vliv, podobn\u011b jako v roce 2020 v reakci na nap\u011bt\u00ed na him\u00e1lajsk\u00e9 hranici.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Nejbezprost\u0159edn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zbran\u00ed \u010c\u00edny by byla obchodn\u00ed manipulace vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed obchodn\u00ed deficit Indie ve v\u00fd\u0161i 100 miliard dolar\u016f v letech 2024-25. Peking by mohl zav\u00e9st vysok\u00e1 cla nebo neceln\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky, jako jsou p\u0159\u00edsn\u00e9 kontroly kvality na indick\u00fd v\u00fdvoz, jako jsou zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00e9 produkty, textil a ko\u017een\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed, a t\u00edm omezit p\u0159\u00edstup Indie na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 a spojeneck\u00e9 trhy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Je\u0161t\u011b ni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00ed by bylo, kdyby \u010c\u00edna omezila v\u00fdvoz kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch meziprodukt\u016f, jako jsou farmaceutick\u00e9 prekurzory (70 % indick\u00e9 nab\u00eddky), sou\u010d\u00e1stky pro chytr\u00e9 telefony a pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 stroje. Kdy\u017e Indie v roce 2020 zp\u0159\u00edsnila kontroly \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch investic, Peking reagoval t\u00edm, \u017ee zablokoval n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvy in\u017een\u00fdr\u016f a technik\u016f a dod\u00e1vky stroj\u016f \u2013 co\u017e je taktika, kter\u00e1 by se dnes mohla zintenzivnit s je\u0161t\u011b ni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi n\u00e1sledky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Takov\u00e1 omezen\u00ed by ochromila indick\u00fd sektor chytr\u00fdch telefon\u016f, farmaceutick\u00fd pr\u016fmysl a sol\u00e1rn\u00ed energetiku, kter\u00e9 jsou v\u0161echny \u00fazce propojeny s \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdmi dodavatelsk\u00fdmi \u0159et\u011bzci. Selektivn\u00edm omezen\u00edm dovozu indick\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed by \u010c\u00edna mohla d\u00e1le naru\u0161it obchodn\u00ed bilanci a sn\u00ed\u017eit p\u0159\u00edjmy Indie z v\u00fdvozu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna p\u0159edstavuje v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159etinu indick\u00e9ho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu, mohla by tato opat\u0159en\u00ed vyvolat v\u00e1\u017en\u00fd hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd pokles a po\u0161kodit indick\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 ambice a glob\u00e1ln\u00ed konkurenceschopnost.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Finan\u010dn\u00ed p\u00e1ka nab\u00edz\u00ed \u010c\u00edn\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed zp\u016fsob, jak vyvinout tlak na Indii. S devizov\u00fdmi rezervami ve v\u00fd\u0161i 3,24 bilionu dolar\u016f a v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm vlivem na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy by Peking mohl naru\u0161it obchodn\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed indick\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed zp\u0159\u00edsn\u011bn\u00edm platebn\u00edch podm\u00ednek, zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed nebo omezen\u00edm p\u016fj\u010dek prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch bank. Po indick\u00e9m z\u00e1kazu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch aplikac\u00ed v roce 2020 omezili \u010d\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed investo\u0159i financov\u00e1n\u00ed indick\u00fdch startup\u016f \u2013 precedens, kter\u00fd by se mohl roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it do dal\u0161\u00edch odv\u011btv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud Indie prohloub\u00ed sv\u00e9 sbli\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed s USA, \u010c\u00edna by mohla zmrazit investice do ned\u00e1vno schv\u00e1len\u00fdch spole\u010dn\u00fdch podnik\u016f \u2013 jako jsou Vivo, Suzhou Inovance a ZNShine \u2013 nebo st\u00e1hnout nov\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by podkopala indick\u00fd v\u00fdrobn\u00ed r\u016fst a pl\u00e1ny transferu technologi\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Jemn\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi zp\u016fsoby by \u010c\u00edna mohla ovlivnit p\u0159\u00edstup Indie k mnohostrann\u00fdm finan\u010dn\u00edm instituc\u00edm, jako je Asijsk\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00ed banka pro infrastrukturu nebo Nov\u00e1 rozvojov\u00e1 banka, pozastaven\u00edm indick\u00fdch projekt\u016f. Tato finan\u010dn\u00ed omezen\u00ed by mohla zpomalit indick\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 a infrastrukturn\u00ed iniciativy a omezit jej\u00ed schopnost roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it dom\u00e1c\u00ed v\u00fdrobu nebo se st\u00e1t nez\u00e1visl\u00fdmi na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch vstupech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V technologick\u00e9m sektoru by se \u010c\u00edna mohla zam\u011b\u0159it na rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se indick\u00fd digit\u00e1ln\u00ed a obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl. Indick\u00e9 s\u00edt\u011b 5G a projekty chytr\u00fdch m\u011bst \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na technologie od \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed, jako jsou Huawei a ZTE. Peking by mohl vykolejit indickou digit\u00e1ln\u00ed infrastrukturu omezen\u00edm p\u0159\u00edstupu nebo odm\u00edtnut\u00edm technick\u00e9 podpory.