{"id":7683,"date":"2022-01-21T03:56:40","date_gmt":"2022-01-21T02:56:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=7683"},"modified":"2022-01-21T03:56:40","modified_gmt":"2022-01-21T02:56:40","slug":"vlastimil-podracky-vojna-i-mir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2022\/01\/21\/vlastimil-podracky-vojna-i-mir\/","title":{"rendered":"Vlastimil Podrack\u00fd: Vojna i m\u00edr"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed NATO s\u00a0Ruskem je v\u00edce ne\u017e pot\u0159ebn\u00e9. Situace je napjat\u00e1 a Rusov\u00e9 jako slab\u0161\u00ed z protivn\u00edk\u016f nemaj\u00ed jinou mo\u017enost ne\u017e ji nap\u00ednat, aby se probl\u00e9my \u0159e\u0161ily. Jinak by se s\u00a0nimi nikdo nebavil.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
\n

Podstata konfliktu<\/h2>\n

Situace na Ukrajin\u011b se t\u00e1hne u\u017e sedm\u00fd rok a \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed se \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nenalezlo. Ukrajina z\u0159ejm\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee dob\u00fdt n\u00e1sil\u00edm v\u00fdchod zem\u011b, proto\u017ee Rusko d\u00e1v\u00e1 najevo, \u017ee ruskou men\u0161inu v\u00a0povstaleck\u00fdch republik\u00e1ch, a v\u016fbec na v\u00fdchod\u011b Ukrajiny, nenech\u00e1 zlikvidovat. Vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9 se domn\u00edvali, \u017ee zlikviduj\u00ed rusk\u00fd jazyk na cel\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. Dokonce prohla\u0161uj\u00ed, \u017ee Rusov\u00e9 nejsou n\u00e1rod. O to se sna\u017e\u00ed na \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 nen\u00ed pod kontrolou povstalc\u016f, tak\u017ee si m\u016f\u017eeme p\u0159edstavit, co by d\u011blali se zbytkem \u00fazem\u00ed. Evropa a USA k\u00a0tomu ml\u010d\u00ed a ukrajinsk\u00e9 nacionalisty podporuj\u00ed. Je to jen dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fkaz pokrytectv\u00ed v\u00a0po\u017eadavc\u00edch lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1v (n\u00e1\u0161 p\u0159edn\u00ed bojovn\u00edk za lidsk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b tak\u00e9 ml\u010d\u00ed). Podle Minsk\u00fdch dohod m\u011bl ukrajinsk\u00fd st\u00e1t zm\u011bnit \u00fastavu a ud\u011blat referendum na v\u00fdchod\u011b zem\u011b tak, aby tato oblast dostala n\u011bjakou autonomii. Ten to v\u0161ak doposud neud\u011blal a nikdo ho k\u00a0tomu nenut\u00ed. To je z\u00e1klad sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho stavu nap\u011bt\u00ed. Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed nacionalist\u00e9 v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee na sv\u00e9 stran\u011b maj\u00ed z\u00e1mo\u0159skou velmoc a sv\u011btov\u00e9ho hegemona, a proto si mohou vyskakovat. Je ot\u00e1zka jestli jsou ve sv\u00e9m fanatismu schopni rozeznat m\u00edru. To by potom mohlo b\u00fdt katastrofick\u00e9. Je tristn\u00ed, \u017ee se stala Evropa rukojm\u00edm nezodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 moci, kter\u00e1 se hl\u00e1s\u00ed k\u00a0fa\u0161istick\u00e9 historii Banderovc\u016f a podle toho kon\u00e1. Jak tuto situaci \u0159e\u0161it, kdy\u017e nen\u00ed v\u00a0Evrop\u011b jasn\u011b deklarovan\u00e1 v\u016fle?<\/p>\n

