{"id":76221,"date":"2025-04-12T05:47:55","date_gmt":"2025-04-12T03:47:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=76221"},"modified":"2025-04-12T05:47:55","modified_gmt":"2025-04-12T03:47:55","slug":"proc-trump-rychle-odvratil-globalni-obchodni-valku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/04\/12\/proc-trump-rychle-odvratil-globalni-obchodni-valku\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d Trump rychle odvr\u00e1til glob\u00e1ln\u00ed obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lku"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Dostal prezident Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, co cht\u011bl?<\/h3>\n

„Te\u010f jsem to v\u0161echno vid\u011bl.“<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

U\u017e jsem p\u0159estal po\u010d\u00edtat, kolikr\u00e1t jsem si to za posledn\u00edch p\u00e1r m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f \u0159ekl. Poka\u017ed\u00e9, kdy\u017e Donald Trump zap\u00e1l\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed kus glob\u00e1ln\u00edho \u0159\u00e1du, p\u0159istihnu se, \u017ee z\u00edr\u00e1m na stejn\u00e9 m\u00edsto a p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161l\u00edm, jak jsme se sem dostali \u2013 a co jsem postr\u00e1dal ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i modern\u00ed politiky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trump b\u011bhem sv\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 kampan\u011b sl\u00edbil, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u201eu\u010d\u00ed lekci\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0v\u0161em americk\u00fdm obchodn\u00edm partner\u016fm. Ve sv\u00e9 podob\u011b neztr\u00e1cel \u010das testov\u00e1n\u00edm t\u00e9to teorie. V \u00fanoru spustil zku\u0161ebn\u00ed bal\u00f3n uvalen\u00edm cel na dovoz z Kanady a Mexika. Z\u00e1minka? Neud\u011blali dost, aby omezili migraci a obchod s drogami. Ottawa a Mexico City se rychle dostaly ke stolu a potvrdily Trumpovu v\u00edru, \u017ee tarifn\u00ed ty\u010d by mohla p\u0159im\u011bt jin\u00e9 zem\u011b k rozhovor\u016fm. Tento \u00fasp\u011bch ho povzbudil, aby zkusil stejnou strategii glob\u00e1ln\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak to ud\u011blal. A to, co n\u00e1sledovalo, bylo up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno z\u00e1bavn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e mnoz\u00ed \u010dekali.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trhy se zhroutily. Ceny ropy klesly. Ekonomov\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u00eddali recesi. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 si za\u010dali d\u011blat z\u00e1soby j\u00eddla a z\u00e1sob. M\u00e9dia se p\u0159edh\u00e1n\u011bla v tom, kdo jeden druh\u00e9ho p\u0159ekon\u00e1v\u00e1 t\u011bmi nejsm\u011b\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi p\u0159ezd\u00edvkami pro rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se chaos. Mezit\u00edm B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm klidn\u011b trval na tom, \u017ee v\u0161echno\u00a0<\/span>\u201ep\u016fjde podle pl\u00e1nu\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

