{"id":76641,"date":"2025-04-18T00:11:21","date_gmt":"2025-04-17T22:11:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=76641"},"modified":"2025-04-17T12:53:10","modified_gmt":"2025-04-17T10:53:10","slug":"andrew-korybko-ukrajinske-prodlouzeni-stanneho-prava-odhaluje-zelenskeho-strach-ze-ztraty-znovuzvoleni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/04\/18\/andrew-korybko-ukrajinske-prodlouzeni-stanneho-prava-odhaluje-zelenskeho-strach-ze-ztraty-znovuzvoleni\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Ukrajinsk\u00e9 prodlou\u017een\u00ed stann\u00e9ho pr\u00e1va odhaluje Zelensk\u00e9ho strach ze ztr\u00e1ty znovuzvolen\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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USA by na n\u011bj mohly tla\u010dit, aby sestavil vl\u00e1du n\u00e1rodn\u00ed jednoty pod hrozbou op\u011btovn\u00e9ho pozastaven\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 a zpravodajsk\u00e9 pomoci, pokud odm\u00edtne roz\u0159edit svou moc nam\u00edsto kon\u00e1n\u00ed voleb.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ukrajina\u00a0prodlou\u017eila stann\u00e9 pr\u00e1vo\u00a0<\/a>do 6. srpna\u00a0na \u017e\u00e1dost Zelensk\u00e9ho\u00a0<\/a>ze za\u010d\u00e1tku tohoto t\u00fddne, co\u017e zabr\u00e1n\u00ed kon\u00e1n\u00ed voleb p\u0159es l\u00e9to, jak\u00a0The Economist\u00a0<\/a>koncem minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce tvrdil, \u017ee je to sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd zva\u017eoval ve snaze z\u00edskat n\u00e1skok p\u0159ed sv\u00fdmi rivaly. Tento krok proto odhaluje jeho strach ze ztr\u00e1ty znovuzvolen\u00ed. Nejde jen o to, \u017ee je velmi nepopul\u00e1rn\u00ed, ale pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b se tak\u00e9 boj\u00ed, \u017ee ho USA cht\u011bj\u00ed nahradit po jeho\u00a0neslavn\u00e9m boji\u00a0<\/a>v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b.<\/p>\n

Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem by Trumpova administrativa nemusela zav\u00edrat o\u010di p\u0159ed\u00a0jak\u00fdmkoliv volebn\u00edm podvodem, kter\u00e9ho by se mohl dopustit,\u00a0<\/a>aby si udr\u017eel moc, m\u00edsto toho odm\u00edtne uznat v\u00fdsledek, pokud jeden z jeho rival\u016f nevyhraje. Pokud jde o to, kdo by ho mohl re\u00e1ln\u011b nahradit, rusk\u00e1 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed zpravodajsk\u00e1 slu\u017eba loni v kv\u011btnu\u00a0tvrdila\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee USA \u00fadajn\u011b zah\u00e1jily rozhovory s Petrem Poro\u0161enkem, Vitalijem Kli\u010dkem, Andrejem Jermakem, Valerijem Zalu\u017en\u00fdm a Dmytrom Razumkovem.<\/p>\n

The New York Times (NYT) pr\u00e1v\u011b zve\u0159ejnily celove\u010dern\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nek o Poro\u0161enkovi, kter\u00fd vyu\u017eil p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti a navrhl vl\u00e1du n\u00e1rodn\u00ed jednoty (GNU) t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 18 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f pot\u00e9, co tuto my\u0161lenku\u00a0poprv\u00e9 p\u0159edstavilo Politico\u00a0<\/a>v prosinci 2023, ale i autor \u010dl\u00e1nku se c\u00edtil povinen \u010dten\u00e1\u0159e informovat, \u017ee se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nevr\u00e1t\u00ed k moci. S odvol\u00e1n\u00edm na nejmenovan\u00e9 politick\u00e9 analytiky usoudili, \u017ee \u201ePan Poro\u0161enko mo\u017en\u00e1 tou\u017e\u00ed po volebn\u00edm spojenectv\u00ed s gener\u00e1lem Zalu\u017en\u00fdm…[kter\u00fd] o politice v\u011bt\u0161inou ml\u010d\u00ed\u201c.<\/p>\n