Obyvatel\u00e9 Krymu, takt\u00e9\u017e p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b Rusov\u00e9, mus\u00ed si asi ka\u017ed\u00fd den r\u00e1no sami sob\u011b blaho\u0159e\u010dit, \u017ee se v\u00a0referendu rozhodli p\u0159ipojit k Rusku. P\u0159edstava, \u017ee by se s\u00a0nimi zach\u00e1zelo stejn\u011b jako s\u00a0jejich bratry na v\u00fdchod\u011b Ukrajiny jim asi nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e1. Nemluv\u011b samoz\u0159ejm\u011b o rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladn\u011b v\u00a0Sevastopolu, kter\u00e1 by u\u017e zcela jist\u011b rusk\u00e1 nebyla. Nelze ov\u0161em tvrdit, \u017ee z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed Krymu Ruskem bylo zcela leg\u00e1ln\u00ed. Za t\u011bchto okolnost\u00ed je takt\u00e9\u017e zablokovan\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed ohledn\u011b Krymu a odblokovat ho je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b tak\u00e9 nutn\u00e9. Na za\u010d\u00e1tku se mus\u00ed pravdiv\u011b konflikt vysv\u011btlit.<\/p>\n

Ale nejvlastn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed podstata konfliktu je boj velmoc\u00ed o trhy a o zdroje. Moment\u00e1ln\u011b nejsp\u00ed\u0161e o zastaven\u00ed dod\u00e1vek rusk\u00fdch surovin do Evropy. To ov\u0161em z\u00e1vis\u00ed na Evropanech. Pokud se nechaj\u00ed zmanipulovat, potom budou m\u00edt plyn v\u00fdznamn\u011b dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed, ale nebude rusk\u00fd. Tak\u00e9 v\u00fdstavbu Dukovan mus\u00edme m\u00edt od z\u00e1padn\u00ed firmy, nikoliv od rusk\u00e9. Politika byla pou\u017eita k\u00a0hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm c\u00edl\u016fm. Pr\u00e1v\u011b proto se domn\u00edv\u00e1m, \u017ee se ne\u0159e\u0161\u00ed ani probl\u00e9m Ukrajiny, rozd\u011blan\u00fd konflikt se v\u017edy pou\u017eije k\u00a0n\u011bjak\u00e9 provokaci Ruska, aby mohly z\u00e1visl\u00e9 sd\u011blovac\u00ed prost\u0159edky spustit s\u00e9rii propagandistick\u00fdch fr\u00e1z\u00ed, mas\u00edrovku Evropan\u016f, ve kter\u00e9 se u\u017e ztr\u00e1c\u00ed jak\u00e1koliv racionalita. Hrozba z\u00a0rusk\u00e9 strany, \u017ee konflikt dostane rozhodn\u00fd r\u00e1z, by mohla p\u0159er\u016fst v\u00a0realitu a byl by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b konec toho neust\u00e1l\u00e9ho tak pro USA v\u00fdhodn\u00e9ho p\u0159etahov\u00e1n\u00ed. Jak\u00e9 stanovisko zaujmou USA v\u00a0dohod\u00e1ch uvid\u00edme, ale je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee USA mus\u00ed ustoupit v\u00edce, Rusko nem\u00e1 kam ustupovat. Hroz\u00ed mu americk\u00e9 rakety na dost\u0159el od Moskvy.<\/p>\n

Zafixovan\u00e9 m\u00fdty<\/h2>\n

Nemysl\u00edm si, \u017ee roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO na v\u00fdchod je n\u011bjak\u00e1 zlovoln\u00e1 politika USA. St\u00e1ty st\u0159edn\u00ed Evropy do NATO cht\u011bly dobrovoln\u011b a velice o to st\u00e1ly. Vzpom\u00edn\u00e1m, \u017ee dokonce p\u016fvodn\u011b ani nebyla n\u011bjak\u00e1 velk\u00e1 v\u016fle n\u00e1s do NATO vz\u00edt. Obrann\u00fd pakt nikoho nijak nesvazuje, pod\u00edvejme, co d\u011bl\u00e1 Turecko, kter\u00e9 mimochodem dvakr\u00e1t provedlo \u00fatok na ciz\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed (Kypr, S\u00fdrie) ani\u017e by n\u011bkdo proti tomu n\u011bco v\u00e1\u017en\u011b poznamenal. Obecn\u00e1 situace se ov\u0161em bezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nest\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010dlenstv\u00edm v\u00a0NATO, jak vid\u011bt \u010dlen NATO m\u016f\u017ee \u00fatoky na ciz\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed d\u011blat, ale opa\u010dn\u011b nelze. To samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zvy\u0161uje nebezpe\u010dnost NATO a Rusko je si toho v\u011bdomo. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b nelze Baltsk\u00fdm zem\u00edm a Polsku vy\u010d\u00edtat, \u017ee maj\u00ed z\u00a0Ruska strach. Maj\u00ed svoje historick\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti.<\/p>\n

