{"id":76271,"date":"2025-04-13T00:22:04","date_gmt":"2025-04-12T22:22:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=76271"},"modified":"2025-04-12T16:42:54","modified_gmt":"2025-04-12T14:42:54","slug":"cesko-zaziva-nebyvaly-pokles-porodnosti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/04\/13\/cesko-zaziva-nebyvaly-pokles-porodnosti\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010cesko za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 neb\u00fdval\u00fd pokles porodnosti"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>\u010cesko za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u00fd a trval\u00fd pokles porodnosti, co\u017e vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 obavy z dlouhodob\u00fdch dopad\u016f na ekonomiku zem\u011b, soci\u00e1ln\u00ed slu\u017eby a strukturu obyvatelstva.<\/p>\n<p>Po m\u00edrn\u00e9m n\u00e1r\u016fstu porod\u016f b\u011bhem roku 2021 do\u0161lo v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edm roce k v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu poklesu o p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 12 000 porod\u016f, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se celkov\u00fd po\u010det posunul pod hranici 100 000.<\/p>\n<p>Pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd po\u010det d\u011bt\u00ed na \u017eenu klesl na 1,66 a vymazal tak n\u011bkolik let postupn\u00e9ho zlep\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Jak uv\u00e1d\u00ed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.echo24.cz\/a\/Hy5Gk\/zpravy-domaci-rekordne-nizka-porodnost-dopady-starnuti-populace\">Echo24<\/a>\u00a0, trend pokra\u010doval i v roce 2023, kdy bylo zaznamen\u00e1no m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e 92 000 porod\u016f \u2013 co\u017e je pokles o 8 procent oproti p\u0159edchoz\u00edmu roku. P\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 \u00fadaje za rok 2024 nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee plodnost d\u00e1le klesla na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 1,37 d\u00edt\u011bte na \u017eenu.<\/p>\n<p>Tato \u010d\u00edsla odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed nejen p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed pokles, ale tak\u00e9 p\u0159ekon\u00e1vaj\u00ed i ty nejopatrn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed progn\u00f3zy. Projekce, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1daly takov\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla pro t\u0159ic\u00e1t\u00e1 l\u00e9ta 20. stolet\u00ed, dorazily mnohem d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1valo. Pokud se tento vzorec udr\u017e\u00ed, po\u010det narozen\u00fdch d\u011bt\u00ed by mohl do konce desetilet\u00ed klesnout na p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 76 000.<\/p>\n<p>Tento demografick\u00fd posun za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 n\u011bkolik evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, mo\u017en\u00e1 nejnal\u00e9hav\u011bji v N\u011bmecku, a m\u00e1 rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 d\u016fsledky. V sou\u010dasnosti je asi 20 procent \u010desk\u00e9 populace star\u0161\u00edch 65 let a projekce nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee do 50. let 20. stolet\u00ed by to mohlo vzr\u016fst a\u017e na t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jednu t\u0159etinu.<\/p>\n<p>S t\u00edm, jak star\u0161\u00ed generace odejdou do d\u016fchodu, bude vzr\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed tlak na d\u016fchodov\u00fd syst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd ji\u017e nyn\u00ed tvo\u0159\u00ed hlavn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Rostou i n\u00e1klady na zdravotn\u00ed p\u00e9\u010di. V\u00fddaje p\u0159es\u00e1hly 500 miliard korun (19,9 miliardy eur) ro\u010dn\u011b, a proto\u017ee populace st\u00e1le st\u00e1rne, o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se dal\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst.<\/p>\n<p>Podle anal\u00fdzy Asociace poskytovatel\u016f soci\u00e1ln\u00edch slu\u017eeb si zachov\u00e1n\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00fdch standard\u016f p\u00e9\u010de vy\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 do roku 2050 v\u00edce ne\u017e 27 000 dal\u0161\u00edch l\u016f\u017eek v za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edch pe\u010dovatelsk\u00fdch dom\u016f a z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed pe\u010dovatelsk\u00e9 pracovn\u00ed s\u00edly.<\/p>\n<p>\u201ePod\u00edl lid\u00ed star\u0161\u00edch 65 let vzroste ze sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 19,9 procenta na 28,8 procenta v roce 2050. Ve v\u011bkov\u00e9 skupin\u011b nad 80 let dojde v roce 2050 k n\u00e1r\u016fstu ze sou\u010dasn\u00fdch 4,1 procenta z celkov\u00e9 populace na 9,0 procenta, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e k nejprud\u0161\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu v t\u00e9to kategorii dojde do roku 2035 a n\u00e1sledn\u011b se zpomal\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>V reakci na tyto v\u00fdzvy vl\u00e1da uz\u00e1konila d\u016fchodovou reformu, jej\u00edm\u017e c\u00edlem je zajistit dlouhodobou udr\u017eitelnost. Podle nov\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed se bude v\u011bk odchodu do d\u016fchodu ka\u017ed\u00fdm rokem postupn\u011b zvy\u0161ovat, a\u017e nakonec dos\u00e1hne 67, co\u017e je o dva roky v\u00edce, ne\u017e je sou\u010dasn\u00e1 hranice.<\/p>\n<p>Od roku 2026 se nav\u00edc uprav\u00ed vzorec pro v\u00fdpo\u010det nov\u00fdch d\u016fchod\u016f, \u010d\u00edm\u017e se sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed pod\u00edl v\u00fdd\u011blk\u016f zapo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1van\u00fd ka\u017ed\u00fd rok.<\/p>\n<p>\u010cesk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da argumentuje, \u017ee tyto zm\u011bny, kter\u00e9 podepsal prezident Petr Pavel v prosinci lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku, pomohou zajistit d\u016fchody pro sou\u010dasn\u00e9 mlad\u0161\u00ed generace a zabr\u00e1n\u00ed tomu, aby d\u016fchody do roku 2050 zab\u00edraly p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00fdch 5 procent HDP a p\u011bt procent HDP.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-71983\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/aaa.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"89\" height=\"23\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u010cesko za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u00fd a trval\u00fd pokles porodnosti, co\u017e vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 obavy z dlouhodob\u00fdch dopad\u016f na ekonomiku&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":76274,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[506,245,2728],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76271"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76271"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76271\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76273,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76271\/revisions\/76273"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/76274"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76271"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76271"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76271"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}