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zpr\u00e1va Harvard Belfer Center z roku 2021 zd\u016fraznila dominanci \u010c\u00edny v oblasti um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence, 5G, kvantov\u00fdch po\u010d\u00edta\u010d\u016f a polovodi\u010d\u016f. Embargo na polovodi\u010de nebo high-tech sou\u010d\u00e1stky by mohlo ochromit za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00edc\u00ed indick\u00fd polovodi\u010dov\u00fd a obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, kter\u00fd se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky pokro\u010dil\u00e9 elektroniky.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u010c\u00edna by tak\u00e9 mohla zt\u00ed\u017eit sv\u00fdm technologick\u00fdm spole\u010dnostem podnik\u00e1n\u00ed v Indii zastaven\u00edm dod\u00e1vek sol\u00e1rn\u00edch panel\u016f nebo telekomunika\u010dn\u00edch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed. Takov\u00e1 naru\u0161en\u00ed by zpomalila technologick\u00fd pokrok Indie a oslabila jej\u00ed strategick\u00e9 schopnosti, zejm\u00e9na v oblasti obrann\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou z\u00e1sadn\u00ed pro boj s region\u00e1ln\u00edmi hrozbami.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 sev\u0159en\u00ed kritick\u00fdch surovin (CRM) a prvk\u016f vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin (REE) p\u0159edstavuje je\u0161t\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed existen\u010dn\u00ed riziko. V roce 2023 Indie identifikovala 30 kritick\u00fdch miner\u00e1l\u016f \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch pro elektrick\u00e1 vozidla (EV), polovodi\u010de, obrann\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a obnoviteln\u00e9 zdroje energie, v\u010detn\u011b lithia, kobaltu, galia, titanu, grafitu, k\u0159em\u00edku, vizmutu, telluru a REE, jako je neodym, praseodym, dysprosium a terbium.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Indie m\u00e1 6,9 milionu tun z\u00e1sob REE \u2013 p\u00e1t\u00e9 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b \u2013 ale jej\u00ed zpracovatelsk\u00e9 a rafina\u010dn\u00ed kapacity jsou zanedbateln\u00e9. Poch\u00e1z\u00ed 60 % sv\u00e9ho dovozu REE a v\u00edce ne\u017e 40 % \u0161esti CRM \u2013 vizmut (85,6 %), lithium (82 %), k\u0159em\u00edk (76 %), titan (50,6 %), telur (48,8 %) a grafit (42,4 %) \u2013 z \u010c\u00edny. Peking kontroluje 87 % celosv\u011btov\u00e9ho zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed REE, 58 % rafinace lithia a 68 % rafinace k\u0159em\u00edku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z\u00e1kaz \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu by proto mohl vykolejit indick\u00e9 ambice dos\u00e1hnout 30% pod\u00edlu elektrick\u00fdch vozidel do roku 2030, jej\u00ed pl\u00e1ny na v\u00fdrobu polovodi\u010d\u016f a v\u00fdrobu obrany, kter\u00e1 se u raket, radar\u016f a nav\u00e1d\u011bc\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f op\u00edr\u00e1 o REE. Indick\u00fd farmaceutick\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, kter\u00fd je ze 70 % z\u00e1visl\u00fd na \u010c\u00edn\u011b, pokud jde o vstupy, a jeho sektor chytr\u00fdch telefon\u016f, kter\u00fd se spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 komponenty, by \u010delily akutn\u00edmu nedostatku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Zat\u00edmco Indie hled\u00e1 alternativy prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm partnerstv\u00ed pro nerostn\u00e9 zabezpe\u010den\u00ed a partnerstv\u00ed s Austr\u00e1li\u00ed, odd\u011blen\u00ed od \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 dominance m\u016f\u017ee trvat desetilet\u00ed. Embargo by proto znamenalo pro indick\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 a strategick\u00e9 ambice katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed r\u00e1nu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Diplomaticky by \u010c\u00edna mohla izolovat Indii v r\u00e1mci \u0160anghajsk\u00e9 organizace pro spolupr\u00e1ci (SCO) a BRICS+ t\u00edm, \u017ee by jej\u00ed sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed s USA vyl\u00ed\u010dila jako zradu spole\u010dn\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f. V roce 2024 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed takov\u00e9 aliance odsoudilo a Peking by mohl mobilizovat \u010dleny SCO, jako je P\u00e1kist\u00e1n a Rusko, aby zablokovali indick\u00e9 iniciativy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V BRICS+ by \u010c\u00edna mohla