Pov\u011bst Ruska jako agresora t\u00e1hnouc\u00ed se jako m\u00fdtus ze sov\u011btsk\u00e9 \u00e9ry st\u00e1le ob\u00edh\u00e1 sv\u011bt. Zem\u011b st\u0159edn\u00ed Evropy pro\u017eily komunistickou \u00e9ru a z\u00e1sahy SSSR do sv\u00e9 suverenity maj\u00ed v historii zapsan\u00e9 a propagandou zmytizovan\u00e9 do rozm\u011br\u016f mnohdy srovn\u00e1van\u00fdch s\u00a0nacismem (samoz\u0159ejm\u011b z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b pro p\u0159eveden\u00ed viny za II sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku z\u00a0N\u011bmecka na SSSR). Rusk\u00fd z\u00e1bor Krymu se pova\u017euje za \u00fatok na Evropu, probuzen\u00ed sp\u00edc\u00edho d\u00e9mona n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00edho SSSR. V\u0161echno je to ov\u0161em na \u00farovni poh\u00e1dky prolo\u017een\u00e9 fabulacemi o \u201ev\u011b\u010dn\u011b zl\u00e9m Rusku\u201c. To v\u0161echno je umo\u017en\u011bno sv\u011btov\u00fdmi m\u00e9dii \u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00edc\u00edmi jen m\u00e1lokdy pravdu, st\u00e1le se dr\u017e\u00edc\u00edmi m\u00fdt\u016f. Zat\u00edmco u n\u00e1s v\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed v\u00ed, \u017ee na Krymu \u017eij\u00ed p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b Rusov\u00e9 a Krym k\u00a0Rusku d\u0159\u00edve pat\u0159il, v\u00a0USA, ale i v\u00a0z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evrop\u011b to v\u00a0takov\u00e9m pov\u011bdom\u00ed nen\u00ed a medi\u00e1ln\u00ed mas\u00e1\u017ee maj\u00ed daleko v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enost vyvol\u00e1vat r\u016fzn\u00e9 p\u0159edstavy, kter\u00e9 se budou tak dlouho om\u00edlat, ne\u017e opravdu povedou k\u00a0v\u00e1lce.<\/p>\n

