{"id":76185,"date":"2025-04-11T06:38:44","date_gmt":"2025-04-11T04:38:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=76185"},"modified":"2025-04-11T06:38:44","modified_gmt":"2025-04-11T04:38:44","slug":"jiri-paroubek-svetove-financni-trhy-se-zatim-uklidnily","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2025\/04\/11\/jiri-paroubek-svetove-financni-trhy-se-zatim-uklidnily\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Sv\u011btov\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy se zat\u00edm uklidnily\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Tedy zat\u00edm (na den). Donald Trump pragmaticky m\u011bn\u00ed stanovisko, z\u0159ejm\u011b mj. v d\u016fsledku rychl\u00e9ho p\u00e1du burzovn\u00edch titul\u016f prakticky ve v\u0161ech \u010d\u00e1stech sv\u011bta. Lid\u00e9 v jeho bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm okol\u00ed, zj. lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed zku\u0161enosti ze sv\u011bta vysok\u00fdch financ\u00ed, si uv\u011bdomili riziko, kter\u00e9 vyvolalo ozn\u00e1men\u00ed americk\u00e9ho prezidenta o zaveden\u00ed vysok\u00fdch celn\u00edch sazeb vlastn\u011b t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u016f\u010di v\u0161em obchodn\u00fdm partner\u016fm USA.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cla by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b\u00a0 \u0161ly na nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed export\u00e9ry zbo\u017e\u00ed do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Z\u00a0toho v\u0161eho z\u016fstala v\u00a0hled\u00e1\u010dku americk\u00e9ho prezidenta po oto\u010dce o 180 stup\u0148\u016f jenom \u010c\u00edna. Se 124 % celn\u00edch sazeb. \u010c\u00edna ji\u017e mezit\u00edm uvalila na dovoz americk\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed do \u010c\u00edny odvetou celn\u00ed sazbu ve v\u00fd\u0161i 84 %. Toto vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 zat\u00ed\u017een\u00ed celn\u00edmi poplatky, tedy jakousi dan\u00ed z\u00a0dov\u00e1\u017een\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed, de facto znemo\u017e\u0148uje obchod mezi t\u011bmito dv\u011bma zem\u011bmi. Ceny v\u00fdrobk\u016f na \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m, respektive zj. na americk\u00e9m trhu, jsou po zapo\u010dten\u00ed celn\u00ed sazby prakticky nekonkurenceschopn\u00e9. Bude\u00a0 zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 vid\u011bt, jak se Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty vyrovnaj\u00ed s t\u00edm, \u017ee p\u0159estanou dov\u00e1\u017eet nap\u0159. levnou \u010d\u00ednskou elektroniku. A mnoho a mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch polo\u017eek. U naprost\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161iny zem\u00ed D. Trump a jeho t\u00fdm uplat\u0148uj\u00ed zat\u00edm pouze desetiprocentn\u00ed dodate\u010dnou celn\u00ed sazbu. T\u011bch d\u016fvod\u016f pro\u010d se tak stalo je n\u011bkolik. Pokus\u00edm se je se\u0159adit:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Je technicky mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b slo\u017eit\u00e9 a organiza\u010dn\u011b t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nemo\u017en\u00e9 zajistit v\u00fdb\u011br diferencovan\u00fdch cel ve velmi rozd\u00edln\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i prakticky ze zem\u00ed cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta b\u011bhem p\u00e1r dn\u016f. I p\u0159i vynikaj\u00edc\u00edm vybaven\u00ed nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi IT technologiemi, by to Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 nemuseli zvl\u00e1dnout v\u016fbec. Byla by to blam\u00e1\u017e.<\/li>\n<li>Mnohem v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edm d\u016fvodem je ov\u0161em rychl\u00fd propad akciov\u00fdch trh\u016f a trh\u016f s\u00a0dluhopisy, v\u010detn\u011b americk\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch dluhopis\u016f, a to nejen na burze v\u00a0New Yorku, ale v\u0161ude. V\u00a0Evrop\u011b, Asii a Americe. Obav\u00e1m se, \u017ee kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fd siln\u00fd pokles cen akci\u00ed na americk\u00e9 burze p\u0159inutil v\u00a0nastal\u00e9 panice velkou \u010d\u00e1st mal\u00fdch a st\u0159edn\u011b velk\u00fdch investor\u016f k\u00a0prodej\u016fm cenn\u00fdch pap\u00edr\u016f. Ti, kdo nevydr\u017eeli s\u00a0nervy a ob\u00e1vali se dal\u0161\u00edho zhor\u0161en\u00ed situace, tedy dal\u0161\u00edho p\u00e1du cen akci\u00ed, prod\u00e1vali a prod\u011blali. A velc\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed \u017eraloci s\u00a0dostatkem kapit\u00e1lu, a to jsou zj. velk\u00e9 investi\u010dn\u00ed fondy, jist\u011b s\u00a0chut\u00ed nakupovaly levn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed akcie, proto\u017ee mohly o\u010dek\u00e1vat jejich op\u011btovn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst.\u00a0 Ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech se nyn\u00ed \u0159e\u0161\u00ed to, \u017ee ur\u010dit\u00e1 skupina investor\u016f mohla dostat privilegovan\u00e9 inside informace z\u00a0okol\u00ed americk\u00e9ho prezidenta. Osobn\u011b si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee cel\u00e1 akce byla sp\u00ed\u0161e improvizovan\u00e1.\u00a0 Americk\u00fd prezident prost\u011b pod tlakem ud\u00e1lost\u00ed zm\u011bnil n\u00e1zor na zaveden\u00ed cel zj. proto, \u017ee by to mohlo po\u0161kodit jeho politick\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky do budoucna prosazovat jak\u00e9koliv\u00a0 reformy.<\/li>\n<li>A tak\u00e9 ekonomicky a politicky si Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty vzaly velk\u00e9 sousto. Proti jejich z\u00e1m\u011br\u016fm se postavili unisono jak jejich p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9, tak jejich rivalov\u00e9.