Poro\u0161enk\u016fv celove\u010dern\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nek NYT nicm\u00e9n\u011b usp\u011bl ve zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho pov\u011bdom\u00ed o sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i GNU, kter\u00fd by se Trumpova administrativa mohla v l\u00e9t\u011b sna\u017eit prosadit. Zelenskij pokra\u010duje v podr\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed Trumpa, naposledy t\u00edm, \u017ee tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 \u201e\u00a0obrovsk\u00fd vliv\u00a0<\/a>\u201c na B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm, a obvi\u0148uje sv\u00e9ho vyslance Steva Witkoffa z\u00a0p\u0159ekra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9 autority\u00a0<\/a>p\u0159i jedn\u00e1n\u00edch s Putinem. To p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v dob\u011b, kdy Ukrajina pokra\u010duje v odsouhlasen\u00ed nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u00a0navrhovan\u00e9 dohody o nerostn\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch\u00a0<\/a>s USA.<\/p>\n

Z pohledu USA, proto\u017ee st\u00e1le v\u00edce znepokojuj\u00edc\u00edho Zelensk\u00e9ho nelze demokraticky nahradit letn\u00edmi volbami, dal\u0161\u00edm nejlep\u0161\u00edm postupem by mohlo b\u00fdt vyvinout n\u00e1tlak, aby vytvo\u0159il GNU, kter\u00e1 by byla napln\u011bna postavami jako Poro\u0161enko, se kter\u00fdmi by se USA sn\u00e1ze spolupracovalo. To by tak\u00e9 mohlo poslou\u017eit k rozm\u011bln\u011bn\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho moci p\u0159i obr\u00e1cen\u00ed politiky Bidenovy administrativy, kdy USA zav\u00edraly o\u010di p\u0159ed jeho antidemokratick\u00fdm upev\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm moci pod z\u00e1minkami n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1minkou by mohlo b\u00fdt, \u017ee jak\u00fdkoli rusko-americk\u00fd pr\u016flom v \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed\u00a0ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu\u00a0<\/a>vy\u017eaduje schv\u00e1len\u00ed politicky inkluzivn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy vzhledem k pochybn\u00e9 legitimit\u011b Zelensk\u00e9ho pot\u00e9, co z\u016fstal u moci po vypr\u0161en\u00ed jeho funk\u010dn\u00edho obdob\u00ed loni v kv\u011btnu, a kv\u016fli obludnosti toho, co se navrhuje. Ve snaze dos\u00e1hnout tohoto c\u00edle by USA mohly pohrozit, \u017ee\u00a0znovu pozastav\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>svou vojenskou a zpravodajskou pomoc Ukrajin\u011b, pokud Zelenskij rychle nesestav\u00ed GNU, kter\u00e1 bude p\u0159ijateln\u00e1 pro Trumpovu administrativu.<\/p>\n

\u00da\u010delem by bylo prosadit p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed za zru\u0161en\u00ed stann\u00e9ho pr\u00e1va, kone\u010dn\u00e9 uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed voleb a nakonec nahrazen\u00ed Zelensk\u00e9ho. GNU by tak\u00e9 mohla pomoci zabr\u00e1nit podvod\u016fm, kter\u00fdch by se mohl dopustit, pokud by se rozhodl znovu kandidovat za t\u011bchto mnohem politicky obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edch okolnost\u00ed, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pokud pozve USA, aby dohl\u00ed\u017eely na jejich \u00fasil\u00ed, a to jak p\u0159ed hlasov\u00e1n\u00edm, tak b\u011bhem n\u011bj. Prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm t\u011bchto prost\u0159edk\u016f by se tedy USA st\u00e1le mohly zbavit Zelensk\u00e9ho, kter\u00fd by si mohl myslet, \u017ee prodlou\u017een\u00ed stann\u00e9ho pr\u00e1va tomu zabr\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USA by na n\u011bj mohly tla\u010dit, aby sestavil vl\u00e1du n\u00e1rodn\u00ed jednoty pod hrozbou op\u011btovn\u00e9ho pozastaven\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":76642,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,27,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76641"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76641\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/76642"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}