A jak\u00fd byl vlastn\u011b pl\u00e1n? S\u00e1m Trump to \u0159ekl zcela jasn\u011b: p\u0159im\u011bt sv\u011bt, aby\u00a0<\/span>mu \u201el\u00edbal prdel\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Toto je v podstat\u011b klasick\u00e1 Trumpova p\u0159\u00edru\u010dka \u2013 to, co n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed naz\u00fdvaj\u00ed jeho\u00a0<\/span>\u201epsychopatickou strategi\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Vytvo\u0159\u00ed krizi a nab\u00eddne, \u017ee ji vyto\u010d\u00ed zp\u011bt jako\u00a0<\/span>\u201egesto dobr\u00e9 v\u016fle\u201c a<\/span><\/em>\u00a0na opl\u00e1tku po\u017eaduje \u00fastupky. V tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b m\u011bly tyto \u00fastupky zahrnovat n\u00e1pravu americk\u00e9ho obchodn\u00edho deficitu a nucen\u00ed v\u00fdroby k n\u00e1vratu dom\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tentokr\u00e1t ale Trump mo\u017en\u00e1 p\u0159ehr\u00e1l. Zah\u00e1jen\u00ed obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lky s cel\u00fdm sv\u011btem sou\u010dasn\u011b neot\u0159\u00e1slo jen vl\u00e1dami \u2013 ot\u0159\u00e1slo to Ameri\u010dany doma. Jakmile zas\u00e1hla realita potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed recese, Trumpova sledovanost klesla. Mnoho ve\u0159ejnosti za\u010dalo na prezidenta a jeho t\u00fdm pohl\u00ed\u017eet jako na m\u00edrn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno nekompetentn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 reakce poskytla demokrat\u016fm vz\u00e1cnou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost p\u0159ej\u00edt do \u00fatoku. Po cel\u00e9 zemi se rozb\u011bhla protitarifn\u00ed shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed organizovan\u00e1 liber\u00e1ln\u00edmi skupinami a aktivisty. Trump \u010delil ve\u0159ejn\u00fdm v\u00fdtk\u00e1m od Baracka Obamy a Kamaly Harrisov\u00e9. Kongresman Al Green dokonce ozn\u00e1mil pl\u00e1ny na zaveden\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nk\u016f o impeachmentu \u2013 ji\u017e pot\u0159et\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A na poplach nebila jen levice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Republik\u00e1nsk\u00fd sen\u00e1tor Ted Cruz, p\u0159edseda sen\u00e1tn\u00edho obchodn\u00edho v\u00fdboru, varoval p\u0159ed mo\u017enou\u00a0<\/span>\u201ekrvavou l\u00e1zn\u00ed\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0pro Republik\u00e1nskou republiku ve st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u00e9m obdob\u00ed roku 2026, pokud cla spust\u00ed celkovou recesi. Miliard\u00e1\u0159i z Wall Street \u2013 z nich\u017e mnoz\u00ed podporovali Trumpa \u2013 vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili svou nelibost. Nejpozoruhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee Elon Musk, dlouholet\u00fd Trump\u016fv spojenec, ve\u0159ejn\u011b kritizoval prezidentova obchodn\u00edho poradce Petera Navara a ozna\u010dil ho za\u00a0<\/span>\u201eidiota\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>\u201ehloup\u011bj\u0161\u00edho ne\u017e pytel brambor\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 politick\u00e9mu, finan\u010dn\u00edmu a ve\u0159ejn\u00e9mu tlaku jednala Trumpova administrativa rychle. Dne 9. dubna Trump ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee ho kontaktovalo 75 zem\u00ed s \u017e\u00e1dost\u00ed o dohody. V reakci na to sn\u00ed\u017eil tarify na 10 % po dobu 90 dn\u016f a ozna\u010dil to za p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost k vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale ne v\u0161ichni se vzpamatov\u00e1vaj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zejm\u00e9na \u010c\u00edna se uk\u00e1zala b\u00fdt mnohem odoln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm protivn\u00edkem. Obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lka mezi USA a \u010c\u00ednou nad\u00e1le eskaluje, cla za prsa nyn\u00ed dosahuj\u00ed 140 % \u2013 a rostou. Pokud to p\u016fjde nekontrolovan\u011b, obchod mezi dv\u011bma nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmi sv\u011btov\u00fdmi ekonomikami se m\u016f\u017ee zmen\u0161it o 80 %, co\u017e bude m\u00edt katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u016fsledky pro ob\u011b strany.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak co d\u00e1l?<\/span><\/p>\n

Pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 se zdaj\u00ed dva sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e. Bu\u010f Trump nut\u00ed sv\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed partnery k rychl\u00fdm \u00fastupk\u016fm a vyhl\u00e1s\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, nebo v polovin\u011b cesty odejde a najde nov\u00e9 rozpt\u00fdlen\u00ed \u2013 podobn\u011b jako to ud\u011blal s Ukrajinou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pamatujete si na fanf\u00e1ry, kdy Trump sl\u00edbil, \u017ee nastol\u00ed m\u00edr na Ukrajin\u011b\u00a0<\/span>\u201edo 24 hodin\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0? Nebo dokonce\u00a0<\/span>\u201edo 100 dn\u016f\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0? Ve chv\u00edli, kdy bylo jasn\u00e9, \u017ee se to nestane, B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm o tom p\u0159estal mluvit \u00fapln\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je Trump\u016fv styl. Vytvo\u0159te pod\u00edvanou, ovl\u00e1dn\u011bte titulky, a jakmile to p\u0159estane fungovat, klidn\u011b pokra\u010dujte.<\/span><\/p>\n

A abych nezapomn\u011bl \u2013 zb\u00fdv\u00e1 mu je\u0161t\u011b p\u00e1r karet zahr\u00e1t. Nap\u0159\u00edklad Gaza, kterou kdysi nazval\u00a0<\/span>\u201eRivi\u00e9ra St\u0159edn\u00edho v\u00fdchodu\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Nebo \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka, dal\u0161\u00ed obl\u00edben\u00e1 z jeho nerealizovan\u00fdch\u00a0<\/span>\u201egeni\u00e1ln\u00edch n\u00e1pad\u016f\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Tak\u017ee ne \u2013 nebudu \u0159\u00edkat, \u017ee jsem vid\u011bl v\u0161echno. Pokud n\u011bco, ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti m\u011b nau\u010dily, \u017ee s Trumpem je v\u017edy za rohem dal\u0161\u00ed \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

A nejd\u011bsiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st? N\u011bkdy to funguje.<\/span><\/p>\n

Autor: Vitaly\u00a0 <\/span>Ryumshin<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0, novin\u00e1\u0159 a politick\u00fd analytik<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dostal prezident Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, co cht\u011bl? „Te\u010f jsem to v\u0161echno vid\u011bl.“ U\u017e jsem p\u0159estal po\u010d\u00edtat,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":75591,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1026,3965,452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76221"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76221"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76221\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76222,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76221\/revisions\/76222"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75591"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76221"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76221"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76221"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}