<\/li>\n<li>Pokud jde o \u010c\u00ednu, podle v\u0161eho si Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 vzali p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9 sousto. \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 byli zjevn\u011b na krok americk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, j\u00edm\u017e do\u0161lo ke\u00a0zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cel, p\u0159ipraveni a byli ochotni j\u00edt do st\u0159etu. \u010c\u00edna sice vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed zbo\u017e\u00ed v\u00a0\u0159\u00e1dech set miliard dolar\u016f a vz\u00e1jemn\u00fd obchod dosahuje objemu t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 700 miliard dolar\u016f za rok, ale obchod \u010c\u00edny se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty \u010dinil v\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce jen 13 % celkov\u00e9ho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu \u010c\u00edny. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee nastal\u00e1 situace, obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lka zah\u00e1jen\u00e1 proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, je sice pro \u010c\u00ednu velmi nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e1 a povede k\u00a0velk\u00fdm hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m, ale objektivn\u011b vzato, \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 ekonomika se dnes efektivitou a progres\u00ed, zj. v\u00a0technologicky nejpokro\u010dilej\u0161\u00edch oborech minim\u00e1ln\u011b vyrovn\u00e1 ekonomice Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Prost\u011b zpravodajsk\u00e9 informace, kter\u00e9 obdr\u017eel t\u00fdm Donalda Trumpa p\u0159ed sv\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm zah\u00e1jit obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lku s\u00a0\u010c\u00ednou, nebyly zrovna nejkvalitn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Krom\u011b toho, \u010c\u00edna m\u00e1 dnes klientelu v\u00a0\u0159\u00e1dech des\u00edtek st\u00e1t\u016f, se kter\u00fdmi \u00fazce spolupracuje v\u00a0investi\u010dn\u00edm projektu P\u00e1s a stezka, do kter\u00e9ho za 10 let investovala v\u00edce ne\u017e jeden bilion dolar\u016f. \u010c\u00edna pod tlakem ud\u00e1lost\u00ed bude d\u00e1le diverzifikovat sv\u016fj obchod, a to zj. s\u00a0vyu\u017eit\u00edm vazeb na zem\u011b voln\u00e9ho sdru\u017een\u00ed BRICS.<\/li>\n<li>Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 by nem\u011bli zapom\u00ednat na to \u2013 a tady bych vid\u011bl na m\u00edst\u011b upozorn\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb &#8211; , \u017ee \u010c\u00edna m\u00e1 k\u00a0dispozici mnoh\u00e9 suroviny, zj. pak vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 zeminy, bez nich\u017e nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 si p\u0159edstavit rozvoj nejprogresivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch technologi\u00ed. A to ani zbra\u0148ov\u00fdch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>A\u0165 tak nebo onak, maj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty st\u00e1le na krku v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b. I kdy\u017e se state\u010dn\u011b tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee se jich cel\u00e1 v\u011bc ji\u017e net\u00fdk\u00e1, tak \u010di\u00a0 onak se jich st\u00e1le t\u00fdk\u00e1.\u00a0 Prezident Zelenskyj \u00a0je ne\u00fanavn\u00fd ve sv\u00fdch po\u017eadavc\u00edch na dod\u00e1vky americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Nyn\u00ed se do\u017eaduje dod\u00e1vek za des\u00edtky miliard dolar\u016f. A zaplatit chce, jak jinak, virtu\u00e1ln\u00edmi financemi. Tedy nejsp\u00ed\u0161 budouc\u00edmi v\u00fdnosy ze smlouvy, kterou uzav\u0159ou USA a Ukrajina pro spole\u010dnou t\u011b\u017ebu nerost\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch zdroj\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b. Je ov\u0161em ot\u00e1zka, jestli na takov\u00e9to fiktivn\u00ed platby bude D. Trump sly\u0161et.<\/p>\n<p>Prost\u011b, sv\u011bt dostal od americk\u00e9ho prezidenta na 3 m\u011bs\u00edce odklad, pokud jde o zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cel. A mezi t\u00edm se bude jednat, smlouvat, handlovat, co\u017e d\u00e1le znejist\u00ed nyn\u00ed na chv\u00edli uklidn\u011bn\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed trhy.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vasevec.info\/ekonomika\/svetove-financni-trhy-se-zatim-uklidnily\">Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-2342\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/paroubek-300x208.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/paroubek-300x208.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/paroubek.jpg 318w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tedy zat\u00edm (na den). Donald Trump pragmaticky m\u011bn\u00ed stanovisko, z\u0159ejm\u011b mj. v d\u016fsledku rychl\u00e9ho p\u00e1du&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":69836,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[59,276,3027],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76185"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=76185"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76185\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/69836"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=76185"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=76185"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=76185"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}