\u0160\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed pravdy v\u00a0cel\u00e9m rozsahu a v\u00a0cel\u00e9 \u0161\u00ed\u0159ce sd\u011blovac\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f, je p\u0159edpokladem m\u00edru. Nap\u0159ed mus\u00edme \u0159\u00edkat pravdu. Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed mus\u00ed b\u00fdt na z\u00e1klad\u011b pravdy. Jak\u00e9 \u00famysly, kdo m\u00e1, prozrad\u00ed, zda je schopen pravdu sn\u00e9st, uznat a le\u017e zam\u00edtnout. Pokud se to nestane, nen\u00ed dohoda mo\u017en\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Na rusk\u00e9 stran\u011b se pl\u00e9duj\u00ed neust\u00e1l\u00e9 obavy a historick\u00e9 m\u00fdty. Rusko byla napadeno minim\u00e1ln\u011b dvakr\u00e1t tragicky z\u00a0Evropy a jeho ned\u016fv\u011bra k\u00a0takov\u00fdm formac\u00edm jako je NATO z\u00a0toho pramen\u00ed. Neschopnost ve st\u00e1tech NATO \u0159\u00edkat pravdu, neust\u00e1l\u00e9 \u0161tvan\u00ed a zveli\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed, nepravdy \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 o Rusku, to v\u0161e p\u0159ece nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Rusy o tom, \u017ee NATO je \u010dist\u011b obrann\u00fd blok a \u017ee nechyst\u00e1 \u00fatok. P\u0159itom v\u011bt\u0161ina \u0159e\u010d\u00ed a tzv. \u201einformac\u00ed\u201c se proti Rusku d\u011bl\u00e1 jaksi z\u00a0furiantstv\u00ed, ono je velice snadn\u00e9 do Ruska kopat, kdy\u017e to nic nestoj\u00ed a kdy\u017e oportunist\u00e9 a vazalov\u00e9 si mysl\u00ed, \u017ee t\u00edm z\u00edsk\u00e1vaj\u00ed body u sv\u00e9ho velk\u00e9ho z\u00e1mo\u0159sk\u00e9ho don\u00e1tora.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1mo\u0159sk\u00fd don\u00e1tor v\u010detn\u011b evropsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f ov\u0161em nestoj\u00ed o na\u0161e kop\u00e1n\u00ed do Ruska, nebo\u0165 jim to jen komplikuje situaci. U n\u00e1s od jist\u00e9 doby vznikla garnitura jak\u00fdchsi \u0161tv\u00e1\u010d\u016f a provokat\u00e9r\u016f, za\u010dalo to pomn\u00edkovou v\u00e1lkou, naprosto nesmyslnou: kdy\u017e pomn\u00edky, kter\u00e9 t\u0159icet let nevadily, najednou se mus\u00ed odstranit, n\u00e1m\u011bst\u00ed \u010di ulice se mus\u00ed p\u0159ejmenovat i kdy\u017e m\u00e1 historick\u00fd n\u00e1zev na jm\u00e9no jak\u00e9hosi problematick\u00e9ho politika jen proto, \u017ee byl proti Putinovi. Nakonec nejasn\u00e1 Vrb\u011btick\u00e1 kauza, kter\u00e1 ve vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed nepostupuje pro nedostatek d\u016fkaz\u016f, ale jen na z\u00e1klad\u011b podez\u0159en\u00ed proti v\u0161em pr\u00e1vn\u00edm zvyklostem se \u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 od\u0161kodn\u011bn\u00ed. O to nestoj\u00ed ani st\u00e1ty EU, kter\u00e9 vyj\u00e1d\u0159ily, \u017ee jsme je nep\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dili, proto\u017ee oni si p\u0159ece Rusko nebudou proti sob\u011b \u0161tv\u00e1t na z\u00e1klad\u011b domn\u011bnek a fabulac\u00ed. A nav\u00edc to k\u00a0uzav\u0159en\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 slu\u0161n\u00e9 dohody nepom\u00e1h\u00e1. Jak je mo\u017en\u00e9 si potom sednout k jednac\u00edmu stolu? Nebo snad m\u00edr nechceme? Skoro to tak vypad\u00e1, ale to potom znamen\u00e1, \u017ee tak\u00e9 m\u016f\u017eeme b\u00fdt vinni v\u00e1lkou.<\/p>\n

\u010cerven\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1ra<\/h2>\n

Mysl\u00edm si, \u017ee Rusko si muselo dlouho nechat l\u00edbit r\u016fzn\u00e9 sankce a diskriminaci rusk\u00fdch men\u0161in i jednotlivc\u016f, pomlouv\u00e1n\u00ed a l\u017ei, z\u00e1padn\u00ed nabub\u0159elou p\u0159edstavu, \u017ee se nesm\u00ed v\u016fbec m\u00edchat do z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00fdch republik SSSR (kdy\u017e jin\u00e9 velmoci klidn\u011b zasahuj\u00ed na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b sv\u011bta). Ale tak\u00e9 si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f p\u0159etekl poh\u00e1r. T\u00edm je nebezpe\u010d\u00ed americk\u00fdch raket na Ukrajin\u011b. N\u00e1mitka, \u017ee Ukrajin\u011b nelze zak\u00e1zat vstoupit do NATO, je stejn\u011b stupidn\u00ed jako v\u011bt\u0161ina protirusk\u00fdch argument\u016f. Ukrajina m\u016f\u017ee sice cokoliv \u017e\u00e1dat, ale nemus\u00ed se j\u00ed vyhov\u011bt. Takov\u00e9 ohro\u017een\u00ed, jak\u00e9 za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nyn\u00ed Rusko, by si asi nikdo l\u00edbit nenechal a za\u0161lo u\u017e hodn\u011b daleko. Budeme pozorovat, jestli takov\u00e9 obavy druh\u00e1 strana uzn\u00e1, nebo u\u017e opravdu bude Rusku v\u0161echno jedno a riskuje i supersankce.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

Vladim\u00edr Podrack\u00fd<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed NATO s\u00a0Ruskem je v\u00edce ne\u017e pot\u0159ebn\u00e9. Situace je napjat\u00e1 a Rusov\u00e9 jako slab\u0161\u00ed z…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7641,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,29,565,22,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7683"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7683"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7683\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7641"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7683"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7683"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7683"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}