pos\u00edlit sv\u00e9 vztahy s Braz\u00edli\u00ed, Ji\u017en\u00ed Afrikou a nov\u00fdmi \u010dleny, aby marginalizovala Nov\u00e9 Dill\u00ed. Region\u00e1ln\u011b by Peking mohl zintenzivnit projekty Iniciativy p\u00e1su a stezky v sousedn\u00edch zem\u00edch Indie \u2013 Nep\u00e1lu, Sr\u00ed Lance, Malediv\u00e1ch a Banglad\u00e9\u0161i \u2013 a podkopat tak indickou politiku \u201eNeighborhood First\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V roce 2023 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd vyslanec Chen Song zd\u016fraznil roli BRI v ji\u017en\u00ed Asii, \u010d\u00edm\u017e nazna\u010dil z\u00e1m\u011br Pekingu obkl\u00ed\u010dit Indii. Takov\u00e9 man\u00e9vry by Indii diplomaticky izolovaly a odcizily od jej\u00edch spojenc\u016f na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm Jihu, vykreslovaly by ji jako z\u00e1stupce Z\u00e1padu a podkopaly jej\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed vliv.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud bude Indie v\u016f\u010di \u010c\u00edn\u011b pokra\u010dovat v konfronta\u010dn\u00edm postoji, Peking by se mohl uch\u00fdlit k tvrd\u00fdm opat\u0159en\u00edm. Nap\u011bt\u00ed na hranic\u00edch by se mohlo znovu rozho\u0159et, ke st\u0159et\u016fm v Ladakhu nebo Arun\u00e1\u010dalprad\u00e9\u0161i, jak bylo vid\u011bt p\u0159i st\u0159etu na Galwanu v roce 2020. V roce 2021 \u010c\u00edna rozm\u00edstila 100 modern\u00edch raketomet\u016f pod\u00e9l linie skute\u010dn\u00e9 kontroly, \u010d\u00edm\u017e signalizovala svou p\u0159ipravenost k eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cvi\u010den\u00ed v Indick\u00e9m oce\u00e1nu vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstavy jako Gwadar, Hambantota a Chattogram by mohla zpochybnit n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dominanci Indie. Kybernetick\u00e9 \u00fatoky, jako je v\u00fdpadek v Bombaji v roce 2020, kter\u00fd byl spojen se skupinami sponzorovan\u00fdmi \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm st\u00e1tem, by se mohly zam\u011b\u0159it na indick\u00fd telekomunika\u010dn\u00ed, energetick\u00fd a bankovn\u00ed sektor a ochromit jeho ekonomiku.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 hrozby p\u0159es P\u00e1kist\u00e1n nebo Myanmar, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b vyzbrojen\u00e9 \u010c\u00ednou, by mohly vytvo\u0159it v\u00fdzvu na mnoha front\u00e1ch a kl\u00e1st velkou z\u00e1t\u011b\u017e na indick\u00fd bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed apar\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>M\u011bkk\u00e1 s\u00edla nab\u00edz\u00ed \u010c\u00edn\u011b rafinovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1stroj k destabilizaci Modiho dom\u00e1c\u00ed politick\u00e9 pozice. Dohoda z roku 2024 o obnoven\u00ed indick\u00fdch pout\u00ed do Kailash Mansarovar v Tibetu, posv\u00e1tn\u00e9ho m\u00edsta hinduist\u016f, d\u017einist\u016f a buddhist\u016f, byla gestem dobr\u00e9 v\u016fle. Op\u011btovn\u00e9 zaveden\u00ed z\u00e1kazu by mohlo vyvolat odpor t\u011bchto komunit a po\u0161kodit politick\u00fd kapit\u00e1l Modi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Obchodn\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed Indie s USA tento t\u00fdden ve Washingtonu otestuj\u00ed Modiho schopnost proplout t\u00edmto minov\u00fdm polem. Vzhledem k velk\u00e9 roli \u010c\u00edny v indick\u00fdch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u00edch a minim\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti na indick\u00e9m obchodu m\u00e1 Peking jednozna\u010dn\u011b navrch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Chybn\u00fd krok by mohl uvrhnout Indii do ekonomick\u00e9ho chaosu, ohrozit jej\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost a sn\u00ed\u017eit jej\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed postaven\u00ed, co\u017e by p\u0159inutilo Modiho zv\u00e1\u017eit n\u00e1klady vzdoru proti nebezpe\u010d\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>Autor: Bhim Bhurtel<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8c57238 quelle dc-has-condition dc-condition-empty elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"8c57238\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/asiatimes.com\/2025\/04\/trump-pushing-india-into-high-stakes-high-risk-china-clash\/#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Zdroj<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159ijet\u00ed po\u017eadavk\u016f USA na izolaci \u010c\u00edny v obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lce ze strany Indie bude m\u00edt na&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":71366,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[30,79,1503,452,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77536"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=77536"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77536\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71366"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=77536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=77536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=77536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}